1
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Amity Campus Uttar Pradesh India
201303
ANALYSIS OF MICROFINANCES' PERFORMANCE
AND DEVELOPMENT OF INFORMAL INSTITUTIONS IN CAMEROON
by
DJAMAMAN BRICE GAETAN
A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of
the requirements in Masters of Finance and Control at the Amity Center for
E-learning Amity University,
Uttar Pradesh
September 2012
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
ABSTRACT
Historically, microfinance has been successful in reaching the
population excluded from the classical financial system. In the 90's, efforts
have been concentrated towards the financial and institutional sustainability
of the microfinance institutions (MFIs). Tools to evaluate financial
performances have been developed, but the social performances were taken for
granted.
This study is intended to investigate the relationship between
social and financial performance of MFIs and factors that contribute to the
development of informal sector in Cameroon; with a particular interest in the
role that microfinance institution may be playing. In addition to gaining a
more general understanding of the challenges facing developing informal
institutions, the study will identify how the evaluation of microfinances'
performance is contributing to overcome the mission drift or arbitrage between
social and financial performance of microfinance institutions. This thesis is
focused on three specific objectives:
The First is to analyse the influence of social performance on
the financial performance, with the aim to study whether there is a good
management or arbitration by MFIs. The second objective is to study the impact
of the financial performance on the social performance, with the aim to find
whether good financial performance enables the firm to allocate some margin to
social issues or financially powerful companies are the worse in terms of
social performance because of their leaders' greed, who do not share the
margin. The last objective is to analyse the reciprocal influence of informal
sector and microfinances' performance.
Key words: microfinance, social
performance, financial performance, informal sector, Cameroon and mission
drift
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Analysis of microfinances'performance and development
of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This thesis would not have been realized without the valuable
inputs of the Pan African e-Network Project, AMITY University Campus Uttar
Pradesh India 201303 and our Focal Team of the National Virtual University. We
will like to thank them largely on the knowledge they imparted in us. Gratitude
is given to Professor Emmanuel TONYE, Professor Mama FOUPOUAGNIGNI and Mr
TAKANG Nixon
We will also like to thank the MOANTAMB's and DJONG's
families, for their love, encouragement and the support they gave to us to
realize this work, their tolerance made us to understand that winners do not
quit and quitters do not win. This is especially to my parents Mr MOANTAMB
Nicolas and Mrs NTAMKEN Marie, my aunt Mrs AMBO'O Odette and his husband Mr
DJONG Simplice.
We will also like to use this opportunity to thank all those
who have contributed directly or indirectly to this thesis. Especially the
classmates of Central Africa Virtual University of Cameroon, my friends: BILE'E
Etoga Matrhe, NSOUNFON Donald, MVOGO Lucien, NZODIA Ines, ABENGMONI Emmanuel II
and KIYEM Gisèle.
To crown it, our profound gratitude goes to God Almighty who
gave us the enabling capacity both mentally and physically as well as the
opportunity to be alive for the completion of this work.
This work is dedicated to my parents Mr. and Mrs.
MOANTAMB
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Table of contents
ABSTRACT 2
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 3
LIST OF TABLES 7
LIST OF FIGURES 7
CHAPTER I- INTRODUCTION 8
I.1- Background of the study 9
I.2- Problem statement 10
I.3- Context of the study 11
I.4- Objectives of research 11
I.5- Research outline 12
CHAPTER II- A COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW OF THE EXISTING LITERATURE
13
II.1- Welfarists and Institutionalists approaches 13
II.2- The Self-Sufficiency and Sustainability of MFIs
14
II.3- Impact of Microfinance Institutions 17
II.4- Literature review on the social performance of
microfinance institutions 18
II.4.1- Impact studies on microfinance 18
II.4.2- Studies on the social performance of microfinance
institutions 19
II.4.3- Clients targeting 20
CHAPTER III- THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVE 23
III.1- The concept of microfinance 23
III.1.1- Definition 23
III.1.2- Overview of microfinance in Cameroon 24
III.1.3- Evolution of equities 28
III.1.4- Profitability of microfinance sector 29
III.2- The concept of informal sector 30
III.2.1- Definition 30
III.2.2- Informal sector in Cameroon 31
III.3- Theoretical links between MFIs and informal sector
development 31
III.4- Microfinance schism 33
III.4.1- The welfarists' approach 33
III.4.2- The institutionalists' approach 34
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
III.5- Social performance 36
III.5.1- Outreach 36
III.5.2- Impact assessment 38
III.6- Financial performance 40
III.6.1- Determinants of a profitable institution 40
III.6.2- Perennial MFIs 42
III.7- The mission drift of MFI: The institutionalists and
the welfarists 44
III.7.1- The concept of mission drift 44
III.7.2- The debate between the institutionalists and
welfarists 45
CHAPTER IV- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 47
IV.1- Relationship between social and financial performance
47
IV.1.1- A tentative typology of the firms' performances
47
IV.1.2- The problem statement 48
IV.2- Selection of variables and indicators 49
IV.2.1- Selection of the financial performance indicators
49
IV.2.2- Selection of the social performance indicators
51
IV.2.3- Selection of developmental indicators for the
informal sector 52
IV.2.4- Selection of the control variables 54
IV.3- The research hypothesis and research model 54
IV.4- Regression approach 55
IV.5- conclusion 57
CHAPTER V- PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF DATA 58
V.1- Data collection 58
V.2- The data set 58
V.3- Preliminary data analysis 59
V.3.1- Descriptive statistics 59
V.3.2- Correlation analysis 60
V.4- Regression analysis 62
V.4.1- Financial performance regression analysis 62
V.4.2- Social performance regression analysis 68
V.4.3- Informal sector regression 73
CHAPTER VI- CONCLUSION, LIMITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
VI.1- Conclusion 79
VI.2- Limitations and recommendations 81
REFERENCES 83
APPENDICES 85
APPENDIX A: List of variables 85
APPENDIX B: Abbreviations 85
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Analysis of microfinances'performance and development
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Distribution of approved MFIs 23
Table2: Aggregate balance sheet of MFIs on 31 December 2010
25
Table3: evolution of microfinance activities in Cameroon from
2002 to 2010 26
Table 4: Summary table: welfarists and institutionalists
...34
Table5: A set of various assumptions on likely relationships
between SP and FP 45
Table 6: evolution of fixed deposits and gross loan from 2002
to 2010 51
Table 7: Distribution of microfinances based on their
categories 57
Table 8: descriptive statistics 58
Table10: ANOVA analysis of ROA regression 61
Table11: ROA regression coefficients ..61
Table12: ANOVA OF ROE REGRESSION 63
Table13: ROE regression Coefficients 63
Table14: ANOVA OF OSS REGRESSION 65
Table15: OSS regression coefficients 65
Table16: ANOVA of AL regression .66
Table17: AL regression coefficients .67
Table18: ANOVA for CFIR regression 68
Table19: CFIR regression coefficients .69
Table20: ANOVA OF CFGR REGRESSION ..70
Table21: CFGR regression coefficients 72
Table22: ANOVA OF FD REGRESSION 74
Table23: FD regression coefficients when FP influences the
informal sector .74
Table24: FD regression coefficients when SP influences the
informal sector .74
Table25: GL regression coefficients when FP influences the
informal sector .75
Table26: GL regression coefficients when SP influences the
informal sector .76
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure1: Number of MFIs per region 26
Figure 2: Evolution of fixed deposits and gross loan from 2002
to 2010 53
Figure 3: Summary of research hypothesis ..55
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
CHAPTER I- INTRODUCTION
The proclamation of 2005 as International Year of Microcredit
by the United Nations has certainly contributed to make this tool even more
popular launched at the end of 1970. Since then, microfinance has developed to
enable excluded people to access banking services to financial services. Within
a few decades, seeing the results qualitatively and quantitatively promising,
microfinance has taken center stage in international cooperation.
Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), associations, mutual societies, credit
unions, private companies have sprung up around the world and are currently
serving over 90 million people worldwide.
The Gramenn Bank and Muhamed Yunus had the Nobel Prize in
2006. They have enabled the poor population of Bangladesh which is up to six
millions persons, with 96% of women to have access microcredit. The microcredit
belongs to the range of varied products offered by microfinance institutions
(MFIs). Microfinance means the finance of small size. She represents a
financial intermediation in favour of poor people who have low income and are
generally marginalized by classical banking system. That is why, most African
countries have developed in their PRSP (Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper) some
actions concerning microfinance, with the aim to improving financial services
offered, in particular credit to poor people and contribute in stimulating
economic growth. However, these MFIs sometime face social mission (social
performance, which consist in touching a large number of those who are excluded
to the classical banking system) and financial viability or financial
performance, which means that cost of supply service must be taken into
consideration (Doligez , Lapenu, 2006).
In fact, the real contribution of services offered to
microfinance institutions with the aim of reaching social objectives such as
the fight against poverty, the local development or the reduction of
inequalities, still at the center of various debates (Hulme & Mosley, 1996;
Morduch, 2000; Pitt & Khanker, 1999). Generally, in developing countries
and particularly in Cameroon the fight against poverty can be effective through
the financing of micro and small businesses. The creation of Small and Medium
Size Enterprises generates employment but these enterprises are short live and
consequently cause those who gained job positions to lose them and even go
poorer than they were. It should be noted that microfinance is not a panacea
but it is a main tool that fosters development in developing countries. It is
known worldwide that the poor cannot borrow from banks. The latter does not
lend to them because they do not have what is required to be granted a loan or
to be provided with bank services. The lack of financial power is a
contributing factor to most of the societal problems. These problems emanate
from poverty and it
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
is known that with poverty one is bound to suffer so many
consequences ranging from lack of good health care system, education,
nutrition, Microfinance has proved this bank concept to be wrong. They target
the poor who are considered risky but the repayment rate turns to be positive
as compared to the regular commercial banks (Zeller and Sharma, 1998).
Researchers regard microfinance from different dimensions.
Microfinance gives people new opportunities by helping them to get and secure
finances so as to equalize the chances and make them responsible of their own
future. It broadens the horizons and thus plays both economic and social roles
by improving the living conditions of the people (Microfinance Radio
Netherlands, 2010). These improvements are to alleviate poverty, and according
to this project, it will be seen from the point of the development of informal
institutions. The accomplishment of 2035 Cameroon emergence to alleviate
poverty at this date is far-fetched despite the enormous works that
microfinance institutions are doing to contribute in this domain. The main
challenge faced by the poor is to gain financial power to enable them boost
their income generating activities (Yunus, 2003).
I.1- Background of the study
Since independence, the government of Cameroon has embarked on
several attempts aimed at promoting agricultural development in the country. In
the first few years after independence in 1961; the government embarked on the
policy of «Green Revolution», which aimed at encouraging the
development of agriculture in the country (Simarski, 1992). Other efforts
included the setting up of agencies like the National Fund for Rural
Development (FONADER) and other rural agricultural extension programs. In spite
of all these attempts, much is still needed to boost this sector, which is
considered very vital in the economic life wire of the state. A recent
development in this sector has been the increase involvement of NGOs and the
microfinance institutions in the process of enhancing the development of
informal sector.
Moreover, recent years have seen a growing push for
transparency in microfinance. An important aspect of this trend has been the
increasing use of financial and institutional indicators to measure the
performance of microfinance institutions.
Historically, microfinance has been successful in reaching the
population excluded from the classical financial system. In the 90?s, efforts
have been concentrated towards financial and institutional sustainability of
the microfinance institutions. Tools to evaluate financial performances have
been developed, but the social performances were taken for granted.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
However, nowadays, donors and social investors ask the MFIs to
justify the fundings: Who are the clients targeted? How can we combine social
and financial objectives? How do we avoid mission drift? Some MFIs themselves
have the intuition that reinforcing social performances can lead, on the mid
run, to strengthen financial sustainability. Some initiatives have flourished,
trying to identify few indicators that could be used to assess the social
process followed by the MFIs.
In Cameroon, studies conducted on MFIs efficiency are rare.
Monkam et al (2001), shown through the financial ratios that, IMFs are viable
even the cost of money is expensive. However, Monkam?s study is focus on
financial aspect to the detriment of social objectives. Likewise, Djeuda &
Heidhues (2005) have done the growth stimulations of Cameroonian Mutual Growth
by using Cobb - Douglas production function in the cost behaviour analysis. But
their study is just based on structure growth, without seeking to know if
credit grant toward the poor is effective. Therefore, we are based on this lack
of research on social performance on MFIs to structure our argumentation. It is
important to look at it because even though the government promotes informal
sector through different institutions, microfinance institutions are not
leaving any stone unturned to make sure that the acute poverty striking the
poor population is redressed.
I.2- Problem statement
The microfinance sector in Cameroon is quickly expanding, and
institutions have increased their activities. In fact, the microfinance sector
has a customer base of about 1.2 million clients (2012 Cameroon financial law:
Report of the Economic, Social and Financial Situation and Prospect). This
sector has been successful in reaching the population excluded from the
classical financial system. In the last decade, efforts have been concentrated
towards financial and institutional sustainability of the microfinance
institutions. The objective of these MFIs is to reach the best possible
performance, which can be achieved when people combine two requirements,
namely: social performance (through the reduction of poverty) and financial
performance (in ensuring sustained profitability). However, these two
requirements raise a debate between two opposing schools of thought:
? The «welfarists» argue that, the social
requirement of targeting the poorest and improvement of living conditions;
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
? «Institutionalists» defend the
requirement of economic profitability and viability of institutions.
MFIs of Cameroon provide a clear illustration of this discussion
and analysis of their activities that can answer the questions: Is there a
trade-off between the two types of performance namely social and financial
performance? In other words, does the pursuit of social objectives enable MFIs
eventually to expand their financial performance?
I.3- Context of the study
Microfinance is financial intermediation for the poor who
have low incomes and are generally excluded from traditional banking system.
Therefore, most African countries have developed in their economic policies
actions involving microfinance, in order to reduce social inequalities and
fight against poverty.
The importance of this study is not only toward the emergence
of Cameroon in 2035 (through the Cameroon 2010 Strategy Document for Growth and
Employment: SDGE), but especially in studies focused in this area. Indeed, very
little studies on the performance of MFIs were conducted in Cameroon and even
less on measuring social performance of the latter.
Our study will provide tracks reflections on dilemma of the
trade-off between social performance and financial performance, which is a
limit for the development of MFIs. However, many impediments have been
encountered in our analysis. Which is notably the lack of empirical data on
microfinance and the lack of tools and methods of the analysis of microfinance
performance. Despite these difficulties, we have focused our reflexion towards
a convergence of objectives of microfinance institutions and by extension for
sustained development of the informal sector in Cameroon.
I.4- Objectives of research
This study is intended to investigate the relationship between
social and financial performance of MFIs and factors that contribute to the
development of informal sector, with a particular interest in the role that
microfinance institution may be playing. In addition to gaining a more general
understanding of the challenges facing developing informal institutions, the
study will identify how the evaluation of microfinances? performance is
contributing to the development of small and medium size businesses and how we
can overcome the arbitrage between social and financial performance of
microfinance institutions.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
This study is focused on the assessment of microfinace
performance and how microfinance may contribute to improve or to boost the
development of the non-formal institutions. The specific objectives in this
study are as follows:
+ To give an overall view of microfinance sector and
informal institutions in Cameroon and especially in Yaoundé (creation,
typology, regulation, etc.);
+ To set up a research methodology: which is based on
research question, which will try to
overcome the arbitrage or trade-off between social and financial
performance of MFIs; + To set up the correlation between microfinance
and development of informal sector;
+ The last but not the least objective will be to find
out if the pursuit of social objectives
enables the MFIs to eventually expand their financial
performance.
I.5- Research outline
This research involves six chapters:
> Chapter one: Introduction
We will focus here on the problem, context, aims and objective of
the study.
> Chapter 2: A comprehensive review of the
existing literature
In this chapter, we are going to provide some of the concepts of
microfinance and the role they
play in the development of informal institutions. And also the
critical review of the existing
literature (published and unpublished) on the microfinance
performance area.
> Chapter 3: theoretical
perspective
This chapter will take into account the concept of microfinance,
the concept of informal sector,
theoretical links between MFIs and development of informal
sector, the microfinance schism and
the notions of social and financial performance
> Chapter 4: Research methodology
In this chapter, we will explain the relationship between social
and financial performance, the
selection of variables and indicators, the hypothesis and
research models and regression
approach.
> Chapter 5: Presentation and analysis of
data
The main topics here are: data collection, the dataset,,
preliminary data analysis and regression
analysis
> Chapter 6: Conclusion, limitations and
recommendations
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
CHAPTER II- A COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW OF THE EXISTING
LITERATURE
Throughout the world, poor people are excluded from formal
financial systems. Exclusion ranges from partial exclusion in developed
countries to full or nearly full exclusion in lesser developed countries
(LDCs). Absent access to formal financial services, the poor have developed a
wide variety of informal, community-based financial arrangements to meet their
financial needs.1 In addition, over the last two decades, an increasing number
of formal sector organizations (non-government, government, and private) have
been created for the purpose of meeting those same needs. Microfinance is the
term that has come to refer generally to such informal and formal arrangements
offering financial services to the poor. The purpose of this chapter therefore
is to give a comprehensive of the existing literature concerning the following
points: Welfarists and Institutionalists approaches, the Self-Sufficiency and
Sustainability of MFIs, Impact of Microfinance Institutions and the literature
review on the social performance of MFIs.
II.1- Welfarists and Institutionalists approaches
Microfinance is a means to fight against poverty in developing
countries, through the financing of income-generating activities for poor
households. However, the best way to help the poor gain access to financial
services welfarists opposes the approach to that of institutionalists. Although
they share the goal of poverty reduction, these two approaches put microfinance
in the Crossroads.
The welfarists are based on the theory of social
responsibility vis-à-vis the customer to meet its expectations (Carroll,
1979; Servet, 2007). This school of thought evaluates the performance of MFIs
in terms of the customer through the social (outreach) and impact analysis
(impact assessment): it targets the poor whose incomes are 50% lower the
poverty line ($ 1 per day) and aims to improve their living conditions. It is
composed mainly of supportive institutions NGOs or cooperatives that see
microfinance as a key means to reduce poverty of the poorest. Despite its
emphasis on the rational management of resources and does not exclude that MFIs
can conduct a profitable business after a period of 5 to 12 years, this school
of thought advocates an offer financial services at rates interest and a
relatively low reliance on subsidies.
The institutionalists rely more on contract theory, which
considers that incomplete contracts can lead to opportunistic behavior of
applicants for credit (and Guinanne Ghatak,
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
1999). The institutionalists evaluate the performance in terms
of the institution by targeting a clientele of poor households and to the
financial sustainability of MFIs. They designed a set of "best practices"
(Appendix 1) bank-bank to increase the effectiveness of management systems
(finance and accounting, marketing, service delivery, etc), whose adoption is a
step essential to achieving financial self-sufficiency in industrial scale and
access to financial markets. They consider financial independence as a
criterion that best fulfills the social mission. They are essentially financial
institutions: either specialized microfinance institutions regulated (NGOs,
NBFIs and microcredit associations) that falls clearly within the realm of
profitability or village banks and some commercial banks that are more
traditional recently involved in microfinance.
