Technical University of Munich
University of Applied Sciences Weihenstephan-
Triesdorf
Agribusiness management skills for
agricultural smallholders in Africa
In the master's program Agrarmanagement
in cooperation with the
Department of Life Science Systems
Chair for Governance in International Agribusiness
Mohamed Ali Trabelsi
6th semester
Freising, the 30/11/2020
Supervisor: Dr. Sebastian Rahbauer
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Table of contents
List of figures II
List of tables II
List of abbreviations III
1 Introduction 6
2 Definition and objective of the Management Task 7
2.1 Management Task 7
2.2 Research questions and Hypotheses 7
3 Material and Methods 8
3.1 Farmer Business School (FBS) 8
3.2 Current Production (Current Scenario) 11
3.3 Improved Production (Improved Scenario) 11
3.4 Material 12
3.5 Methodological Approach 14
4 Result Analysis 16
4.1 Cause and effect analysis 16
4.2 Comparative analysis 20
4.2.1 Productivity 20
4.2.2 Profitability 20
4.2.3 Stability: 31
4.2.4 Diversification 32
4.2.5 Sustainability 33
5 Discussion and Interpretation 35
6 Conclusion 37
Bibliography 38
Annex 40
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Information regarding GIZ, GmbH. 40
Information regarding ABF 41
Macroeconomic Analysis 42
List of figures
Figure 1 Overview of the FBS modules 9
Figure 2 Dissemination of FBS in Africa 10
Figure 3 selected FBS Training 12
Figure 4 Google Maps. (n.d.). location of the municipality el
Oued 13
Figure 5 Ichikawa Diagram (Ishikawa 1990) 15
Figure 6 Cause and effect Analysis for the farm 16
Figure 7 Classification of Agribusiness Management Skills
18
Figure 8 Overview of production costs and profit margin 23
Figure 9 comparison of onion production costs and profit
margin 25
Figure 10 comparison of peanut production costs and profit
margin 26
Figure 11 Summary percent change of the 3 activities 26
Figure 12 share of total output Value 27
Figure 13 Potato Gross Margin evolution for both scenario
28
Figure 14 Unit cost evolution for both scenario 29
Figure 15 Depreciation of Mini-pivot and Plumbing 33
Figure 16 PESTEL Analysis for the Smallholder 44
List of tables
Table 1 Productivity of main and secondary product 20
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Table 2 Potato production Comparative Analysis 22
Table 3 Onion Comparative production Analysis 24
Table 4 Peanut production Comparative Analysis 25
Table 5 comparison of Labor productivity & Capital
productivity 29
Table 6 Additionall job created using GAP 30
Table 7 Production risks taken into account 31
Table 8 The gross Margin for 5 years including risks of the 3
crops 31
Table 9 Calculation of the Coefficient of Variation (CV) for
the improved Scenario 32
Table 10 Calculation of Simpson's Diversity Index for both
scenario 32
Table 11 Mini-pivot Investment Inventory 33
Table 12 End-of-year Operating Statement for 3 crops 34
Table 13 Measures for Whole-farm Evaluation over 2 Years 34
List of abbreviations
ABF Agribusiness Facility for Africa
ATVET Agricultural Technical Vocational Education and
Training
AU African Union
BASF ''Baden Aniline and Soda Factory (Badische Anilin und
Soda Fabrik)
BMZ German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and
Development (Bundesministerium für wirtschaftliche Zu-
sammenarbeit und Entwicklung)
CV Coefficient of variation
CNIS National Center for Informatics and Statistics Algeria
D Straight-line depreciation
DI Simpson's diversity index
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DZD Algerian Dinar: Currency
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
FBS Farmer Business School
GAP Good Agriculture Practices
GIZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale
Zusammenarbeit
GmbH
GM Gross Margin
IMF International Monetary Fund
i-th species
L Expected total years
MADR Ministry of agriculture and rural development Algeria
MSME Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises
ni Number of individuals
N Population of all individual
ONS National Office of Statistics
pp Potato Price
PV Present Value
ROI Return on Investment
RV Residual Value
SD Standard deviation
SYRPALAC System for large consumption agricultural products
X Observation
S Number of activities
SME Small and Medium Enterprises
TR Total Revenue
UC Unit Cost
VC Variable cost
Y Yield
V|
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1 Introduction
In the Algerian Sahara, the production of early vegetable
crops has been made possible by climatic conditions, sufficient land and
groundwater resources, a labor force adapted to these hard-climatic conditions,
and the increasing national demand (Dubost and Larbi 1998).
Alongside the growing date palm and figs in the region Biskra,
the region El Oued has become the leading potato producer in the country and
has produced 1.1 million tons of potatoes in 2014, representing 35% of the
national production. Potato is cultivated mainly by small farmers in circular
plots. It is the main source of income for these investors and their families.
Some farmers practice this production in monoculture (growing and off season),
others have led to crop rotation (potato, onion and Peanut). If the famers are
producing in monoculture, yields are low and face rapid drops, which can reach
50%. (Oueld Rebai et al 2017).
Yield is not the only problem, smallholders face some issues
such as the lack of agronomic skills, market knowledge and efficient use of
modern technologies. Because of these inconvenience as well as the fluctuations
in the market prices and climate change, smallholders cannot boost their income
and sometimes, they make losses.
To address the lack of agronomic skills, organizations and
companies of German Development Cooperation started a program in 2010 in Africa
and have implemented Agribusiness training approaches at a large scale. (GIZ
2010)
Accordingly, farmers will be equipped with knowledge about
entrepreneurial skills to optimize their production and maximize their incomes.
Additionally, they will be able to manage their budget for household
expenditures, education of their children and for the improvement of their
Enterprises. Those skills will have a beneficial impact not only at the farm
level, but also on the scale of food security, economic growth and
employment.
With proper training and more support, smallholders show great
potential for development with better allocation of production factors and
investment decisions. For this reason, it turns out to be interesting to study
the effects of these agribusiness management skills from the perspective of
smallholders. To this study pursues several lines of
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Analysis. First, it identifies the agribusiness management
skills and the independencies between them. Second, it compares the
Income-current situation of potato producers in Algeria and the progress after
the participation in the Farmer Business School (FBS) training in terms of
these performance criteria productivity, profitability, stability,
diversification and sustainability.
For the next study (master thesis), the focus will be on
several cases in different countries analyzing the impacts of Agribusiness
management skills for agricultural smallholders in Africa from two
perspectives. The first perspective is Broad-based Human Capacity Development
(HCD) for agricultural smallholders and the role of implementing partners/
partner institutions of German Development Cooperation. The second perspective
is about the contributions to alleviate poverty, food security and employment
generation. Also, more research questions could be tackled and elaborated
including micro and macro-economic analysis, effect of the horizontal-vertical
integration and the advantages of producer's organizations.
2 Definition and objective of the Management Task 2.1 Management
Task
Within the scope of this management internship, the intern
received insight into the Agribusiness Facility for Africa (ABF), a programmer
implemented in 2020 by Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale
Zusammenarbeit GIZ, GmbH. ABF is commissioned by the German Federal Ministry
for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). The aim of the management task
is to assess agribusiness management capacities and skills considered important
for agricultural smallholders, economic growth and employment from Agriculture
in Algeria. The following part will be devoted to the questions related to the
theme and then develop the approach on how to answer them.
2.2 Research questions and Hypotheses
The present study will focus on the importance of agribusiness
management capacities for African agricultural smallholders for their incomes,
food security, economic growth and employment.
