Annexe3-Tableau 1
| 
 Year 
 | 
 Balance 
 | 
 Ménages 
 | 
 Vol. des ech. 
 | 
 Dép. pub. 
 | 
 Invest. 
 | 
 Revenu (PIB) 
 | 
 
| 
 1970 
 | 
 -134.81 
 | 
 3596.83 
 | 
 1642.98 
 | 
 687.81 
 | 
 727.86 
 | 
 4877.68 
 | 
 
| 
 1971 
 | 
 -357.91 
 | 
 4184.47 
 | 
 1716.18 
 | 
 739.18 
 | 
 1029.03 
 | 
 5594.77 
 | 
 
| 
 1972 
 | 
 -279.44 
 | 
 4603.87 
 | 
 1668.66 
 | 
 698.08 
 | 
 1151.20 
 | 
 6173.71 
 | 
 
| 
 1973 
 | 
 -191.62 
 | 
 5923.26 
 | 
 2307.39 
 | 
 822.68 
 | 
 1315.92 
 | 
 7870.24 
 | 
 
| 
 1974 
 | 
 -273.45 
 | 
 7102.98 
 | 
 3379.24 
 | 
 1126.94 
 | 
 1640.50 
 | 
 9596.96 
 | 
 
| 
 1975 
 | 
 -524.95 
 | 
 7747.51 
 | 
 2564.87 
 | 
 1190.42 
 | 
 1824.36 
 | 
 10237.34 
 | 
 
| 
 1976 
 | 
 -723.26 
 | 
 8050.58 
 | 
 3068.48 
 | 
 925.04 
 | 
 1396.22 
 | 
 9648.58 
 | 
 
| 
 1977 
 | 
 -1153.53 
 | 
 9667.17 
 | 
 3703.44 
 | 
 1189.87 
 | 
 2640.92 
 | 
 12344.42 
 | 
 
| 
 1978 
 | 
 484.45 
 | 
 11643.75 
 | 
 3312.20 
 | 
 1410.38 
 | 
 1834.02 
 | 
 15372.61 
 | 
 
| 
 1979 
 | 
 392.88 
 | 
 11337.77 
 | 
 3419.07 
 | 
 1418.08 
 | 
 1919.69 
 | 
 15068.42 
 | 
 
| 
 1980 
 | 
 18.22 
 | 
 11738.86 
 | 
 4725.91 
 | 
 1204.61 
 | 
 1433.24 
 | 
 14394.93 
 | 
 
| 
 1981 
 | 
 -376.27 
 | 
 10341.59 
 | 
 3922.19 
 | 
 1255.90 
 | 
 1316.60 
 | 
 12537.82 
 | 
 
| 
 1982 
 | 
 -246.14 
 | 
 11470.85 
 | 
 3563.38 
 | 
 1291.24 
 | 
 1135.73 
 | 
 13651.67 
 | 
 
| 
 1983 
 | 
 -115.86 
 | 
 9267.29 
 | 
 3690.45 
 | 
 828.93 
 | 
 1026.35 
 | 
 11006.71 
 | 
 
| 
 1984 
 | 
 -8.20 
 | 
 6526.19 
 | 
 4096.26 
 | 
 515.29 
 | 
 824.45 
 | 
 7857.73 
 | 
 
| 
 1985 
 | 
 135.03 
 | 
 5607.25 
 | 
 3823.83 
 | 
 553.22 
 | 
 899.54 
 | 
 7195.04 
 | 
 
| 
 1986 
 | 
 55.01 
 | 
 6324.74 
 | 
 3945.88 
 | 
 647.12 
 | 
 1068.50 
 | 
 8095.37 
 | 
 
| 
 1987 
 | 
 -220.68 
 | 
 6036.74 
 | 
 4201.87 
 | 
 760.42 
 | 
 1085.15 
 | 
 7661.63 
 | 
 
| 
 1988 
 | 
 -205.85 
 | 
 6659.93 
 | 
 4724.94 
 | 
 1128.65 
 | 
 1278.57 
 | 
 8861.30 
 | 
 
  
  
