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The role of supply and use/input output tables in the perspective analysis of economic development of Rwanda with example

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par Jean Baptiste HABYARIMANA
National University of Rwanda - Bachelors degree in Applied Statistics  2010
  

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4.4. The role of Supply and Use Tables/Input-output Table in the perspective analysis of economic development

4.4.1. Estimating the quality of life with input-output table

The concept of the «Quality of Urban life» is decomposed into specific measurable indicators of urban quality. Those indicators are expressed in two kinds of quality of life estimates that can be made with I-O data given a level and mix of economic activity in the area:

1. How much of the by-product is produced, and by whom?

2. What expenditures are being made, and by whom, to produce the by-product or, in the case of negative valued by-product, to abate their production or reduce their current levels?

And they are three different ways in which I-O can be used to make these estimates:

4.4.1.1. The Linkage Technique

The linkage technique is addressed to the question of how much of the by-product is being produced, and by whom. It can estimate the quantity of by-product being produced in their physical or value terms.

In Rwanda, the linkage method for indicators of water, air, and land, that can incorporate nonlinearities when they are joined with the usual industry, can be developed.

4.4.1.2. The Activity Specification Technique

The activity specification technique to estimate input-output sector expenditures directed toward influencing the quality of urban life. Such expenditures are often used directly as indicators of quality of life, or as quantitative approximations to the efforts of specific sectors to improve quality (Brody A. & Carter A.P., 1971: 52).

For example: indicators related to health, recreation, pollution and accident and crime prevention are the main fields where I-O Table can be used in Rwanda.

4.4.1.3. The Dummy Sector Technique

In contrast to linkage and activity specification, a dummy sector analysis allows explicit calculation of expenditures required to achieve a predetermined «target» level of indicators.

The potential application of these techniques to planning for regulation, control, abatement, and incidence of indicator production and some of its short-comings may be stated as follow:

The techniques are relevant to indicators in the natural, community services, and infrastructural environments. The community services tend to measure input quality rather than output quality; linearity assumptions seriously weaken indicators measurements in the infrastructure and natural environment; many externalities are not included in natural environment indicators, relative price assumptions weaken the economic environment indicator measurements; and finally difficulties rise because while many indicators involve stock concepts, input-output analysis estimates many changes rather than indicator level (Brody A. & Carter A.P., 1971: 46).

I-O Table is designed primarily to describe the important relationships among markets and to measure their consequences. When we are interested in the quality of life in a given area, the regional model is probably more appropriate (Brody A. & Carter A.P., 1971: 46). Also, there are issues concerning the type of activities that should be included in the «structural» part of I-O. At the national level, identifying household, government, and investment in final demand in Rwanda has generally proved effective for example.

For urban analyses, however, strong arguments can be made for including local government, household and investment as part of the endogenous structure. Additionally, there are questions regarding the kind of sectoring that are most appropriate for urban input-output tables. A number of sectors in the usual I-O tables are directly related to the quality of life in the sense that their «output» measures correspond to specific quality of life indicators (Brody A. & Carter A.P., 1971: 47). For example, household incomes and welfare expenditures can readily be translated into indicators of quality of life in the context of sustained economic development in Rwanda.

Quality of life indicators can be viewed as outcomes or by-products associated with the production and consumption activities represented by the inter-industry transactions. Some of these outcomes represent a social cost, as in the case of pollution. Other outcomes such as sector-provided or healthcare represent positive contribution to the welfare of urban residents.

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