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The role of supply and use/input output tables in the perspective analysis of economic development of Rwanda with example

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par Jean Baptiste HABYARIMANA
National University of Rwanda - Bachelors degree in Applied Statistics  2010
  

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4.5. The role of Supply and Use tables/Input-Output Table in economic analysis and prevision, decision taking, and policy making for a sustained economic development

In addition to the role of Supply and use framework mentioned in the above part, this framework serves also as a basis for various interconnections with satellite accounts, such as Social Accounting Matrix (SAM), Employment Statistics, Linkage with other physical flows related to Environmental issues ( emission, waste, sewage) and other forms of Satellite System for tourism, Transport, health and education.

Various Input-Output models as shown above can be used to evaluate with the new dataset the economic and environmental impacts of different policies on macroeconomic variables such as employment, GDP, consumption, investments, competitiveness, etc. and on environmental variables, such as CO2 emissions and resource consumption. Hence, the IO model shall provide a powerful tool for assessing economic and environmental impacts on the policies proposed by the Planners and/ or Policymakers in Rwanda.

The second Hypothesis «Supply and Use tables/Input-Output Table have significant role in economic analysis and prevision, decision taking, and policy making for a sustained economic development of Rwanda» was also not verified because the use of SUT and IO models are not applied as such in the economic analysis of Rwanda. But basing on the above analysis it should be better to compile those tables in Rwanda in order to reach a Sustained Economic Development.

Because those tables are not available in Rwanda the following analysis was based on SUT linear model which provide a limited number of macro-economic indicators with limited information, and the focus was made on GDP as the main aggregate from this linear model and on HDI as rich measurement of Economic Development derived from three component: GDP per Capital, Life Expectance, and Literacy.

The following analysis was adopted in the way relating production and expenditure approaches to compute GDP and other Economic Indicators towards Economic Development.

4.5.1. Quality of life, poverty and economic inequality

Some desirable features that one may think of are reflected in GDP: Spacious, well constructed homes, good restaurants and stores, a variety of entertainment and high quality medical services. However other indicators of good life are not sold in market so that they may be omitted from GDP.

In Rwanda absolute poverty has been declining. Today many families whose income is below to days' official line is 57% and own their health insurance (htt://www.undp.org.rw/Poverty_Reduction.html).

But, even though absolute poverty seems to decrease in Rwanda, inequality of income has not generally well improved. In contrast, because GDP focus on total production rather than on the distribution of input in all sectors or production from those sectors, therefore GDP does not capture the effects of inequality (htt://www.undp.org.rw/Poverty_Reduction.html).

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