The respective approaches of welfarists and institutionalists
have the subject of a number of criticisms. The first approach faces the
problem of viability and sustainability induced by subsidies, low reimbursement
rates and rising operating costs, the second approach a customer micro
entrepreneurs very close to the poverty line ($ 2 per day) which are applied in
interest rates high enough to ensure the financial autonomy of MFIs. This
"microfinance schism" (Morduch, 1998) refers to the tradeoff between targeting
the poor and profitability of MFIs.
II.2- The Self-Sufficiency and Sustainability of
MFIs
Unlike formal sector financial institutions, the large
majority of MFIs are not "sustainable," where sustainability is equated in
microfinance literature and parlance with financial
self-sufficiency1. Instead, most MFIs are able to operate without
covering their costs due to subsidies and gifts from governments and other
donors. Notwithstanding, the microfinance industry is dominated by an
institutionist paradigm (Morduch (2000), Woller et al. (1999a))
asserting that an MFI should be able to cover its operating and financing costs
with program revenues. The conceptual foundations of the institutionist
paradigm stem to a large degree from the work of researchers at the Ohio State
University?s Rural Finance Program. Their analysis of the failed rural credit
agencies established by several LDC governments during the 1960s and 1970s
diagnosed the primary cause of failure to be the «lack of institutional
viability» (Gonzalez-Vega (1994)). This diagnoses led logically to two
principal conclusions: (1) institutional sustainability was key to successful
provision of financial services to the poor and
1 Morduch (2000) reports a rough
estimate that only 1 percent of MFIs are currently financially self-sustainable
and that no more than 5 percent ever would be.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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(2) financial self-sufficiency was a necessary condition for
institutional sustainability2. The institutionist argument is
consistent with Hollis and Sweetman (1998a) who discuss six historical cases in
an attempt to identify the institutional designs that facilitated success and
sustainability for 19th century loan funds in the UK, Germany, and Italy. The
authors conclude that subsidized loan funds were more fragile and lost focus
more quickly than those that obtained funds from depositors.
In contrast, Welfarists take odds with
institutionists over the issue of sustainability. Welfarists argue that MFIs
can achieve sustainability without achieving financial self-sufficiency
(Morduch (2000), Woller et al. (1999a)). They argue that donations serve as a
form of equity and as such, the donors can be viewed as social investors.
Unlike private investors who purchase equity in a publicly traded firm, social
investors do not expect to earn monetary returns. Instead, these
donor-investors realize a social, or intrinsic, return. Social
investors can be compared to equity investors who invest in socially
responsible funds, even if the expected risk-adjusted return of the socially
responsible fund is below that of an index fund. These socially responsible
fund investors are willing to accept a lower expected financial return because
they also receive the intrinsic return of not investing in firms that they find
offensive. Microfinance social investors take this notion to the limit,
generally earning zero financial returns and relying totally upon intrinsic
returns.
Welfarists tend to emphasize poverty alleviation, place
relatively greater weight on depth of outreach relative to breath of outreach,
and gauge institutional success more so according to social
metrics3. This is not to say that neither breadth of outreach nor
financial metrics matter. Welfarists feel these issues are important, but they
are less willing than institutionists to sacrifice depth of outreach to achieve
them. Welfarists envision an industry characterized by a plurality of
institutional types (including both profit-seeking and social-mission entities)
targeting different markets, with different combinations of market and
non-market funding, and with different levels of commitment to social versus
financial return.
Morduch (2000) refers to the debate between institutionists
and Welfarists as the «microfinance schism.» Driving the schism are
competing perceptions of the implications for financial self-sufficiency on
depth of outreach. General consensus holds that there exists a tradeoff
between
2 Additionally, Bennett and Cuevas
(1996) argue for the need of building sustainable financial systems for the
poor from three perspectives: a) financial sector development, b) enterprise
formation and growth, and c) poverty reduction.
3 Depth of outreach here refers to servicing
the very poorest of clients, whereas breadth refers to servicing large numbers
of clients, even if they are only marginally poor or non-poor.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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financial self-sufficiency and depth of outreach (e.g., von
Pischke (1996)). But masked by this consensus is much disagreement about the
nature, extent, and implications of this tradeoff. Nonetheless, what little
evidence exists suggests that those MFIs that have achieved true financial
self-sufficiency have also tended to loan to borrowers who were either slightly
above or slightly below the poverty line in their respective countries (Navajas
et al., (2000)).
These MFIs are able to capture economies of scale by extending
larger loans to the marginally poor or non-poor. Although still an open
question, this limited evidence leads many to conclude that if financial
self-sufficiency is desired, then the very poor will not be reached by MFI
services. That is, the MFI will not be able to achieve enough depth to reach
those who need credit the most desperately.
An important area of financial research that has yet to be
rigorously explored but which has significant potential to inform the debate
mentioned above is the feasibility of introducing microfinance into the world
capital markets. With the high repayment rates of many MFIs (e.g., upper 90% in
many cases), there exists the potential to tap MFIs into world capital markets
through instruments such as commercial banks loans, commercial paper, bond
financing, equity financing, or through the bundling and securitization of MFI
loans. Determining avenues to permit investment in MFIs via capital markets is
an area of research that seems tailored to the tools and theory of finance
academics.
In practice, there are currently several ongoing attempts to
tap capital market investors for MFI funding. The ACCION Gateway Fund makes
equity, quasi-equity, and debt investments in MFIs with a proven track record
of financial sustainability. The AfriCap Microfinance Fund makes equity
investments in African-based MFIs, as well as financing technical assistance
for said MFIs. Blue Orchard Finance promotes private investments in
microfinance by identification and analysis of MFIs and investment monitoring
and reporting of its funds. Using a venture capital approach, ProFund
International is an investment fund that attempts to earn a competitive return
for its shareholders while facilitating MFI growth. Finally, the Community
Reinvestment Fund provides a secondary market for microfinance loans by
securitizing the microloans and collateralizing bonds that are sold to private
investors4. If capital markets can be tapped to give MFIs the needed
funds to be self-sufficient, and if investors can earn returns commensurate
with the risk borne, the vision of a poverty-alleviation mechanism that pays
for itself (both implicit and explicit costs) may be realized in greater
proportions. Issues surrounding MFI sustainability
4 The bulk of the information in this
paragraph is drawn from an ACCION website at URL:
http://www.accion.org/technical_assistance/micro_links2.asp
Q_K_E_2.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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+and self-sufficiency, and the implications/tradeoffs implied
therein seem well-suited for finance researchers. Few rigorous studies have
been conducted in a financial institutions framework to develop and test theory
pertaining to MFI self-sufficiency.
Some evidence does exist however, that MFIs have historically
been very resilient and sustainable. Hollis and Sweetman (2001) discuss the
microloan funds in 18th and 19th century Ireland. They report that
Irish loan funds thrived for over 100 years due to their ability to change
rapidly to external conditions, at one point providing financial services for
20% of Ireland's population. It took a combination of formal bank lobbying that
resulted in anti-MFI legislation and the Irish potato famine to cause the
demise of these early loan funds. Patten et al. (2001) provide a more recent
historical example of the resilience of MFIs and their clientele.
They compare the performance of the Indonesian MFI Bank Rakyat
Indonesia (BRI) to formal Indonesian banks during the East Asian financial
crisis. They find that BRI performed superior to the formal banking sector when
comparing both loan repayment rates and savings rates of members. Having
discussed MFI self-sufficiency and sustainability, we now turn our attention to
the products and services offered within the current microfinance framework.
II.3- Impact of Microfinance Institutions
In this section, we will discuss the impact of microfinance as
measured by their impact on clients, their enterprises, households, and the
communities in which they live. As a general rule, MFIs work toward a double
bottom-line (financial and social) unlike the typical formal financial
institution which works solely toward a financial bottom-line. Measuring
financial returns is relatively straight-forward. Microfinance has borrowed
liberally from the financial accounting and performance standards in the formal
financial sector. Concepts such as return on equity, return on assets,
portfolio-at-risk, and so forth are increasingly becoming the lingua franca of
the microfinance industry5. Measuring social return, however, is
anything but straightforward. In practice, the specific impacts of microfinance
are hard to pin down and harder still to measure. Impact assessments require
adoption of research methodologies capable of isolating specific effects out of
a complicated web of causal and mediating factors and high decibels of
random
5 Use of standard accounting measures of
institutional performance in microfinance frequently requires adjustment to
reflect financial subsidies (e.g., cash donations, in-kind donations, or other
types of below-market financing) received by MFIs. Thus the common use of the
concept «Financial Self-Sufficiency», which adjusts institutional
profitability for the imputed market cost of subsidized financing, in lieu of
profitability.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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environmental noise, as well as attaching specific units of
measurement to tangible and intangible impacts that may or may not lend
themselves to precise definition or measurement.
II.4- Literature review on the social performance of
microfinance institutions
In the social performance standards report a distinction is
made between the achievement of social goals by MFIs and the poverty
measurement amongst microfinance clients. Also, Zeller, Lapenu & Greely
(2003) argued that social performance measurement is not the same as social
impact measurement. Social impact measurement should be concerned with the
poverty outreach, and the changes in welfare and quality of life of
microfinance clients, whereas social performance measurement is associated with
the outreach measurement of microfinance programs.
II.4.1- Impact studies on microfinance
Although the number of empiric studies on the impact of
microfinance from large samples of microfinance clients is growing,
«measuring the impact of financial services has become one of the most
controversial issues facing the microfinance industry». (Meyer, 2006, p.
225) Armendáriz & Morduch (2005) and Meyer (2006, p. 226) found
several «issues of study design, data collection and statistical
analysis», making impact measurement and analysis troublesome. First,
appropriate poverty proxies have to measure the initial levels and the change
in the poverty levels of microfinance clients and non- clients. Second, an
important issue in providing empirical evidence on the benefits of microfinance
is clarifying the causal role of microfinance. Accordingly, identifying
reliable treatment and control groups is crucial. In more detail, while
measuring the impact of microfinance programs one should (1) account for the
displacement of economic activity undertaken by non-clients, (2) one should
consider current and past clients by identifying previously successful and
inactive microfinance graduates?, and (3) one should deal with attrition by
accounting for household drop outs. (Armendáriz & Morduch, 2005)
Third, Meyer (2006) considers two important forms of selection biases. The
selection of microfinance clients participating in microfinance programs is
likely biased. Random selection is unlikely since new microfinance clients may
be: (1) more entrepreneurial, (2) willing to take risk or (3) may have more
carefully been selected by loan officers. Also, the programs placement is
likely to be biased, since MFIs may choose to locate their activities in areas
with better infrastructure and communication facilities.
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II.4.2- Studies on the social performance of
microfinance institutions
In 2006, Zeller & Johannsen examined the breadth and depth
of outreach of microfinance in Bangladesh and Peru. The authors (2006, p. 29)
find «that member based organizations, namely cooperatives in Peru and
NGO-MFIs based on solidarity group lending in Bangladesh, perform best with
respect to depth of poverty outreach». The authors find that a long-term
relationship between the financial service provider and the client enhances the
institutions financial sustainability and the programs social impact. Also,
poorer populations seem to demand microcredit services rather than saving
services. The authors (2006, p. 31) concluded that «MFIs that expand in
rural areas, that actively target women, and that use poverty targeting
indicators to screen out wealthier applicants are likely to have a higher
poverty outreach». In 2007, Mersland & Strom (2007) found that the
type of ownership of MFIs does not significantly influence their social
performance. The authors (2008, p. 4) use Schreiner?s (2002) framework, but
reject the hypothesis that greater depth in NGOs is a trade-off against lower
breadth, length and scope of their activities. «NGOs are not more socially
orientated that SHFs [shareholder-owned MFIs], nor are SHFs more profit
orientated than NGOs», according to Mersland & Strøm (2007, p.
5). On the contrary, Gutiérrez-Nieto, Serrano-Cinca & Mar Molinero
(2009) found that NGOs show the highest level of social efficiency, with the
number of active women borrowers reached as their output. More recently,
Lensink & Mersland (2009) explored the concept of microfinance plus?. The
authors distinguish between MFIs that specialize in their financial service
activities, and MFIs that provide additional non-financial
service6.
The authors find that microfinance plus providers are: (1)
NGOs, (2) unregulated by banking authorities, and (3) mainly providing
microfinance services through village banking methodologies. Being part of an
international microfinance network does not seem to influence whether a MFI
provides plus services. Also, the authors find that microfinance plus providers
reach out to poorer microfinance clients and reach out to a higher percentage
of women borrowers.
The number of clients reached by the MFIs grew significantly
over the period 2005-2007. The median number of active borrowers is highest in
Asia. Outreach to microfinance clients grew in 2007, but at a slower pace than
in previous years. Microfinance banks perform exceptionally well in terms of
number of active borrowers reached. Second, MFIs in Asia seem to concentrate on
solely serving women microfinance clients. MFIs in the African, Latin
6 For example, MFIs may provide
literacy training, health services, or business training to their microfinance
clients.
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American and the Caribbean, and the Middle Eastern and North
African region predominantly serve women borrowers. Less than 50 percent of the
microfinance clients in the Eastern European and Asian region are women.
Alternatively, NGOs and rural banks perform best in reaching out to women
micro-entrepreneurs. Third, the cost per borrower ratios is calculated by
dividing the operating expense by the average number of microfinance clients
over a period of a MFI. The expenses per client are lowest for NGOs and rural
banks, while microfinance banks face significantly higher operating expenses.
Despite their aver-age number of borrowers reached, microfinance banks do not
seem to benefit from economies of scale. Alternatively, the costs per borrower
ratios are highest in the Eastern European and Central Asian region, and lowest
in the Asian region. Fourth, the average loans balance per borrower /the GNI
per capita is highest in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Unexpectedly, the
correction for GNI per capita allows for a relatively high average loan size in
Africa. The average loan balance per borrower / GNI per capita is unambiguously
lowest for NGOs. Banks report average loan sizes over five times as high as the
average loan sizes reported by NGOs. Credit unions and NBFIs report average
loan sizes in-between those reported by NGOs and microfinance banks. (MIX,
2008, 2009d)
II.4.3- Clients targeting
There are two primary issues in client targeting: first,
gender targeting (lending to women versus lending to men) and second, poverty
targeting (lending to the very poor and poor versus lending to the marginally
poor and non-poor).
? Gender targeting
Many MFIs target primarily, or exclusively, women. This
practice is based on the common belief that women invest the loans in
productive activities or in improving family welfare more often than men, who
are assumed to consume rather than invest loan funds. Pitt and Khandker (1998)
use empirical data from Bangladesh over the period of 1991-1992 to test the
hypothesis that women use borrowed funds more efficiently than men. They use
household expenditures, nonland assets held by women, male and female labor
supply, and boys' and girls' schooling as measurement outcomes. The authors
find that although the availability of microfinance positively impacts all six
areas in the aggregate, all areas are significantly affected when women borrow,
but only one of the six is significantly affected when men borrow. When women
borrow, but only one of the six is significantly affected when men borrow.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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Examining a related question, Kevane and Wydick (2001) use a
sample of 342 MFI participants in Guatemala to analyze the assertion that male
borrowers produce more economic growth than women and those women facilitate
more poverty alleviation. They find no significant differences between men and
women in generating business sales and a small advantage of employment
generation by men relative to women. They attribute the difference between men
and women to the role of women in childbearing.
Underlying the emphasis on lending to women is the widespread
belief that access to financial services empowers women, both financially and
socially7.Testing this belief, Amin et al. (1998) use qualitative
and quantitative evidence in Bangladesh to show that membership in microfinance
programs among other factors is positively related to women's empowerment. In
contrast, Ehlers and Main (1998) analyze microenterprise development programs
for poor US women and argue that the microfinance assistance is more
detrimental and problematic than advocates believe.
? Very-Poor versus Marginally-Poor
Targeting
As mentioned earlier, one of the most significant and
controversial debates in microfinance is whether and to what extent there
exists a trade-off between financial self-sufficiency and depth of outreach.
Integral to this debate is whether to achieve self-sufficiency MFIs must target
marginally-poor or non-poor clientele so as to capture economies of scale and
cover costs8.
The last three articles in this section address who
participates, and who does not participate, in microfinance programs and
whether micro entrepreneurs are subject to credit rationing. Evans (1999)
conducts an empirical examination of microfinance clients in Bangladesh. He
reports that only 25% of eligible households participate and that rates of
Participation is higher among the poorer. Multivariate
analysis indicates that lack of female education, small household size, and
landlessness are risk factors for nonparticipation. Baydas et al. (1994a,
1994b) analyze credit rationing in Ecuador by MFIs. In one study (1994a), they
construct and estimate a supply and demand model to analyze factors MFIs use to
ration credit and find that micro entrepreneurs with less profitable
enterprises and less education have
7 Women's empowerment is a critical
issue in the developing world context in which women routinely live at the
margins of society being denied basic human rights, individual dignity,
economic and educational opportunities, and social/political voice by
male-dominated social norms both within society at large and within their own
households.
8 The issue of targeting
has taken on more importance, as the U.S. Congress recently amended the
Microenterprise for Self-Reliance Act to ensure that at least fifty percent of
all the microenterprise resources it grants shall be targeted to the very poor.
The very poor are defined either as those living in the bottom fifty percent
below the «official» national poverty line or those living on the
equivalent of less than $1 per day adjusted for purchasing power
parities.
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
smaller. Demand for microcredit. In another study (1994b),
they test for evidence of discrimination against women micro entrepreneurs by
formal sector lenders in Ecuador. They find that men and women have equally
small probabilities of being quantity rationed for loans and conclude that
gender discrimination is not widely practiced in Ecuador.
Conclusion
The purpose of this chapter has been to give a comprehensive
review of the existing literature to the discipline of microfinance and
microfinance institutions. We have discussed the issues of MFI Welfarists and
Institutionalists approaches, The Self-Sufficiency and Sustainability of MFIs,
client targeting, and impact assessment in a summary literature review.
22
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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CHAPTER III- THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVE
This chapter focuses on some of the concepts of microfinance
and the role they play in the development of informal institutions. The
concepts chosen are those that are in relation with the area of this thesis.
The chapter opens with an overview of microfinance. This shows the various
products and services that MFIs have and explains how importance they are to
the development of non-formal sector. The next center of attention is the
concept of informal sector. This gives an idea of informal sector in Cameroon.
The following concern is to investigate the theoretical links between
microfinance and the development of the informal sector. Further, we will
explain the microfinance schism i.e. the relationship between social
performance and financial performance.
III.1- The concept of microfinance III.1.1-
Definition
The term micro-credit? was first coined in the
1970s to indicate the provision of loans to the poor to establish
income-generating projects, while the term microfinance? has come to
be used since the late 1990s to indicate the so-called second revolution in
credit theory and policy that are customer-centered rather than
product-centered (Elahi and Rahman 2006:477). But the terms
micro-credit? and microfinance? tend to be used
interchangeably to indicate the range of financial services offered
specifically to poor, low-income households and micro-enterprises (CGAP website
2010; Brau and Woller 2004:3). Microfinance principally encompasses
micro-credit, micro-savings, and micro-insurance and money transfers for the
poor9. Microcredit, which is part of microfinance, is the practice
of delivering small, collateral-free loans to usually unsalaried borrowers or
members of cooperatives who otherwise cannot get access to credit (CGAP website
2010; Hossain 2002:79). And while non-financial services such as education,
vocational training and technical assistance might be crucial to improve the
impact of microfinance services, they are not the focus of this review. Like
anyone else, poor people need an array of financial services to help them deal
with a range of short to long term consumption needs and the ups and downs of
income and expenses, to make use of opportunities, and to cope with
vulnerabilities and emergencies. The needs of the poor for financial services
have been
9 Of late, housing finance for the
poor, micro-leasing, micro franchising and other financial services for the
poor have been added to the broad grouping of microfinances.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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categorized into three groups, namely life-cycle needs that
can be anticipated (like marriage, burial and education), unanticipated
emergencies (like sickness, loss of employment, death of a breadwinner,
floods), and opportunities (like investing in a new business or buying land)
(Matin et al. 1999:7-8)10.