UNIVERSITE PEDAGOGIQUE NATIONALE : Analyse
économétrique de l'efficacité des politiques
budgétaires. Cas du Brésil, du Congo et de la RD Congo
(1970-2010) Par N'SUNDI ZALA Hugo 
Page 108 sur 123 
| 
 1989 
 | 
 58.74 
 | 
 6764.17 
 | 
 4540.56 
 | 
 908.58 
 | 
 1290.37 
 | 
 9021.86 
 | 
 
| 
 1990 
 | 
 27.98 
 | 
 7399.39 
 | 
 5489.09 
 | 
 1076.24 
 | 
 846.16 
 | 
 9349.76 
 | 
 
| 
 1991 
 | 
 -340.32 
 | 
 7712.18 
 | 
 4044.60 
 | 
 1209.37 
 | 
 506.73 
 | 
 9087.97 
 | 
 
| 
 1992 
 | 
 -69.44 
 | 
 5925.45 
 | 
 2806.72 
 | 
 1783.99 
 | 
 566.23 
 | 
 8206.23 
 | 
 
| 
 1993 
 | 
 237.59 
 | 
 8629.32 
 | 
 2188.36 
 | 
 1652.10 
 | 
 188.78 
 | 
 10707.79 
 | 
 
| 
 1994 
 | 
 159.12 
 | 
 4947.46 
 | 
 2474.63 
 | 
 253.99 
 | 
 459.81 
 | 
 5820.38 
 | 
 
| 
 1995 
 | 
 268.40 
 | 
 4568.74 
 | 
 2946.36 
 | 
 277.30 
 | 
 528.99 
 | 
 5643.44 
 | 
 
| 
 1996 
 | 
 -17.93 
 | 
 3824.06 
 | 
 3481.13 
 | 
 357.88 
 | 
 1607.46 
 | 
 5771.45 
 | 
 
| 
 1997 
 | 
 228.41 
 | 
 5235.00 
 | 
 2055.66 
 | 
 475.16 
 | 
 152.27 
 | 
 6090.84 
 | 
 
| 
 1998 
 | 
 -192.70 
 | 
 5776.28 
 | 
 3897.28 
 | 
 503.65 
 | 
 130.57 
 | 
 6217.81 
 | 
 
| 
 1999 
 | 
 281.82 
 | 
 4002.18 
 | 
 1936.36 
 | 
 281.82 
 | 
 145.45 
 | 
 4711.27 
 | 
 
| 
 2000 
 | 
 43.48 
 | 
 3790.57 
 | 
 1884.06 
 | 
 323.03 
 | 
 148.71 
 | 
 4305.80 
 | 
 
| 
 2001 
 | 
 -95.67 
 | 
 4261.19 
 | 
 1845.67 
 | 
 282.10 
 | 
 244.19 
 | 
 4691.82 
 | 
 
| 
 2002 
 | 
 -272.22 
 | 
 5012.73 
 | 
 2619.17 
 | 
 307.40 
 | 
 496.55 
 | 
 5544.47 
 | 
 
| 
 2003 
 | 
 -409.00 
 | 
 5028.96 
 | 
 3372.60 
 | 
 356.62 
 | 
 693.55 
 | 
 5670.13 
 | 
 
| 
 2004 
 | 
 -574.23 
 | 
 5720.03 
 | 
 4526.83 
 | 
 533.12 
 | 
 832.76 
 | 
 6511.68 
 | 
 
| 
 2005 
 | 
 -585.81 
 | 
 6070.59 
 | 
 5485.33 
 | 
 588.98 
 | 
 1008.34 
 | 
 7103.54 
 | 
 
| 
 2006 
 | 
 -1168.60 
 | 
 7568.25 
 | 
 6410.35 
 | 
 669.42 
 | 
 1114.07 
 | 
 8543.32 
 | 
 
| 
 2007 
 | 
 -1073.04 
 | 
 7345.66 
 | 
 6486.38 
 | 
 1033.20 
 | 
 1947.50 
 | 
 9962.60 
 | 
 
| 
 2008 
 | 
 -1779.39 
 | 
 8560.50 
 | 
 7218.29 
 | 
 1280.29 
 | 
 2783.86 
 | 
 11668.33 
 | 
 
| 
 2009 
 | 
 -1505.21 
 | 
 6031.53 
 | 
 5321.12 
 | 
 852.02 
 | 
 3217.32 
 | 
 11204.20 
 | 
 
| 
 2010 
 | 
 -1684.60 
 | 
 0.00 
 | 
 8508.40 
 | 
 0.00 
 | 
 0.00 
 | 
 13144.74 
 | 
 
  
I. RESULTATS DES ESTIMATIONS DES MODELES VAR
 |