This study will give answers to the following questions:
o
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What's the importance and roles of Agribusiness management
skills which are the improved production techniques, management improvements
and the economic skills for smallholders?
o What are the interdependencies between economic skills and
managerial improvements as well as economic skills and improved productions
techniques?
Meanwhile, these queries will reply to the agricultural
smallholders' demands:
o To what degree the improved production techniques and access
to financing increase our farm profitability?
o What parameters (cost and technical) and performance criteria
must be considered?
o To what degree skills development can lever investments,
intensify agricultural production, increase smallholders' incomes, provide
employment opportunities and contribute to growth?
As a result, the present work highlights the two subsequent
main hypotheses H1 and H2:
o H1: improved production techniques can intensify and increase
yields and profit.
o H2: improved managerial skills and better economic
understanding will impact notably on the farm management and financial
planning.
3 Material and Methods
3.1 Farmer Business School (FBS)
Farmer Business School (FBS) is an approach developed by GIZ
with financial support from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the World
Cocoa Foundation to promote entrepreneurship and business skills among
smallholder farmers.
In 2010, the Sustainable cocoa business (SCB) project, GIZ and
other public and private partners developed the FBS approach which was adapted
to other food and export products. In fact, 900,000 smallholders have benefited
from the FBS training in 16 different African countries. Currently, a growing
number of GIZ projects and partners are interested in adapting this perspective
to their needs which makes FBS an exceptional asset for GIZ.
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Based on empirical learning, the FBS aims to make farmers be
entrepreneurs and investors. It's a necessity in order not only to adopt new
techniques, exploit trade's opportunities and agricultural investments but
also, to ensure better productivity and quality, diversified income and
improved nutrition.
FBS's objective is to professionalize male and female
producers' agricultural business and the input services `management. Nutrition
is one of the FBS approach's objectives which aims to ensure the productive
capacity of adults, the improvements of production efficiencies, product
quality and the creation of professional organizations of producers for the
sake of facilitating access to inputs, services and markets.
Considering the example of Potato, the objectives are
illustrated in the following figure:
Figure 1 Overview of the FBS modules
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato 2020
FBS is based on one main product and two other complementary
products with good market opportunities having a role in the production, the
improvement of nutrition quality and soil fertility. The promotion of the main
product meets the expectations of local markets, import substitution and
international markets.
This structure of FBS can be easily applied to other
production systems if technical and economic data on production processes are
available. Thanks to the FBS improved knowledge, skills and attitudes,
smallholders are able to increase their income, request financial services and
improve technical knowledge as well as the knowledge of producer organizations
facilitates the promotion of value chains by promoting the
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competitiveness of small farms and other actors within it. FBS
is always linked to other services such as extension, finance, product
diversification, market access and producer organization. (Kling 2017)
FBS targets three learning dimensions: entrepreneurs' business
knowledge, skills and attitude to run agriculture as a business. (Matthess
2011).
Regarding the impacts of FBS in Africa 480,000 cocoa producers
in the Ivory Coast, Ghana, Cameroon, Nigeria and Togo participated in FBS
trainings within the SSAB framework. Since 2012, 20 other development programs,
their partners, national organizations such as the Ethiopia Agricultural
Transformation Agency and 7 companies have adapted FBS with support from SSAB
for 34 value chains other than cocoa. In total, more than 1,400,000 farmers
(33% women) in 22 African countries have completed the FBS training.
Figure 2 Dissemination of FBS in Africa
Source: GIZ/V.Kling. 2020. Overview of FBS in Africa
Concerning the introduction and adaptation of FBS training we
can cite the following steps starting with the preparation phase and the
partnership agreements in case of the approach's introduction. Next, the
adaptation related to economic analysis, training material and pilot training
with producers. Afterwards, the development capacity stage which concerns
training, learning and validation of trainers `performance. Finally, the stage
of real-scale delivery and quality management. (Matthess 2017)
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3.2 Current Production (Current Scenario)
The current or traditional agricultural production is
characterized by a lack of organization, knowledge and financial resources
which make it inefficient.
For instance, let's take Algeria's case as a current scenario
since it faces many challenging problems in the agricultural sector. When we
talk about Algeria, we refer directly to the desert. The desertification, the
non-use of the desert in the agricultural production, low fertility due to soil
erosion, sand storms and the overexploitation of water tables touch on the
reproductive capacity.
Additionally, the water tables' lowering, the recourse to
fossil water, the salinity and the pollution have decreased the volume of water
available which impact disapprovingly the water's quality. Added to this, the
mobilizable potential of soil and water have reached a critical threshold.
Hence, Algeria, is among the countries that suffer from a high
risk of climate change. Consequently, climate change will lately exacerbate the
anthropogenic factors of degradation originating in the decline in soil
productivity.
3.3 Improved Production (Improved Scenario)
In order to improve the hard situation confronted in the
agriculture field, farmers in Algeria have resorted to many innovative tools
and practices to rescue its loss in reproductive capacity. For example, the
adoption of technical innovations in the irrigation system like the mini-pivot
which have considerably affected the production system
In fact, the government has supported smallholders to develop
new irrigated perimeters and has created new farms particularly in its south.
Added to this, it has attempted to remove the main limiting factor: water
deficit modernization in agriculture which has a tremendous impact on the
expansion of arable land. Therefore, with increasing number of boreholes and
the mobilization of new investments for the realization of hydraulic
infrastructures, new techniques like, mobile drip irrigation
system(mini-pivot), have been implemented and permit an optimal and better
exploitation of water resources.
Further, in order to sell the crops at a good price,
smallholders have thought about storing them and selling them when prices rise.
However, Algeria is characterized by a semi-arid climate and high- temperatures
make the situation harder. Therefore it's
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necessary for it to find innovative solutions to store the
products for long periods of time.
Accordingly, the increase in production will occur and it is
necessary to find other innovative marketing channels and even improve the
quality of the agricultural product and move towards export.
Moreover, the current study is going to highlight other
improved techniques such as an example, good agricultural practices (GAP),
which include accurate farm measurement, the use of crop calendars, the
diversification of production and, the adoption of basic cultivation techniques
to improves water management and increase land productivity. In addition, the
access to other financial services such as savings, loan insurance and other
facilities are the key techniques for more improved farming production.
3.4 Material
In this present study, the case of Algeria was chosen
following the contributions during the internship period in the preparation of
the training FBS Potato for Algeria.
Figure 3 selected FBS Training
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020
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Algeria is the largest country in Africa and the most
populated in the Maghreb region. Gross domestic product is rising moderately at
1.4 percent per year. Its development (like in the entire economy) depends
essentially on the production and exportation of oil and natural gas. Nearly
half of Algeria's 40 million people are under the age of 25. The major economic
policy challenge is to create sufficient jobs for the young population, which
continues to grow rapidly. The country's natural resources are under increasing
pressure from population growth, economic development and climate change.
The project is taking place in the commune of El Oued, also
called Oued Souf. It is located in the northeastern Algerian Sahara and south
of Chott Melrhir, which is 79 km east-northeast of Touggourt, 212 km northeast
of Ouargla and 512 km southeast of Algeria.
Figure 4 Google Maps. (n.d.). location of the municipality
el Oued
Regarding agriculture, potato has become one of the main crops
for domestic consumption. Thus, Algeria is the greatest potato producer in the
Arab world and the second in Africa, after South Africa. Algerians annually
consume the equivalent of three times the world average of 31 kilograms.
Algeria produces 47 million quintals annually, with local demand being met by
local producers. However, the disorganization that characterizes this sector
causes a surplus at certain times of the year. The large quantities that the
market cannot absorb tend to drive prices down.