The spectrum of financial services available to meet these
needs includes investment (savings), lending (credit services), insurance (risk
management) and money transfers. But the poor?s access to formal financial
services is limited, and the services available do not acknowledge the diverse
requirements of the poor (Matin et al. 1999:3). Instead poor people tend to
juggle financial relationships with various financial institutions (and with
friends and family) to have the flexibility and reliability they need (Collins
and Morduch 2010:23). They depend on various types of formal and informal
community funding, credit unions, moneylenders, cooperatives, self-help groups
and associations (like accumulating savings and credit associations, rotating
savings and credit associations, burial societies), and financial NGOs. And
with commercial financial institutions considering ways in which to provide
financial services to the poor in a profitable manner, microfinance services
are now provided by a whole spectrum of role players. To categorize the various
financial institutions, Matin et al. (1999:5) created a three-by-three matrix,
with one axis comprising the financial service components (savings, credit and
insurance) and the other axis the providers (informal, formal, and semi-formal
providers). Rutherford (1996) based his categorization on the type of service
as well as whether it is owned and managed by the users themselves or other
providers, while Staschen?s typology (1999:7-8) is based on the source of
funds. The reality then is a mix of financial services accessed by poor people
from a variety of service providers, depending on local knowledge, history,
context and need (Matin et al. 1999:9).
III.1.2- Overview of microfinance in Cameroon
In Cameroon, studies on the efficiency of microfinance
institutions in poverty reduction are relatively scarce. Monkam et al (2001)
show, through financial ratios that MFIs are sustainable even if the cost of
money remains expensive. However, this study emphasizes the financial aspect at
the expense of the original objectives of MFIs that are consistent with the
accessibility of financial services to poor and their role in the fight against
poverty as formulated in the PRSP.
10 Matin et al. (1999:6) refer to the
role of financial services in meeting these needs as a protective role (to help
cope with risks) and a promotional role (to provide a return).
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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Similarly, Djeuda & Heidhues (2005) are simulations of
growth M (Community Growth Mutual Funds) using a Cobb - Douglas model in the
analysis of cost behaviour. But the study is only interested in the growth of
the structure while the question of whether the granting of credit to the poor
is effective. However despite this lack of research focused specifically on the
effectiveness of MFIs, there are studies that propose a descriptive inventory
of the supply by MFIs. This inventory shows that the supply by MFIs in Cameroon
relates generally to savings, credit, and remittances. This offer is provided
by three categories of MFIs described by Creusot (2006):
? The first category consists of MFIs who deal only with their
members. These are cooperatives, associations;
? The second comprises MFIs that provide financial services to
third parties. They have the status of limited company;
? The third is composed of MFIs that offer credit and are not
allowed to mobilize savings. Moreover, with the deposits amounting to 300
billion and outstanding loans standing at 200 billion at the end of December
2010, the microfinace sector has a customer base of about 1.2 million clients.
In 30 June 2011, out of 480 approved MFI, close to fifty were under
liquidation, suspension of activities, adjustment and/or temporary
administration. In a bid to strengthen financial reporting, COBAC accelerated
the putting in place of the «Microfinance Activity Evaluation and
Supervision System» (SESAME)
whose accounting component entered into force in June 2010.
The microfinance sector employs about 6000 workers of which 732 senior staff
and has six principal approved networks namely: CAMCCUL (about 177 MFI),
CVECA(41), CMEC(27) and M. Another network, MUCADEC is being approved.
There are 386 MFI under category I, 43 under category 2 and 4
under category 3. Category 2 MFI occupied the leading position in terms of
geographic coverage and market share. They accounted for more than half of
deposits and loans.
Table 1: Distribution of approved
MFIs
Region
|
Independent MFIs
|
Network MFIs
|
Total
|
Adamawa
|
04
|
05
|
09
|
Centre
|
62
|
40
|
102
|
East
|
03
|
0
|
03
|
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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Far north
|
03
|
18
|
21
|
Littoral
|
58
|
18
|
76
|
North
|
03
|
09
|
12
|
North west
|
07
|
70
|
77
|
West
|
35
|
36
|
71
|
South
|
05
|
04
|
09
|
South west
|
09
|
44
|
53
|
Total
|
189
|
244
|
433
|
Source: COBAC, MINFI
At the end of 2010, about twenty MFIs had a volume of deposits
above one million, half of which are under category 2. Regarding network MFI,
CAMCCUL collected deposits of more than 85.4 billion. As concern independent
MFI, Crédit Communautaire d'Afrique collected 66.5 billion.
Loans were mainly short-term (63%) and medium-term (34%). The bulk of loans
where granted for trade (39%) and consumption (27%). In terms of market share,
with close to 57.3 billion, CAMCCUL accounted for more than one-quarter of
loans.
Interest rate remained quite high despite stiff competition in
the sector. Debit rate were between 4% and 30% per year for an average
intermediation margin of 17%. Interest rates in the microfinance sector ranged
from 6% to 33% for interest expenses and from 1% to 10% for interest income.
Regarding prudential ratio, out of a sample of 50 MFI, half of them complied
with the liquidity, risk coverage and fixed assets coverage ratios. Only some
ten MFI had sufficient own funds.
Number of MFIs per region
Adamawa Centre East Far north Littoral
North North west West South South west
3% 5%
2%
18%
33%
4%
2%
1%
31%
1%
Figure1: Number of MFIs per region
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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Table2: Aggregate balance sheet of MFIs on 31
December 2010
Liabilities
|
Amounts (million fcfa)
|
Assets
|
Amounts (million fcfa)
|
Capital
|
42
|
283
|
Fixed assets
|
44
|
802
|
Shares
|
38
|
902
|
Loans
|
221
|
378
|
Fixed deposits
|
373
|
872
|
Others
|
39
|
397
|
Others
|
35
|
870
|
Cash
|
152
|
786
|
Cash
|
6
|
338
|
|
|
|
Total
|
458
|
363
|
Total
|
458
|
363
|
Source: COBAC
The total aggregated balance sheet of MFIs in Cameroon at the
end of December 2010 is established at FCFA 458,363 billion. It represents
15.7% of total assets of commercial banks in the same date. 80% of the main
activities of microfinance sector are covered by MFIs of first category. The
most important structures are CAMCCUL network and Crédit
Communautaire d'Afrique (CCA), with respectively 70,081 and 119,211
billion of total assets at the end of 2010.
The financial intermediation operations are important in the
balance sheet structure and reinforce the activities of this sector. Deposits
collected, represent an amount of FCFA 373,872 billion and correspond to 81.5%
of the total aggregated balance sheet. They represent 15.5% of total deposits
collected by commercial banks in Cameroon. They are largely from CAMCCUL
network (95.85 billion), CCA (65,656 billion) and COMECI (17,575 billion).
However, the cash outstanding loans are estimated at FCFA 223,563 billion, or
49% of consolidated total assets. Based on the level of lending by commercial
banks, they represent approximately 15.7%.
Net cash microfinance is lending of FCFA 146,448 billion on
31st December 2010. It is usually held in the form of cash in hand, deposits
held at call with local correspondents and, accessorily, in the form of
investments in certificates of deposit or government bonds. Thus, it highlights
the problem of the management of cash surplus in Cameroon MFIs.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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Table3: evolution of microfinance activities in
Cameroon from 2002 to 2010.
Years
|
Issued capit*
|
Fixed deposit*
|
Gross loan*
|
Number of MFI
|
Member/clients /number
|
Countrs number
|
1st cat MFI
|
2nd cat MFI
|
3rd cat MFI
|
2002
|
6781
|
66727
|
44748
|
601
|
331006
|
695
|
587
|
14
|
0
|
2003
|
9501
|
55769
|
56077
|
301
|
462585
|
749
|
582
|
19
|
0
|
2004
|
13666
|
98743
|
65402
|
567
|
541980
|
756
|
532
|
35
|
0
|
2005
|
16974
|
116840
|
70795
|
453
|
460706
|
879
|
404
|
35
|
0
|
2006
|
19887
|
162427
|
104173
|
453
|
849030
|
1052
|
418
|
35
|
0
|
2007
|
25323
|
194830
|
117233
|
460
|
962627
|
1111
|
420
|
38
|
2
|
2008
|
22.23
|
258220
|
138523
|
470
|
1073621
|
983
|
420
|
38
|
2
|
2010
|
42.283
|
373872
|
221378
|
490
|
/
|
/
|
442
|
44
|
4
|
Source: COBAC, *FCFA million
III.1.3- Evolution of equities
The financial structure of MFIs has strengthened. Indeed, the
equity of the sector rose to about 35%, from 27,511 in 2008 to 42,283 billion
at the end of 2010. It should be noted that the capital structure displayed by
the sector (27,511 billion) represent 19.8% of those commercial banks in
Cameroon at the same date.
The importance of first category of MFIS is not negligible.
CAMCCUL network is the largest settlement funded with shares subscribed and
paid that amount to 7571 billion. It is followed by CCA and ADVANS Cameroon,
which belongs to the second category, which have subscribed and paid up capital
respectively of 3 billion and 2500 billion. Some MFIs of second category are in
the process of important recapitalization, thus it is noted that the CCA in
early 2010 increased its capital to 5 billion FCFA, COMECI launched a program
of action to go to 3 billion FCFA, First Trust follows the same trend with new
entrants in the capital.
Since 2005, commercial banks are increasingly interested in
this sector developed by the MFI, and thus BICEC entered the capital of ACEP,
SGBC created in 2006 with other partners (Horus Finance) ADVANS. Eco Bank has
partnered with ACCION International to launch in early 2010 EB-ACCION
Microfinance Cameroon (EAMF). Apart from these initiatives, we must add those
already underway for over a decade. This is first Afriland First Bank, which in
1992 embarked on the promotion of M and MUFFA, BICEC with CVECA (focus on
refinancing) in the middle 1990s and the Union Bank of Cameroon (UBC) and the
CAMCCUL network since 1999,
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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collaboration will be strengthened with the entry of OCEANIC
BANK International shareholding in UBC. Just because these institutions are
good customers for them, profitable and safe, because their risk is spread over
thousands of small loans. In addition, commercial banks in microfinance are an
extension of their business into new markets. Microfinance, which attracts
private capital to those who need it most, opens unprecedented
opportunities.
Several private investors have entered in Cameroon include:
BLUE FIANANCE into CADECI MFI in first category, ECP (first Trust), AFRICAP or
MAURITUS MECENE (The Regional), CORDAID (CECAW) and RABOBANK (CECAW and
MUCEPI).
III.1.4- Profitability of microfinance sector
Mainly due to the poor quality of loan portfolios, the
profitability of Cameroon MFI is generally low and highly dependent, for
structures that are profitable, grants and funding received from the Government
(HIPC and other projects) and / or external donor funding. Thus, despite the
above noted performance, the financial situation of the microfinance sector in
Cameroon is generally troublesome. In general, it appears that independent MFI,
including first category are characterized by fragile financial situations.
Only MFI in a network and those benefiting from the technical assistance of a
regular partner (ADAF case for M), have an acceptable financial situation.
Microfinance institutions in difficulties include: FIFFA,
CICA, EDPS, CPAC, CAMAC. The situation is also worrying for authorized
networks. Of the six networks, two, despite some shortcomings, financial
situation acceptable (CAMCCUL and A3C), both have a marginal activity (CMEC
CMEC West and North), one has not yet reached financial independence (ECSC
CVECA North) and is out of business since 2008.Two microfinance institutions
COFINEST SA and FCIC, respectively, were placed in liquidation (after nearly
three years of provisional administration) and under provisional administration
by COBAC.
Despite this situation as a leader in the sub-region of
Central Africa, the microfinance sector and in this case the supply of
microfinance services has serious shortcomings. For industrial actors, these
failures are generic. First, MFIs in Cameroon are characterized by unequal
distribution of the national territory. One can also observe their high
concentration in the central, Littoral and West regions. MFIs independent grant
a preference to install their seats in urban areas specifically Yaoundé,
Douala and Bafoussam, while networks are much more rural.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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Moreover, the deposits are concentrated among a small number
of MFIs (networks in this case). Then, the expansion of savings is remarkable
but it is accompanied by a low coefficient of transformation of these credit
resources, covering imperfectly financing needs in the short, medium and long
term customer. Access to external financing is very limited due to lack of
suitable guaranteed mechanisms. Finally, intermediation between Bank and MFI is
low as well as dialogue between different stakeholders.
Also, the state has, for the moment, a very insufficient role
in promoting the sector and service offerings in particular, regardless of the
definition of a national strategy for development of the microfinance sector in
the PRSP and the establishment of a sub-department in charge of microfinance in
the Ministry of Finance.
III.2- The concept of informal sector III.2.1-
Definition
The original use of the term informal sector' is
attributed to the economic development model put forward by W. Arthur Lewis,
used to describe employment or livelihood generation primarily within the
developing world. It was used to describe a type of employment that was viewed
as falling outside of the modern industrial sector. An alternative definition
uses job security as the measure of formality, defining participants in the
informal economy as those 'who do not have employment security, work security
and social security.» While both of these definitions imply a lack of
choice or agency in involvement with the informal economy, participation may
also be driven by a wish to avoid regulation or taxation. This may manifest as
unreported employment, hidden from the state for tax, social security or labour
law purposes, but legal in all other aspects.
The term is also useful in describing and accounting for forms
of shelter or living arrangements that are similarly unlawful, unregulated, or
not afforded protection of the state. Informal economy' is
increasingly replacing informal sector' as the preferred descriptor
for this activity.
Informality, both in housing and livelihood generation has
often been seen as a social ill, and described either in terms of what
participant's lack, or wish to avoid. A countervailing view, put forward by
prominent Dutch sociologist Saskia Sassen is that the modern or new
informal' sector is the product and driver of advanced capitalism
and the site of the most entrepreneurial aspects of the urban economy, led by
creative professionals such as artists, architects, designers
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and software developers. While this manifestation of the
informal sector remains largely a feature of developed countries, increasingly
systems are emerging to facilitate similarly qualified people in developing
countries to participate.
III.2.2- Informal sector in Cameroon
The informal sector in Cameroon is expanding rapidly: it
contributes 39% to total employment. Without any doubt it has increased further
since; some even estimate that 85% of all those employed outside agriculture
are now working in the IS. While formal sector jobs have gone predominantly
(82%) to men, women work almost exclusively (95%) in the IS.
In Contrary to other countries where information on the
informal sector is hard to come by and often outdated, recent information is
available albeit referring only to informal employment in Yaoundé (see
Fluitman and Momo 2001). The survey provides interesting information on urban
IS enterprises in Cameroon in 12 selected trades32/ (including informal
internet cyber). It particularly studied the education and training background
of the IS producers interviewed.
The results of the survey indicate that the non-formal
institutions are still the resort of people who migrate from the rural areas:
over three-quarter of the entrepreneurs were not born in Yaoundé and
almost half of them grew up in farmers' homes. Interestingly, the younger IS
producers surveyed are not only more likely to be born in Yaoundé but
also in families of wage workers. The owners of IS enterprises, who in earlier
studies were found to be surpassed in education by their TAps and workers, to
have reached a higher educational level than those that work under them. Income
in the surveyed trades was low, with the net profit of owners of leather
workshops estimated to only US $43 per month. It was somewhat higher for
women's dressmakers, cyber cafes and restaurants, and highest in garages (mean
US $177, but half of them less than US $88).
III.3- Theoretical links between MFIs and informal
sector development
Accessing credit is considered to be an important factor in
increasing the development of SMEs. It is thought that credit augment income
levels, increases employment and thereby alleviate poverty. It is believed that
access to credit enables poor people to overcome their liquidity constraints
and undertake some investments such as the improvement of farm technology
inputs thereby leading to an increase in agricultural production (Hiedhues,
1995).
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The main objective of microcredit according to Navajas et al,
(2000) is to improve the welfare of the poor as a result of better access to
small loans that are not offered by the formal financial institutions.
Diagne and Zeller (2001) argue that insufficient access to
credit by the poor just below or just above the poverty line may have negative
consequences for SMEs and overall welfare. Access to credit further increases
SME?s risk-bearing abilities; improve risk-copying strategies and enables
consumption smoothing overtime. With these arguments, microfinance is assumed
to improve the welfare of the poor.
It is argued that MFIs that are financially sustainable with
high outreach have a greater livelihood and also have a positive impact on SME
development because they guarantee sustainable access to credit by the poor
(Rhyne and Otero, 1992).
Buckley (1997) argue that, the indicators of success of
microcredit programs namely high repayment rate, outreach and financial
sustainability does not take into consideration what impact it has on micro
enterprise operations and only focusing on «microfinance evangelism».
Carrying out research in three countries; Kenya, Malawi and Ghana, Buckle
(1997) came to the conclusion that there was little evidence to suggest that
any significant and sustained impact of microfinance services on clients in
terms of SME development, increased income flows or level of employment. The
focus in this augment is that improvement to access to microfinance and market
for the poor people was not sufficient unless the change or improvement is
accompanied by changes in technology and or technique.
Zeller and Sharma (1998) argue that microfinance can aid in
the improvement or establishment of family enterprise, potentially making the
difference between alleviating poverty and economically secure life. On the
other hand, Burger (1989) indicates that microfinance tends to stabilise rather
than increase income and tends to preserve rather than to create jobs.
Facts by Coleman (1999) suggest that the village bank credit
did not have any significant and physical asset accumulation. The women ended
up in a vicious cycle of debt as they use the money from the village banks for
consumption purposes and were forced to borrow from money lenders at high
interest rate to repay the village bank loans so as to qualify for more loans.
The main observation from this study was that credit was not an effective tool
to help the poor out of poverty or enhance their economic condition. It also
concluded that the poor are too poor because of some other hindering factors
such as lack of access to markets, price stocks, unequal
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land distribution but not lack of access to credit. This view
was also shared by Adams and Von Pischke (1992).
A study of thirteen MFIs in seven countries carried out by
(Mosley and Hulme (1998) concludes that household income tends to increase at a
decreasing rate as the income and asset position of the debtors is improve.
Diagne and Zeller (2001) in their study in Malawi suggest that microfinance do
not have any significant effect in household income meaning no effect on SME
development. Investing in SME activities will have no effect in raising
household income because the infrastructure and market is not developed.
Some studies have also argued that using gender empowerment as
an impact indicator; microcredit has a negative impact (Goetz and Gupta, 1994;
Ackerly, 1995; Montgomery et al, 1996). Using a «managerial control»
index as an indicator of women empowerment, it came to conclusion that the
majority of women did not have control over loans taken by them when married.
Meanwhile, it was the women who were the main target of the credit program. The
management of the loans was made by the men hence not making the development
objective of lending to the women to be met (Goetz and Gupta, 1994). Evidence
from an accounting knowledge as an indicator of women empowerment concluded
that women are marginalized when it comes to access to credit (Ackerly,
1995).
