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Public debt of Togo: an attempt to identify the explanatory factors


par Kokou Edem TENGUE
Université de Lomé - Doctorat 2021
  

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2.2 Brief presentation of Togo

Togo is a country of 56,000 Km2 situated on the West African coast between Ghana on the west side and Benin on the East side. Togo shares on the north side border with Burkina Faso. Togo politics has been dominated for the last 45 years by the same party. The Political situation in Togo is not totally stable with street demonstrations going on almost every week for different reasons. The current major issues are around the organization of the next parliamentary elections with the opposition calling for profound constitutional and institutional changes as well as changes in the conditions of organization of the elections. According to the World Bank, Togo economic growth was estimated at 3.7% in 2010 and has risen to 3.9% thanks to improved rain fall, improved power supply and an increase in port activities . In fact Togo is very dependent on mining, agriculture and sea port activities. Still according to the World Bank, agriculture employs two third of the Togolese population but accounts only for 45% of the GDP, services dominated by commerce and transport employ 21% of the population and represents 33% of the GDP. In January 2013, the two main markets of Togo have burned impacting adversely the service sector which represents 21% of the GDP. There is therefore a fear that the activities of Maersk Togo, mainly the import side will be negatively affected unless there is a governmental plan to rescue the service sector. Togo is also a net importer. The total container volumes exported equals to 12 550 FFE (forty foot equivalent) while the total import is equivalent to 52880 FFE.(5) Imports represent 83% of the containerised volumes handled in the port of Lomé in 2012, evidencing the fact that Togo is a net importer.

The economic activities in Togo are heavily impacted by the political and economic situation in the neighbouring countries which are Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire and Benin. The political situation in Côte d'Ivoire from 2002 to 2010 is for example an explanation of the sudden growth in the import and export in Togo. The growth in export market was made of export of Cocoa from Côte d'Ivoire routed via Burkina Faso. The below graph is a comparison of the containerised export volumes for the years 2010, 2011 and 2012(6). The increase in 2010 and most importantly in 2011 is explained by the electoral crisis in Côte d'Ivoire and the reduction in 2012 is explained by the return to normal in this neighbouring country after a decade of political instability.

The impact of the situation in the neighbouring countries also impacts the import side of economic activities; Togo has for example seen an increase in the containerised volumes in the month of January in 2012 compared to the same period in 2013 and also in preceding years due to a congestion in the port of Cotonou as a result of a project of building a quay. There is also an infrastructure competition between the different ports on the coast and volumes to Hinterland countries shift from one port to another if there is the adequate infrastructure to facilitate the handling of the goods and their haulage up to the landlocked countries which are Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. There are two projects of building new quay in the port of Lome which will impact the business of Maersk Togo in the future.

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