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The Municipality of El Oued is ranked first in terms of potato
production, with 13 million quintals and a planted area of 40,000 hectares,
representing 30% of national production. The importance of the commune El Oued
in the potatoes production makes it a strategic product for the national
economy, the private partners and the expectations of the local market. The
action zone of the FBS potato project took place in this area.
For the following study a database established by the
consultants of the FBS potato project will be used. It includes all economic
calculations for the main product potato and the two complementary products
peanut and onion. In order to answer the research question, economic
calculations will be used for analysis and discussion.
3.5 Methodological Approach
Prior to the analysis, the consultants prepared the collected
Data in Excel, covering the economic calculations for each of the agricultural
products in both the current and improved cases.
For the analysis methods, Ishikawa Cause and Effect Diagram
and a Comparative analysis, are going to be used in order to highlight the
efficiency of the given solutions.
To begin with, the Ishikawa Cause and Effect Diagram is a
problem-solving tool for the farm business. This tool in the form of
fish-shaped diagram (figure 5), suitable for monitoring the production
techniques, farm management and economic skills. To construct this diagram,
there are 8 main sections to identify the risks that could cause a problem at
the farm level:
· Man: collaborators and actors in a farm like the farmer
and his/ her workers
· Machine: means of production and the equipment used in
agricultural enterprises
· Material: components that go into the development of
the final product like seeds and fertilizer.
· Medium: Risks in a farm environment
· Method: the techniques, procedures, or operating
modes
· Means of finance: Available financial services
· Management: strategic and Administrative management of
operations
· Market: Obtaining market information and planning
sales
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Figure 5 Ichikawa Diagram (Ishikawa 1990)
For the comparative analysis, 5 performance criteria relevant
for analysis and planning at the farm level were assessed. These 5 criteria
are: Productivity, Profitability, Stability, Diversity and Sustainability.
First of all, Productivity is the parameter of suitability of
the activity in an agricultural environment and an indicator of resource which
use efficiency and performance management. This was interpreted showing the
effect of adopting GAP on crop yields and measure the increase on
Production.
Second, concerning Profitability, tables deducting the change
of Input Quantity, prices and Gross Margin in both cases have been established.
These Tables show the impact over time of improvement management and production
techniques on profit.
Thus, the choice of the main product of the training was
explained and was determined if this product was the one with the highest
profit. Furthermore, the return per euro invested, the unit cost, labor
productivity and capital productivity have been calculated and interpreted.
Third, stability, which is the absence of fluctuations in
product cost (labor unit and Input cost), yield and product price from one year
to another. Stability of both scenarios is evaluated by measuring the
coefficient of variation.
Forth, diversification, and to evaluate this parameter
(diversity), the Simpson's Diversity index (DI) is an appropriate method to
express the level of household income diversity. Finally, the depreciation of
the Mini-pivot, the Farm Net Actual Returns and the Farm Net Sustainable
Returns were Calculated. Then, the Household Revenue per day and per member is
determined, in order to evaluate the place of smallholder farmers' incomes in
relation to the poverty line.
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4 Result Analysis
4.1 Cause and effect analysis
ICHIKAWA, or 8M, is a causal diagram permitting to show the
potential causes of a specific effect. This is the ishikawa diagram figure 8
applied in our case of study:
Figure 6 Cause and effect Analysis for the farm
To discuss each component of it separately. Starting with Man
framework:
Man: The unavailability of
trained or experienced labors during harvesting time can delay the cultivation
activities, which will directly affect the crop yield. So, the trained
workforce is of high importance to ensure a good application of the GAPs and
then a good performance.
Machine: it's paramount to
choose the right planting and harvesting equipment due to the varieties'
sensitivity to mechanical harvesting. Moreover, irrigation is crucial in most
of the regions concerned, the innovation artisanal pivot has a significant
effect on the water-saving and the use of regular quantity of water in the
correct moment avoiding the waste.
Material: the choice of adapted
varieties and good quality seeds, both resistant and healthy, is essential to
obtain a profitable crop and less susceptible to diseases and insects. Besides,
the plant's superficial root system requires appropriate fertilization to
accelerate its growth and shorten its development cycle. Moreover, the
application of pesticides in the correct time is of high importance to reduce
the spread of diseases and pests in the field.
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Medium: on the way to increase soil
fertility and avoid yield loss due to water quality, it's highly recommended to
introduce carefully fertilizers and change the plots.
Method: Great importance should
be attached to good choice of the plot, soil preparation, sowing, quantity of
planting and drip Irrigation to improve crop establishment and water use
efficiency. They reduce irrigation costs and increase the profitability of the
crop. To ensure a good yield, there is always recourse to crop rotation and
reduce growing crop in monoculture.
Financial means: such as own capital,
loans and agricultural insurance are of great importance for the availability
of cash at the beginning of the campaign. This can help the smallholder to
better invest and manage his expenses concerning the purchase of inputs,
fertilizers and the payment of labor. Having an account in the bank for
savings, allows the farmer to record the flow of money, the payment of certain
bills by checks and better management of his components.
Management: the lack of planning and
strategy setting prior to the campaign can cause several risks to the success
of the campaign or production. Therefore, joining a professional organization
to help farmers group to negotiate the prices of inputs and to sales group in
order to ensure a good selling price and facilitate market access. For the
quality of production, it is necessary to select the suppliers and buy only
fertilizers and certified seeds. In addition, making the right investment
decisions and considering the rate of return, payback time and their effect on
production and sustainability are crucial. In the current case, the investment
in the artisanal pivot can reduce the irrigation costs and make it more precise
and efficient. To finish this component, it's necessary to know the state
regulations to properly manage the harvest and the storage.
Market: More Market knowledge is
needed to derive maximum of benefit. The tubers could be stored until prices
improve and then sold when prices are high and not too many potatoes are
available in the market. Moreover, to ensure the best price for the potato, the
sell should be organized with a farmer group, which has contracts with potato
buyers in order to sell the production at a good price.
After the analysis of all the competences necessary for small
farmers, these skills can be classified in 3 groups: technical, managerial and
economic as shown in the following diagram, Moreover, some interdependence
between these skills can be deduced.
Improved production techniques
Economic Skills
Management
Agribusiess Management Skills
improvements
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Land clearing and preparation;
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Disease and Pest Control
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Harvesting, Storage
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professional agricultural organization
|
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Investment decision
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Potato cropping Calender
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Choosing the good plot
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Sourcing healthy seed, resistent varieties
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Harvest Potato carefully
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Obtaining market information and planning sales
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Mini-pivot Investment
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Sourcing of inputs, Managing Money Daily
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Planting in a circle, knowledge the growth cycle
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No Potato grown last year
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Separating damaged and undamaged tubers
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identify potato buyers before planting.
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Establishing irrigation
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Short medium long term planning
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Dosage Planting densities and certified seeds
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Safe use of Pesticides
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Good storage to maintain good quality
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prices, quality, quantity requirements
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efficient
irrigation, save water
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record Money-in & Money out
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Properly Fertilizer application
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Monitoring and control
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Selling potato when price are high, group
sell
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saving money in Bank
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Calculation of the unit cost
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Crop rotation: Potato with onion and Peanut
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Financial Management
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Figure 7 Classification of Agribusiness Management
Skills
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020
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As shown in the diagram 7, improved production
techniques cover the right crop rotation (potato then groundnut, and
the following year onion) which not only reduces pest problems, diseases and
weeds, but also enriches the biodiversity and soil fertilely. Moreover, to
ensure a good yield, it's required to make a correct dosage between the
planting densities from certified seed and apply properly the fertilizers. With
this improved production, the farmer can greatly increase his production
yield.