III.4- Microfinance schism
According to the 1997 World Microcredit Summit, the poorest
are those who belong to the lower half of the group of people who live beneath
the 1$ a day per capita poverty threshold. The best manner to help the poor
accessing financial services causes debates between Welfarists and
Institutionalists. Although they share the objective of poverty alleviation,
these two approaches place the microfinance at crossroads (Table 3). The former
emphasizes impact on the borrower as the core mission of MFIs whereas the
latter aims at integrating microfinance in the financial markets
(Cornée, 2007). The "schism of microfinance» (Morduch, 1998) stands
as a trade-off between targeting the poor and ensuring the profitability of
MFIs.
III.4.1- The welfarists' approach
Using the denomination coined by Woller et al. (1999),
welfarists are identified as a school of measurement of the poverty, according
to which, "an individual is regarded as poor when he (or she) is beneath a
given threshold to be well off in terms of economic standards.
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This school aims at the very poor who are generally riskier
and less accessible (rural population, people living in remote areas). It is
primarily made up of NGOS or co-operatives, which regard microfinance as a
major tool for reducing the poverty of poorest (Hamed, 2004). As it promotes a
strategy for improvement of the wellbeing of the poor populations (Mayoux,
1998), it seeks to measure the impact of micro credit on the living conditions
of the targeted populations, i.e. the change in terms of wellbeing and quality
of life of the recipients. Welfarists concentrate on the level of poverty of
the customers and emphasize the fast improvement of their living conditions,
even with a broad recourse to subsidies. Although they insist on rational
resources management and do not abstain from having a profitable activity, they
do not without the need and the advantages that subsidies bring to MFIs, even
on the long run (Olszyna-Marzys, 2006).
This approach, which is depends on subsidies, has generated
refunding rates below 50% as well as very high operation costs leading to the
failure and the disappearance of some MFIs: Such was the case for the NGO
Corposol in Colombia, Caisses Populaires in South central Cameroon, Projet de
Promotion du Petit Crédit Rural (PPPCR) in Burkina Faso and
Crédit Mutuel in Guinea (Woolcock, 1999; Labie, 2002). MFIs face the
issue of sustainability, the lack of which blocks their development and their
capacity to contribute to the wellbeing of the people that they support. Thus,
the welfarists? approach has been subject to many criticisms as regards costs
and methodological problems (De Briey, 2005). A revival of financial thought
took place in order to study the conditions of successful MFIs. The concern
expressed by economists and experts for the effectiveness of MFIs in the
struggle against poverty led to apprehend effectiveness more and more in
financial and accounting terms.
III.4.2- The institutionalists' approach
Supported by international organizations such as the World
Bank and the United Nations, the institutionalists? approach (Woller et al.,
1999) considers that the one best way to reach the large majority of the poor
without access to financial services is to integrate microfinance in the formal
financial system. It seeks to encapsulate MFIs within the logic of the "money
market", while insisting on the will of the installation of perennial
microfinance systems as well as on mass distribution of credit (De Briey,
2005). Each MFI should aim at financial sustainability by maximizing its
effectiveness and its productivity, in order to reach financial autonomy.
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This emphasis on self-sufficiency started from awareness that
funds are scarce. Institutionalists believe in the need for a large scale
intervention, which requires financial resources beyond the amount the national
or international backers (donors and investors) can provide. They fear the
backers? fickleness, because a MFI searching for sustainability that becomes
structurally dependent on subsidies, would likely be a program without a
future. The only means of obtaining the necessary financial resources is to
resort to private sources (savings, commercial debts, own capital stocks and
capital risk). Institutionalists designed a set of best practices, which aim at
enhancing efficiency as regards management systems, finance and accountancy,
marketing, services delivery, etc. The adoption of such practices is an
essential stage to reach large scale financial self-sufficiency, to access the
money market, and to reach the maximum of poor customers: This win-win approach
contends that: "Institutions following best practices are also those which
succeed better in fighting poverty" (Morduch, 2000).
Institutionalists emphasize the performance evaluation from
the standpoint of the institution rather than from that of the customers: They
consider financial autonomy as a criterion which fulfills their social mission
as well as possible (Cornée, 2007). They cover two main trends. On the
one hand, the upgrading process of some MFIs (such as regulated NGOs in the
countries which regulate microfinance specialized agencies), gives birth to
regulated financial institutions, which clearly fit in a logic of profitability
(De Briey, 2005). On the other hand, the more recent downgrading process of
village co-operatives and some commercial banks searching for new market niches
and convinced by the potentialities of micro credit, led establishments that
have an easier access to funds and better marketing tools, such as Rakyat Bank
of Indonesia and BancoSol in Bolivia, to enter the microfinance sector: Thus,
they can directly grant credit to micro-entrepreneurs or take participations in
MFIs.
The institutionalists? approach faces also some criticisms.
Concerning the targeted population, its core customers are micro-entrepreneurs
very close to the poverty line, geographically, concentrated, with high-output
activities and short production cycle. It requires rather high interest rates
from customers in order to ensure financial autonomy within a period of five up
to twelve years. However, the goal of financial and institutional viability
remains out of reach for most MFIs (De Briey, 2005).
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Table 4 - Summary table: welfarists and
institutionalists
|
Welfarists
|
Institutionalists
|
Approach
|
Performance evaluation from
the standpoint of customers: - Social outreach
- Impact assessment
|
Performance evaluation from
the standpoint of the institution: - Broadness of the MFI
- Sustainability of the MFI.
|
Targeted customers
|
Very poor ($1/day)
|
Micro-entrepreneurs close to
the poverty line ($2/day)
|
Type of institutions
|
Social bonds
|
Commercial contracts
|
Methodology
|
Resort to subsidies
|
Financial self-reliance
|
Criticisms
|
- Sustainability issue - High operation costs - Various impact
measurement methods
- Failures (refunding rate < 50%)
|
- Customers selection bias
(MFIs do not reach the very poor)
- High interest rates
- Long term self-reliance strategy
|
Common goal
|
Poverty alleviation
|
III.5- Social performance
Struggling against poverty is the mission of microfinance. The
analysis of the outcomes
of this mission enables to evaluate the social performances of
MFIs according to two complementary steps: An evaluation based on the
institution according to its outreach and an evaluation based on its customers
according to impact assessment.
III.5.1- Outreach
MFIs make efforts in order to serve those who are constantly
excluded from official
financial systems: Their operation rests on the social bonds
and the proximity with the recipients while moving into the rural zones, by
contacting them and in their offering training sessions. They are based on
group work and meet the needs of the populations by supplying small amount
loans and regular refunding. The goal, which aims at extending microfinance
services to the populations that are not served by official financial
institutions, defines outreach (Lafourcade et al., 2005). However, MFIs must
determine which group-target they must satisfy.
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Poverty, by its multidimensional nature, covers various
aspects of the households? economic and social status. To capture these
dimensions requires at the same time quantitative and qualitative indicators.
Poverty is quantitatively defined as being a given daily (or yearly) income,
for people without provision of a stock. It is also qualitative as it takes
into account their living conditions (Lelart, 2006). It can integrate data such
as the needs for food and clothing, housing availability, level of educational,
health care, women empowerment, level of integration within the social
background, etc. In this respect, extending accessibility to financial services
for these poor seems the major goal of MFIs: Thus it raises the question if
they do manage to reach the poorest (Van Bastelaer and Zeller, 2006).
Some indicators, used as proxies, enable the measurement of
outreach: The extent or scale of outreach corresponds to the numbers of
customers, total outstanding portfolio and volumes of services such as total
savings in deposit (Lafourcade et al., 2005); the depth of outreach corresponds
to the social and economic characteristics of the customers served by MFIs,
i.e. the level of poverty of these customers as regards very low income and
rural populations, women and/or unemployed. Schreiner (2002) worked out
outreach indicators according to six dimensions, each one of which can also
correspond to a component of social value: Worth of outreach measures the
wealth of customers, cost of outreach measures transaction costs, scope of
outreach measures the number of customers that are served, length of outreach
measures the time delivery for requested services, depth of outreach measures
the accuracy of targeting and breadth of outreach measures the number of
services that are provided.
Studies of outreach devoted to the analysis of the
characteristics of MFIs customers show that some institutions tend to be
exclusive and are not accessible to all categories of population. Although
customers are not necessarily among poorest (Lelart, 2006), according to their
characteristics they belong to poor or vulnerable population such as
individuals practicing survival productive activities, who do not access the
banks and who are mainly female customers (Soulama, 2005). This latter
characteristic is particularly significant in several programs such as Bancosol
in Bolivia (74% women), BRAC (75%) and Grameen Bank (95%) in Bangladesh, as
well as in East and Central Africa (Kenya, Malawi, Cameroon, etc.). Outreach
varies according to the type of MFIs and across areas (Lafourcade et al.,
2005), but the coverage rate of poor remains weak.
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III.5.2- Impact assessment
Social performances can be evaluated though the analysis of
impact on the customers, i.e. answering the following question: "What is the
payoff of a dollar lent in terms of additional income for the recipient?"
(Lapenu et al., 2004). The impact consists in understanding how financial
services affect the existence of poor; it represents the changes on customers
that are ascribable to the action taken by the MFI. These changes constitute
the social output of an investment provided by lenders (or donors) that are
backing MFIs; the latter need to know if the financial support they bring to
MFIs achieved well the goal that they set: Thus, they are concerned with the
outcomes estimates (Lelart, 2006).
It seems natural to measure the impact of micro-credit, but
some recognized microfinance experts are sceptical and decide against a
thorough evaluation of impact on the following grounds: Impact studies are
expensive, especially if they are regularly repeated; most impact analyses do
not respect rigorous criteria in cases of changes observed in the customers?
life that do not directly depend on MFIs but rather on other factors. The
measurement of impact raises methodological problems: The calculation of income
(or expenditure) must be adjusted according to Purchasing Power Parity and loan
size is not an accurate indicator of poverty (Van Bastelaer and Zeller, 2006).
However, in spite of these shortcomings, investigations prove to be necessary
and must be multiplied in order to compare their results. Most used criteria to
evaluate the impact of MFIs on recipient populations are the improvement of
incomes and consumption, the start-up of very small businesses and generally
speaking the improvement of living conditions.
III.5.2.1- Impact on income
Real impact of MFIs on the income of poor has been reviewed as
regards various experiments in South Asia, Africa and Latin America (Montalieu,
2002). The first impact studies carried out by Hulme and Mosley (1996) relate
to 13 MFIs located in seven countries (Indonesia, Kenya, Bolivia, Malawi,
Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka), which were operating between 1989 and 1993.
They show that the granting of credit had a positive impact on the income of
poor borrowers; impact was all the more important if MFIs just drive their
action towards borrowers standing above the poverty line who request risky
loans intended to invest in technologies and to continue activities which are
more likely to increase income flows (CGAP, 1997). By contrast,
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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very poor borrowers seek to ensure their subsistence thanks to
weak amount loans and do not invest in an economic activity, accumulate capital
or hire workforce (Hulme and Mosley, 1996).
Other impact studies corroborate the assumption of a positive
effect of microfinance on the borrowers? income: In Guinea, Nicaragua and
Benin, as regards three credit systems monitored by IRAM (Doligez, 2005) as
well as in Burkina Faso, whereby comparative analysis of the situation of
recipients vs. non recipients showed that recipient women could carry out
multiple productive activities and diversify their sources of income, while
improving and stabilizing the average income drawn from their activity
(Soulama, 2005).
III.5.2.2- Impact on consumption
Micro-credit involves an increase in income which is intended
for the improvement of daily consumption; it enables to ensure food and
clothing, to build or acquire a housing, to buy animals or durable consumer
goods etc. Customers can also borrow to carry out investments in human terms,
such as healthcare and education or to pass from a crisis to another.
III.5.2.3- Impact on start-up businesses
Microcredit allows the borrower to start up a small business,
which initiates activities generating incomes. Although some
micro-entrepreneurs can start their activity thanks to their personal savings
(supplemented by gifts and loans from their relatives), they face a financing
problem once they have launched their activity, because they are unable to
obtain a credit from a bank. Microcredit has a positive impact on the income of
these small start-up businesses: Variables which determine and contribute for
this positive outcome are job creation, profit and sales turnover, accumulation
of assets and output (Hamed, 2004). Household customers often create jobs for
other households and job opportunities are thus offered to poor.
Various studies highlight the positive impact of micro-credit
on income, consumption and the activity of small businesses (Pitt and Khandker,
1998; Pitt et al., 2003), while other studies emphasize some negative impacts
(Adams and Von Pischke, 1992; Rahman, 1999). Afar these two positions, various
impact studies present mitigated outcomes: They question the efficiency of
microfinance in the struggle against great poverty or dispute the reliability
of most currently used methods of evaluation (Hulme and Mosley, 1996; Morduch,
1998).
Social performances cannot be limited to the targeting of poor
and to impact analysis, but must relate more largely to the way in which MFIs
continues its social mission. The model of
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social performance evaluation (Social Indicator Performance,
SPI) developed by CERISE11 enlarges the framework of social
performance, which encompasses four major dimensions: Targeting the poor and
excluded population, adjustment of services to the targeted customers,
improvement of the customers? social and political capital and MFIs social
responsibility with respect to their customers, staff and environment (Lapenu
et al., 2004). Other models have already been designed such Balanced Scorecard
and Global Reporting Initiative, which take into account the stakeholders of
MFIs, standing as any individual or group of individuals who can affect or be
affected by the achievement of the goals of the enterprise or institution
(Cornée, 2007).
III.6- Financial performance
In order to expand microfinance, financial performance has been
emphasized. As regards
evaluation of this performance, a large set of indicators have
been in use, most of which became standard. Although there is no consensus on
their definitions and their calculation methods, indicators were
institutionalized in the sense that they correspond to durable rules which are
compiled by the microfinance community. Among several dimensions, various
ratios of profitability provide the most important measurement of financial
performance.
III.6.1- Determinants of a profitable institution
Generally speaking, for an institution to be profitable over one
period, its resources
should at least cover its expenditure. Profitability may be
reached according to two pathways: One is to reduce expenditure, more precisely
the transaction costs; the other consists in enlarging output by increasing the
interest rate on credits.
III.6.1.1- Reducing transaction costs
A transaction will take place through a process of
identification, meeting and negotiation
between the partners that are concerned (Howitt, 1985). Thus
it generates costs, which should be specified according to their nature and
origin (Diamond, 1987).
Poor population is a very risky population related to high
transaction costs. Being given that MFIs cannot elucidate all information on
their customers, they try to minimize their default
11 Comité d'Echanges, de
Réflexion et d'Information sur les Systèmes d'Epargne.
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risk. On the one hand, they adopt innovating strategies such
as close collection of refunding, constitution of interdependent groups,
literacy programs, management training of the customers and monitoring: All
these elements generate high operation costs. In addition,
MFIs grant weak amount loans because they do not distinguish
good from bad customers, especially as regards start-up businesses. To these
costs of failure are added then administrative costs. Most typical and serious
errors often concern recruitment and staff management policy: Some MFIs
increase progressively the number of agents with the increase of customers and
the opening of local agencies, without evaluating beforehand short and medium
term profitability of their operations (Lelart, 2006). The reduction of
transaction costs is one of the surest and effective means enabling to build
self-reliant, viable and efficient institutions. To cut costs to the minimum,
especially ex-ante costs, the technique of proximity is generally used by the
lenders and very often, the literature is restricted to defend this
recourse.
Reaching poor customers who never had recourse to formal
banking services requires more interaction with the customers and more time
from the staff of the financial institution, which implies additional costs.
Costs of time use constitute the transaction costs for the MFI. They are
ex-ante, as regards costs of research of the funds to be lent, information
retrieval on the borrower, negotiation on the terms of contract, evaluation of
the borrowers and the project, design and registration of contracts, costs of
personnel, expenses for training both the staff and the customers,
transportation and communication in order to meet poor population; these
primary transaction costs are mostly of legal nature. In addition, costs are
ex-post, as regards the operation of contracts, costs of administration,
monitoring and control of the execution of agreements, in order to take care of
the contractual clauses, provisions, depreciation as well as the costs of
missed opportunities because of the agreements such as adjustment costs to
correct initial agreement or to establish another better agreement. These
various non-financial costs are transaction costs supported by the MFI and may
be gathered in three large headings. (Box 1).
Box 1: Transaction costs
TC = OE + LP + DE
TC = Transaction Costs
OE = Operating Expenses (expenses for personnel + other
administrative expenses + other operating expenses)
LP = Loss Provisions (variable expenses)
DE = Depreciation of Equipments (operating expenses or fixed
overheads)
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III.6.1.2- Carrying out a financial margin
MFIs need to be financially autonomous in order to ensure
financial intermediation. That
can be reached by carrying out a financial margin (Box 2), i.e. a
sufficient positive differential between the rate paid by MFIs to access funds
and the rate earned on loans, so as to cover both direct and indirect costs
related to the activity (Labie, 1996).
Box 2: Financial margin
FM = (Earned Interest - Paid Interest)/Financial Assets
F M: Financial margin ratio
Financial Assets: assets ensuring financial returns (investments,
gross value of loan portfolio, etc.)
III.6.2- Perennial MFIs
Perennial MFIs can be envisioned from two angles: Life cycle
and dependence upon subsidies.
III.6.2.1- Life cycle
The life cycle of a (successful) MFI represents an ideal way
to reach financial balance and thereafter become perennial (Otero and Drake,
1993): It corresponds to the transformation of a supportive institution towards
a thorough financial intermediation institution, according to a three phases
process (Box 3).
The first phase of "demonstration" defines an operating mode
adopted by the supportive institution, which enables it to lend to poor
according to its environment and its constraints, and that it will
progressively refine with its experiment. The phase of "second generation" must
lead the institution, which has now reached a certain maturity, to consolidate
its operating mode in order to tend towards relative autonomy. The last phase
is that of the "operational development related to expansion", within which the
transformation into a true bank dedicated to poor can be considered, especially
in many countries where regulations prohibit NGOs to collect savings
(Cornée, 2007): The institution aims at gradually providing the function
and the status of a financial intermediary. Seven variables should evolve
during these three phases: Administrative duty, customers, financing sources,
methodology for the provision of financial services, financial management,
autonomy and staff training (Counts et al., 2006).
43
Analysis of microfinances'performance and development
of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Box 3: Life cycle of a successful
MFI
Supportive Institution Microfinance bank
Time
Phase of demonstration Phase of second generation Phase of
operational development
|
Perennial MFIs can be envisioned from another angle: Regarding
access to financial Autonomy as a decreasing function of subsidies necessary to
the operation of the MFI programs (Otero and Rhyne, 1994, in Labie, 1996),
according to a process that encompasses four levels (Box 4).
Box 4: Perennial MFI according to dependence upon
subsidies
|
|
|
Dependence upon subsidies Time
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Large subsidies Necessay ubsidies Doing without subsdies
Financing through savings
The fir l concerns "tradit
programs benefiting fm large subsidies": Inco
Are below operation costs; subsidies are the resources
covering these costs and feed the
Loan funds decrease due to inflation and non-refunding from
customers (Hamed, 2004). The institutions of the second level carry out
interests that cover the cost of funds and part of administrative expenses;
subsidies remain necessary to finance some operating elements and institutions
borrow below the market rate. The institutions that reach the third level are
those which for most of subsidies are eliminated; nevertheless they cannot do
without some subsidies, although this stage is necessary to reach a volume of
operation on a large scale.
