ANNEXES
Annexe 1: Estimations du modèle pour les
différents taux d'inflation
v Test de spécification de Hausman
v Résultats des regressions
* ****k=7**** */
xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld17 infld27,re
/* ****k=8**** */
xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld18 infld28,re
/* ****k=9**** */
xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld19 infld29,re
/* ****k=10**** */
xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld110 infld210,re
/* ****k=11**** */
xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld111 infld211,re
Annexe 2 : Evolution du taux de croissance
économique et du taux d'inflation dans les pays de l'UEMOA
|
Date
|
INFL_BN
|
TCR_BN
|
INFL_BF
|
TCR_BF
|
INFL_CI
|
TCR_CI
|
INFL_ML
|
|
1970
|
6,293706294
|
2,09688826
|
#VALEUR!
|
0,115222123
|
|
10,37498554
|
5,407407407
|
|
1971
|
5,921052632
|
-1,475426869
|
-3,950819672
|
1,455242967
|
|
9,456596111
|
6,407407407
|
|
1972
|
5,590062112
|
6,440046402
|
-2,950819672
|
2,377171091
|
0,41322314
|
4,236613129
|
7,407407407
|
|
1973
|
4,705882353
|
3,642788731
|
7,432432432
|
0,674677435
|
11,11111111
|
5,93944963
|
4,702194357
|
|
1974
|
15,4494382
|
3,444649799
|
8,805031447
|
7,9024605
|
17,40740741
|
4,327302774
|
5,988023952
|
|
1975
|
14,59854015
|
-4,879401164
|
18,78612717
|
3,259514473
|
11,35646688
|
8,25274581
|
20,62146893
|
|
1976
|
13,5881104
|
0,838757732
|
-8,515815085
|
8,589616947
|
11,898017
|
12,91644771
|
10,77283372
|
|
1977
|
5,420560748
|
5,009955681
|
30,05319149
|
0,188000323
|
27,59493671
|
7,31463715
|
7,610993658
|
|
1978
|
11,87943262
|
1,204966665
|
8,384458078
|
4,664958334
|
12,8968254
|
10,90944269
|
10,21611002
|
|
1979
|
13,31220285
|
6,545388614
|
14,90566038
|
3,795808995
|
16,69595782
|
2,394422538
|
10,69518717
|
|
1980
|
10,48951049
|
6,818310738
|
12,15106732
|
0,763344601
|
14,60843373
|
-10,95781367
|
9,017713366
|
|
1981
|
8,101265823
|
10,06053847
|
7,613469985
|
4,154608962
|
8,804204993
|
3,50039751
|
7,828655835
|
|
1982
|
15,57377049
|
2,1953632
|
11,97278912
|
9,641283381
|
7,367149758
|
0,20111682
|
4,657534247
|
|
1983
|
4,559270517
|
-4,371945894
|
8,383961118
|
0,400290533
|
5,961754781
|
-3,900387749
|
7,984293194
|
|
1984
|
1,841085271
|
7,86245032
|
4,820627803
|
-1,726604826
|
4,246284501
|
-2,701271362
|
10,3030303
|
|
1985
|
-4,852521408
|
7,520483362
|
6,951871658
|
8,475518984
|
1,83299389
|
4,501353944
|
9,89010989
|
|
1986
|
-4
|
2,149851
|
-2,53968254
|
8,418036495
|
6,876790831
|
3,259241897
|
-3,856382979
|
|
1987
|
3,229166667
|
-1,500312565
|
-2,850162866
|
-1,374283648
|
6,881143878
|
-0,293190416
|
-14,21853389
|
|
1988
|
-0,504540868
|
3,427120795
|
4,191114837
|
6,343788785
|
6,939799331
|
1,04657413
|
7,677051887
