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L'impact de la convertibilité totale du taux de change sur la situation macro-économique. Cas de la Tunisie

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par Manel BEN AYECHE
Université de Sousse ( Tunisie ) - Mastère de recherche en finance et banque 2013
  

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Annexe 4 : Le test de racine unitaire de Dickey-Fuller

. dfuller lnipc, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.949 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0937 . dfuller lntcen1, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.786 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0233 . dfuller lntcen2, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.640 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0849 . dfuller lnm4, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.898 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0814 . dfuller lnm, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.924 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0350

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

. dfuller lnx, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.890 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0768

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

Annexe 5 : Le test de racine unitaire de Phillips-Perron

. pperron lnipc

Phillips-Perron test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Newey-West lags = 4

Test

Statistic

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

1% Critical 5% Critical 10%

Value Value

Critical Value

Z(rho) -11.864

-19.983

-13.810

 

-11.073

Z(t) -2.792

MacKinnon approximate p-value

-3.492

for Z(t) = 0.0983

-2.886

 

-2.576

. pperron lntcen1

 
 
 
 

Phillips-Perron test for unit

root

Number of obs

=

155

 
 

Newey-West lags

=

4

Test

Statistic

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

1% Critical 5% Critical 10%

Value Value

Critical Value

Z(rho) -12.559

-19.983

-13.810

 

-11.073

Z(t) -3.782

MacKinnon approximate p-value

-3.492

for Z(t) = 0.0243

-2.886

 

-2.576

. pperron lntcen2

 
 
 
 

Phillips-Perron test for unit

root

Number of obs

=

155

 
 

Newey-West lags

=

4

Test

Statistic

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

1% Critical 5% Critical 10%

Value Value

Critical Value

Z(rho) -12.610

-19.983

-13.810

 

-11.073

Z(t) -2.869

MacKinnon approximate p-value

-3.492

for Z(t) = 0.0833

-2.886

 

-2.576

. pperron lnm4

 
 
 
 

Phillips-Perron test for unit

root

Number of obs

=

155

 
 

Newey-West lags

=

4

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(rho) -14.198 -19.983 -13.810 -11.073

Z(t) -3.385 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0809

. pperron lnm

Phillips-Perron test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Newey-West lags = 4

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(rho) -13.354 -19.983 -13.810 -11.073

Z(t) -3.372 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0516

.

. pperron lnx

Phillips-Perron test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Newey-West lags = 4

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(rho) -14.017 -19.983 -13.810 -11.073

Z(t) -2.939 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0432

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

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