The passage of the third level to the fourth level whereby
MFIs become a true intermediate pole requires time; this last level is reached
when the program is entirely financed thanks to the customers? savings and
funds raised through market rates from official financial institutions (Labie,
1996). However, very few programs have reached this level, although it is
regarded as an essential condition for perennial MFIs; most cases, which are
generally at the third level, are those one regards as successful, e.g. Grameen
Bank.
With respect to the two solutions at hand, reducing
transaction costs or increasing the interest rate, few MFIs manage today to
reach balance at their starting point. In general, reducing transaction costs
proves to be difficult; indeed, it is necessary to increase the interest
rate,
44
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
although this solution is far from being the best strategy.
The recourse to subsidies proves to be necessary when MFIs begin their activity
and carrying out a financial margin is the key element of any long-term
strategy.
III.7- The mission drift of MFI: The
institutionalists and the welfarists III.7.1- The concept of mission
drift
At the heart of the debate, the question arises whether a
trade-off between the financial sustainability and efficiency and the outreach
to the poorest microfinance clients by MFIs exists. The occurrence of a
trade-off between the financial and social performance of MFIs is captured by
the concept of mission drift.
Armendáriz & Szafarz (2009, p. 2) defined mission
drift as «a phenomenon whereby an MFI increases its average loan size by
reaching out wealthier clients neither for progressive lending nor for
cross-subsidization reasons». In other words, an increase in average loan
sizes may result from progressive lending, whereby microfinance clients reach
out to higher credit ceiling based on their performance and demand. Also,
average loan sizes may be higher resulting from cross-subsidization.
Cross-subsidization means that a MFI reaches out to the wealthier unbanked,
using larger average loan sizes, in order to finance a larger pool of the
poorest unbanked, using small average loan sizes. Instead, the authors argue
that mission drift occurs because MFIs find it more profitable to reach out to
wealthier clients while crowding out poorer clients. In addition, the authors
add that mission drift can only occur when MFIs announced mission is not
aligned with the MFIs maximization objective.
Cull et al., (2007, p. 23) underlined that mission drift
occurs when MFI show «a shift in the composition of new clients, or a
reorientation from poorer to wealthier clients among existing clients».
Mersland & Strøm (2009, p. 3) reported that
«if mission drift occurs, the MFIs outreach to poor customers, its depth
of outreach (Schreiner, 2002), is weakened». In practice, the average loan
size is the most common used proxy for measuring the depth of
outreach12. Alternatively, the authors argue that increasing the
depth of outreach implies increasing the outreach to women clients. Also, the
authors argue that switching from the group-based lending methodology to the
individual lending methodology can be an indication for the occurrence of
mission drift.
12 Schreiner (2002), Cull,
Demirguç-Kunt & Morduch (2007), and Mersland & Strøm
(2009).
45
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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III.7.2- The debate between the institutionalists and
welfarists
The growing emphasis on the financial sustainability and
efficiency of MFIs is believed to reduce the scope for the social objectives
and outreach to microfinance clients. Consequently, a debate on the assessment
of the performance of MFIs has emerged between the institutionalists and
welfarists13.
In 2009, Gutiérrez-Nieto et al. claimed that the
institutionalists appear to have the upper hand in the debate. In general,
«each position differs in their views: (1) on how microfinance services
should be delivered (NGO versus commercial banks), (2) on the technology that
should be used (a minimalist approach versus an integrated service approach),
and (3) on how their performance should be assessed» (Olivares Polanco,
2004, p. 3).
Institutionalists believe that the performance of a MFI should
be assessed in terms of the institution's success in reaching a financially
self-sustainable position. According to Rhyne (1998, p. 7), «the
sustainability group argues that any future which continues dependence on donor
and governments is a future in which few microfinance clients will be
reached». According to Hermes et al. (2007), the commercialization of MFIs
is believed to ensure the growing amount of commercial funding, ensuring and
enhancing the future outreach to new microfinance clients around the world.
Also, Rhyne (1998) and Olivares-Polanco (2004) reported that the
institutionalists' approach combines financial sustainability with (breath of)
outreach objectives. Institutionalists aim to provide access to financial
services to the full spectrum of low-income people living around the world.
Nonetheless, Schreiner (2002) recognized that the self-sufficiency approach is
believed to target less poor clients.
Welfarists believe that the performance of a MFI should be
assessed by determining whether the institution is successful in reaching its
poverty alleviating objectives. Olivares-Polanco (2004) stressed that a key
advantage of the welfarists' approach is the opportunity to gain a direct
insight in the poverty alleviating potential of microfinance. Olivares-Polanco
(2004, p. 6) reported that «the methods used by the welfarists assesses
the impact of the programme on their clients, by measuring changes in dependent
variables such as the level of income, the level of production, sales, assets
or the general wellbeing of the clients». According to Schreiner (2002),
the welfarists ?approach is expected to target the very poor clients, compared
to the less poor clients targeted by the institutionalists» approach.
13 Yaron (1994), Morduch (2000),
Schreiner (2002), Olivares-Polanco (2004), Hermes, Lensink & Meesters
(2007), and Gutiérrez-Nieto, Serrano-Cinca & Mar Molinero
(2009).
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Alternatively, some are advocating the win-win proposition of
microfinance. For example, Yaron (1994) proposed a framework combining the
assessment of the financial self-sufficiency and outreach of MFIs. One the one
hand, the author argues that state support and donations are a fundamental
source of resources for newly established MFIs initially facing a negative cash
flow. On the other hand, the author argues that the mobilization of savings is
fundamental in the support of the expansion of more mature MFIs, allowing for
less government support and donations. Also, «one key to success appears
to be the introduction of a social mechanism that lowers transaction costs,
while supplying effective peer pressure for screening loan applications and
collecting loans», according to Yaron (1994, p. 68).
In addition, Morduch (2000, p. 617) states that for the
win-win proposition «a key tenet is that poor households demand access to
credit, not cheap credit». The author identifies a number of assumptions
underlying the win-win proposition. First, raising the costs of financial
services will not negatively affect the demand of microfinance. Second,
financially sustainable MFIs can achieve a greater scale and outreach than
subsidized MFIs. Third, subsidies reduce the scope for savings mobilization.
Fourth, financial sustainability is critical for the access of MFIs to
commercial financial markets. Fifth, «microfinance has been and should
continue to be a movement with minimal governmental involvement» (Morduch,
2000, p. 624).
46
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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CHAPTER IV- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
After the appearance of theoretical perspectives, this chapter
will enable us in turn to define the indicators and variables necessary for our
analysis. Thereafter, we will proceed with the analysis of the research
hypotheses and the model associated with this assumption
IV.1- Relationship between social and financial
performance
IV.1.1- A tentative typology of the firms'
performances
The examination of the outcomes of the research on enterprises in
terms of financial
performance (FP) and social performance (SP) enables to assess
various assumptions by considering two dimensions, which designs a tentative
typology: The sign of relationship and causality between these two performances
(O' Bannon and Preston, 1997).
Table5- A set of various assumptions on likely
relationships between SP and FP
Causality (univocal
interactive)
|
or
|
Positive link
|
Negative link
|
SP influences FP
|
|
A1: «good management»
|
A2: «arbitration»
|
FP influences SP
|
|
A3: «available funds»
|
A4: «greed»
|
SP and FP interact
|
|
A5: «positive synergy»
|
A6: «non synergy»
|
SP and FP do not interact
|
|
A7: «no relationship (between SP and
FP)»
|
|
A8: «complex links (between SP and
FP)»
|
The various assumptions on the likely relationships between SP
and FP can indicate a positive, negative or neutral link. If the existence of
such relationship is proven, it should be known if SP influences FP, or
conversely. One can also wonder whether these phenomena interact. Provided that
attention paid to SP improves relationships between the company stakeholders,
assumption 1 relates to the fact that good management practices are strongly
correlated with good SP and have consequences on FP: An additional cost in well
managed SP is then the landmark of good management and leads thereafter to an
improvement of FP.
In the contrary, assumption 2 describes the case whereby any
socially responsible initiative moves away the leaders from their objective for
profit maximization, i.e. a higher level of SP drives a fall in FP: Thus, it
brings in the concept of trade-off. According to assumption 3,
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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good FP enables the firm to allocate some margin to social
issues. Thus, an allowance resulting from good economic figures brings in an
improvement of SP.
However, assumption 4 considers the possibility that
financially powerful companies are the worse in terms of SP because of their
leaders? greed, who do not share the margin. Assumptions 5 and 6 design
interactions between SP and FP. According to assumption 5, which gathers
assumptions 1 and 3, better FP results in an improvement in SP and better SP
leads to an improvement in FP: Such a simultaneous and interactive relationship
is a vicious circle whereby financial and social values are created (Waddock
and Graves, 1997).
Conversely, assumption 6 deals with the vicious circle of
disrupting both financial and social values: SP is reduced by a fall in FP,
which in turn degrades SP. This is an example of what may occur when the
leaders wish to instantly change their strategy of wealth distribution in order
to comply with evolving management methods or requirements from financial
markets, as well as economic constraints (D' Arcimoles and Trébucq,
2003).
No relationship, whether positive or negative, will occur
between SP and FP in case of the rejection of assumptions 1 to 6: This neutral
relationship corresponds to assumption 7
(Mc Williams and Siegel, 2001). An additional assumption has
been added i.e. assumption 8 in order to take care of more complex links
between SP and FP, which may result from measurement problems.
IV.1.2- The problem statement
The research aims to find empirical evidence on microfinance
schism (arbitrage between social and financial performance). As we have stated
earlier, the objective of MFIs is to reach the best possible performance, which
can be achieved when people combine two requirements, namely: social
performance (through the reduction of poverty) and financial performance (in
ensuring sustained profitability). However, these two requirements raise a
debate between two opposing schools of thought: the welfarists and
institutionalists approaches
MFIs of Cameroon provide a clear illustration of this
discussion and analysis of their activities can answer the question: is
there a trade-off between the two types of performance? In other words, does
the pursuit of social objectives enable microfinances to eventually expand
their financial performance? At the same time, how does microfinances'
performance affect the development of informal sector?
49
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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Following the problem statement, the research requires a
selection of variables and indicators to study the financial performance and
social performance of MFIs. In addition, a selection of variables and
indicators for the non-formal sector of MFIs is required.
The selection is made based upon the previously discussed
information and literature, and the existing knowledge and experience of the
rating agencies MicroRate and Inter-American Development Bank Sustainable
Development Department Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise Division.
IV.2- Selection of variables and indicators
IV.2.1- Selection of the financial performance
indicators
The key indicators of financial performance are mainly
measured by return on assets, return on capital and operational
self-sufficiency. The selection of the financial performance indicators
corresponds to the selection of indicators considered by the rating agency
MicroRate in its investment decision-making process.
? Operational self-sufficiency
(OSS): Essentially, the ratio measures how well a MFI is
able to cover the institution's total costs of operating. Morgan Stanley (2007)
and Fitch (2008) implicitly included the OSS ratio in their rating
methodologies to assess the financial sustainability of MFIs. Fitch (2008, p.
10) analysed the OSS ratio «to assess the adequacy of an MFI's cost and
revenue structure»;
? Return on equity: ROE is
calculated by dividing net income (after taxes and excluding any grants or
donations) by period average equity. Return on equity
indicates the profitability of the institution. This ratio is particularly
relevant for a private for-profit entity with real flesh-and-blood owners. For
them, ROE is a measure of paramount importance since it measures the return on
their investment in the institution. However, given that many MFIs are
not-for-profit-organizations, the ROE indicator is most often used as a proxy
for commercial viability.
What could we watch out for?
A single year's ROE can at times misrepresent the
institution's «true» profitability. Extraordinary income or losses,
for example in the form of asset sales, can have a significant impact on the
bottom line. In other circumstances the institution may
50
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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temporarily record higher net income figures. Another issue to
consider is taxes. Incorporated and supervised MFIs generally pay taxes, while
not-for-profit, non-supervised MFIs do not; reporting and other requirements of
bank regulators also add to the costs of supervised institutions.
Finally, there are still very significant differences in
portfolio yield among MFIs, as is to be expected in a young industry. In
Bolivia, where competition among urban MFIs has become fierce, portfolio yields
have dropped to under 30%, whereas in other less competitive markets portfolio
yields can be more than twice as high. Where yields are low, MFIs are forced to
be highly efficient and to maintain high portfolio quality to remain
profitable, whereas high yields often lead to high returns despite a multitude
of weaknesses.
? Return on assets: ROA is
calculated by dividing net income (after taxes and excluding any grants or
donations) by period average assets. Return on assets is an overall measure of
profitability that reflects both the profit margin and the efficiency of the
institution. Simply put, it measures how well the institution uses all its
assets. The ratio functions as an indicator of financial performance in the
research by Olivares-Polanco (2004) and Cull et al. (2007). Morgan Stanley
(2008, p. 126) reported that, «return on average assets takes into account
taxes and other source of revenues, including income earned on cash in the
bank, thereby providing a more complete measure of profitability».
What could we watch out for?
Return on assets is a fairly straightforward measure. However,
as in the case of ROE, a correct assessment of ROA depends on the analysis of
the components that determine net income, primarily portfolio yield, cost of
funds and operational efficiency. In what seems like a paradox, NGOs generally
achieve a higher Return on Assets than licensed and supervised MFIs. This state
of affairs is explained by the fact that microfinance NGOs, with low
Debt/Equity Ratios and limited possibilities to fund themselves in financial
and capital markets, need to rely heavily on retained earnings to fund future
growth.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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IV.2.2- Selection of the social performance
indicators
Today, data availability predominantly allows for the
measurement and assessment of the outreach to microfinance clients for a large
sample of MFIs. However the access to data in our environment is sometimes
difficult. In fact, on one hand, we have used a main indicator which serves to
measure the social performance that is Average loan size. On the other hand, we
have used some indicators which are consistent and are adaptable in our
environment or sample, namely Engagement in Favor of Individual Related and
Engagement in Favor of Global related.
? Average loan size: The average
loan size measure is the most common used proxy for the depth of outreach to
microfinance clients in the existing empirical research of the social
performance of MFIs14.
S&P (2007) included the average loan size in their management
and strategy assessment of a MFI. The agency stressed that the appropriateness
of the measure of depth of outreach is depending on the institution's
self-declared social objectives. In addition, the SPTF (2009) standard reports
showed that the outreach depth is an important feature in the various
measurement of performance and assessment tools used.
Olivares-Polanco (2004) found that the per capita GNP and the
per capita GNP of the 20 percent poorest average loan size measures are highly
correlated. However, Schreiner (2001) opposed the use of average per capita GNP
for two reasons. First, the per capita GNP is typically higher than a country's
median per capita GNP or compared to the poverty-line income. Secondly, per
capita GNP is a flow from average income in a year, whereas the term the flow
disbursed as a loan may be very different. Following the studies of
Olivares-Polanco (2004) and Cull et al. (2007), the average loan size divided
by per capita GDP is considered in this research.
? Engagement in favor of related
Commitment
Engagement in favour of related Commitment is a prudential
ratio used as an indicator of social performance. This ratio was defined in the
survey conducted by the Ministry of Finance (MINFI) near the Microfinance
Institutions. Indeed, the aforesaid investigation culminates in the setting-up
of a report which follows by the assessment of Cameroon MFI, carried out within
the framework of the implementation of the Microfinance Activity Evaluation and
Supervision
14 Olivares-Polanco, 2004; Hermes,
Lensink & Meesters, 2007; Cull, Demirguç-Kunt & Morduch, 2007
& 2009; Gutiérrez-Nieto, Serrano-Cinca & Mar Molinero 2009, and
Mersland & Strøm, 2009.
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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System (SESAME). This implementation was carried out from
March to September 2011. The prudential ratio indicates the degree of
commitment of microfinace with its target population. It consists of two
components, namely:
? The Commitment in Favor of Individual Related
(CFIR);
? The commitment in Favor of Global Related (CFGR)
Within the framework of our analysis, these two components
will be considered as social performance indicators. In order to provide
further explanation we are going to illustrate a particular case of CCA.
The case of Credit Communautaire d'Afrique
(CCA)
Commitments: The Department of
Credit is responsible for the liabilities of the institution. The procedure for
granting credit is described in a document entitled "MANUAL CREDIT" which was
updated in August 2010 by the audit unit. This manual assumes the
responsibilities of all those involved in the process of granting credit. In
addition, it describes the procedures for granting credit and the methodology
for monitoring commitments and guarantees to collect. Accounts managers take
delivery of each agency credit applications and carry out the assembly and
analysis of credit records under the supervision of the agency. Counterfactual
analysis of cases is made by the Regional Director before their transmission to
the Regional Credit Committee opinion. Credit records which have received a
favorable opinion are then transmitted to the Credit Committee Branch for a
final decision on all competitions lower than or equal to 50 Million. Beyond
this threshold, only the CEO is responsible for taking the decision to grant
credit.
IV.2.3- Selection of developmental indicators for the
informal sector
Within the framework of our research, indicators of informal
sector development related to performance (social and financial) is illustrated
by the number of deposits and the number of gross loans granted by microfinance
institutions, all things being equal (Ceteris Paribus). Table 6 resulting from
table 3 of section III.1.2 on the evolution of the activity of microfinance in
Cameroun from 2002 to 2010 illustrates this situation clearly.
53
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Table 6: evolution of fixed deposits and gross loan
from 2002 to 2010
Years
|
2002
|
2003
|
2004
|
2005
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2010
|
Fixed deposits
|
66727
|
55769
|
98743
|
116840
|
162427
|
194830
|
258220
|
373872
|
Gross loan
|
44748
|
56077
|
65402
|
70795
|
104173
|
117233
|
138523
|
221378
|
Source COBAC
Under to this table, we obtained the following figure:
Figure2: Evolution of fixed deposits and gross loan
from 2002 to 2010
|
400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000
50000
0
|
|
|
|
Fixed deposits and goss loan
|
|
Years
Fixed deposit* Gross loan*
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Years
*in Million FCFA
The observation of the figure shows that deposits and gross
loans change in the same direction, but the increase in gross loans is less
proportional than bank deposits. In the first year, there was a slight increase
in savings from the credit to this sector. In year 2, the amount of deposits is
substantially equal to the credits, but with a slight decrease with respect to
savings. Then the situation changes proportionally to year 5 where we observe
that the volume of savings has significantly increased (in reference to the
year 1), and this is due to the proliferation of small and medium enterprises
which promotes the mobilization of a large volume of informal savings.
Subsequently, the position of deposits and loans is growing exponentially until
reaching in 2010 the respective amounts of 373,872 million and 221,378
million.
54
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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IV.2.4- Selection of the control variables
For reasons of robustness, three control variables are used in
the regression explaining the performance (both social and financial) of MFIs,
namely: Total Asset, Coefficient of Activity and Hedge Loans by Available
Resources.
Those indicators have been chosen with reference to the
research environment. In fact, and in spite of scarcity of data, the control
variables reflect perfectly and respectively the capital structure, a day to
day activities and available resources of the MFIs environment
IV.3- The research hypothesis and research model
In this section, we are going to
give guidelines about the formulation of research hypothesis.
Firstly, the research concentrates on the financial
performance of MFIs. The general assumption under this hypothesis (H1) is that:
social performance influences financial performance of MFIs. This
hypothesis can be subdivided into two categories as follows:
? Positive link, H1a: «influence of social
performance on financial performance implies a good management of
MFI»;
? Negative link, H1b: «influence of social
performance on financial performance implies arbitration». This
hypothesis means that any socially responsible initiative moves away the
leaders from their objective for profit maximization (this hypothesis lead to
the occurrence of mission drift by MFIs)
Secondly the research focuses on hypothesis two (H2) which
assumes that: «financial performance influences social
performance». As we have undertaken in the first hypothesis, the
second can also be subdivided into two categories such as positive and negative
links
? Positive link, H2a: «good financial performance
enables the firm to allocate some margin to social issues» this
hypothesis implies the availability of fund by the microfinance institution.
