Chapitre 25 ANNEXES
Chapitre 26 ANNEXE
I : Résultat du test de stationnarité
ADF TEST AT I(0) 
1) LNPIB 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNPIB has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant 
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 Lag Length: 1 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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   | 
 
| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -2.656660 
 | 
 0.0997 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.831511 
 | 
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   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.029970 
 | 
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   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -2.655194 
 | 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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| 
 Warning: Probabilities and critical values calculated for 20
observations 
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 and may not be accurate for a sample size of 19 
 | 
 
| 
 Null Hypothesis: LNPIB has a unit root 
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   | 
 
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 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.653885 
 | 
 0.0504 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
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   | 
 10% level 
 | 
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 -3.268973 
 | 
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 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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2) LNVAA 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNVAA has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -0.310420 
 | 
 0.9071 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.808546 
 | 
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   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.020686 
 | 
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   | 
 10% level 
 | 
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 -2.650413 
 | 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNVAA has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
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 Prob.* 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.350495 
 | 
 0.0911 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
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   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
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   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.268973 
 | 
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 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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3) LNVAI 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNVAI has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
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 Prob.* 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.328531 
 | 
 0.0441 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.808546 
 | 
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   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.020686 
 | 
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   | 
 10% level 
 | 
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 -2.650413 
 | 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNVAI has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
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 Prob.* 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -2.340945 
 | 
 0.3956 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
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   | 
 10% level 
 | 
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 -3.268973 
 | 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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4) LNVAS 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNVAS has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
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 Prob.* 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.312119 
 | 
 0.0429 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.808546 
 | 
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   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.020686 
 | 
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   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -2.650413 
 | 
   | 
 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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   | 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNVAS has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
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 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -2.068038 
 | 
 0.5312 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.268973 
 | 
   | 
 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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   | 
 
  
5) LNET 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNET has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -2.221097 
 | 
 0.2208 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.808546 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.020686 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -2.650413 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
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   | 
 
   | 
   | 
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   | 
 
| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Null Hypothesis: LNET has a unit root 
 | 
   | 
 
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 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.547228 
 | 
 0.0815 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.268973 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
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   | 
   | 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
  
6) LNEA 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNEA_ has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant 
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 Lag Length: 1 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -0.730974 
 | 
 0.8156 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.831511 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.029970 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -2.655194 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
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   | 
 
   | 
   | 
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   | 
 
| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Null Hypothesis: LNEA_ has a unit root 
 | 
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 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
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| 
 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
 | 
 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -4.619067 
 | 
 0.0079 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.268973 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
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   | 
   | 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
  
7) LNEI 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNEI has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
 | 
 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.303667 
 | 
 0.0382 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.808546 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.020686 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -2.650413 
 | 
   | 
 
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   | 
 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
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| 
 Null Hypothesis: lnEI has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.354154 
 | 
 0.0894 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.268973 
 | 
   | 
 
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   | 
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| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
  
8) LNES 
 
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 Null Hypothesis: LNES has a unit root 
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 Exogenous: Constant 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
 | 
 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -1.307330 
 | 
 0.6076 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.808546 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.020686 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -2.650413 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
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   | 
 
   | 
   | 
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   | 
 
| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Null Hypothesis: LNES has a unit root 
 | 
   | 
 
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 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
 | 
   | 
 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
 | 
 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.352163 
 | 
 0.0703 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.268973 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
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   | 
   | 
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   | 
   | 
 
| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
  
9) LNSR 
 
| 
 Null Hypothesis: LNSR has a unit root 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Exogenous: Constant 
 | 
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 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
 | 
 
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 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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   | 
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   | 
 
| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -3.291683 
 | 
 0.0401 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.808546 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.020686 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -2.650413 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
 
| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Null Hypothesis: LNSR has a unit root 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
 | 
 
   | 
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   | 
 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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   | 
   | 
   | 
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   | 
 
| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -2.360748 
 | 
 0.3863 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.498307 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.658446 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.268973 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
   | 
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   | 
 
   | 
   | 
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   | 
   | 
 
| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
  
10) LNOPEN 
| 
 Null Hypothesis: LNOPEN has a unit root 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Exogenous: Constant 
 | 
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   | 
 
| 
 Lag Length: 4 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
 | 
 
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   | 
 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
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   | 
 
   | 
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   | 
   | 
   | 
 
| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -0.349731 
 | 
 0.8965 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.920350 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.065585 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -2.673459 
 | 
   | 
 
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| 
 Null Hypothesis: LNOPEN has a unit root 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend 
 | 
   | 
 
| 
 Lag Length: 2 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4) 
 | 
 
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   | 
 t-Statistic 
 | 
 Prob.* 
 | 
 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
 
| 
 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic 
 | 
 -4.658922 
 | 
 0.0085 
 | 
 
| 
 Test critical values: 
 | 
 1% level 
 | 
   | 
 -4.571559 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 5% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.690814 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
 10% level 
 | 
   | 
 -3.286909 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
   | 
 
| 
 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. 
 | 
   | 
 
   | 
   | 
 
  
 | 
 
 
 
 
  |