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Régimes de change et croissance économique: Une étude comparative entre Haà¯ti et la république dominicaine (1970-2004)

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Richard Casimir
Université de Quisquéya - Maitrise 2006
  

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1 - Les données macroéconomiques

Table 45 : Données macroéconomiques pour Haïti (1970 -2004)

obs

Y (Millions de gourdes de 1976)

GH

CPUB (Millions de gourdes)

EXPO (Millions de gourdes)

IMPO (Millions de gourdes)

INV (Millions de gourdes)

TE

IPC

M1 (Millions de gourdes

RESERVES (Millions de gourdes

TCN (HTG/USD) 

1970

3365.000

NA

228.9000

261.0000

343.0000

161.0000

0.991783

3.000000

248.6000

4.000000

5.000000

1971

3583.000

0.064785

273.1000

321.0000

395.0000

186.0000

0.993068

3.300000

290.0000

10.00000

5.000000

1972

3617.000

0.009489

276.3000

332.0000

400.0000

207.0000

0.994371

3.400000

381.6000

18.00000

5.000000

1973

3789.000

0.047553

301.3000

381.0000

508.0000

258.0000

0.995668

4.200000

487.3000

17.00000

5.000000

1974

4009.000

0.058063

343.7000

663.0000

868.0000

410.0000

0.996981

4.800000

583.7000

20.00000

5.000000

1975

4054.000

0.011225

517.5000

785.0000

1082.000

533.0000

0.998266

5.600000

734.8000

12.00000

5.000000

1976

4395.000

0.084114

708.5000

1046.000

1430.000

678.0000

0.999566

6.000000

1015.200

28.00000

5.000000

1977

4416.000

0.004778

927.8000

1249.000

1692.000

748.0000

1.000880

6.400000

1216.800

34.00000

5.000000

1978

4631.000

0.048687

1155.100

1495.000

1982.000

857.0000

1.021463

6.200000

1431.500

39.00000

5.000000

1979

4983.000

0.076010

791.3000

1522.000

2105.000

938.0000

1.029649

7.100000

1574.400

55.00000

5.000000

1980

5342.000

0.072045

1268.000

2148.000

3302.000

1238.000

0.993467

8.304480

1938.200

16.00000

5.000000

1981

5196.000

-0.027331

1363.900

1944.000

3650.000

1252.000

0.987542

9.200000

2175.000

24.00000

5.000000

1982

5018.000

-0.034257

1832.200

2139.000

3186.000

1230.000

0.968574

9.900000

2247.000

4.000000

5.000000

1983

5056.000

0.007573

1870.800

2302.000

3381.000

1331.000

0.966081

10.90000

2347.600

9.000000

5.000000

1984

5071.000

0.002967

1990.300

2598.000

3636.000

1441.000

0.962318

11.60000

2656.600

13.00000

5.000000

1985

5085.000

0.002761

2012.700

2716.000

3813.000

1673.000

0.971032

12.80000

3000.400

6.000000

5.000000

1986

5134.000

0.009636

1962.300

2340.000

3245.000

1620.000

0.993953

13.20000

3276.500

16.00000

5.000000

1987

5122.000

-0.002337

2003.700

2860.000

3767.000

1545.000

1.021090

11.70000

3693.600

17.00000

5.000000

1988

5110.000

-0.002343

1805.900

2542.000

3766.000

1500.000

1.027740

12.20000

3312.900

13.00000

5.000000

1989

5091.000

-0.003718

1805.300

2143.000

2688.000

1791.000

1.015212

13.10000

4558.800

13.00000

5.000000

1990

5100.000

0.001768

1799.800

2511.000

2862.000

1866.000

0.964684

15.80000

4673.700

3.000000

5.000000

1991

5342.000

0.047451

1704.300

3783.000

5336.000

2221.000

0.993010

18.28020

5228.900

35.00000

6.034000

1992

4638.000

-0.131786

1838.900

1346.000

3022.000

1376.000

0.979944

21.81900

6821.900

27.00000

9.802000

1993

4525.000

-0.024364

1792.200

1912.000

4849.000

1467.000

0.991608

28.30000

8811.200

32.00000

12.82300

1994

4150.000

-0.082873

1824.100

1942.000

4173.000

1857.000

0.983456

39.40000

11582.30

51.00000

15.04000

1995

4334.000

0.044337

4138.800

3845.000

11634.00

4867.000

0.945016

50.30000

14722.50

192.0000

15.11000

1996

4451.000

0.026996

4119.900

5284.000

13479.00

13122.00

0.966860

60.70000

14888.60

216.0000

15.70100

1997

4511.000

0.013480

5796.900

5646.000

14280.00

13247.00

1.029275

73.10000

18141.50

207.0000

16.65500

1998

4652.000

0.031257

6751.200

6237.000

16770.00

16382.00

1.034500

80.90000

19898.00

258.0000

16.76600

1999

4762.000

0.023646

7905.900

8482.000

