Annexe 2. Questionnaire
  Annexe 3. Données des simulations
Scénario de base
Variables exogènes
|
obs
|
AGE
|
ASSOC
|
DISCUT
|
EDU
|
EXPCE
|
FORMA
|
INE
|
|
2
|
26
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
5
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
3
|
27
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
6
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
4
|
28
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
7
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
5
|
29
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
8
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
6
|
30
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
9
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
7
|
31
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
10
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
8
|
32
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
11
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
9
|
33
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
12
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
10
|
34
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
13
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
11
|
35
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
14
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
12
|
36
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
15
|
4
|
31.66
|
|
13
|
37
|
1
|
0
|
8.5
|
16
|
4
|
31.66
|
Variables endogènes
|
obs
|
ICS_0
|
ICP_0
|
IKH_0
|
|
2
|
74.13102
|
39.90249
|
53.57007
|
|
3
|
70.30723
|
40.55085
|
51.92626
|
|
4
|
66.68068
|
41.20975
|
50.37764
|
|
5
|
63.24119
|
41.87936
|
48.91947
|
|
6
|
59.97911
|
42.55984
|
47.54726
|
|
7
|
56.88529
|
43.25138
|
46.25674
|
|
8
|
53.95106
|
43.95416
|
45.04388
|
|
9
|
51.16818
|
44.66836
|
43.90486
|
|
10
|
48.52885
|
45.39416
|
42.83604
|
|
11
|
46.02566
|
46.13176
|
41.834
|
|
12
|
43.65158
|
46.88134
|
40.89548
|
|
13
|
41.39997
|
47.6431
|
40.01739
|
Taux de croissance
|
Dependent Variable: LOG(ICS_0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Variable
|
Coefficient
|
Std. Error
|
t-Statistic
|
Prob.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C
|
4.411753
|
4.10E-08
|
1.08E+08
|
0.0000
|
|
T
|
-0.052959
|
4.96E-09
|
-10673076
|
0.0000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dependent Variable: LOG(ICP_0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Variable
|
Coefficient
|
Std. Error
|
t-Statistic
|
Prob.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C
|
3.654202
|
3.43E-08
|
1.07E+08
|
0.0000
|
|
T
|
0.016118
|
4.15E-09
|
3879285.
|
0.0000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dependent Variable: LOG(IKH_0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Variable
|
Coefficient
|
Std. Error
|
t-Statistic
|
Prob.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C
|
4.025454
|
0.003784
|
1063.803
|
0.0000
|
|
T
|
-0.026532
|
0.000458
|
-57.89018
|
0.0000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 