For the second component, managerial skills,
a good adjustment of land resources and especially labor can reduce costs and
maximize profit. Moreover, the better planning of farming activities can also
save money to cover necessary expenses during the campaign and then avoid
expensive last-minute credits. These savings at the bank also allow the farmer
to apply for loans. Added to this, membership in the professional agricultural
organization allows the smallholders to obtain better prices from suppliers on
the sake of reducing costs, obtaining a better selling price and good quality
products. Hence, to succeed and finalize a medium-term investment like, in our
case the irrigation pivot, it's crucial to follow the financial recommendations
to plan it properly and decide whether it is an investment with savings or
project financing.
Concerning, the economic skills, the
calculation of production costs assist Smallholders to plan its expenses for
the next season for the purchase of fertilizers, seeds, payment of labor,
services etc. We noticed that there is interrelationship between the economic
and technical aspects of production. The calculation of the unit costs and
comparing it with the market price helps in the decision either to abandon or
to adapt better production techniques in order to make profits. By calculating
the gross margin and using the financial calendar, farmers can make an
effective decision on the profitability of a given investment and short,
medium- or long-term planning. Thus, we notice also an Interrelation between
economic skills and management improvement.
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4.2 Comparative analysis
The idea of applying multiple performance criteria at the farm
level is not to evaluate performance in terms of profitability alone but to
find a balance and examine the farm system in relation to the 5 criteria.
4.2.1 Productivity
In the present case productivity is measured in Kilograms per
Unit pivot or hectare (Kg/unit pivot) or (Kg/ha) as shown in the following
table:
Table 1 Productivity of main and secondary product
Crop
|
Main Product
|
Secondary Product
|
Potato
|
Onion
|
Peanut
|
Scenario
|
current
|
improved
|
current
|
improved
|
current
|
improved
|
Production (Kg/unit pivot or ha)
|
30,000
|
40,000
|
50,000
|
70,000
|
1,000
|
3,000
|
Amelioration
|
+33.33%
|
+40%
|
+200%
|
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
Table 1 shows the significant improvements in production.
These improvements are the results of the application of GAP, better management
and adjustment of farm system components and efficiency in the use of resources
to increase yield. The remarkable increase in yield 33.33% for the potato, 40%
for the onion and 200% for the peanut can be explained at this level by using
certified and recommended seeds, fertilizers, which are better adapted to the
medium and give extreme high yield in comparison with the local variety.
4.2.2 Profitability
The profitability of a farm enterprise defined in the part 3.5
Methodological Approach is measured in monetary terms as total gross revenue
minus total costs over the course of a campaign. To measure the economic
profitability; gross margin is one of the performance criteria in the current
case.
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The purpose of these parameters is to evaluate the system, the
process and the performance of an activity of a small agricultural enterprise.
This type of evaluation is widely used to structure agricultural development
projects.
The following table consists of a budget which is applied to
the potato production in the current and improved to evaluate the impact of the
improved production on the profitability. To make the comparison, all the
parameters which change by adopting the improved production should be taken
into consideration. These changes also include additional yield, labor use and
reduced transport cost. The result of these changes is an increase in the gross
margin.
The next table for the main product contains a gross margin,
return on investment and unit cost calculation which are performance factors of
a farm, and a quick tool to make a comparison between several scenarios.
The gross margin is hence obtained by subtracting the total
income from the variable costs. Fixed costs are excluded here because it can
enter the production of another activity or for several years of production.
Unit cost is determined by dividing the cost of production by the number of
units produced. The Return on Investment (ROI) is the benefit (or return) of an
investment is divided by the cost of the investment. The result is expressed as
a percentage or a ratio.
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Table 2 Potato production Comparative Analysis
Input
|
Unity
|
Current Scenario
|
Improved Scenario
|
Change
|
Quantity (kg)
|
Price (DZD)
|
Total (DZD)
|
Quantity
|
Price (DZD)
|
Total (DZD)
|
%
|
Input
|
Seeds
|
Kg
|
2,000
|
150
|
300,000
|
3,000
|
150
|
450,000
|
Quantity: +50%
|
organic manure
|
Kg
|
20,000
|
4.5
|
90,000
|
30,000
|
4.5
|
135,000
|
Quantity: +50%
|
Fertilizer NPK
|
Kg
|
1,200
|
105
|
126,000
|
800
|
105
|
84,000
|
Quantity: -33.33%
|
Tractor Service
|
Fixed Price
|
-
|
40,000
|
40,000
|
-
|
40,000
|
40,000
|
No change
|
Ammonite 33%
|
Kg
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
150
|
6
|
900
|
+100%
|
Potash (K)
|
Kg
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
200
|
195
|
39,000
|
+100%
|
Chemical fertilizer
|
Kg
|
3
|
4,000
|
12,000
|
1
|
4,000
|
4,000
|
Quantity: -66.66%
|
Treatment ser-
vices
|
l
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
8
|
7,500
|
60,000
|
+100%
|
Irrigation water
|
m3
|
5,000
|
4
|
20,000
|
8,000
|
4
|
32,000
|
Quantity: +60%
|
Packaging bag
|
bag
|
300
|
260
|
78,000
|
400
|
260
|
104,000
|
Quantity: +33%
|
Transport Service
|
Fixed price
|
3
|
25,000
|
75,000
|
1
|
28,000
|
28,000
|
Quantity: -66.66% Total: -62.66% Price: +12%
|
Electricity
|
Invoice
|
1
|
50,000
|
50,000
|
1
|
10,000
|
10,000
|
Price: -80%
|
Labor
|
Man-day
|
105
|
1,500
|
157,500
|
114
|
1,500
|
171,000
|
+9 Man-day
|
Total Variable
Cost
|
|
948,500
|
1,157,900
|
+22%
|
Output
|
Gross Revenue
|
DZD
|
30,000
|
33
|
990,000
|
40,000
|
34
|
1,360,000
|
Yield: +33.33% Price: +3% Revenue: +37%
|
Gross Margin
|
DZD
|
41,500
|
202,100
|
+387%
|
ROI
|
(%)
|
4%
|
17%
|
+13%
|
Unit Cost
|
DZD
|
31.62
|
28.95
|
-8.4%
|
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
Table 2 shows a comparison of the costs for the two scenarios.
In fact, an increase in seeds costs by +50% for seeds are noticed. This is due
to the increase in the quantity of planting. These varieties of seed are of
better quality than the one used in the current scenario and shows better
yields. Also, for irrigation water, 60% additional quantity
23|
was added in the improved scenario for more efficiency and
therefore 60% additional cost at a fixed price per cubic meter. Some treatment
services and fertilizer additives such as ammonite 33% and potash (K) are also
added for the improved scenario marked by + 100% in order to ensure better
growth of tubers. Less than 66% of NPK fertilizer and chemical fertilizer are
used for the production and therefore less cost during the tuber growth face.
The objective is to reduce residues and ensure good potato quality. Regarding
the transport service, at a slightly increased price + 12% and a better
service, there was a need for at least operation -66% and therefore a reduction
in costs of 62%. Following the adoption of the improved scenario, a further
significant reduction in the price of electricity by 80% and consequently 80%
in costs reduced is noticed. For labor, a slight increase in man-day needed + 9
and hence additional employment.
