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Les investissements directs étrangers dans l'espace UEMOA:déterminants et analyse d'impacts

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Oumarou ZALLE
Université Ouaga II Burkina Faso - Diplome d'études appliquées Master NPTCI option: macroéconomie appliquée 2011
  

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Annexes n°3 : Test de spécification de Hausman généralisé pour la variable KH

local id pays

. local depvar kh

. local varlist ide dpibh ddurban

. xtivreg `depvar' `varlist' (ide = dcredit dpibh ddurban dtchang didf ouv export interet epargne), re

G2SLS random-effects IV regression Number of obs = 189

Group variable: pays Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.2649 Obs per group: min = 27

between = 0.6452 avg = 27.0

overall = 0.2044 max = 27

Wald chi2(3) = 64.84

corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

kh | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

ide | 3.931163 .6467688 6.08 0.000 2.66352 5.198807

ide | (omitted)

dpibh | .053091 .0151452 3.51 0.000 .0234069 .0827751

ddurban | 62.03374 19.49829 3.18 0.001 23.81779 100.2497

_cons | 56.49652 6.650325 8.50 0.000 43.46212 69.53092

sigma_u | 17.147059

sigma_e | 12.172647

rho | .664914 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

Instrumented: ide

Instruments: ide dpibh ddurban dcredit dtchang didf ouv export interet

epargne

. hausman, save

You used the old syntax of hausman. Click here to learn about the new syntax.

(storing estimation results as _HAUSMAN)

.

. xtivreg `depvar' `varlist' (ide

export interet epargne), fe

= dcredit dpibh ddurban

dtchang didf ouv

Fixed-effects (within) IV

regression

 

Number of obs

=

189

Group variable: pays

 
 

Number of groups

=

7

R-sq: within = 0.2650

 
 

Obs per group: min

=

27

between = 0.6438

 
 

avg

=

27.0

overall = 0.2036

 
 

max

=

27

 
 
 

Wald chi2(3)

=

4927.67

corr(u_i, Xb) = 0.2114

 
 

Prob > chi2

=

0.0000

kh | Coef.

Std. Err.

z

P>|z| [95%

Conf.

Interval]

+

 
 
 
 
 

ide | 3.861672 .641076 6.02 0.000 2.605186 5.118158

ide | (omitted)

dpibh | .0533171 .0150001 3.55 0.000 .0239175 .0827166

ddurban | 61.36754 19.31573 3.18 0.001 23.50942 99.22567

_cons | 56.5773 1.170693 48.33 0.000 54.28278 58.87182

sigma_u | 21.955144

sigma_e | 12.172647

rho | .76487949 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

F test that all u_i=0: F(6,179) = 82.15 Prob > F = 0.0000

Instrumented: ide

Instruments: ide dpibh ddurban dcredit dtchang didf ouv export interet

epargne

. hausman, less

You used the old syntax of hausman. Click here to learn about the new syntax.

---- Coefficients ----

| (b) (B) (b-B) sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B))

| Consistent Efficient Difference S.E.

+

ide | 3.861672 3.931163 -.0694916 .

dpibh | .0533171 .053091 .0002261 .

ddurban | 61.36754 62.03374 -.6661989 .

R-sq: within = 0.4811 Obs per group: min

between = 0.7875 avg

overall = 0.6450 max

=

189

=

7

=

27

=

27.0

=

27

. xtreg `depvar' `newlist' , re

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs

Group variable: pays Number of groups

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtivreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtivreg

Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic

chi2(3) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= -0.72 chi2<0 ==> model fitted on these

data fails to meet the asymptotic assumptions of the Hausman test; see suest for a generalized test

.

. tokenize `varlist'

. local i 1

. while "``i''" != "" {

2. qui by `id': gen double mean`i' = sum(``i'') / _n

3. qui by `id': replace mean`i' = mean`i'[_n]

4. qui by `id': gen double diff`i' = ``i'' - mean`i'

5. local newlist `newlist' mean`i' diff`i'

6.

. local i = `i' + 1

7. }

.

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian Wald chi2(6) = 330.62

corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

kh | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

mean1 |

38.59088

diff1 |

.0420427

mean2 |

.0425622

diff2 |

.0153781

mean3 |

255.0256

diff3 |

34.98939

_cons |

35.64351

sigma_u |

0

sigma_e |

10.086122

rho |

0

2.52265 15.30 0.000 33.64658 43.53519

.9487875 0.04 0.965 -1.817546 1.901632

.0607589 0.70 0.484 -.076523 .1616474

.0210159 0.73 0.464 -.0258124 .0565686

108.7919 2.34 0.019 41.79737 468.2539

26.75798 1.31 0.191 -17.45529 87.43407

2.58779 13.77 0.000 30.57154 40.71549

(fraction of variance due to u_i)

. tempname b

. matrix `b' = e(b)

.

. qui test mean1 = mean1 , notest /* clear test */

. local i 2

. while "``i''" != "" {

2. if `b'[1 , colnumb (`b', "mean`i'")] != 0 & /*

> */ `b'[ 1 , colnumb (`b', "diff`i'") ] != 0 {

3. qui test mean`i' = diff`i' , accum notest

4. }

5. local i = `i' + 1

6. }

.

. test

( 1) = 0

( 2) mean2 - diff2 = 0

( 3) mean3 - diff3 = 0 Constraint 1 dropped

chi2( 2) = 3.65

Prob > chi2 = 0.1614

20

Burkina Faso

Bénin

Côte d'Ivoire

10

-10 0

-20

Mali

20

Niger

Sénégal

10

-10 0

-20

1980 1990 2000 2010 1980 1990 2000 2010

20 Togo

-10 0

-20

10

1980 1990 2000 2010

Années

IDE Cr

Graphique par Pays

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