ANNEXES
ANNEXE N°1
Annexe N°1/A : Caractéristiques
descriptives des variables
|
AGRICULTURE
|
INDUSTRIE
|
CONSTRUCTION
|
COMMERCE
|
TRANSPORT
|
SERVICES
|
|
Mean
|
0.988788
|
0.275455
|
0.119061
|
0.498485
|
0.234424
|
0.650000
|
|
Median
|
0.810000
|
0.220000
|
0.088000
|
0.380000
|
0.160000
|
0.520000
|
|
Maximum
|
2.500000
|
0.660000
|
0.320000
|
1.200000
|
0.790000
|
1.600000
|
|
Minimum
|
0.330000
|
0.110000
|
0.033000
|
0.150000
|
0.072000
|
0.210000
|
|
Std. Dev.
|
0.635328
|
0.170900
|
0.088848
|
0.338278
|
0.183680
|
0.419732
|
|
Skewness
|
1.104975
|
1.069372
|
1.163780
|
1.074501
|
1.445025
|
1.012473
|
|
Kurtosis
|
3.017352
|
2.779850
|
2.935931
|
2.754926
|
4.098862
|
2.739920
|
|
Jarque-Bera
|
6.715747
|
6.356200
|
7.454754
|
6.432618
|
13.14485
|
5.731072
|
|
Probability
|
0.034809
|
0.041665
|
0.024056
|
0.040103
|
0.001398
|
0.056953
|
|
Sum
|
32.63000
|
9.090000
|
3.929000
|
16.45000
|
7.736000
|
21.45000
|
|
Sum Sq. Dev.
|
12.91655
|
0.934618
|
0.252608
|
3.661824
|
1.079622
|
5.637600
|
|
Observations
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
Source : Résultats d'estimation.
Annexe N°1/B: Test de normalité de Jarque
Bera sur les variables du modèle
|
VATRA
|
INV
|
EXPORT
|
LOG(VATRA)
|
LOG(INV)
|
LOG(EXPORT)
|
|
Mean
|
0.234424
|
0.581515
|
0.633333
|
-1.689736
|
-0.801843
|
-0.552997
|
|
Median
|
0.160000
|
0.420000
|
0.590000
|
-1.832581
|
-0.867501
|
-0.527633
|
|
Maximum
|
0.790000
|
1.600000
|
1.300000
|
-0.235722
|
0.470004
|
0.262364
|
|
Minimum
|
0.072000
|
0.130000
|
0.220000
|
-2.631089
|
-2.040221
|
-1.514128
|
|
Std. Dev.
|
0.183680
|
0.450514
|
0.282286
|
0.669470
|
0.718395
|
0.450253
|
|
Skewness
|
1.445025
|
1.162898
|
0.690342
|
0.647082
|
0.367379
|
-0.062433
|
|
Kurtosis
|
4.098862
|
2.995127
|
2.560127
|
2.296307
|
2.077973
|
2.279330
|
|
Jarque-Bera
|
13.14485
|
7.437863
|
2.887191
|
2.983811
|
1.911255
|
0.735565
|
|
Probability
|
0.001398
|
0.024260
|
0.236077
|
0.224944
|
0.384571
|
0.692268
|
|
Sum
|
7.736000
|
19.19000
|
20.90000
|
-55.76130
|
-26.46082
|
-18.24889
|
|
Sum Sq. Dev.
|
1.079622
|
6.494824
|
2.549933
|
14.34209
|
16.51491
|
6.487291
|
|
Observations
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
Source : Résultats d'estimation.
Réalisé par HONVOU Gbèdossin Fortuné
& HOUEKPOEHA Adébayo Georges 35
Réalisé par HONVOU Gbèdossin Fortuné
& HOUEKPOEHA Adébayo Georges 36
Analyse de la contribution du secteur des transports à
la croissance économique au Bénin
ANNEXE N°2
Annexe N°2/A : Test ADF sur la variable LOG(VATRA)
en niveau
Null Hypothesis: LOG(VATRA) has a unit root Exogenous:
Constant
Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)
t-Statistic Prob.*
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 1.354921 0.9984
Test critical values: 1% level -3.653730
5% level -2.957110
10% level -2.617434
*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. Augmented Dickey-Fuller
Test Equation Dependent Variable: D(LOG(VATRA)) Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/13/14 Time: 15:36
Sample (adjusted): 1981 2012
Included observations: 32 after adjustments
|
Variable
|
Coefficient
|
Std. Error t-Statistic
|
Prob.
|
|
LOG(VATRA(-1))
|
0.050804
|
0.037496 1.354921
|
0.1856
|
|
C
|
0.153057
|
0.069046 2.216735
|
0.0344
|
|
R-squared
|
0.057665
|
Mean dependent var
|
0.064904
|
|
Adjusted R-squared
|
0.026254
|
S.D. dependent var
|
0.132514
|
|
S.E. of regression
|
0.130763
|
Akaike info criterion
|
-1.170406
|
|
Sum squared resid
|
0.512965
|
Schwarz criterion
|
-1.078798
|
|
Log likelihood
|
20.72650
|
Hannan-Quinn criter.
|
-1.140041
|
|
F-statistic
|
1.835810
|
Durbin-Watson stat
|
1.663840
|
|
Prob(F-statistic)
|
0.185559
|
|
|
Source : Résultats d'estimation
Réalisé par HONVOU Gbèdossin Fortuné
& HOUEKPOEHA Adébayo Georges 37
Analyse de la contribution du secteur des transports à
la croissance économique au Bénin
| 