As a result of these changes in the potato production activity
as announced in part 4.3.1 productivity an excess production of 10,000 Kg is
noticed, Furthermore, a remarkable and logical increase in the Gross Revenue
more than 37% following this better productivity and a 3% higher price. What is
very interesting, we notice that only the excess of the gross margin in the
improved scenario is equal to 160,600 DZD almost 4 times the gross margin in
the current scenario. Concerning ROI, for each DZD invested in the current
scenario, it gives 0.04 DZD. On the other hand, regarding the improved
scenario, it gives 0.17 DZD, more than 4 times. Again, there is a reduction in
the unit cost, which shows that the changes are profitable. The next Figure 8
provides an overview of all changes in production costs and the farmer's
margin.
comparison of potato production costs and profit margin
(DZD)
Improved Potato
Current Potato
|
|
|
|
|
0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 1600000
Seeds Fertilizer other costs Post Harvest cost Labor cost
Margin
Figure 8 Overview of production costs and profit
margin
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
This analysis was for the primary product, the following is
the same analysis for the secondary products in a shortened form. The following
table shows the performance analysis of onion production in the current
scenario and the improved one.
Table 3 Onion Comparative production Analysis
Input
|
Unity
|
Current Scenario
|
Improved Scenario
|
Change
|
Quan- tity (kg)
|
Price (DZD)
|
Total (DZD)
|
Quan- tity
|
Price (DZD)
|
Total (DZD)
|
%
|
Input
|
Input Cost
|
DZD
|
520,000
|
611,100
|
+17.5%
|
Labor
|
Man- day
|
95
|
1,500
|
142,500
|
101
|
1,500
|
151,500
|
+6 Man-day
|
Total Varia- ble Cost
|
|
663,100
|
762,600
|
+15%
|
Output
|
Gross Revenue
|
DZD
|
50,000
|
20
|
1,000,000
|
70,000
|
21
|
1,470,000
|
Yield: +40% Price: +5% Rev-
enue: +47%
|
Gross Mar- gin
|
DZD
|
336,900
|
707,400
|
+110%
|
ROI
|
(%)
|
50%
|
92%
|
+42%
|
Unit Cost
|
DZD
|
13.26
|
10.89
|
-18%
|
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
For onion production, table 3 shows a 17.5% increase in input
costs and a 6.3% increase in labor costs. Following these changes in
production, a remarkable increase in gross margin of 47% in the improved
scenario is observed. Thus, an increase in labor (6 man-day). Moreover, one DZD
invested in this production gives 0.5 DZD in the current scenario and 0.92 DZD
in the improved scenario. Likewise, the unit cost evolution shows a notable
reduction from 13.26 DZD in the current scenario to 10.89 DZD in the improved
scenario. The next Figure 9 provides an overview of all changes in production
costs and the farmer's margin.
24|
comparison of Onion production costs and profit margin (DZD)
Improved Onion
Current Onion
|
|
|
0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 1600000
Input costs and service Labor Cost Margin
25|
Figure 9 comparison of onion production costs and profit
margin
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
Table 4 Peanut production Comparative Analysis
Input
|
Unity
|
Current Scenario
|
Improved Scenario
|
Change
|
Quantity (kg)
|
Price (DZD)
|
Total (DZD)
|
Quantity
|
Price (DZD)
|
Total (DZD)
|
%
|
Input
|
Input Cost
|
DZD
|
168,200
|
257,600
|
+53%
|
Labor
|
Man-day
|
47
|
1,500
|
70,500
|
47
|
1,500
|
70,500
|
No change
|
Total Variable Cost
|
|
238,700
|
328,100
|
+37%
|
Output
|
Gross Revenue
|
DZD
|
1,000
|
260
|
260,000
|
3,000
|
260
|
780,000
|
+200%
|
Gross Margin
|
DZD
|
21,300
|
451,900
|
+2022%
|
ROI
|
(%)
|
8.9%
|
137%
|
+128.1%
|
Unit Cost
|
DZD
|
238.7
|
109.37
|
-54%
|
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
For Peanut production, table 4 shows a 37% increase in input
costs and 200% increase in peanut production. Following these changes, a
remarkable increase in gross margin +430.600 DZD in the improved scenario is
observed. Besides, one DZD invested in this production gives 0.089 DZD in the
current scenario and 1,37 DZD in the improved scenario. Likewise, the unit cost
evolution shows a notable reduction from 238,7 DZD in the current scenario to
109,37 DZD in the improved scenario. The next Figure 10 provides an overview of
all changes in production costs and the farmer's margin.
comparison of peanut production costs and profit margin (DZD)
Improved Peanut
0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000
Input costs and service Labor Cost Margin
26|
Figure 10 comparison of peanut production costs and profit
margin
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
Finally, to get a global overview and based on the different
performance criteria, the following figure 11 summarizes the evolution of the
parameters GM, ROI and UC of the 3 agricultural activities (Potato, onion,
peanut).
-500% 0% 500% 1000% 1500% 2000% 2500%
Peanut
Potato
Onion
-54%
-18%
-8%
percent change in GM, ROI AND UC
13%
42%
110%
128%
Unit cost Return on Investment Gross Margin
387%
2022%
Figure 11 Summary percent change of the 3 activities
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
27|
Figure 11 shows that the evolution of the GM, UC and the ROI
in the improved scenario are mostly very important for the secondary products
than for the main product, This may look contradictory, but this is explained
by the advantage of potato production, for example, having 3 harvests
throughout the year, the importance of this product in the eating habits of
Algerians and the remarkable increase in its consumption in recent years, in
addition to the orientation of industrial operators to engage in transformation
and the start of exporting this product to Russia. As a consequence, and due to
the state policy aimed at the development of the agricultural land, the
cultivated potato land has increased from 300 ha in 1993 to 33,000 ha in 2000
and the number of potato producers has increased from 800 to 5,000 between 2000
and 2014. This can largely confirm the choice of potatoes as the main product.
(Chambre d'agriculture Algeria, 2014).
To get an idea on the distribution of the gains concluded from
the three activities and the improvement of the incomes. The chart in Figure 11
shows the composition of the smallholder farmer's income in the two scenarios
and shows how many times the income has increased.
Total Revenue: 399,700 DZD Total Revenue: 1,361,400
DZD
Current Scenario Improved Scenario
Peanut
5%
Onion
84%
Potato
11%
Peanut
33%
Potato
15%
Onion
52%
Figure 12 share of total output Value
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5.
Figure 12 highlights the profit composition of the 3 crops in
both scenarios. The total income from agricultural production increased more
than three times. As far as income distribution is concerned, a great disparity
of income between the 3 products in the
28|
current scenario is noticed, but in the improved scenario, the
distribution is more equitable. This is of great importance to practice this
crop rotation system with a stable income with potato and Peanut in the first
year and onion in the following year.
This last budgeting analysis is valid only at a certain time
interval, any change in price and cost of production can directly influence the
market and the introduction of a new technology such as the irrigation pivot by
the farmer which can also cause changes in costs and prices.
It would be better to anticipate future changes and make a
risk analysis and determine the influence of a price change on the gross margin
in both scenarios. In this study more importance is given to the main product,
the potato, and one of the most significant parameters, which has a great
effect on the budget which is the price of potatoes. Already there is a large
fluctuation of potato wholesale prices in Algeria, which alternates between 33
and 45 DZD per Kg. As a result, a simple equation of this parameter (potato
price) can be established.
Gross Margin/plot = Gross revenue/plot - Variable cost/plot,
GM= TR - CV = (Yield/plot) x (Price/kg) - VC = Y pp - VC
For the current scenario, the equation is: GM= 30,000 pp -
948,500
For the Improved Scenario, the equation is: GM= 40,000 pp -
1,157,900
Potato Gross Margin
700000
GM (DZD)
|
600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000
0
|
642100
402100
221500
162100
41500
401500
33 DZD 39 DZD 45 DZD
Potato Price
Current Scenario Improved Scenario
Figure 13 Potato Gross Margin evolution for both
scenario
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
29|
Figure 13 highlights the effect of changing potato prices on
GM. In fact, the increase in potato prices has a very important impact, which
highlights the importance of investing in potato storage, or else, smallholders
should get updates on the prices each week. Then, they could decide how many
batches they produce, the quantity of each batch and the time of planting,
harvest and selling.
