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Construction d'indicateurs de base pour la définition d'une politique de reconstruction post-crise a San Pedro

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par Evrard ENGOZOGHE
ENSEA d'Abidjan - Ingénieur statisticien économiste 2007
  

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Abstract

In Jun 2007, ENSEA conducted a demographic and socioeconomic survey in San Pedro. The theme was «In the search of basic indicators for the definition of a post-crisis rebuilding policy».

This rapport studies households of San Pedro through a «household» questionnaire. It has for theme: «building of basic indicators for the definition of a post-crisis rebuilding policy in San Pedro».

The general objective of this study is to build basic indicators in order to define a post-crisis development policy for populations of San Pedro.

In order to construct the different indicators of social cohesion, living conditions poverty, potentials poverty, knowledge of port activities, knowledge of port charitable works and perception of activities bound to the port, we have successively used Descriptive Statistics, Ascending Classifications Methods and Partitions Archiving Methods. For establishing the links existing between social cohesion indicator and others indicators, had recourse to polytomic ordered model (mlogit).

Concerning the households of San Pedro, our study comes to the following conclusions:

San Pedro's households are such as 76.71% is very poor in living conditions, 2.99% is poor and 20.3% non poor.

66.08% of San Pedro's households is very poor in potentials, 10.05% is poor and 23.87% non poor.

Social cohesion indicator shows that 52.5% of San Pedro's households has a strong interest for social cohesion, 30.4% has an interest and 17.1% has a low interest.

12.1% of San Pedro's households know well port activities, 69% know and 18.9% has a bad knowledge.

In San Pedro, only one household out of ten (11.9%) knows good port charitable works, 5.7% know and 82.4% have a bad knowledge.

The perception of activities bound to the port is such as 5.7% of San Pedro's households is very favorable, 88.8% is favorable and 5.4% is less favorable.

Relatively to the extreme poor San Pedro's households in living conditions, the non poor San Pedro's households in living conditions have a strong probability to have a low interest for the social cohesion than have a strong interest for the social cohesion. Relatively to the extreme poor San Pedro's households in potentials, the non poor San Pedro's households in potentials have a strong probability to have a low interest for the social cohesion than have a strong interest for the social cohesion.

Relatively to households knowing bad port activities, those knowing well the port activities have a low probability to have a low interest for the social cohesion than have a strong interest for the social cohesion.

Mémoire de stage : construction d'indicateurs de base pour la définition d'une politique de
reconstruction post-crise à San Pedro

Relatively to households knowing well port charitable works, those knowing bad port charitable works have a low probability to have a low interest for the social cohesion than have a strong interest for the social cohesion.

Relatively to households less favorable to activities bound to the port, those very favorable to activities bound to the port have a low probability to have a low interest for the social cohesion than have a strong interest for the social cohesion.

Relatively to households being less ten, the more age increase, the more household has a low probability to have a low interest for the social cohesion than have a strong interest for the social cohesion.

Relatively to San Pedro's urban households, those who are rural have a low probability to have a low interest for the social cohesion than have a strong interest for the social cohesion.

For a post-crisis rebuilding policy, we have formulated for Ivoirian government, international organisms, non governmental organizations, private individuals and all population of San Pedro the following recommendations:

Define clear and precise objectives on the short, middle and long term with worry to permit to each one to enjoy fully of his fundamental rights and share in the life in society.

Estimate ex-ante and ex-post the public policies in order to eradicate poverty and social exclusion.

Develop participative democracy by the taking in account of real-life and the experience of persons in situation of poverty and social exclusion.

Use global actions, multidimensional and coherent at all governmental levels.

We don't have the pretentiousness to have encircled all contours of analysis of poverty or social cohesion; on the contrary, we think that some aspects of this study can be explored again.

The main limits of this study are the non integration of the monetary dimension poverty, the deficiency of variables entering in the building of basic indicators.

It will be interesting for populations of San Pedro integrating monetary poverty and increasing the number of variables entering in the building of basic indicators, in order to define of post-crisis rebuilding policies.

Mémoire de stage : construction d'indicateurs de base pour la définition d'une politique de
reconstruction post-crise à San Pedro

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