Thus, an allowance resulting from good economic figures brings in an
improvement of SP
? Negative link, H2b: «financially powerful companies
are the worse in terms of SP because of their leaders' greed, who do not share
the margin»
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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Apart from the above hypothesis, it is important to remember
that our study takes into consideration not only social and financial aspects,
but also the relationship between these aspects and development of informal
institutions in Cameroon. Indeed we have included some variables in our
research which are correlated to the development of the informal sector. The
aforesaid variables are Fixed Deposit and Gross Loan.
Consequently, in a bid to reach one of our objectives (which
is to show the relationship between microfinance performance and the
development of non-formal institutions) we have stated another hypothesis as
follows:
? 113: «financial performance influences the
development of informal sector»
The idea behind this hypothesis is that the improvement of
financial performance indicators could contribute to increase the fixed deposit
and gross loan of MFIs. The latter allowing the measurement of the growth of
small and medium size enterprises, ceteris paribus.
? 114: «social performance influences the development
of the informal sector»
This hypothesis implies that more contact of MFIs with the
poorest population (those who cannot access to the classical bank system) will
contribute to improve the amount of fixed deposits and gross loan.
Figure 3: Summary of research
hypothesis
SOCIAL
PERFORMANCE
FINAACIAL PERFORMANCE
H1
H2
H4 H3
DEVELOPMENT OF INFORMAL SECTOR
IV.4- Regression approach
It is important to underline that, our research focuses on the
study of the link between
social and financial performance on one hand and MFIs
performance and development of the informal sector on the other hand. In fact
the repetitive verb in our dissertation is «to link». This verb
implies that we are studying the correlation among the variables which
characterizes each
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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indicator. Therefore, the regression approach, based on the
Ordinary Least Square (OLS) is used
in this research.
To best describe our hypothesis, the research requires the
following regression models
? Financial performance regression;
? Social performance regression;
? Informal sector regression.
Notes: the mission drift regression
is included in the social and financial regression (H1), which is the
consequence of negative link of the influence of social performance on
financial performance. The list of variables and indicators are given in the
appendix
General multiple regression models are used to analyse the
explanatory function of the control variables and independent variables. The
selected financial and social performance indicators are first used as the
dependent variables for testing hypothesis 1 and 2. Concerning hypothesis 3 and
4, the indicators of the development of the informal sector function as
dependent variables, whereas social performance, financial performance and
control variables are used as independent variables. It is important to notice
that even the informal sector and control variables are considered as
independent variables in the financial and social performance regression.
The next chapter provides an insight in the descriptive
statistics of the variables and indicators presented in the dataset.
Preliminary, the minimum and maximum values suggest a wide range for many of
the variables. Hence, outliers may be a concern in the regression analyses.
Woolridge (2003, p. 312) stated «OLS is susceptible of outlying
observations because it minimizes the sum of squared residuals: large residuals
(positive or negative) receive a lot of weight in the least squares
minimization problem». Cull et al. (2007, p. 17) faced the same concern
and applied a robust estimation technique. The authors found that «those
results are similar to the base results, although there are a few minor
differences». The next chapter also provides an insight in the correlation
and coefficients of regression between the selected variables and
indicators.
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
IV.5- conclusion
A selection of variables and indicators used for the financial
performance, social performance and informal institutions has been presented.
For robustness, a selection of control variables has been added to the
regression models. We have given the different hypotheses underlying this
research. From the hypothesis one assumes that «social performance
influences financial performance of MFIs» The next hypothesis assumes
that: «financial performance influences social performance» The
third hypothesis assumes that «financial performance influences
the development of the informal sector» and the last hypothesis
supposes that «social performance influences the development of
informal sector»
In this research the OLS regression approach is used. The
regression approach has been successful in previous studies. In line with the
hypotheses, the research contains three general regression models: financial
performance regression, social performance regression and informal sector
regression.
57
58
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
CHAPTER V- PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF
DATA
This chapter contains four sections. Section 1 provides an
insight in the various sources and the process of data collection. In section
2, multiple sources have been combined in order to collect general information,
financial and social performance data of 45 active MFIs in Yaoundé
(Cameroon). In section 3, we will give preliminary data analysis and section 4
explains the different regressions analysis that we will perform in our
research.
V.1- Data collection
Data are obtained from various sources and can be classified
into primary data and secondary data.
? Primary data: These data were obtained largely through the
survey undertaken by COBAC and the Ministry of Finance. Indeed, the objective
of investigation had as finality the setting-up of a report which was followed
by an assessment of Cameroon?s MFIs, carried out within the framework of the
implementation of the Microfinance Activity Evaluation and Supervision System
(SESAME). This implementation was carried out from March to September 2011. We
have also obtained primary information from some surveys undertaken by the
Ministry of Economy, through their data base on MFIs.
? Secondary data: this category of information was obtained
firstly from the Microfinance Information eXchange database (MIX MARKET, web
site:
www.mixmarket.org) and
secondly from Cameroon National Institute of Statistics web site:
www.ins.cm.
It is important to underline that it is inside the SESAME
report that we have found the most important and available information
concerning the 45 MFIs which will constitute our sample. The list and different
acronyms for the concern is given in the appendices
V.2- The data set
The dataset contains general information, financial
performance data, social performance and non-formal institutions data from 45
MFIs of Yaoundé. All the observations are from the year 2010. Let us
mention that the sample was drawn from the population of Cameroon MFIs which is
about 488 microfinances. Table 7 shows the distribution of microfinances based
on their categories
59
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Table 7: Distribution of microfinances based on their
categories
Categories
|
Center region
|
East region
|
Littoral south region
|
and west
|
West region
|
Far region
|
North
|
North region
|
west
|
Total
|
First
|
45
|
13
|
32
|
|
52
|
79
|
|
221
|
|
442
|
Second
|
17
|
0
|
18
|
|
2
|
1
|
|
4
|
|
42
|
Third
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
|
0
|
2
|
|
0
|
|
4
|
Total
|
62
|
13
|
52
|
|
54
|
82
|
|
225*
|
|
488
|
* CAMCCUL network is integrated in North-West region.
Source COBAC
Concerning the network we have CAMCCUL: 191, A3C: 34, UCCGN:
9, CMEC West: 19, CMEC North West: 9 and MUCADEC: 3
From the 488 approved MFIs in 31st December 2010,
there are 442 in the first category, 44 in the second category and 4 in the
third category. This sector is predominated by MFIs of first category which
represents 90.1% of total MFIs, follows by the structures of second category
(9%). MFIs of third category that are essentially of old project are
established in far North and West areas. Despite the fact that the proportion
of MFIs of second category is low, they still control almost half the market
especially in terms of fixed deposits and loans from clients. Another network
received in 2011 is the agreement of monetary authority with three of its
affiliated, they include the MUCADEC network.
V.3- Preliminary data analysis
In this section, we are going to talk about descriptive
statistics and correlation analysis.
V.3.1- Descriptive statistics
The descriptive statistics for the variables and indicators used
in the research are presented in table 8.
60
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Table 8: descriptive statistics
|
ROA
|
ROE
|
OSS
|
AL
|
CFIR
|
CFGR
|
TA
|
COA
|
HLRA
|
FD
|
GL
|
N
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
44
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
Mean
|
1.08
|
17.29
|
124.36
|
7.44
|
0.84
|
11.56
|
159667.00
|
108.22
|
30.75
|
17245.30
|
56514.30
|
Std dev
|
8.87
|
50.98
|
101.30
|
48.72
|
21.46
|
40.89
|
1055060.0
0
|
79.08
|
113.68
|
104153.0
0
|
372536.0
0
|
Coef. of var in%
|
824.00
|
294.79
|
81.45
|
654.87
|
2552.20
|
353.84
|
660.79
|
73.07
|
369.71
|
603.95
|
659.19
|
Min
|
-31.12
|
-130.77
|
-3.54
|
0
|
-85
|
-85
|
20
|
-50
|
-500
|
0
|
5
|
Max
|
35
|
227.27
|
434.3
|
327
|
62
|
218
|
7.08E+06
|
358.3
|
500
|
700000
|
2.50E+06
|
Range
|
66.12
|
358.04
|
437.84
|
327
|
147
|
303
|
7.08E+06
|
408.3
|
1000
|
700000
|
2.50E+06
|
Std. skew
|
-0.01
|
4.11
|
3.37
|
18.37
|
-4.36
|
8.95
|
18.37
|
3.49
|
-1.93
|
18.34
|
18.37
|
Std. kurt
|
10.76
|
10.94
|
1.91
|
61.61
|
12.62
|
21.80
|
61.62
|
2.50
|
22.97
|
61.47
|
61.62
|
This table shows the summary statistics of each of the
selected data variables. It includes measures of central tendency, measures of
variability, and measures of shape. Of particular interest here are the
standardized skewness and standardized kurtosis, which can be used to determine
whether the sample comes from a normal distribution. Values of these statistics
outside the range of -2 to +2 indicate significant departures from normality,
which would tend to invalidate many of the statistical procedures normally
applied to this data. In this case, the following variables show standardized
skewness values outside the expected range: ROE, OSS, AL, CFIR, CFGR, TA, COA,
FD, GL
The following variables show standardized kurtosis values
outside the expected range: ROA, ROE, AL, CFIR, CFGR, TA, COA, FD, GL
V.3.2- Correlation analysis
A correlation coefficient measures the linear relationship
between two variables that does not depend on the unit of variables of
measurement. Table 9 shows the correlation between the selected variables and
indicators used in the research.
Firstly there is a low correlation among the financial
performance variables (cross correlations), two coefficients are positive and
relatively low whereas another is negative. Further we can observe the same
trend between the FP variables and other indicators. This means
61
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
that there is a relatively low link among the variables
(sometimes this link is negative and sometimes it is positive).
Secondly, concerning social performance, the cross correlation
among variable illustrates that the relationships exist among the variables and
these links are relatively low, sometimes positive and sometimes negative. The
general trend between the social performance indicators and another variable
presents relatively low correlations (positive or negative). However we can
observe some cases of perfect relationships between social performance and
informal sector variables. Meaning that the knowledge of one variable gives us
the value of other variables (example: Average Loan /GDP per capita and fixed
deposits).The cross correlation between the informal sector variables is
perfectly positive, meaning that there is a positive and linear relationship
between the variables. However, it is important to notice that the correlations
are significant at 0.01level (2 tailed) and 0.05 level (2 tailed).
Table 9: correlation coefficients
|
ROA
|
ROE
|
OSS
|
AL
|
CFIR
|
CFGR
|
TA
|
COA
|
HLAR
|
FD
|
GL
|
Financial performance
|
ROA
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ROE
|
0.045
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OSS
|
0.245
|
-0.077
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Social performance
|
AL
|
-0.551**
|
0.132
|
-0.098
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFIR
|
0.040
|
0.172
|
0.063
|
-0.006
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFGR
|
0.027
|
0.207
|
0.054
|
-0.043
|
0.632**
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
Controllable variables
|
TA
|
-0.553**
|
0.132
|
-0.097
|
1.000
|
-0.006
|
-0.043
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
COA
|
-0.401**
|
-0.035
|
-0.356*
|
0.057
|
-0.113
|
-0.080
|
0.057
|
1
|
|
|
|
HLAR
|
0.045
|
0.002
|
-0.012
|
-0.041
|
0.037
|
0.023
|
-0.041
|
-0.140
|
1
|
|
|
Informal sector
|
FD
|
-0.553**
|
0.126
|
-0.083
|
1.000**
|
-0.005
|
-0.043
|
1.000**
|
0.054
|
-0.041
|
1
|
|
GL
|
-0.553**
|
0.132
|
-0.098
|
1.000**
|
-0.006
|
-0.043
|
1.000**
|
0.057
|
-0.041
|
1.000**
|
1
|
62
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
**Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed);
*Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed)
This table shows Pearson products of correlation moments between
each pair of variables. These correlation coefficients range between -1 and +1
and measure the strength of the linear relationship between the variables.
V.4- Regression analysis
Introduced in section IV.3, three hypotheses are derived from the
problem statement.
These hypotheses can be tested using three regression models: the
(1) financial performance regression, (2) social performance regression,
and (3) informal sector regression. This section provides the financial
performance regression analysis, the social performance regression analysis,
and the informal sector regression. It is important to underline that the data
have been analyzed by the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS), Excel
and Statgraphics software
V.4.1- Financial performance regression analysis
There are three financial performance regression based on the
dependent variables,
namely ROA, ROE and OSS.
? MODEL SUMMARY: ROA in dependent variable
MODEL1: FD, HLAR, COA, AL: ROA Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR
Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, AL CFGR
Model
|
R
|
R Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of
the Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
R Square Change
|
F
Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
0.673*
|
0.453
|
0.399
|
6.878
|
0.4533
|
8.292
|
4
|
40
|
0.00
|
2
|
0.673**
|
0.453
|
0.383
|
6.966
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1
|
39
|
0.993
|
3
|
0.674***
|
0.454
|
0.368
|
7.050
|
0.001
|
0.071
|
1
|
38
|
0.791
|
Tolerance: 0.00
* Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL
**Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR
***Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR, CFGR
63
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Table10: ANOVA analysis of ROA
regression
Model
|
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
1
|
Regression
|
1569.26501
|
4
|
392.316254
|
8.29235437
|
5.7212E-05
|
|
Residual
|
1892.42397
|
40
|
47.3105992
|
|
|
|
Total
|
3461.68898
|
44
|
|
|
|
2
|
Regression
|
1569.26831
|
5
|
313.853662
|
6.46806125
|
0.0001819
|
|
Residual
|
1892.42067
|
39
|
48.523607
|
|
|
|
Total
|
3461.68898
|
44
|
|
|
|
3
|
Regression
|
1572.8065
|
6
|
262.134417
|
5.27354558
|
0.00049015
|
|
Residual
|
1888.88248
|
38
|
49.7074337
|
|
|
|
Total
|
3461.68898
|
44
|
|
|
|
Table11: ROA regression coefficients
Model
|
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
1
|
(Constant)
|
6.939
|
1.903
|
|
3.646
|
0.000
|
AL
|
0.536
|
0.684
|
2.945
|
0.784
|
0.437
|
COA
|
-0.043
|
0.013
|
-0.384
|
-3.238
|
0.002
|
HLAR
|
-0.003
|
0.009
|
-0.033
|
-0.285
|
0.776
|
FD
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
-3.477
|
-0.926
|
0.360
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
6.934
|
1.935
|
|
3.587
|
0.000
|
AL
|
0.536
|
0.692
|
2.944
|
0.774
|
0.443
|
COA
|
-0.043
|
0.013
|
-0.384
|
-3.184
|
0.002
|
HLAR
|
-0.003
|
0.009
|
-0.0337
|
-0.281
|
0.779
|
FD
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
-3.477
|
-0.915
|
0.366
|
CFIR
|
0.000
|
0.05
|
0.000
|
-0.008
|
0.993
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
7.046
|
1.998
|
|
3.526
|
0.001
|
AL
|
0.538
|
0.700
|
2.953
|
0.767
|
0.448
|
COA
|
-0.043
|
0.014
|
-0.385
|
-3.151
|
0.003
|
HLAR
|
-0.003
|
0.009
|
-0.034
|
-0.280
|
0.781
|
FD
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
-3.487
|
-0.906
|
0.371
|
CFIR
|
0.010
|
0.065
|
0.025
|
0.161
|
0.873
|
CFGR
|
-0.009
|
0.034
|
-0.041
|
-0.267
|
0.791
|
64
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Interpretation: the p-value of F test is 0.000.
This means that the overall model is statistically significant under ANOVA
analysis. The R square of all models is less than 0.50. This supposes that
there is a low relationship between independent variables and Return on
Asset.
F test, model 1: observed value 8.292 is greater than empirical
value F= 2.021. Then the regression equation is useful in the estimation of
ROA.
Based on T test, we can also conclude that all variables used in
the regression equation are useful to predict the return on asset.
F test, model 2: observed value 6.468 is greater than empirical
value 0.0150. Then the regression equation is useful in the estimation of ROA.
Consequently social performance variables influence ROA
F test, model 3: observed value 5.273; empirical value 0.0272.
Here, we can also conclude that all variables used in the regression equation
are useful to predict ROA.
As summary, social performance influence the Return on Asset.
Therefore, this can confirm the hypothesis of good management by the MFI. It is
important to underline that the significant level for all F test and T test is
0.05.
? MODEL SUMMARY: ROE in dependent variable
Model1: FD, HLAR, COA, AL
Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, AL CFGR
Model
|
R
|
R Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of the Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
R Square Change
|
F
Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
0.234*
|
0.05
|
-0.042
|
52.62214
|
0.055
|
0.564
|
4
|
39
|
0.690
|
2
|
0.290**
|
0.08
|
-0.036
|
52.46893
|
0.030
|
1.228
|
1
|
38
|
0.275
|
3
|
0.318***
|
0.101
|
-0.044
|
52.67756
|
|
0.700
|
1
|
37
|
0.408
|
* Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL
**Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR
***Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR, CFGR
65
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Table12: ANOVA OF ROE REGRESSION
Model
|
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
1
|
Regression
|
6252.9397
|
4
|
1563.23492
|
0.56453017
|
0.68979795
|
|
Residual
|
107994.516
|
39
|
2769.09015
|
|
|
|
Total
|
114247.455
|
43
|
|
|
|
2
|
Regression
|
9633.87489
|
5
|
1926.77498
|
0.69988475
|
0.62690603
|
|
Residual
|
104613.581
|
38
|
2752.98896
|
|
|
|
Total
|
114247.455
|
43
|
|
|
|
3
|
Regression
|
11575.2045
|
6
|
1929.20075
|
0.69522609
|
0.6549512
|
|
Residual
|
102672.251
|
37
|
2774.9257
|
|
|
|
Total
|
114247.455
|
43
|
|
|
|
Table13: ROE regression Coefficients
Model
|
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
1
|
(Constant)
|
24.007
|
15.266
|
|
1.573
|
0.124
|
AL
|
6.549
|
5.231
|
6.260
|
1.252
|
0.218
|
COA
|
-0.033
|
0.116
|
-0.044
|
-0.280
|
0.781
|
HLAR
|
-0.002
|
0.071
|
-0.006
|
-0.035
|
0.972
|
FD
|
-0.003
|
0.002
|
-6.129
|
-1.226
|
0.228
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
22.314
|
15.298
|
|
1.459
|
0.153
|
AL
|
6.602
|
5.216
|
6.311
|
1.266
|
0.213
|
COA
|
-0.019
|
0.116
|
-0.025
|
-0.159
|
0.875
|
HLAR
|
-0.004
|
0.070
|
-0.009
|
-0.060
|
0.953
|
FD
|
-0.003
|
0.002
|
-6.180
|
-1.240
|
0.223
|
CFIR
|
0.416
|
0.375
|
0.173
|
1.108
|
0.275
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
20.033
|
15.600
|
|
1.284
|
0.207
|
AL
|
6.562
|
5.237
|
6.272
|
1.253
|
0.218
|
COA
|
-0.019
|
0.117
|
-0.026
|
-0.165
|
0.870
|
HLAR
|
-0.004
|
0.071
|
-0.009
|
-0.056
|
0.955
|
FD
|
-0.003
|
0.002
|
-6.134
|
-1.226
|
0.228
|
CFIR
|
0.160
|
0.485
|
0.067
|
0.330
|
0.743
|
CFGR
|
0.210
|
0.251
|
0.168
|
0.836
|
0.408
|
The first model here is not statistically significant because
its F value is lower than the significant level. The R square of all models is
less than 0.50. This supposes that there is a low relationship between
independent variables and Return on Equity.
