Annexe2-Tableau 1
| 
 Year 
 | 
 Balance 
 | 
 Ménages 
 | 
 Vol. des ech. 
 | 
 Dép. pub. 
 | 
 Invest. 
 | 
 Revenu (PIB) 
 | 
 
| 
 1970 
 | 
 -63,02 
 | 
 223,97 
 | 
 253,14 
 | 
 46,45 
 | 
 0,00 
 | 
 273,67 
 | 
 
| 
 1971 
 | 
 -64,23 
 | 
 244,29 
 | 
 272,79 
 | 
 54,85 
 | 
 0,00 
 | 
 320,06 
 | 
 
| 
 1972 
 | 
 -96,24 
 | 
 315,66 
 | 
 328,34 
 | 
 71,29 
 | 
 0,00 
 | 
 409,93 
 | 
 
  
  
UNIVERSITE PEDAGOGIQUE NATIONALE : Analyse
économétrique de l'efficacité des politiques
budgétaires. Cas du Brésil, du Congo et de la RD Congo
(1970-2010) Par N'SUNDI ZALA Hugo 
Page 96 sur 123 
| 
 1973 
 | 
 -63,71 
 | 
   | 
 337,39 
 | 
   | 
 406,48 
 | 
   | 
 95,12 
 | 
   | 
 0,00 
 | 
   | 
 541,98 
 | 
 
| 
 1974 
 | 
 -36,56 
 | 
   | 
 312,42 
 | 
   | 
 659,73 
 | 
   | 
 104,28 
 | 
   | 
 205,23 
 | 
   | 
 585,37 
 | 
 
| 
 1975 
 | 
 -213,71 
 | 
   | 
 542,67 
 | 
   | 
 764,31 
 | 
   | 
 138,12 
 | 
   | 
 300,03 
 | 
   | 
 767,11 
 | 
 
| 
 1976 
 | 
 -197,53 
 | 
   | 
 584,64 
 | 
   | 
 806,86 
 | 
   | 
 133,50 
 | 
   | 
 233,94 
 | 
   | 
 754,55 
 | 
 
| 
 1977 
 | 
 -150,60 
 | 
   | 
 564,15 
 | 
   | 
 848,26 
 | 
   | 
 148,16 
 | 
   | 
 203,52 
 | 
   | 
 765,23 
 | 
 
| 
 1978 
 | 
 -152,45 
 | 
   | 
 589,40 
 | 
   | 
 920,87 
 | 
   | 
 201,64 
 | 
   | 
 240,19 
 | 
   | 
 878,78 
 | 
 
| 
 1979 
 | 
 -14,57 
 | 
   | 
 657,67 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 151,27 
 | 
   | 
 244,45 
 | 
   | 
 311,21 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 198,75 
 | 
 
| 
 1980 
 | 
 -1,89 
 | 
   | 
 797,52 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 049,42 
 | 
   | 
 300,08 
 | 
   | 
 610,09 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 705,80 
 | 
 
| 
 1981 
 | 
 -360,28 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 125,75 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 673,61 
 | 
   | 
 267,91 
 | 
   | 
 960,14 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 993,52 
 | 
 
| 
 1982 
 | 
 -286,06 
 | 
   | 
 864,57 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 674,34 
 | 
   | 
 291,53 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 290,61 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 160,65 
 | 
 
| 
 1983 
 | 
 129,64 
 | 
   | 
 835,55 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 300,92 
 | 
   | 
 325,93 
 | 
   | 
 806,16 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 097,28 
 | 
 
| 
 1984 
 | 
 351,07 
 | 
   | 
 851,58 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 352,65 
 | 
   | 
 324,29 
 | 
   | 
 666,66 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 193,59 
 | 
 
| 
 1985 
 | 
 16,92 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 134,08 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 437,34 
 | 
   | 
 355,47 
 | 
   | 
 654,41 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 160,88 
 | 
 
| 
 1986 
 | 
 -255,84 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 099,05 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 729,11 
 | 
   | 
 461,44 
 | 
   | 
 544,62 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 849,27 
 | 
 
| 
 1987 
 | 
 71,54 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 300,09 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 846,37 
 | 
   | 
 472,82 
 | 
   | 
 453,31 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 297,77 
 | 
 
| 
 1988 
 | 
 4,36 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 330,55 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 793,20 
 | 
   | 
 465,68 
 | 
   | 
 411,96 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 212,55 
 | 
 
