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L'impact de la convertibilité totale du taux de change sur la situation macro-économique. Cas de la Tunisie

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par Manel BEN AYECHE
Université de Sousse ( Tunisie ) - Mastère de recherche en finance et banque 2013
  

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Annexe 4 : Le test de racine unitaire de Dickey-Fuller

. dfuller lnipc, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.949 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0937 . dfuller lntcen1, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.786 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0233 . dfuller lntcen2, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.640 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0849 . dfuller lnm4, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.898 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0814 . dfuller lnm, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.924 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0350

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

. dfuller lnx, lags(0)

Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(t) -2.890 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0768

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

Annexe 5 : Le test de racine unitaire de Phillips-Perron

. pperron lnipc

Phillips-Perron test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Newey-West lags = 4

Test

Statistic

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

1% Critical 5% Critical 10%

Value Value

Critical Value

Z(rho) -11.864

-19.983

-13.810

 

-11.073

Z(t) -2.792

MacKinnon approximate p-value

-3.492

for Z(t) = 0.0983

-2.886

 

-2.576

. pperron lntcen1

 
 
 
 

Phillips-Perron test for unit

root

Number of obs

=

155

 
 

Newey-West lags

=

4

Test

Statistic

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

1% Critical 5% Critical 10%

Value Value

Critical Value

Z(rho) -12.559

-19.983

-13.810

 

-11.073

Z(t) -3.782

MacKinnon approximate p-value

-3.492

for Z(t) = 0.0243

-2.886

 

-2.576

. pperron lntcen2

 
 
 
 

Phillips-Perron test for unit

root

Number of obs

=

155

 
 

Newey-West lags

=

4

Test

Statistic

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

1% Critical 5% Critical 10%

Value Value

Critical Value

Z(rho) -12.610

-19.983

-13.810

 

-11.073

Z(t) -2.869

MacKinnon approximate p-value

-3.492

for Z(t) = 0.0833

-2.886

 

-2.576

. pperron lnm4

 
 
 
 

Phillips-Perron test for unit

root

Number of obs

=

155

 
 

Newey-West lags

=

4

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(rho) -14.198 -19.983 -13.810 -11.073

Z(t) -3.385 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0809

. pperron lnm

Phillips-Perron test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Newey-West lags = 4

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(rho) -13.354 -19.983 -13.810 -11.073

Z(t) -3.372 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0516

.

. pperron lnx

Phillips-Perron test for unit root Number of obs = 155

Newey-West lags = 4

Interpolated Dickey-Fuller

Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical

Statistic Value Value Value

Z(rho) -14.017 -19.983 -13.810 -11.073

Z(t) -2.939 -3.492 -2.886 -2.576

MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.0432

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

BEN AYECHE Manel FSEG Sousse

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"La première panacée d'une nation mal gouvernée est l'inflation monétaire, la seconde, c'est la guerre. Tous deux apportent une prospérité temporaire, tous deux apportent une ruine permanente. Mais tous deux sont le refuge des opportunistes politiques et économiques"   Hemingway