|
|
1989
|
3,448275862
|
-2,863571282
|
-0,321802092
|
1,26256598
|
1,016419077
|
2,997684461
|
-0,09199632
|
|
1990
|
1,960784314
|
3,200673826
|
-0,807102502
|
-0,218718076
|
-0,773993808
|
-1,102807145
|
1,565377532
|
|
1991
|
0,961538462
|
4,75413181
|
3,73270952
|
8,60120493
|
1,716068643
|
0,018431481
|
1,541251133
|
|
1992
|
0
|
3,006223605
|
-2,634712087
|
8,677785835
|
3,987730061
|
-0,088454805
|
-5,982142857
|
|
1993
|
1,639344262
|
5,797414181
|
0,057544021
|
5,504893238
|
2,685840708
|
-0,409465666
|
-0,189933523
|
|
1994
|
40,70208729
|
1,997110563
|
24,71819646
|
2,099472963
|
25,96630327
|
2,09895978
|
24,07231208
|
|
1995
|
12,76129467
|
5,999000167
|
7,811491285
|
6,484044221
|
14,31943352
|
7,101006742
|
12,57668712
|
|
1996
|
4,111227388
|
4,299428946
|
6,107804391
|
9,867209709
|
1,858224363
|
6,899491331
|
6,42112358
|
|
1997
|
3,7
|
5,735384565
|
2,699980681
|
6,834342867
|
3,9
|
6,200158437
|
-0,697590641
|
|
1998
|
5,785920926
|
3,96032763
|
5,160662123
|
8,468635456
|
4,812319538
|
5,399883137
|
4,028197382
|
|
1999
|
0,326722893
|
5,355161494
|
-1,090109551
|
3,746605345
|
0,696250956
|
1,599999623
|
-1,202081295
|
|
2000
|
4,196806301
|
4,848019666
|
-0,30684034
|
1,574231194
|
2,537801079
|
-2,300032083
|
-0,736264552
|
|
2001
|
4,003262077
|
6,248410555
|
4,870885315
|
6,757948723
|
4,348453153
|
0,099902327
|
5,170571311
|
|
2002
|
2,43203458
|
4,4
|
2,302405806
|
4,6
|
3,079048954
|
-1,599950878
|
5,025793341
|
|
2003
|
1,49388994
|
3,882734698
|
2,031961239
|
8,012226967
|
3,301411631
|
-1,699999893
|
-1,324700454
|
|
2004
|
0,9
|
3,1
|
-0,4
|
4,637229645
|
1,4
|
1,500632577
|
-3,1
|
|
2005
|
5,364520663
|
2,9
|
6,410743162
|
7,139994274
|
3,895463239
|
1,812987366
|
6,397882939
|
|
TCR_ML
|
INFL_NG
|
TCR_NG
|
INFL_SN
|
TCR_SN
|
INFL_TG
|
TCR_TG
|
|
6,135708826
|
7,448818898
|
3,054815087
|
4,115107914
|
8,562045508
|
5,823129252
|
2,528154447
|
|
2,570565912
|
8,448818898
|
5,680264019
|
5,115107914
|
-0,140449438
|
6,823129252
|
0
|
|
5,844068163
|
9,448818898
|
-5,16676279
|
6,115107914
|
6,383208915
|
7,823129252
|
7,621609505
|
|
-1,456892812
|
11,8705036
|
-17,04788181
|
11,27118644
|
-5,58324011
|
3,785488959
|
3,839477887
|
|
-1,527626741
|
3,536977492
|
8,7763532
|
16,60319878
|
4,200775528
|
12,76595745
|
4,834180262
|
|
11,62442154
|
9,00621118
|
-2,794627739
|
31,61332462
|
7,535662601
|
18,05929919
|
2,436379871
|
|
13,62447884
|
23,64672365
|
0,678155282
|
1,141439206
|
8,920503701
|
11,41552511
|
-2,048440321
|
|
6,347824284
|
23,04147465
|
7,765571457
|
11,28557409
|
-2,682905304
|
22,54098361
|
6,953979151
|
|
-1,462016803
|
10,11235955
|
13,47205986
|
3,439153439
|
-3,95393126
|
0,501672241
|
11,04837751
|
|
10,39387525
|
7,31292517
|
7,147174373