| 
 1989 
 | 
 327,27 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 258,91 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 991,81 
 | 
   | 
 465,82 
 | 
   | 
 337,61 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 389,60 
 | 
 
| 
 1990 
 | 
 220,37 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 745,73 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 784,06 
 | 
   | 
 387,49 
 | 
   | 
 445,16 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 798,75 
 | 
 
| 
 1991 
 | 
 -52,46 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 645,84 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 508,28 
 | 
   | 
 572,13 
 | 
   | 
 559,36 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 724,86 
 | 
 
| 
 1992 
 | 
 81,60 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 597,71 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 433,03 
 | 
   | 
 620,35 
 | 
   | 
 633,53 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 933,23 
 | 
 
| 
 1993 
 | 
 -113,33 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 059,31 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 810,67 
 | 
   | 
 406,97 
 | 
   | 
 566,02 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 918,97 
 | 
 
| 
 1994 
 | 
 -277,92 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 011,53 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 348,52 
 | 
   | 
 286,92 
 | 
   | 
 552,77 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 769,38 
 | 
 
| 
 1995 
 | 
 23,24 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 044,34 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 715,02 
 | 
   | 
 274,51 
 | 
   | 
 773,92 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 116,00 
 | 
 
| 
 1996 
 | 
 222,85 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 263,61 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 269,27 
 | 
   | 
 369,46 
 | 
   | 
 684,78 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 540,70 
 | 
 
| 
 1997 
 | 
 358,51 
 | 
   | 
 961,20 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 153,28 
 | 
   | 
 486,55 
 | 
   | 
 516,42 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 322,72 
 | 
 
| 
 1998 
 | 
 71,23 
 | 
   | 
 886,42 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 902,81 
 | 
   | 
 471,70 
 | 
   | 
 520,21 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 949,48 
 | 
 
| 
 1999 
 | 
 310,38 
 | 
   | 
 868,97 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 092,90 
 | 
   | 
 354,45 
 | 
   | 
 653,73 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 353,91 
 | 
 
| 
 2000 
 | 
 1 181,18 
 | 
   | 
 756,82 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 989,81 
 | 
   | 
 372,48 
 | 
   | 
 728,53 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 219,89 
 | 
 
| 
 2001 
 | 
 673,66 
 | 
   | 
 943,34 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 652,91 
 | 
   | 
 393,70 
 | 
   | 
 736,47 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 794,25 
 | 
 
| 
 2002 
 | 
 832,72 
 | 
   | 
 897,96 
 | 
 4 
 | 
 090,73 
 | 
   | 
 554,38 
 | 
   | 
 706,91 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 019,99 
 | 
 
| 
 2003 
 | 
 166,51 
 | 
   | 
 879,12 
 | 
 5 
 | 
 483,68 
 | 
   | 
 606,85 
 | 
   | 
 912,08 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 495,87 
 | 
 
| 
 2004 
 | 
 1 380,24 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 651,72 
 | 
 6 
 | 
 106,82 
 | 
   | 
 696,03 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 046,89 
 | 
 4 
 | 
 648,63 
 | 
 
| 
 2005 
 | 
 1 804,97 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 766,81 
 | 
 8 
 | 
 440,46 
 | 
   | 
 790,95 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 228,98 
 | 
 6 
 | 
 087,00 
 | 
 
| 
 2006 
 | 
 1 433,35 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 043,09 
 | 
 11 
 | 
 579,86 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 076,90 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 672,46 
 | 
 7 
 | 
 731,26 
 | 
 
| 
 2007 
 | 
 2 099,21 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 039,71 
 | 
 11 
 | 
 085,40 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 424,68 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 831,10 
 | 
 8 
 | 
 394,69 
 | 
 
| 
 2008 
 | 
 3 338,19 
 | 
 4 
 | 
 933,36 
 | 
 14 
 | 
 486,26 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 416,91 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 170,55 
 | 
 11 
 | 
 859,02 
 | 
 
| 
 2009 
 | 
 1 939,10 
 | 
 4 
 | 
 321,17 
 | 
 11 
 | 
 572,05 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 173,48 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 159,79 
 | 
 9 
 | 
 593,54 
 | 
 
| 
 2010 
 | 
 3 653,01 
 | 
 4 
 | 
 636,83 
 | 
 16 
 | 
 789,13 
 | 
 1 
 | 
 253,64 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 464,40 
 | 
 12 
 | 
 007,88 
 | 
 
  
G. RESULTATS DES ESTIMATIONS DES MODELES VAR
 | 
 
 
 
 
  |