WOW !! MUCH LOVE ! SO WORLD PEACE !
Fond bitcoin pour l'amélioration du site: 1memzGeKS7CB3ECNkzSn2qHwxU6NZoJ8o
  Dogecoin (tips/pourboires): DCLoo9Dd4qECqpMLurdgGnaoqbftj16Nvp


Home | Publier un mémoire | Une page au hasard

 > 

The role of supply and use/input output tables in the perspective analysis of economic development of Rwanda with example

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Jean Baptiste HABYARIMANA
National University of Rwanda - Bachelors degree in Applied Statistics  2010
  

précédent sommaire suivant

Bitcoin is a swarm of cyber hornets serving the goddess of wisdom, feeding on the fire of truth, exponentially growing ever smarter, faster, and stronger behind a wall of encrypted energy

4.4.1.4. Applying Techniques to Specific Quality Indicators

4.4.1.4.1. Linkage application

The application of the linkage technique to economic indicators in Rwanda would be considerably enhanced by the disaggregating of the household sector into income groups. These disaggregated data could then be used directly by linkage technique. For example, numbers of high, medium, and low income workers, average and medium income, proportion of workers above some poverty line can be obtained by using the estimates of the levels of output of the producing sectors (Agriculture, Industry, and Services) in combination with the appropriate coefficients showing the type of labours used by each sector. The appropriate disaggregation of Household for Rwanda seems to be based on Region and Activity, as stated below:

Households

Rural

Urban

Agricultural

Self-Employed

Non-Agricultural

Self-Employed

Wage-

Earning

Agricultural

Self-Employed

Non-Agricultural

Self-Employed

Wage-

Earning

Applying linkage to community service indicators requires desegregation of the government sector into specific functional activities. Indicators can be linked to expenditures on these functional activities: Examples of this type are: Pupil per teacher, Student by class room, Hospital and Clinics per unit of population. However, as public service output quality measurements are improved they can be used in place of the input quality measurements by linking them to functional expenditures.

Linkage Technique would help Rwanda policymakers and macro-accountants to disaggregate and to specify labour categories in Rwanda, the disaggregation may be helpful also when studying the impact of Services Sector in total economy of Rwanda. Disaggregation of labour categories may be stated as follow:

1. Unskilled Labour (No-education and primary education)

2. Semi-skilled Labour (Secondary Education and Vocational Training)

3. Highly Skilled (University Degree)

4.4.1.4.2. Dummy technique application

In Rwanda dummy sector technique can be used for analyses of land pollution, land degradation, and land use. For the land pollution dummy sector combines coefficient that measure the amount of solid wastes disposed of by the using sector into landfills or dumps with coefficients measure the amount of input used in the land reclaiming or cleaning sector.

To estimate land use, policymakers in Rwanda have to create two land related sector:

· Space occupied by buildings

· Non building space

With knowledge of the space currently available, the level of conversion of raw land into sector-usable land in the aggregate and separately for each producing sector, household, and government can be estimated, given the final demand specification. Such information can be useful also in showing the relative amount of land used and available in the provision of housing services, recreation, commercial enterprises, and transportation facilities.

The linkage technique can allow planers in Rwanda to identify the producing sector and the kind of final demand sales that significantly influence the rate of by-product output flow. Such information is relevant particularly to taxation and regulation policies.

Planers would like to know the expenditure that various sectors make in seeking to control the by-product flow. Often these expenditures are not distinguishable from the sectors purchases required for the sectors goods and services production. The specification technique can provide some such information and permits calculation of how these expenditures would change as final demand changes.

Planers would like also to know the feasibility, in terms of expenditures and resources required, of achieving alternative rates of by-product output flow; the dummy technique can provide some such information necessary for Economic Development of Rwanda.

For example by stipulating target levels of allowable pollution and estimated deliveries to final demand, the dummy technique allows calculation of the level of resources that must be committed to pollution suppression activities. Such information is useful particularly for situation in which the government is seeking to reduce pollution directly to rough its own programmatic expenditure (Bulmer-Thomas V., 1982: 256-278).

Obviously, Supply and Use framework and Input-Output framework are not applied in Rwanda due to the lack of information in the following field even though System of National Accounts is experiencing improvement:

· Intermediate consumption by Product (Agricultural Products, Industrial Products, Services) and By industry (Agriculture, Industry, Service).

· Output of Industries (Agriculture, Industry, Service) by Products (Agricultural Products, Industrial Products, Services).

· Final Uses by Product (Agricultural Products, Industrial Products, Services) and by Category ( Final Consumption, Gross capital Formation, exports)

· Import by Products (Agricultural Products, Industrial Products, Services)

This problem of lack of information constraint the compilation of Input-Output table from Supply and use Tables in Rwanda in order to perform the above Techniques.

The first hypothesis «The development of Supply and Use Tables/Input-output Table has a significant role in the perspective analysis of economic development of Rwanda» was not verified because those tables are not applied as such in Rwanda, but if Rwandan Macro-accountants and planer come on the point of compiling those tables, they will play significant role in the perspective analysis of economic development of Rwanda as their usefulness have been stated above. The main root of these problems are technical reasons that include huge informal and non-monetary sectors (about 65% of the economy in 2006) and data availability among others (Republic of Rwanda, NISR, 2010, GDP Annual Estimates for 2009 based on 2006 benchmark).

Even though Rwanda is suffering from the lack of information to compiled Supply and Use Tables and Symmetric Input Output Table, SUT linear models are applied to provide some macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, Value Added, Consumption, Investment, Import and export but further analysis from those figures are not possible because they are totals but not by Industries (Agriculture, Industry, and Services) and by Products (Agricultural Products, Industrial Products, Services). Therefore that information is not sufficient as that provided by SUT.

précédent sommaire suivant






Bitcoin is a swarm of cyber hornets serving the goddess of wisdom, feeding on the fire of truth, exponentially growing ever smarter, faster, and stronger behind a wall of encrypted energy








"Qui vit sans folie n'est pas si sage qu'il croit."   La Rochefoucault