WOW !! MUCH LOVE ! SO WORLD PEACE !
Fond bitcoin pour l'amélioration du site: 1memzGeKS7CB3ECNkzSn2qHwxU6NZoJ8o
  Dogecoin (tips/pourboires): DCLoo9Dd4qECqpMLurdgGnaoqbftj16Nvp


Home | Publier un mémoire | Une page au hasard

 > 

Fondamentaux du taux de change réel et mésalignements du franc CFA dans l'UEMOA

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Kwami Ossadzifo WONYRA
Université de Lomé Togo - Master en économie internationale 2012
  

précédent sommaire suivant

Extinction Rebellion

Annexes

ANNEXE 1 : Résultats des tests de racine unitaire en panel sous Eviews 7

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: D(LBC)

 
 

Date: 12/10/11 Time: 10:20

 

Sample: 1984 2010

 
 

Exogenous variables: Individual effects, individual linear trends

User-specified lags: 1

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

-6.17890

 0.0000

 7

 168

Breitung t-stat

-3.82736

 0.0001

 7

 161

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat 

-7.10548

 0.0000

 7

 168

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 70.6214

 0.0000

 7

 168

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 432.809

 0.0000

 7

 175

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: D(LGOUV)

 
 

Date: 12/10/11 Time: 10:12

 

Sample: 1984 2010

 
 

Exogenous variables: None

 
 

User-specified lags: 1

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

Sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

-11.2131

 0.0000

 7

 168

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 124.757

 0.0000

 7

 168

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 264.459

 0.0000

 7

 175

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: D(LINV)

 
 

Date: 12/10/11 Time: 10:05

 

Sample: 1984 2010

 
 

Exogenous variables: None

 
 

User-specified lags: 1

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

-11.0383

 0.0000

 7

 168

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 121.700

 0.0000

 7

 168

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 276.858

 0.0000

 7

 175

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: D(LOUV)

 
 

Date: 12/10/11 Time: 09:57

 

Sample: 1984 2010

 
 

Exogenous variables: Individual effects, individual linear trends

User-specified lags: 1

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

-6.78052

 0.0000

 7

 168

Breitung t-stat

-4.48796

 0.0000

 7

 161

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat 

-6.60651

 0.0000

 7

 168

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 65.1881

 0.0000

 7

 168

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 225.300

 0.0000

 7

 175

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: LPROD

 
 

Date: 12/10/11 Time: 09:45

 

Sample: 1984 2010

 
 

Exogenous variables: Individual effects, individual linear trends

User-specified lags: 1

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

-4.64167

 0.0000

 7

 175

Breitung t-stat

-7.62524

 0.0000

 7

 168

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat 

-3.46625

 0.0003

 7

 175

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 34.9128

 0.0015

 7

 175

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 63.8712

 0.0000

 7

 182

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: D(LTCRE)

 
 

Date: 12/10/11 Time: 09:34

 

Sample: 1984 2010

 
 

Exogenous variables: None

 
 

User-specified lags: 1

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

-9.09716

 0.0000

 7

 168

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 102.907

 0.0000

 7

 168

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 166.956

 0.0000

 7

 175

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Panel unit root test: Summary Series: D(LTCRE)Date: 12/10/11 Time: 11:44Sample: 1984 2010Exogenous variables: Individual effects, individual linear trendsUser-specified lags: 1Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernelBalanced observations for each test Cross-MethodStatisticProb.**sectionsObsNull: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) Levin, Lin & Chu t*-4.01081 0.0000 6 144Breitung t-stat-4.57734 0.0000 6 138Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat -4.93073 0.0000 6 144ADF - Fisher Chi-square 45.3630 0.0000 6 144PP - Fisher Chi-square 103.060 0.0000 6 150** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

 

ANNEXE 2: Résultats du test du cointégration des séries

Kao Residual Cointegration Test

 

Series: LTCRE LTDE LPROD LOUV LINV LGOUV LBC 

 

Date: 12/10/11 Time: 10:27

 
 

Sample: 1984 2010

 
 

Included observations: 189

 
 

Null Hypothesis: No cointegration

 

Trend assumption: No deterministic trend

 

User-specified lag length: 1

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

t-Statistic

Prob.

ADF

 
 

-3.075414

 0.0011

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Residual variance

 0.001395

 

HAC variance

 

 0.000934

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

ANNEXE 3 : Résultats des estimations de la relation entre le taux de change réel et ses fondamentaux à l'aide du logiciel STATA 11

précédent sommaire suivant






Extinction Rebellion





Changeons ce systeme injuste, Soyez votre propre syndic





"Un démenti, si pauvre qu'il soit, rassure les sots et déroute les incrédules"   Talleyrand