Concerning the unit cost and after moving to the improved
scenario, an important reduction of the cost of production for the 3 crops is
noticed as shown in the following histogram (Figure 14). This allows farmers to
increase their competitiveness.
Unit Cost (DZD) per Kg
250
200
150
100
50
0
10.89
13.26 28.95 31.62
109.37
238.7
Onion Potato Penaut
Improved Scenario Current Scenario
Figure 14 Unit cost evolution for both scenario
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 5
Through the results found above, the productivity of capital
and labor productivity can be deduced as shown in the following table 5.
Table 5 comparison of Labor productivity & Capital
productivity
Crop
|
Potato
|
Onion
|
Peanut
|
Labor productivity = (Revenue - Input Cost) /
Labor
|
+1,377
|
+3,457
|
+ 9,161
|
number used
|
(+72%)
|
(+68%)
|
(+470%)
|
Additional Labor for one mini-pivot (man-day)
|
9
|
6
|
0
|
Capital productivity= Gross Margin /Variable
cost
|
+0,13
|
+0,42
|
+1,29
|
Source: GIZ/ Potato Spreadsheet. 2020
The comparison of capital and labor productivity shows a large
increase in the improved scenario as a result of a good allocation of
production resources. This large
30|
gap between the two values as shown in Table 5 shows how
absolute effective the improved scenario is. This productivity is increased
thanks to the introduction of high-performance innovations, efficient work,
training of the labor in new techniques and almost importantly by improving the
production process and adopting GAP.
At this level, this type of last analysis, budgeting and the
variable costs considered indicate to retain the necessary adjustments in
production costs to increase profitability and also to highlight the direct
impact of the GAP application, the improvement of technical, managerial and
thus economic skills. It is all a complex process and with the adjustment of
these parameters together, the profitability of the farm can be greatly
increased. Moreover, additional employment has been realized after adopting
GAP.
With regard to job creation, Ould Rebai et al. (2017, p.7) has
enumerated from a sample of farmers surveyed, which distinguishes three types
of investors, who specialize in potato production using the new mini-pivot
technology. These are large investors, small investors and cultivators). The
table 6 shows the number of pivots used for each category during a potato and
Onion production campaign and then deduced the number of additional jobs
created. (Production lasts two years)
Table 6 Additionall job created using GAP
Type of Farm- ers
|
Number of mini Pivot
|
Additional jobs created (man-days)
|
Total addi- tional jobs
|
Potato
|
Onion
|
large investors
|
12
|
9
|
6
|
180 man-days
|
small investors
|
6
|
9
|
6
|
90 man-days
|
cultivator
|
2
|
9
|
6
|
30 man-days
|
Source: ould Rebai. 2017. An incremental innovation: design
and diffusion of an artisanal center pivot for irrigationin the Souf (Algerian
Sahara).
The number of jobs created varies between 30 and 180 man-days
depending on the type of investor. This shows only the direct employment after
the adoption GAP. Other indirect employment could be proclaimed, such as
maintenance services, all the trainer from the training centers, who work in
the mini-pivot production chain, the supply companies and importers of parts
necessary to produce mini-pivot. This technology (mini-pivot Irrigation) has
created a dynamic in the region starting with the return of investors,
providing income to the local population, employing young people (majority of
small investors, Table 6) and opening agro-supply businesses.
31|
4.2.3 Stability:
When conditions are unfavorable, such as the decrease of
product price, yield instability and increase of production cost there is
always recourse to the diversification of activity, crop rotation, increasing
storage capacity or better post-harvest efficiency. The best strategy for a
good system stability is to work with robust solutions while knowing the
market. For the following part, we will take into account the market risks and
production risks. Table 7 summarizes the risks and the years respectively in
which the risks will be taken into account.
Table 7 Production risks taken into account
Market risk
|
Production risk
|
Year
|
no risks
|
no risks
|
1
|
|
10% increase in production costs
|
2
|
|
10% increase in labor costs
|
3
|
|
10% yield reduction
|
4
|
10% reduction in sales price
|
|
5
|
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 6
Taking into account these risks, the gross margin for 5 years
will be calculated in table 9. The production is done on two plots as follows.
Peanuts follow potato in the first plot. In the second plot, only onion is
produced. The following year, only the onion is produced on plot 1 and the
peanut follows the potato in plot 2. The rotation continues this way in the
following years.
Table 8 The gross Margin for 5 years including risks of the 3
crops
Crop
|
Potato
|
Onion
|
Peanut
|
Scenario
|
Current
|
Improved
|
Current
|
Improved
|
Current
|
Improved
|
Input prices
|
791,000
|
986,900
|
520,600
|
611,100
|
168,200
|
257,600
|
Labor Cost
|
157,500
|
171,000
|
142,500
|
151,500
|
70,500
|
70,500
|
Yield
|
30,000
|
40,000
|
50,000
|
70,000
|
1000
|
3000
|
Price
|
33
|
34
|
20
|
21
|
260
|
260
|
GM Year 1
|
41,500
|
202,100
|
336,900
|
707,400
|
21,300
|
451,900
|
GM Year 2
|
-37,600
|
103,410
|
284,840
|
646,290
|
4480
|
426,140
|
GM Year 3
|
25750
|
185,000
|
322,650
|
692,250
|
14,250
|
444,850
|
GM Year 4
|
-57,500
|
66,100
|
236,900
|
560,400
|
-4700
|
373,900
|
GM Year 5
|
-57,500
|
66,100
|
236,900
|
560,400
|
-4700
|
373,900
|
Therefore, the income stability of the current and the
improved scenario will be measured and analyzed. The calculation is as follows
in Table 9:
32|
Table 9 Calculation of the Coefficient of Variation (CV) for
the improved Scenario
|
Current
|
Improved
|
Total Revenue Year 1
|
399,700
|
1,361,400
|
Total Revenue Year 2
|
251,720
|
1,175,840
|
Total Revenue Year 3
|
362,650
|
1,322,100
|
Total Revenue Year 4
|
174,700
|
1,000,400
|
Total Revenue Year 5
|
174,700
|
1,000,400
|
Mean (X )
|
272,694
|
1,172,028
|
SD
|
104,723.6
|
171,252.9
|
CV %
|
38.4
|
14.6
|
Mean (Y( ) = ? ????/??
??
??=1
Standard deviation (SD)=[ ? (???? - ??)2
?? / (n- 1)] ^1/ 2 ??=1
Coefficient of variation CV= 100(SD/ Y(
|
)
|
With a CV of 14.6% in the improved Scenario and 38.4% in the
current Scenario, we can conclude that the income of the 3 crop is more stable
in the improved Scenario.
4.2.4 Diversification
Diversity is a strategy of increasing the number of activities in
a system to reduce the risk to household income on the one hand, and on the
other hand, to increase income with a better allocation of resources on the
other hand.
Table 10 Calculation of Simpson's Diversity Index for both
scenario
Scenario / crop
|
Current Scenario
|
Improved Scenario
|
income (ni)
|
(ni/N) 2 (S=3)
|
income (ni)
|
(ni/N) 2 (S=3)
|
Potato
|
41,500
|
0.010780227
|
202,100
|
0.02203744
|
Onion
|
336,900
|
0.710450338
|
707,400
|
0.2699968
|
Peanut
|
21,300
|
0.002839821
|
451,900
|
0.11018264
|
Sum
|
399,700
|
0.724070386
|
1,361,400
|
0.40221688
|
DI
|
|
0.275929614
|
|
0.59778312
|
Simpson's Diversity index (DI)= 1 - ? (ni/N)
2
??