66
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
F test, model 1: observed value 0.564 is less than empirical
value which is 0.690. Thus the regression equation is not useful to predict the
ROE. Consequently social performance variables have no influence on ROE. We can
conclude that this is the hypothesis of mission drift or arbitration.
F test, model 2: as we can observe in ANOVA table of ROE, the
model is statistically significant. The R square of the model is less than
0.50. This implies that that there is a low relationship between independent
variables and Return on Equity. Observed value 0.699 of F test is greater than
the empirical value which is 0.408. We can conclude that all social variables
used in the regression equation are useful to predict ROE.
F test, model 3: under ANOVA table of ROE the model is
statistically significant. We found with the F test that observed value 0.695
is greater than empirical value 0.409. We can conclude that this model is
useful to estimate ROE. Thus social performance variables used in this model
influence the dependent variable ROE (assumption of good management
practice)
? MODEL SUMMARY: OSS in dependent variable
Model1: FD, HLAR, COA, AL
Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, AL,
CFGR
Model
|
R
|
R Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of
the Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
R Square Change
|
F Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
0.552*
|
0.305
|
0.234
|
88.75586
|
0.30489
|
4.277
|
4
|
39
|
0.006
|
2
|
0.553**
|
0.305
|
0.214
|
89.88087
|
0.00054
|
0.030
|
1
|
38
|
0.864
|
3
|
0.553***
|
0.306
|
0.193
|
91.07649
|
0.00017
|
0.009
|
1
|
37
|
0.926
|
* Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL
**Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR
***Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, AL, CFIR, CFGR
67
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Table14: ANOVA OF OSS REGRESSION
Model
|
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
1
|
Regression
|
134756.714
|
4
|
33689.1786
|
4.27657748
|
0.00577733
|
|
Residual
|
307226.508
|
39
|
7877.60277
|
|
|
|
Total
|
441983.222
|
43
|
|
|
|
2
|
Regression
|
134997.562
|
5
|
26999.5125
|
3.34211531
|
0.01341161
|
|
Residual
|
306985.66
|
38
|
8078.57
|
|
|
|
Total
|
441983.222
|
43
|
|
|
|
3
|
Regression
|
135070.9
|
6
|
22511.8167
|
2.71392564
|
0.0275939
|
|
Residual
|
306912.322
|
37
|
8294.92762
|
|
|
|
Total
|
441983.222
|
43
|
|
|
|
Table15: OSS regression coefficients
Model
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
1
|
(Constant)
|
156.438
|
25.749
|
|
6.075
|
0.000
|
AL
|
-28.635
|
8.823
|
-13.916
|
-3.246
|
0.002
|
COA
|
-0.445
|
0.196
|
-0.307
|
-2.270
|
0.029
|
HLAR
|
-0.045
|
0.119
|
-0.050
|
-0.374
|
0.710
|
FD
|
0.013
|
0.004
|
13.843
|
3.229
|
0.003
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
155.986
|
26.207
|
|
5.952
|
0.000
|
AL
|
-28.621
|
8.935
|
-13.910
|
-3.203
|
0.003
|
COA
|
-0.441
|
0.200
|
-0.305
|
-2.210
|
0.033
|
HLAR
|
-0.045
|
0.121
|
-0.051
|
-0.373
|
0.711
|
FD
|
0.013
|
0.004
|
13.836
|
3.187
|
0.003
|
CFIR
|
0.111
|
0.643
|
0.024
|
0.173
|
0.864
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
155.543
|
26.971
|
|
5.767
|
0.000
|
AL
|
-28.629
|
9.054
|
-13.913
|
-3.162
|
0.003
|
COA
|
-0.441
|
0.202
|
-0.305
|
-2.182
|
0.036
|
HLAR
|
-0.045
|
0.122
|
-0.051
|
-0.368
|
0.715
|
FD
|
0.013
|
0.004
|
13.840
|
3.146
|
0.003
|
CFIR
|
0.061
|
0.839
|
0.013
|
0.073
|
0.942
|
CFGR
|
0.041
|
0.434
|
0.017
|
0.094
|
0.926
|
In the OSS regression, all the models are statistically
significant, because their respective F values (4.276, 3.342, and 2.713) are
greater than their respective significant level (0.005, 0.013 and
68
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
0.027). The R square of all the models is less than 0.5; this
supposes that there is a low relationship between independent variables and
Operational Self Sufficiency.
F test, mode l: observed value 4.277 is greater than empirical
value 0.005. Therefore social performance variables used in this model is
useful to estimate OSS
F test, mode 2: observed value 3.342 is greater than empirical
value 0.075. The model is useful to estimate the Operational Self Sufficiency.
Thus all social variables used influence OSS
F test, mode 3: observed value 2.71 is greater than empirical
value 0.108 we can conclude that this model is useful to estimate OSS. Thus
social performance variables used in this model influence the dependent
variable OSS (assumption of good management practice).
V.4.2- Social performance regression analysis
There are three social performance regressions based on the
dependent variables, namely: AL/GDP, CFIR, CFGR
? MODEL SUMMARY: AL dependent variable
Model1: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA
Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA,
TA, OSS
Model
|
R
|
R Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of the Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
R Square Change
|
F Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
1.000*
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
0.23107
|
1.0000
|
391223.8187
|
5
|
39
|
0.000
|
2
|
1.000**
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
0.23386
|
0.0000
|
0.0739
|
1
|
38
|
0.787
|
3
|
1.000***
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
0.23050
|
0.0000
|
2.1161
|
1
|
37
|
0.154
|
* Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA
**Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE
***Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE, OSS
Table16: ANOVA of AL regression
Model
|
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
1
|
Regression
|
104442.66
|
5.00
|
20888.53
|
391223.82
|
0.00
|
|
Residual
|
2.08
|
39.00
|
0.05
|
|
|
|
Total
|
104444.75
|
44.00
|
|
|
|
2
|
Regression
|
104442.67
|
6.00
|
17407.11
|
318278.41
|
0.00
|
|
Residual
|
2.08
|
38.00
|
0.05
|
|
|
|
Total
|
104444.75
|
44.00
|
|
|
|
69
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
3
|
Regression
|
104442.78
|
7.00
|
14920.40
|
280823.17
|
0.00
|
|
Residual
|
1.97
|
37.00
|
0.05
|
|
|
|
Total
|
104444.746
|
44
|
|
|
|
Table17: AL regression coefficients
Model
|
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
1
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
(Constant)
|
-0.0200
|
0.0737
|
|
-0.2707
|
0.7881
|
ROA
|
0.0167
|
0.0053
|
0.0030
|
3.1660
|
0.0030
|
TA
|
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
1.0166
|
42.7652
|
0.0000
|
COA
|
0.0005
|
0.0005
|
0.0009
|
1.0850
|
0.2846
|
HLAR
|
0.0003
|
0.0003
|
0.0006
|
0.8513
|
0.3998
|
FD
|
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-0.0149
|
-0.6274
|
0.5341
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
-0.0163
|
0.0758
|
|
-0.2151
|
0.8309
|
ROA
|
0.0169
|
0.0054
|
0.0031
|
3.1375
|
0.0033
|
TA
|
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
1.0178
|
41.5274
|
0.0000
|
COA
|
0.0005
|
0.0005
|
0.0009
|
1.0727
|
0.2902
|
HLAR
|
0.0003
|
0.0003
|
0.0006
|
0.8418
|
0.4052
|
FD
|
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-0.0162
|
-0.6594
|
0.5136
|
ROE
|
-0.0002
|
0.0007
|
-0.0002
|
-0.2719
|
0.7872
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
0.0691
|
0.0950
|
|
0.7272
|
0.4717
|
ROA
|
0.0179
|
0.0054
|
0.0033
|
3.3490
|
0.0019
|
TA
|
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
1.0005
|
37.1174
|
0.0000
|
COA
|
0.0003
|
0.0005
|
0.0005
|
0.6499
|
0.5198
|
HLAR
|
0.0002
|
0.0003
|
0.0006
|
0.7627
|
0.4505
|
FD
|
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
0.0012
|
0.0459
|
0.9636
|
ROE
|
-0.0002
|
0.0007
|
-0.0002
|
-0.3018
|
0.7645
|
OSS
|
-0.0006
|
0.0004
|
-0.0013
|
-1.4547
|
0.1542
|
The p-value of F test is 0.000. This means that the overall
model is statistically significant under ANOVA analysis. The R-squared of all
the models is 1.000 meaning that perfectly 100% of the variability of
AL is accounted for by the variables in the model. The
coefficients for each of the variables indicates the value of change that one
could expect in AL given a one-unit change in the value of
that variable, given that all other variables in the model are held
constant.
F test: we can observe that all the 3 models have a very
higher value of F test. This is very significant: therefore we can conclude
that financial performance indicator is useful to estimate the dependent
variable Average Loan/GDP. In fact, there is positive link between AL and
70
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
financial performance variables ceteris paribus. This implies the
availability of fund by the microfinance institution. Thus, an allowance
resulting from good economic figures brings in an improvement of SP (H2a)
? MODEL SUMMARY: CFIR dependent variable
Model1: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA
Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA,
TA, OSS
Model
|
R
|
R Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of the Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
R Square Change
|
F Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
0.117*
|
0.014
|
-0.116
|
22.67354
|
0.0137
|
0.1052
|
5
|
38
|
0.990
|
2
|
0.212**
|
0.045
|
-0.110
|
22.61250
|
0.0311
|
1.2054
|
1
|
37
|
0.279
|
3
|
0.213***
|
0.046
|
-0.140
|
22.91574
|
0.0007
|
0.0272
|
1
|
36
|
0.870
|
* Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA
**Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE
***Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE, OSS
Table18: ANOVA for CFIR regression
Model
|
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
1
|
Regression
|
270.494806
|
5
|
54.0989612
|
0.10523262
|
0.99047007
|
|
Residual
|
19535.3916
|
38
|
514.089252
|
|
|
|
Total
|
19805.8864
|
43
|
|
|
|
2
|
Regression
|
886.860095
|
6
|
147.810016
|
0.28907252
|
0.93839558
|
|
Residual
|
18919.0263
|
37
|
511.325034
|
|
|
|
Total
|
19805.8864
|
43
|
|
|
|
3
|
Regression
|
901.168592
|
7
|
128.73837
|
0.24515475
|
0.97053821
|
|
Residual
|
18904.7178
|
36
|
525.131049
|
|
|
|
Total
|
19805.8864
|
43
|
|
|
|
71
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Table19: CFIR regression
coefficients
Model
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
1
|
(Constant)
|
3.731
|
7.309
|
|
0.510
|
0.613
|
ROA
|
0.047
|
0.539
|
0.018
|
0.086
|
0.932
|
TA
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
-0.495
|
-0.092
|
0.927
|
COA
|
-0.032
|
0.053
|
-0.105
|
-0.612
|
0.544
|
HLAR
|
0.004
|
0.030
|
0.022
|
0.137
|
0.892
|
FD
|
0.000
|
0.001
|
0.509
|
0.095
|
0.925
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
2.281
|
7.408
|
|
0.308
|
0.760
|
ROA
|
-0.029
|
0.542
|
-0.011
|
-0.054
|
0.957
|
TA
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
-1.631
|
-0.300
|
0.766
|
COA
|
-0.032
|
0.052
|
-0.104
|
-0.608
|
0.547
|
HLAR
|
0.004
|
0.030
|
0.022
|
0.135
|
0.893
|
FD
|
0.000
|
0.001
|
1.604
|
0.295
|
0.770
|
ROE
|
0.076
|
0.069
|
0.183
|
1.098
|
0.279
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
1.297
|
9.584
|
|
0.135
|
0.893
|
ROA
|
-0.043
|
0.556
|
-0.017
|
-0.078
|
0.939
|
TA
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
-1.176
|
-0.191
|
0.850
|
COA
|
-0.029
|
0.055
|
-0.095
|
-0.527
|
0.601
|
HLAR
|
0.004
|
0.031
|
0.024
|
0.144
|
0.886
|
FD
|
0.000
|
0.001
|
1.148
|
0.186
|
0.854
|
ROE
|
0.076
|
0.070
|
0.183
|
1.086
|
0.285
|
OSS
|
0.007
|
0.041
|
0.032
|
0.165
|
0.870
|
The entire models have the p-value of F test higher than their
F value. Thus model 1, 2 and 3 of this regression is not statistically
significant. For example, under model 2 the significance level is 0.938 which
is greater than F value 0.289.
Under T test, model 1 gives the following results: T (0.05;
38) is 2.024. When we compare it with the T Student of first regression
coefficient model we observed that it is greater than all T test regression
coefficients. Therefore, we could conclude that all independent variables used
in this model cannot serve to estimate the dependent variable CFIR. Thus
financial performance variables of that model do not influence the Commitment
in Favour of Individual Related. This reflects to H2b: «financially
powerful companies are the worse in terms of SP because of their leaders'
greed, who do not share the margin»
72
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
We can notice that this model is similar to the last two models
and therefore have the same conclusion.
? MODEL SUMMARY: CFGR dependent variable
Model1: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA
Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE Model2: FD, HLAR, COA, ROA,
TA, OSS
Model
|
R
|
R
Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of the
Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
R Square Change
|
F
Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
0.096
|
0.009
|
-0.118
|
43.22994
|
0.0092
|
0.0722
|
5
|
39
|
0.996
|
2
|
0.241
|
0.058
|
-0.091
|
42.69970
|
0.0489
|
1.9746
|
1
|
38
|
0.168
|
3
|
0.244
|
0.059
|
-0.118
|
43.24205
|
0.0013
|
0.0528
|
1
|
37
|
0.820
|
* Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA
**Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE
***Predictors: (Constant), FD, HLAR, COA, ROA, TA, ROE, OSS
Table20: ANOVA OF CFGR REGRESSION
Model
|
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
1
|
Regression
|
674.8437379
|
5
|
134.968748
|
0.07222109
|
0.99603927
|
|
Residual
|
72884.26737
|
39
|
1868.82737
|
|
|
|
Total
|
73559.11111
|
44
|
|
|
|
2
|
Regression
|
4275.056303
|
6
|
712.509384
|
0.3907877
|
0.88031162
|
|
Residual
|
69284.05481
|
38
|
1823.2646
|
|
|
|
Total
|
73559.11111
|
44
|
|
|
|
3
|
Regression
|
4373.752018
|
7
|
624.821717
|
0.33415167
|
0.93316901
|
|
Residual
|
69185.35909
|
37
|
1869.87457
|
|
|
|
Total
|
73559.11111
|
44
|
|
|
|
Table21: CFGR regression
coefficients
Model
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
1
|
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
(Constant)
|
17.364
|
13.792
|
|
1.259
|
0.216
|
ROA
|
-0.210
|
0.987
|
-0.046
|
-0.213
|
0.833
|
TA
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
0.034
|
0.006
|
0.995
|
COA
|
-0.048
|
0.094
|
-0.094
|
-0.517
|
0.608
|
73
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
|
HLAR
|
0.003
|
0.058
|
0.010
|
0.060
|
0.953
|
FD
|
0.000
|
0.002
|
-0.097
|
-0.018
|
0.986
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
13.919
|
13.841
|
|
1.006
|
0.321
|
ROA
|
-0.385
|
0.983
|
-0.083
|
-0.391
|
0.698
|
TA
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
-1.398
|
-0.262
|
0.795
|
COA
|
-0.049
|
0.093
|
-0.094
|
-0.527
|
0.601
|
HLAR
|
0.003
|
0.057
|
0.009
|
0.057
|
0.955
|
FD
|
0.001
|
0.002
|
1.285
|
0.241
|
0.811
|
ROE
|
0.184
|
0.131
|
0.229
|
1.405
|
0.168
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
11.388
|
17.827
|
|
0.639
|
0.527
|
ROA
|
-0.415
|
1.005
|
-0.090
|
-0.413
|
0.682
|
TA
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
-0.784
|
-0.130
|
0.897
|
COA
|
-0.043
|
0.097
|
-0.083
|
-0.438
|
0.664
|
HLAR
|
0.004
|
0.058
|
0.011
|
0.070
|
0.944
|
FD
|
0.000
|
0.002
|
0.671
|
0.111
|
0.912
|
ROE
|
0.185
|
0.133
|
0.230
|
1.391
|
0.172
|
OSS
|
0.018
|
0.078
|
0.044
|
0.230
|
0.820
|
Under ANOVA of CFGR we can say that all the models are not
statistically significant because the p-value of F test is higher than their F
value (example of model 1: 0.996 is greater than 0.072). We can notice that
most of the regression coefficients under this model are not significant.
The T test of the first model gives the following results:
T(0.05; 39) is 2.022. When we compare it to the T Student of first regression
coefficient model we observed that it is greater than all the T test regression
coefficients. We can conclude by rejecting the entire hypotheses reflected by
this model. This means that the hypothesis under which financial performance
variables influence the commitment in favour of global related is false ceteris
paribus.
The first model can be generalized to the next two models,
because all T tests of those models are less than the empirical T tests.
V.4.3- Informal sector regression
There are three main models in this regression based on
dependent variables: Fixed Deposits and Gross Loans.
? MODEL SUMMARY: FD dependent variable
Model1: HLAR, TA, COA, ROA
74
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Model2: HLAR, TA, COA, ROA, ROE Model2: HLAR, TA, COA, ROA,
OSS
Model
|
R
|
R
Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of the
Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
R Square Change
|
F Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
1.000*
|
0.999
|
0.999
|
3281.6557
|
0.999
|
11070.171
|
4
|
40
|
0.00
|
2
|
1.000**
|
0.999
|
0.999
|
3266.46464
|
0.000
|
1.373
|
1
|
39
|
0.248
|
3
|
1.000***
|
0.999
|
0.999
|
2965.52991
|
0.000
|
9.317
|
1
|
38
|
0.004
|
* Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, TA, COA, ROA
**Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, TA, COA, ROA, ROE
***Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, TA, COA, ROA, ROE, OSS
Table22: ANOVA OF FD REGRESSION
Model
|
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
1
|
Regression
|
4.7687E+11
|
4
|
1.1922E+11
|
11070.1712
|
0.000
|
|
Residual
|
430770564
|
40
|
10769264.1
|
|
|
|
Total
|
4.773E+11
|
44
|
|
|
|
2
|
Regression
|
4.7689E+11
|
5
|
9.5377E+10
|
8938.976
|
0.000
|
|
Residual
|
416121857
|
39
|
10669791.2
|
|
|
|
Total
|
4.773E+11
|
44
|
|
|
|
3
|
Regression
|
4.7697E+11
|
6
|
7.9494E+10
|
9039.25088
|
0.000
|
|
Residual
|
334185971
|
38
|
8794367.67
|
|
|
|
Total
|
4.773E+11
|
44
|
|
|
|
Table23: FD regression coefficients when FP
influences the informal sector
Model
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
1
|
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
(Constant)
|
2125.559
|
991.552
|
|
2.144
|
0.038
|
ROA
|
-34.424
|
74.764
|
-0.003
|
-0.460
|
0.648
|
TA
|
0.099
|
0.001
|
0.998
|
170.777
|
0.000
|
COA
|
-5.102
|
7.066
|
-0.004
|
-0.722
|
0.474
|
HLAR
|
-0.754
|
4.401
|
-0.001
|
-0.171
|
0.865
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
2269.238
|
994.550
|
|
2.282
|
0.028
|
ROA
|
-22.316
|
75.131
|
-0.002
|
-0.297
|
0.768
|
75
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Un der
|
TA
|
0.099
|
0.001
|
0.999
|
168.725
|
0.000
|
COA
|
-4.907
|
7.035
|
-0.004
|
-0.698
|
0.490
|
HLAR
|
-0.715
|
4.381
|
-0.001
|
-0.163
|
0.871
|
ROE
|
-11.537
|
9.847
|
-0.006
|
-1.172
|
0.248
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
-243.712
|
1221.911
|
|
-0.199
|
0.843
|
ROA
|
-43.098
|
68.549
|
-0.004
|
-0.629
|
0.533
|
TA
|
0.099
|
0.001
|
0.999
|
185.848
|
0.000
|
COA
|
1.047
|
6.678
|
0.001
|
0.157
|
0.876
|
HLAR
|
0.098
|
3.986
|
0.000
|
0.025
|
0.980
|
ROE
|
-8.821
|
8.984
|
-0.004
|
-0.982
|
0.332
|
OSS
|
14.625
|
4.791
|
0.014
|
3.052
|
0.004
|
ANOVA of FD regression, we can say that all the models are
statistically significant because the p-value of F test is zero. The R-squared
of the entire models is 0.998, meaning that approximately 99.9% of the
variability of FD is accounted for by the variables in the
model. In this case, the adjusted R-squared also indicates that about 99.9% of
the variability of FD is accounted for by the models; even
after taking into account the number of predictable variables in the models.