|
9,676044331
|
6,987064489
|
7,487520799
|
-5,169922398
|
|
-4,2578356
|
10,30110935
|
-2,232022666
|
8,705790906
|
-3,291854205
|
12,38390093
|
14,5775721
|
|
-4,995601475
|
22,98850575
|
0,608444794
|
5,934930282
|
-1,186347874
|
19,6969697
|
-3,31494434
|
|
-4,596319792
|
11,56542056
|
1,622699546
|
17,34728316
|
15,33985962
|
11,04718067
|
-3,581435631
|
|
5,284460506
|
-2,513089005
|
-4,75060601
|
11,64797239
|
2,161902474
|
9,430051813
|
-5,415830075
|
|
4,130707673
|
8,378088077
|
-16,82488386
|
11,77228233
|
-3,981503253
|
-3,598484848
|
5,558348696
|
|
1,361838388
|
-0,89197225
|
7,72219524
|
13,06752708
|
3,771120725
|
-1,768172888
|
5,556731583
|
|
8,434764834
|
-3,209069946
|
-1,773369402
|
6,114961272
|
4,562259105
|
4,134875708
|
1,584277549
|
|
1,163627639
|
-6,690490371
|
-1,101591187
|
-4,129850173
|
3,987060859
|
0,047270149
|
0,493534695
|
|
-0,203283021
|
-1,425531915
|
6,543935644
|
-1,823281907
|
5,064023729
|
-10,74887786
|
6,178175032
|
|
11,75671776
|
-2,805957263
|
-0,726005518
|
0,448979592
|
-1,411554087
|
-1,217575437
|
4,13506013
|
|
0,428330574
|
-5,526666667
|
-0,7605675
|
0,325071109
|
3,904176561
|
1,018220793
|
16,47419383
|
|
-0,586820732
|
0,029846165
|
1,444362564
|
-1,761846902
|
-0,396585333
|
0,371352785
|
0,228806773
|
|
-3,170374317
|
0,844928119
|
0,72642743
|
0
|
2,205187306
|
4,016913319
|
0,72642743
|
|
3,93451644
|
-1,154249738
|
0,951968845
|
-0,742115028
|
14,67484377
|
-3,175813008
|
0,951968845
|
|
3,95843812
|
35,98726115
|
4,00057151
|
32,08722741
|
2,899494039
|
57,69465582
|
4,00057151
|
|
1,73948251
|
10,6167057
|
2,706415716
|
8,081761006
|
5,200964142
|
16,46228097
|
4,662976507
|
|
6,721455496
|
5,251705481
|
3,303905832
|
2,749490835
|
5,100888234
|
4,660514513
|
7,4
|
|
4,913007738
|
3,471084539
|
4,790884371
|
1,6
|
5,000581959
|
5,303112162
|
4
|
|
8,093786117
|
4,637681159
|
9,802324742
|
1,181102362
|
5,696755867
|
-1,215574549
|
-2,305268548
|
|
5,667845809
|
-2,302125038
|
-1,601365102
|
0,811030008
|
5,102185028
|
-0,081554637
|
2,6
|
|
-3,258635874
|
2,909325505
|
-0,19441903
|
0,740949316
|
5,598645907
|
1,886134541
|
-0,9
|
|
11,88549464
|
3,982935078
|
5,8
|
2,980730069
|
5,598200943
|
3,91939905
|
2
|
|
4,266883645
|
2,644020711
|
5,799747529
|
2,335337932
|
1,199347404
|
3,059292855
|
3,505438703
|
|
7,621980827
|
-1,614407692
|
3,799506586
|
-0,033302012
|
6,700166854
|
-0,928967969
|
2,005398874
|
|
2,320488237
|
0,2
|
-1,000164601
|
0,5
|
5,600059262
|
0,4
|
-0,801005667
|
|
6,070707453
|
7,821025828
|
7,000368708
|
1,705000581
|
5,499944518
|
6,800811985
|
0,797627753
|
Annexe 3: Relation entre l'inflation
et la croissance économique dans l'UEMOA
TCR
Source : Réalisé
par l'auteur à partir des figures 1à 7
k*
INFL
|
|