20568.00

19182.00

1.039689

87.90000

24476.20

264.0000

16.93800

2000

4820.000

0.012180

8140.700

9849.000

25923.00

21208.00

1.044804

100.0000

29406.40

182.0000

21.17100

2001

4770.000

-0.010373

8589.000

10594.00

30973.00

22158.00

1.049903

114.2000

33559.10

141.0000

24.42900

2002

4744.000

-0.005451

10376.70

11403.00

33363.00

23425.00

1.054912

125.4000

41206.30

82.00000

29.25100

2003

4766.000

0.004637

14294.20

18945.00

56589.00

36704.00

1.059887

174.7000

57295.70

62.00000

42.36700

2004

4587.000

-0.037558

NA

20194.00

59755.00

38312.00

1.064811

NA

NA

NA

NA

Sources : statistiques financières internationales du PIB, FMI pour FBCF, TCN et IHSI pour PIB, EXPO, IMPO

NB : Les ratios sont des calculs effectués à partir des statistiques financières internationales

Table 46: Données macroéconomiques de la République Dominicaine

obs

PIB (Millions de pesos)

GD

CPUB

(Millions de pesos)

EXPO (Millions de pesos)

IMPO (Millions de pesos)

INV (Millions de pesos)

TE

IPC

M1 (Millions de pesos)

RESERVES (Millions de pesos)

TCN (RDP / USD)

1970

1486

 

254.5

256

365

246

5.4488

1.73

289

181

1

1971

1647

0.1083

296.1

292

410

294

5.4197

1.8

341

211

1

1972

1818

0.1038

324.1

411

442

427

5.3908

1.95

429

229

1

1973

2053

0.1292

376.5

513

565

498

5.362

2.24

544

288

1

1974

2176

0.0599

500.2

730

917

644

5.3334

2.54

774

422

1

1975

2289

0.0519

639.9

1009

1010

803

5.3049

2.91

898

389

1

1976

2443

0.0672

555.2

840

1005

780

5.2766

3.13

896

390

1

1977

2565

0.0499

625.9

918

1109

939

5.2484

3.54

1059

500

1

1978

2620

0.0214

663.6

828

1154

1032

5.2204

3.66

1072

542

1

1979

2738

0.0450

897.9

1135

1484

1335

5.1925

4

1205

587

1

1980

2904

0.0606

1053.5

1271

1919

1584

5.1648

4.66

1282

566

1

1981

3022

0.0406

1067.9

1513

1818

1655

5.1175

5.02

1392

713

1

1982

3069

0.0155

988.8

1142

1533

1491

5.1338

5.4

1516

731

1

1983

3280

0.0687

1136.1

1565

2246

1760

5.0066

5.7

1797

850

1

1984

3322

0.0128

1236.9

2520

3479

2039

5.0128

6.85

2308

1097

1

1985

3251

-0.0213

1829.3

4108

4842

2682

4.9159

9.96

2720

1085

2.94

1986

3366

0.0353

2222.7

4079

4709

3429

4.9161

10.72

4866

2112

3.077

1987

3706

0.1010

3009.3

5719

7288

5053

4.9116

12.17

5503

1983

4.96

1988

3786

0.0215

4626.7

11327

12112

7533

4.8724

17.51

8268

4001

6.34

1989

3953

0.0441

5701.4

13003

16449

10800

4.981

24.63

10846

5170

6.34

1990

3737

-0.0546

6548.2

18460

23270

13907

4.9616

37.06

15458

6801

11.35

1991

3772

0.0093

9165.2

23717

28307

17543

4.6074

54.5

20908

10277

12.66

1992

4073

0.0797

14078.7

24175

34537

22723

4.5881

56.82

26553

11602

12.575

1993

4194

0.0297

19899.9

59703

68883

28771

4.5052

59.81

32157

14889

12.767

1994

4390

0.0467

22190.5

67847

75412

29020

4.4349

64.75

36052

14956

13.064

1995

4579

0.0430

23170.5

77150

82632

31146

4.4712

72.86

42454

17412

13.465

1996

4907

0.0716

26593

84621

93513

34230

4.5133

76.8

50247

19306

14.062

1997

5308

0.0817

32691.1

100513

110739

41906

4.5079

83.17

62428

22963

14.366

1998

5702

0.0742

36757.5

113793

135577

56024

4.5396

87.19

72795

28110

15.788

1999

6161

0.0804

45164.5

127887

148646

66650

4.5557

92.83

90051

32328

16.039

2000

6645

0.0785

48202.3

145616

178036

76236

4.5681

100

105727

35667

16.674

2001

6910

0.0398

 

141165

170209

82726

4.5563

108.88

134166

45980

17.149

2002

7207

0.0429

67377.2

151880

187718

90417

4.5621

114.57

147949

41961

21.194

2003

7175

-0.0044

 

264720

277563

116186

4.5643

146.02

241329

87367

37.25

2004

 
 
 
 
 
 

4.5256

 
 
 
 

Sources : statistiques financières internationales du FMI et manuel statistique des Nations-Unies

NB : Les ratios sont des calculs effectues a partir des statistiques financières internationales

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