Table des matières
Epigraphe
I
In memoriam
II
Dédicace
III
Remerciement
IV
Sigles et Abréviation
V
Liste de tableaux
VI
Introduction
1
01. Problématique
1
02. Hypothèse
3
03. Objectifs de la recherche
3
04. Méthodes et techniques
3
05. Choix et intérêt de la
recherche
4
06. Délimitation Spatiotemporelle
5
07. Subdivision du Travail
5
Chapitre premier : Approche Conceptuelle
6
Section 1. Définition des concepts
clés
6
Section 2 : La croissance Economique
15
Chapitre deuxième : Revue de la
littérature entre crédits bancaires et la croissance
économique
17
Section 1 : Revue théorique
17
Section 2 : Revue de la littérature
empirique
26
Chapitre troisième : Crédits
bancaires et croissance économique en République
Démocratique du Congo.
29
1. Présentation des données et
approche méthodologique
29
2. Validation du modèle
estimé
34
3. Interprétation économique de
résultats
35
Conclusion
38
Bibliographie et webographie
40
ANNEXE
Annexes A : Stationnarité et
stationnarisation des variables
Tableau n°1 : Crédits bancaires
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Null Hypothesis: CREDB has a unit root
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Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend
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Lag Length: 2 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-3.540520
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0.0549
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-4.339330
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5% level
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-3.587527
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10% level
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-3.229230
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Tableau n°2 : Exportations nettes
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Null Hypothesis: D(EXPORTNET,2) has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 3 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-9.074723
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0.0000
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.664853
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5% level
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-1.955681
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10% level
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-1.608793
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Tableau n°3 : LOG (Crédits bancaires)
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Null Hypothesis: D(RESIDU) has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-4.797849
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0.0000
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.650145
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5% level
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-1.953381
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10% level
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-1.609798
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Tableau n°4 : LOG (Produit intérieur
brut)
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Null Hypothesis: D(LPIBR) has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-5.077386
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0.0000
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.650145
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5% level
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-1.953381
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10% level
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-1.609798
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Tableau n°5 : LOG (Taux de chômage)
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Null Hypothesis: D(LTCHOM) has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-2.611513
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0.0110
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.650145
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5% level
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-1.953381
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10% level
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-1.609798
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Tableau n°6 : LOG (Taux directeur de la
Banque Centrale du Congo)
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Null Hypothesis: D(RESIDU1) has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-5.165860
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0.0000
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.650145
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5% level
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-1.953381
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10% level
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-1.609798
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Tableau n°7 : LOG (Taux d'inflation)
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Null Hypothesis: D(RESIDU2) has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-6.055685
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0.0000
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.650145
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5% level
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-1.953381
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10% level
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-1.609798
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Tableau n°8 : Produit intérieur
brut
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Null Hypothesis: D(PIB_REEL) has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-4.337193
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0.0001
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.650145
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5% level
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-1.953381
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10% level
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-1.609798
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Tableau n°9 : Taux de chômage
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Null Hypothesis: D(TCHOM) has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-2.738296
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0.0080
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.650145
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5% level
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-1.953381
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10% level
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-1.609798
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Tableau n°10 : Taux d'intérêt
directeur
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Null Hypothesis: TDIR has a unit root
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Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend
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Lag Length: 1 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-3.935493
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0.0237
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-4.323979
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5% level
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-3.580623
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10% level
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-3.225334
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Tableau n°11 : Taux d'inflation
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Null Hypothesis: TINFL has a unit root
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Exogenous: None
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Lag Length: 5 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=7)
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t-Statistic
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Prob.*
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Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic
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-19.20103
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0.0001
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Test critical values:
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1% level
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-2.664853
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5% level
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-1.955681
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10% level
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-1.608793
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