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Les déterminants du spread des taux d'intérêt bancaires dans les pays de la zone CEMAC

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Achille Dargaud FOFACK
Université de Douala - Cameroun - Master 2 recherche en économie monétaire et bancaire option finance 2012
  

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Annexe 3 : Estimation du modèle à effets fixes [équation (12)]

Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 42

Group variable (i): country Number of groups = 6

R-sq: within = 0.5211 Obs per group: min = 7

between = 0.1026 avg = 7.0

overall = 0.1812 max = 7

F(14,22) = 1.71

corr(u_i, Xb) = -0.7492 Prob > F = 0.1260

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

spread | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

assets | .3605072 .1652904 2.18 0.040 .0177159 .7032986

capital | .3342695 .4437065 0.75 0.459 -.5859214 1.25446

costs | .3540308 .5670439 0.62 0.539 -.8219462 1.530008

deposits | -.0349325 .0786895 -0.44 0.661 -.1981246 .1282595

loans | -.6839437 .4607207 -1.48 0.152 -1.63942 .2715326

number_of_~s | -.0436093 .0522896 -0.83 0.413 -.1520514 .0648327

provisions | .0240529 .1377877 0.17 0.863 -.2617013 .309807

reserves | .2398257 .1692125 1.42 0.170 -.1110995 .5907509

dummy_2002 | 2.585148 2.075794 1.25 0.226 -1.719786 6.890081

dummy_2003 | 2.401175 2.060496 1.17 0.256 -1.872032 6.674382

dummy_2004 | .5772514 1.732805 0.33 0.742 -3.016366 4.170868

dummy_2005 | .9216012 1.573383 0.59 0.564 -2.341395 4.184597

dummy_2006 | 2.110732 1.35209 1.56 0.133 -.6933305 4.914795

dummy_2007 | .2659551 1.042163 0.26 0.801 -1.895358 2.427268

_cons | 6.393674 8.394717 0.76 0.454 -11.0159 23.80325

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

sigma_u | 2.3344336

sigma_e | 1.3853998

rho | .73953653 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

F test that all u_i=0: F(5, 22) = 1.31 Prob > F = 0.2965

Source : Construit par l'auteur.

Annexe 4 : Estimation du modèle à effets aléatoires [équation (12)]

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 42

Group variable (i): country Number of groups = 6

R-sq: within = 0.3987 Obs per group: min = 7

between = 0.9732 avg = 7.0

overall = 0.6437 max = 7

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian Wald chi2(14) = 48.77

corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

spread | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

assets | .0465768 .084274 0.55 0.580 -.1185973 .2117509

capital | -.0666735 .2827482 -0.24 0.814 -.6208498 .4875028

costs | .3087626 .500738 0.62 0.537 -.6726658 1.290191

deposits | -.034633 .0646335 -0.54 0.592 -.1613122 .0920463

loans | -.7860789 .3800842 -2.07 0.039 -1.53103 -.0411275

number_of_~s | -.0340541 .0137212 -2.48 0.013 -.060947 -.0071611

provisions | .1143432 .078704 1.45 0.146 -.0399137 .2686002

reserves | .1831751 .1489521 1.23 0.219 -.1087656 .4751159

dummy_2002 | 2.084322 1.184691 1.76 0.079 -.237629 4.406273

dummy_2003 | 1.78951 .9904174 1.81 0.071 -.1516729 3.730692

dummy_2004 | .1946533 .9731937 0.20 0.841 -1.712771 2.102078

dummy_2005 | -.1545392 1.047751 -0.15 0.883 -2.208093 1.899014

dummy_2006 | 1.013866 1.051171 0.96 0.335 -1.046392 3.074124

dummy_2007 | .1446733 .9792613 0.15 0.883 -1.774644 2.06399

_cons | 13.26393 7.03566 1.89 0.059 -.5257105 27.05357

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

sigma_u | 0

sigma_e | 1.3853998

rho | 0 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Source : Construit par l'auteur.

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