??=1
The calculated DI values of 0.5977 for the improved Scenario
and 0.2759 for the current scenario, which indicates that the farm-income is
more diversified in the improved case in economic terms. The (ni/N)
2 values also indicate that the farm's economic structure is
dominated by Onion in Both Scenario.
33|
4.2.5 Sustainability
Sustainability is the ability of a system to maintain its
productivity and profitability at a satisfactory level for a specified period.
This concept accounts for the evaluation of agricultural activities and the
system in several terms. In the case of this study, the evaluation will be
considered only in economic terms after the introduction of the new pivot
irrigation technology. The following table calculates the depreciation of one
mini-pivot investment taking into account that other capital Fixed costs are
zero.
Table 11 Mini-pivot Investment Inventory
Mini-pivot investment inventory
|
Item
|
Item Value (PV) (DZD)
|
Useful (L) Life (years)
|
Depreciation (D) (DZD)
|
Repairs (DZD)
|
Mini-pivot
|
200,000
|
5
|
40,000
|
7,500
|
plumbing
|
100,000
|
3
|
33,333
|
-
|
Total
|
400,000
|
-
|
73,333
|
7,500
|
Source: GIZ/ FBS Potato. 2020. Module 11
In the present case, straight-line depreciation (D) is the
most appropriate method with a constant flow of service and normal wear and
tear during the life of the Mini-pivot and the plumbing, which decreases with a
well-determined annual amount. (Makeham and Malcolm 1986). The formula for
obtaining D is as follows: D = (PV - RV)/L; with PV: present Value, RV:
residual Value and L: expected total years of life
This is the appropriate method for Algerian Smallholders whose
Mini-pivot and plumbing item is totally used in production. The following graph
15 shows the result of the application of this method and the depreciation of
the mini-pivot and Plumbing during their lifetime.
depreciation of Mini-Pivot and Plumbing
250000
VALUE (DZD)
|
200000 150000 100000 50000
0
|
|
Mini-pivot Plumbing
|
0 1 2 3 4 5
YEARS
Figure 15 Depreciation of Mini-pivot and Plumbing
34|
Following the calculation of the depreciation of Mini-Pivot
and Plumbing, the total of cost of one Mini-pivot Investment could be
determined as follows.
Table 12 End-of-year Operating Statement for 3 crops
|
Current Scenario
|
Improved Scenario
|
A. Outputs
|
|
|
Potato
|
990,000
|
1,360,000
|
Onion
|
1,000,000
|
1,470,000
|
Peanut
|
260,000
|
780,000
|
Total Gross Revenue (DZD)
|
2,250,000
|
3,610,000
|
Total Gross Revenue over 2 years
|
4,500,000
|
7,220,000
|
Variable Cost
|
1,850,300
|
2,248,600
|
B. Variable cost over 2 years
|
3,700,600
|
4,497,200
|
C. Fixed cost over 2 years (2 Mini-pivot)
|
30,000
|
30,000
|
D. Depreciation over 2 years (2 Mini-pivot)
|
293,332
|
293,332
|
|
Based on Tables 11 and 12, the performance measures for this
whole system can be determined over 2 years and taking into
consideration successive crop rotations/pro-duction duration, using 2
mini-pivot in 2 plots of land. In the case of this study and as a
result of available data, Farm Gross Margin, Farm Net Returns and Farm
Sustainable Returns are the most appropriate ones to calculate.
Table 13 Measures for Whole-farm Evaluation over 2
Years
Measure
|
Calculation
|
Value (DZD)
|
|
Improved
|
E.
|
Farm Gross Margin
|
A - B
|
799,400
|
2,722,800
|
F.
|
Farm Net Actual Returns
|
E - C
|
769,400
|
2,692,800
|
|
G
|
Farm Net Sustainable Returns
|
F - D
|
476,068
|
2,399,468
|
H.
|
Household Revenue per day
|
G/2 Years (730 days)
|
652
|
3287
|
I.
|
Revenue per day per mem- ber (for 2
Mini-pivot)
|
H/6
|
109
|
585
|
|
Table 13 shows a very large difference concerning 2 mini-pivot
investment results of the two scenarios in an improved scenario. As far as the
Household Revenue per day and per person is considered for one mini-pivot,
noting that the average family member in Algeria is 6, the poverty line per day
is 1.9 dollars in Africa (equal to 246.54 DZD) and
smallholders have 2 mini-pivots according to Quld Rebai.
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In the current scenario, the farmer and his family are well
below the poverty line. However, in the improved scenario, the family is above
the poverty line. Both values can significantly rise if family labor has been
used. Therefore, to increase annual income, it is necessary to reduce labor
costs and consider the high added value of family labor.
5 Discussion and Interpretation
The following study highlighted the importance of agribusiness
management skills for smallholder farmers in Africa. These skills were
identified and classified into three groups; improved production techniques,
management improvement and economic skills as shown in Figure 7. In addition,
the interdependencies between them were identified. Then, in order to evaluate
the impact of the application of these management skills at the farm level and
following the training of farmers in the FBS approach, a comparison with a
reference situation (Current Scenario) based on 5 performance criteria was
made. For the first performance criteria Productivity, yield has largely
increased, i.e. 33% for potatoes, 40% for onion and 200% for groundnut. This is
due to the adoption of GAP, which comprises improved inputs such as seeds from
improved varieties, mineral fertilizer, correct dosage of inputs, planting
densities and improved techniques for cropping, harvesting and post-harvest.
Second for the Profitability, the significant improvement in GM and ROI
respectively and the reduction in unit cost highlight the extremely positive
effects of changes made at the farm level to optimize the production process
and maximize income. Third, regarding the income stability, the improved
scenario has always showed better results, such as more income stability while
working with better solution and knowing the market. In addition, the farm is
more diversified in the improved scenario than the current scenario. Regarding
income-sus-tainability, the farmer and his family are well above the poverty
line $1.9 in the improved scenario as concluded in section 4.2.5 which confirms
the hypothesis of this current study in relation to poverty reduction.
One project to promote sustainable agriculture in India has
shown that when training farmers, providing them advice throughout the
production cycle and marketing phase, helping them to monitor cost and earnings
and then calculate. Farmers had nearly doubled their average yields and
increased their income by 64% (BASF 2011). This
36|
confirms our case study, that the training on agribusiness
management skills contributes to farmers' prosperity and increase farmers'
competitiveness.
In addition to higher incomes, the adoption of GAP has
realized the creation of additional employment as shown in Table 6, depending
on the type of investor, 30 up to 180 man-days of additional-job have been
created. Moreover, more quality inputs, technical services, transport and
loading have been realized. This led to future growth and expansion, higher
profit and opportunity for more investment like Mini-pivot irrigation at the
farm level. In Macro-level this led to the economic growth of the region as a
result of the creating of a market for input.
According to Ouedeno (2019, p.121), concerning the region of
oued Souf, the labor market did not exist before the development of market
gardening which contributed to the emergence of two types of labor, monthly and
daily. The adoption of the mini-pivot technique has minimized the irrigation
work and has allowed the creation of agricultural input markets (seed,
fertilizers, phytosanitary products) through agro-procurement companies or
other neighboring regions. The introduction and dissemination of these pivots
have given a big pat to the development of the potato and the colonization of
new areas previously accessible.