The coefficients for each of the variables indicates the
amount of change one could expect in FD given a one-unit
change in the value of that variable, given that all other variables in the
models are held constant.
The T test in the first model: T(0.05;40) is 2.021. This
statistic proves in the case of TA regression coefficient that independents
variables (financial performance variable) influence deposit by clients of
small and medium size enterprises, ceteris paribus. But other regression
coefficients are not significant because their T values are less than empirical
value.
When we look at models 2 and 3, we can draw the same
conclusion. Thus MFIs must concentrate their effort to improve their total
assets, which results in the valorization of FD amount by the clients. This
situation corresponds to H3.
? MODEL SUMMARY: FD dependent variable
Model1: HLAR, TA, COA, ROA
Model2: HLAR, TA, COA, ROA, ROE Model2: HLAR, TA, COA, ROA,
OSS
76
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Model
|
R
|
R
Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of the Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
R Square Change
|
F Change
|
d f
1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
1.000*
|
1.000
|
1.0000
|
1232.30476
|
1.000
|
1005282.31
|
4
|
40
|
0.000
|
2
|
1.000**
|
1.000
|
1.0000
|
1247.30904
|
0.000
|
0.04344216
|
1
|
39
|
0.836
|
3
|
1.000***
|
1.000
|
1.0000
|
1195.53135
|
0.000
|
4.45128185
|
1
|
38
|
0.0421
|
* Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, TA, COA, ROA
**Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, TA, COA, ROA, ROE
***Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, TA, COA, ROA, ROE, OSS
Table24: FD regression coefficients when SP
influences the informal sector
Model
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
1
|
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
(Constant)
|
520.664
|
372.341
|
|
1.398
|
0.170
|
ROA
|
-57.588
|
28.075
|
-0.001
|
-2.051
|
0.047
|
TA
|
0.353
|
0.000
|
0.999
|
1628.568
|
0.000
|
COA
|
-2.614
|
2.653
|
-0.001
|
-0.985
|
0.331
|
HLAR
|
0.063
|
1.653
|
0.000
|
0.038
|
0.970
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
510.904
|
379.772
|
|
1.345
|
0.186
|
ROA
|
-58.411
|
28.689
|
-0.001
|
-2.036
|
0.049
|
TA
|
0.353
|
0.000
|
0.999
|
1580.185
|
0.000
|
COA
|
-2.627
|
2.686
|
-0.001
|
-0.978
|
0.334
|
HLAR
|
0.060
|
1.673
|
0.000
|
0.036
|
0.971
|
ROE
|
0.784
|
3.760
|
0.000
|
0.208
|
0.836
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
1211.150
|
492.604
|
|
2.459
|
0.019
|
ROA
|
-52.620
|
27.635
|
-0.001
|
-1.904
|
0.064
|
TA
|
0.353
|
0.000
|
0.999
|
1648.621
|
0.000
|
COA
|
-4.286
|
2.692
|
-0.001
|
-1.592
|
0.120
|
HLAR
|
-0.166
|
1.607
|
0.000
|
-0.103
|
0.918
|
ROE
|
0.027
|
3.622
|
0.000
|
0.007
|
0.994
|
OSS
|
-4.075
|
1.932
|
-0.001
|
-2.110
|
0.042
|
? MODEL SUMMARY: GL dependent variable
Model1: HLAR, AL, COA
Model2: HLAR, AL, COA, CFIR
77
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Model2: HLAR, AL, COA, CFGR
Model
|
R
|
R
Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of the Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
|
R Square Change
|
F Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
1.000*
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1906.119
|
1.000
|
559918.371
|
3
|
40
|
0.000
|
2
|
1.000**
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1929.461
|
0.000
|
0.038
|
1
|
39
|
0.846
|
3
|
1.000***
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1954.172
|
0.000
|
0.020
|
1
|
38
|
0.889
|
* Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, AL, COA
**Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, AL, COA, CFIR
***Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, AL, COA, CFIR, CFGR
Table25: GL regression coefficients when FP
influences the informal sector
Model
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
1
|
(Constant)
|
-400.556
|
532.146
|
|
-0.753
|
0.456
|
AL
|
7646.003
|
5.920
|
1.000
|
1291.493
|
0.000
|
COA
|
0.685
|
4.199
|
0.000
|
0.163
|
0.871
|
HLAR
|
-1.569
|
2.555
|
0.000
|
-0.614
|
0.543
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
-389.330
|
541.730
|
|
-0.719
|
0.477
|
AL
|
7646.007
|
5.993
|
1.000
|
1275.861
|
0.000
|
COA
|
0.594
|
4.276
|
0.000
|
0.139
|
0.890
|
HLAR
|
-1.558
|
2.587
|
0.000
|
-0.602
|
0.551
|
CFIR
|
-2.692
|
13.802
|
0.000
|
-0.195
|
0.846
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
-375.289
|
557.619
|
|
-0.673
|
0.505
|
AL
|
7645.962
|
6.078
|
1.000
|
1257.968
|
0.000
|
COA
|
0.599
|
4.331
|
0.000
|
0.138
|
0.891
|
HLAR
|
-1.559
|
2.621
|
0.000
|
-0.595
|
0.555
|
CFIR
|
-1.092
|
17.999
|
0.000
|
-0.061
|
0.952
|
CFGR
|
-1.314
|
9.315
|
0.000
|
-0.141
|
0.889
|
In this case, we have a similar result as the above
conclusion: empirical value of T test is higher than T test of observed value
in the entire models, except the case of Average Loan/ GDP. Indeed in the
entire models, the T value of AL/GDP is greater than one of the empirical value
(t (0.05; 40)). We can conclude that only AL/GDP is significant. Therefore,
social performance
78
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
through the AL/GDP influences the Gross Loan and consequently the
development of informal sector.
? MODEL SUMMARY: GL dependent variable
Model1: HLAR, AL, COA
Model2: HLAR, AL, COA, CFIR Model2: HLAR, AL, COA, CFGR
Model
|
R
|
R
Square
|
Adjusted R Square
|
Std. Error of the Estimate
|
Change Statistics
|
|
R Square Change
|
F Change
|
df1
|
df2
|
Sig. F Change
|
1
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1906.11900
|
1.000
|
559918.371
|
3
|
40
|
0.000
|
2
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1929.46125
|
0.000
|
0.038
|
1
|
39
|
0.846
|
3
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1.000
|
1954.17216
|
0.000
|
0.020
|
1
|
38
|
0.889
|
* Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, AL, and COA; **Predictors:
(Constant), HLAR, AL, COA, and CFIR ***Predictors: (Constant), HLAR, AL, COA,
CFIR, CFGR
Table26: GL regression coefficients when SF
influences the informal sector
Model
|
Unstandardized Coefficients
|
Standardized Coefficients
|
t
|
Sig.
|
B
|
Std. Error
|
Beta
|
|
|
1
|
(Constant)
|
-400.556
|
532.146
|
|
-0.753
|
0.456
|
AL
|
7646.003
|
5.920
|
1.000
|
1291.493
|
0.000
|
COA
|
0.685
|
4.199
|
0.000
|
0.163
|
0.871
|
HLAR
|
-1.569
|
2.555
|
0.000
|
-0.614
|
0.543
|
2
|
(Constant)
|
-389.330
|
541.730
|
|
-0.719
|
0.477
|
AL
|
7646.007
|
5.993
|
1.000
|
1275.861
|
0.000
|
COA
|
0.594
|
4.276
|
0.000
|
0.139
|
0.890
|
HLAR
|
-1.558
|
2.587
|
0.000
|
-0.602
|
0.551
|
CFIR
|
-2.692
|
13.802
|
0.000
|
-0.195
|
0.846
|
3
|
(Constant)
|
-375.289
|
557.619
|
|
-0.673
|
0.505
|
AL
|
7645.962
|
6.078
|
1.000
|
1257.968
|
0.000
|
COA
|
0.599
|
4.331
|
0.000
|
0.138
|
0.891
|
HLAR
|
-1.559
|
2.621
|
0.000
|
-0.595
|
0.555
|
CFIR
|
-1.092
|
17.999
|
0.000
|
-0.061
|
0.952
|
CFGR
|
-1.314
|
9.315
|
0.000
|
-0.141
|
0.889
|
79
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
CHAPTER VI- CONCLUSION, LIMITATIONS AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
At the end of this chapter we will be able to conversant
firstly with the conclusion of the results of our research. Secondly, to give
the difficulties faced during the research. Lastly, to make recommendations for
further researches in the same field of study.
VI.1- Conclusion
This research aims to find empirical evidence on a trade-off
between the two types of performance namely social and financial performance.
In other words, the research aims to verify or to analyse if the pursuit of
social objectives enables MFIs to eventually expand their financial
performance. At the same time, to analyse the development of Cameroon informal
sector in relation to the mission drift of MFIs. Indeed, the problem indicates:
Is there a trade-off between the social and financial performance? In other
words, does the pursuit of social objectives enable MFIs to eventually expand
their financial performance?
Based on the empirical evidence of the relationship between
social and financial performance of MFIs, and more specifically to a typology
of firms? performances, we have underlined some pertinent hypotheses to
analyse. Indeed, we have assumed the influence of social performance on
financial performance, the feedback relationship and the influence of social
and financial performance on the development of informal institutions. The
following lines give us more information on the hypotheses results.
Firstly, the research concentrates on the financial
performance of MFIs. The general assumption under this hypothesis (H1) is that:
social performance influences financial performance of MFIs.
? Positive link, H1a: «influence of social
performance on financial performance implies a good management of
MFI»;
This hypothesis has been tested in financial performance
regression. As a result, there found that the overall models used to estimate
the dependent variable ROA were statistically significant. In fact the observed
value of F test was greater in each model than the empirical value. As summary,
social performance variables influence the Return on Asset ceteris paribus.
Therefore, this can confirm the positive link of good management by the MFIs.
In the same idea, when ROE stands as a dependent variable in another financial
regression, we reach to the same conclusion (in sub models 2 and 3). For
example, under ANOVA table of ROE in the model 3,
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
this model is statistically significant. We found with the F
test that observed value 0.695 is greater than empirical value 0.409. We can
conclude that this model is useful to estimate ROE. Thus social performance
variables used in this model influence the dependent variable ROE, ceteris
paribus (assumption of good management practice). It is important to note that
the same conclusion can be drawn when Operational Self Sufficiency stands as a
dependent variable
? Negative link, H1b: «influence of social
performance on financial performance implies arbitration»
This hypothesis is so particular because the mission drift has
been found only in one case. In fact taken as a dependent variable in sub model
1 in the financial regression analysis, social performance variables have no
influence on the Return on Equity. This implies that the regression equation
was not useful to estimate the ROE, because the observed value of F test was
less than the empirical value.
Secondly the research focuses on hypothesis two (H2) which
assumes that: «financial performance influences social
performance»
? Positive link, H2a: «good financial
performance enables the firm to allocate some margin to social
issues»
This hypothesis has been tested in social performance
regression. In fact, under the model where Average Loans/GDP is considered as
an independent variable, they found that financial performance variables are
useful to estimate the AL/GDP. Therefore, we can observe that all the entire
sub models have a very high value of F test, and this is very significant.
Indeed the results show that there is a positive link between AL and financial
performance variables ceteris paribus. This implies the availability of fund by
the Microfinance Institutions.
? Negative link, H2b: «financially powerful
companies are the worse in terms of SP because of their leaders' greed, who do
not share the margin»
This hypothesis can be verified through the social performance
regression when the Commitment in Favour of Individual Related is considered as
an independent variable. In fact all the entire models used here enable to
prove that financial performance variables do not influence the CFIR and
justify the fact that financially powerful companies are the worse in terms of
SP because of their leaders? greed, who do not share the margin.
As we have mentioned earlier in our research another task was
to prove the relationship between the microfinances? performance and the
development of the informal sector in Cameroon. Thus we have stated two other
hypotheses: 113 and 114
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Analysis of microfinances' performance and
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By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
? 113: «financial performance influences the
development of informal sector»
To test the above hypothesis, we have used the informal
sector regression. T test has shown in the case of Total Asset regression
coefficient that independent variables (financial performance variable)
influence the deposits made by the clients of small and medium size
enterprises, ceteris paribus. But other regression coefficients are not
significant because their T values are less than empirical value. Thus MFIs
must concentrate their effort to improve their total assets, which results in
the valorization of FD amount by clients.
? 114: «social performance influences the development
of informal sector»
The regression applied here was the social performance
regression. The Gross Loan was set as the dependent variable. In that case, we
have similar results as the above conclusion. Therefore, social performance
through the AL/GDP influences the Gross Loan and consequently the development
of informal sector.
VI.2- Limitations and recommendations
The occurrence of mission drift involves both the financial and
social performance of
MFIs. Consequently, this research required a comprehensive
analysis of the performance of MFIs. Choices have been made, leading to
limitations and recommendations.
First of all, we have faced several problems at the level of
data collection. Indeed social and financial data concerning Cameroon?s
microfinance institution are very limited. However the existing data are
difficult to access and sometimes there are not available and classified as
confidential. In addition, the lack of data over several periods, making it
impossible timing analysis that would allow us to better appreciate the impact
of financial performance on the degree of social significance and vice
versa.
Regarding the analysis method we used, we could also assess
the financial performance of MFIs using DEA (Data Enveloping Analysis) as
suggested by D'ARCIMOLES and TRÉBUCQ at the end of their article.
Moreover Cull, Kunt and Morduch (2007) in their analysis of the trade-off
between profitability and serving the poorest, their disaggregated variables
depending on the type of loan used (lending type), ie according to whether
individual loans and group loans. It would be interesting to add this variable,
but we do not have the necessary data. Another control variable that was also
very relevant is the interest rate on loans.
However, we noticed that Cameroonian MFIs do not use the
research and development variable as observed in other countries. The lack of
this variable also reduces the efficiency of assessment of MFIs. The lack of
data concerning the number of women borrowers does not also
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
enable a better analysis and understanding the deep of
outreach of the poorest population, also called the social performance
indicator. Sometimes, we face another problem which is non-availability of the
information in microfinances? websites and even on the National Institute of
Statistics website, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Economics and other
financial related institutions such as banks and libraries.
The most significant difficulty was the assessment of the
impact of MFIs on the development of the informal sector. This is because data
about Cameroonian informal sector are very scarce and sometimes inaccessible.
Our task was therefore difficult but finding solutions to this problem came out
to be interesting. Indeed we made use of the fixed deposits and gross loans in
favour of clients and we used these data as informal sector indicators.
Moreover the relevance of this study is the lack of related
research in the same field of study in our country. Therefore, for further
researches, this thesis could be used to improve the assessment of microfinance
activities in Cameroon.
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REFERENCES
Allouche, José et Laroche, Patrice. 2005. "A
Meta-analytical Investigation of the Link between Corporate Social and
Financial Performance?" Revue de Gestion des Ressources Humaines,
Juill-août-sept, pp.18-41.
CGAP (2003) «Microfinance Consensus Guidelines»
Retrieved 25 June 2009, from the world wide web:
http://www.cgap.org/gm/document-1.9.2784/Guideline_definitions.pdf.
CGAP (2006) «Access for All: Building Inclusive Financial
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CGAP (2007) «Beyond good intentions: measuring the social
performance of microfinance institutions». Foucs Note No. 41. Retrieved 25
June 2009, from the world wide web:
http://www.cgap.org/gm/document-1.9.2581/FocusNote_41.pdf.
Cull R., Demirguc-Kunt A., Morduch J. (2006): «Financial
performance and outreach: a global analysis of leading microbanks», Policy
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Cull, R., Demirguç-Kunt, A. & Morduch, J. (2007)
«Financial performance and outreach: a global analysis of leading
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Social-Financial Performance
Analysis of microfinances' performance and
development of informal institutions in Cameroon
By Djamaman Brice Gaétan
Relationship - A Typology and Analysis» Business &
Society, vol 36, n°4, December, p. 419-429.
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APPENDICES
APPENDIX A: List of variables
VARIABLES
|
SHORTENED FORM
|
Unit
|
Return on Asset
|
ROA
|
%
|
Return on Equity
|
ROE
|
%
|
Operational Self Sufficiency
|
OSS
|
%
|
Average Loan Size per GDP
|
AL/GDP
|
%
|
Commitment in Favour of Indivual Related
|
CFIR
|
%
|
Commitment in Favour of Global Related
|
CFGR
|
%
|
Total Asset
|
TA
|
FCFA
|
Coefficient of Activity
|
COA
|
%
|
Hedge Loan by Available Resources
|
HLAR
|
%
|
Fixed Deposits
|
FD
|
FCFA
|
Gross Loan
|
GL
|
FCFA
|
APPENDIX B: Abbreviations
CCA
|
Crédit Communautaire d'Afrique
|
CERISE
|
Comité d'échange et de Reflexion sur les
systèmes d'Epargne
|
CGAP
|
Consultative Group to Assist the Poorest
|
COBAC
|
Commission Bancaire d'Afrique Centrale
|
FCFA
|
Franc de la Communautaire Financière Africaine
|
FP
|
Financial Performance
|
IRAM
|
Institut de Recherche et d'Application des Méthodes de
Développement
|
IS
|
Informal Sector
|
MINFI
|
Ministry of Finance
|
NGOs
|
Non Governmental Organisation
|
PRSP
|
Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper
|
S&P
|
Standard and Poors
|
SESAME
|
Microfinance Activity Evaluation and Supervision System
|
SP
|
Social Performance
|
SPTF
|
Social Performance Task Force
|
TAP
|
Traditional Apprentice
|
USD
|
US Dallar
|
MIX
|
Microfinance Information eXchange
|
|