Furthermore, this investment could help in fighting the
limiting factor, water, as an essential element for production, farmers could
use this to reduce water loss by evaporation, save water up to 30% consequently
reduce labor costs and ensure the sustain-ability of water and reduce gas
emissions by using less fuel. Another aspect can also be highlighted, the
social one, following the creation of employment for young people and
maintaining the base for future generations.
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6 Conclusion
The current report has highlighted and answered the research
questions regarding the role and the importance of agribusiness management
capacities for African agricultural smallholders and their impacts on economic
growth, poverty reduction and food security. These technical, managerial and
economic skills have shown extreme positive results on the performance
(productivity and profitability) of Smallholders from the perspective of
allocation of production factors, investment decisions and the adoption of
innovative techniques such as pivot irrigation. This confirms the hypothesis H1
that improved production techniques can intensify and increase yields and
profit and the hypothesis H2 that improved managerial skills and better
economic understanding will obviously have positive impact notably on the farm
management and financial planning.
Besides, these skills enabled the farm system with more
stability, income diversity and economic sustainability, which allow a future
expansion of the SME, and consequently the creation of employment
opportunities.
38|
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Annex
Information regarding GIZ, GmbH.
As a specialist in the field of global participation for
supportable development and worldwide instruction work, the GIZ is committed to
molding a future worth living far and wide. The specialist organization has
more than 11 years of involvement with a wide assortment of territories,
including monetary turn of events and business promotion vitality, the earth,
harmony and security. The differing mastery of the federal undertaking is
sought after around the world - from the German Government, European Union
establishments, the United Nations, the private part, and administrations of
different nations. GIZ works with organizations, common society entertainers
and examination foundations, cultivating fruitful connection between
advancement strategy and other approach fields and zones of movement. The
endeavor's primary appointing party is the German Federal Ministry for Economic
Cooperation and Development (BMZ).
The authorizing gatherings and collaboration accomplices all
spot their trust in GIZ, and work with the improvement agency to produce
thoughts for political, social and financial change, to form these into solid
plans and to execute them. Since GIZ is a public-benefit federal venture,
German and European qualities are focal to its work. Along with its accomplices
in public governments worldwide and collaboration accomplices from the
universes of business, research and common society, GIZ works hard to convey
powerful arrangements that offer individuals better possibilities and
sustain-ably to improve their everyday environments.
The enlisted workplaces of GIZ are in Bonn and Eschborn. In
2019, GIZ produced a business volume of around EUR 3.1 billion. Its 22,199
representatives, very nearly 70 percent of whom are public staff, work in
around 120 nations. (GIZ, 2019)
41|
Information regarding ABF
The project Agribusiness Facility for Africa (ABF) builds on
the prior experiences, approaches and practical training in business management
for the smallholders, as an investment in the future. Some strategies to target
this group are the integration of topics dedicated to food, processing and
marketing of basic food products and measures to support women in a targeted
manner in sectors where they are underrepresented. (GIZ, 2019)
Advisory support will be provided to key partners to
effectively plan, fund and implement large-scale agri-food training. This will
include advice on the integration of agri-food training into existing
strategies and advice on the development of sustainable business and
cooperation models. The ABF Trainings will focus on economic analyses of
production sectors, technologies and optimization potentials and support for
the adaptation of content to selected value chains by the implementing
partners.
ABF supports the organization of large-scale training courses
and the selection of master trainers and trainers for the training. At first
ABF will support and evaluate pilot training courses, which will be used to
adapt and improve the training. It has been shown that agri-food training
courses can reach many participants and help them economically. (GIZ, 2019)
ABF works with local organizations responsible for agriculture
to advance the program. In this process they include public and private
stakeholders as an African center point dish to help MSMEs' agribusiness
abilities increase in scope. (GIZ, 2019)
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Macroeconomic Analysis
PESTELE is a broad fact-finding activity frequently used for
analyzing the macro-environment and determining contemporary and future
structural trends for the agricultural enterprise. Their evocation facilitates
to the evaluation of the different evolution scenarios of a SME for its better
adapted development and evolution strategy.
To start with, politically speaking, since 2000 Algeria has
set up a policy aimed at improving national food security and developing a
certain priority in agricultural sectors. This Policy could solve the maximum
of challenging problems faced in the agricultural field. For instance, a
smallholder with large agricultural production (potatoes, garlic, onions) could
benefit from the regulation system for large consumption agricultural products
(SYRPALAC) implemented in 2008. The government buys back from producers at
incentive prices the production in periods of rising supply and falling prices,
pays storage to the private sector. These governmental measures can boost the
farmers' income and insure the sale of his harvest. (MADR, 2008)
Next, economically speaking, the growth rate in Algeria was
averagely 3%, however, due to the oil price falling, the rate has slowed down
in recent years and the IMF has estimated it at 2.7% in 2019. (IMF, 2018)
Besides, The Algerian Dinar (DA) has experienced very strong
devaluations in recent decades. From 2010 to 2020, the value of the Algerian
Dinar fell sharply both in euros and dollars by 36% and 43% respectively. This
decline has not only improved the competitiveness of Algerian non-hydrocarbon
exports but also it has contributed to the increase of production costs,
particularly the agricultural and agri-food sector, through the import of
agricultural inputs and aggravated the food bill. The unemployment rate was
11.6% in 2018 and is expected to rise slightly in 2019 to 12.3 % according to
IMF and World Bank forecasts. (IMF, 2017)
With a surplus until 2014, Algeria's trade deficit reached
US$2.05 billion over the first eight months of 2018, compared to a deficit of
US$8.19 billion over the same period in 2017 which is a significant drop of
nearly 75%. These two factors will encourage young people and the goverment to
invest more in agricultural production, create jobs and reduce the import of
agricultural products. (CNIS, 2018)
43|
Subsequently, concerning demographic aspects, the Algerian
population was 42.4 million in 2018, and ONS estimates 51 million and more than
70 million inhabitants respectively in 2030 and 2050. For the coming decades
(2020-2030), a significant growth in the active population (15-64 years old) is
forecasted. Therefore, the demand for additional employment is increasingly
important. As a result, the dynamic agriculture must take up this employment
challenge. The countryside is waiting for diversified economic activities,
strong process of professional integration and good training of existing
skills. (ONS, 2018)
Regarding the technological aspects, the manufacture and
dissemination of artisanal pivots are subject of various actors whose sequence
of interventions constitutes a dense network of services and supplies such as
the acquisition of parts by importing or recovering spare parts on obsolete
equipment. Its evolution has enabled the development of small businesses like
manufacturing irrigation equipment, somewhat reduced the unemployment rate and
provided practical training for young people from vocational training centers.
This new technology will change the nature of potato production in the el wadi
zone and will encourage young people and SMEs to invest in this value chain.
From an ecological side, for better adaptation of climate
change, farmers should take advantage of these main measures summarized as
follows: water saving, construction of dams and hill reservoirs, the adaptation
of technical itineraries, the introduction of technical practices (direct
sowing), the reconversion of production systems, adopting anti-drought programs
and setting up of rural projects.
Finally, concerning the legal factors, the orientation towards
organic production for environmental, biodiversity and health reasons is
requested. Moreover, as regards the export restrictions, the residues of
pesticides should be reduced and regulated as the farmers are invited to
improve their production quality.
Political
improving national food security
developing strategic production chains
system for large consumption agricultural
products (SYRPALAC)
Legal
export requirement
Improve production quality
Economical
growth rate Currency unemployment trade deficit
Smallholder / MSME
Ecological
Adaptation to climate change
wasser Management
demographic
population growth potato consumption
Technological
modern drip, pivots
44|
Figure 16 PESTEL Analysis for the Smallholder
|