Annexe IV : Estimations par la méthode
d'appariement :
? Estimations globales :
probit Transition RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX EDUCATION RURALPOP
Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT Iteration 0: log likelihood = -2884.7701
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -2649.2682 Iteration 2: log likelihood =
-2643.0033 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -2642.9613 Iteration 4: log likelihood
= -2642.9613
Probit regression Number of obs = 4996
LR chi2(5) = 483.62
Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Log likelihood = -2642.9613 Pseudo R2 = 0.0838
Transition | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RealGDPpc
|
|
|
.1189079
|
.0099071
|
12.00
|
0.000
|
.0994905
|
.1383254
|
|
HEALTHINDEX
|
|
|
-.2531655
|
.0311557
|
-8.13
|
0.000
|
-.3142296
|
-.1921014
|
|
EDUCATION
|
|
|
.0509781
|
.0095889
|
5.32
|
0.000
|
.0321843
|
.0697719
|
|
RURALPOP
|
|
|
-1.53e-09
|
3.32e-10
|
-4.61
|
0.000
|
-2.18e-09
|
-8.80e-10
|
|
Pressliberties
|
|
|
.039077
|
.0072263
|
5.41
|
0.000
|
.0249137
|
.0532402
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT
|
|
|
-.7880033
|
.0869896
|
-9.06
|
0.000
|
-.9584998
|
-.6175067
|
|
_cons
|
|
-5.620551
|
.493473
|
-11.39
|
0.000
|
-6.58774
|
-4.653361
|
? psmatch2 Transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
|
|
24.5194906
|
23.5882117
|
.931278958
|
.068212075
|
13.65
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
24.5194906
|
23.8570939
|
.662396756
|
.156136973
|
4.24
|
102
École polytechnique de Tunis
|
Mémoire de Mastère
|
Derbali Ahmed
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched |
|
.342575758
|
.710337323
|
-.367761566
|
.035173348
|
-10.46
|
|
ATT |
|
.342575758
|
.670151515
|
-.327575758
|
.089596111
|
-3.66
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched |
|
13825093.1
|
18317945.8
|
-4492852.73
|
2641169.1
|
-1.70
|
|
ATT |
|
13825093.1
|
15746284.4
|
-1921191.29
|
6197181.45
|
-0.31
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched |
|
4.87348485
|
4.31120783
|
.562277014
|
.090477268
|
6.21
|
|
ATT |
|
4.87348485
|
4.69469697
|
.178787879
|
.218545672
|
0.82
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .379188228
|
.46187932
|
-.082691092
|
.007415625
|
-11.15
|
|
ATT | .379188228
|
.465325559
|
-.086137331
|
.017687347
|
-4.87
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity
score is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
3,676
|
|
|
3,676
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
1,320
|
|
|
1,320
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
4,996
|
|
|
4,996
|
? pstest RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties
RELIGIOUSFRACT
|
| Mean
|
|
|
| t-test
|
|
Variable
|
| Treated
|
Control
|
%bias
|
| t p>|t|
|
|
+
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
RealGDPpc
|
| 24.519
|
23.857
|
31.6
|
| 8.23 0.000
|
|
HEALTHINDEX
|
| .34258
|
.67015
|
-34.8
|
| -9.50 0.000
|
|
RURALPOP
|
| 1.4e+07
|
1.6e+07
|
-2.8
|
| -0.77 0.443
|
|
Pressliberties
|
| 4.8735
|
4.6947
|
6.7
|
| 1.72 0.085
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT
|
| .37919
|
.46533
|
-38.2
|
| -9.67 0.000
|
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
? ANNEE 1981:
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
|
Variable Sample
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E.
|
T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 25.7397079
|
23.5812041
|
2.15850388
|
2.15319134
|
1.00
|
|
ATT
|
| 25.7397079
|
24.3099842
|
1.42972374
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .4
|
.652845528
|
-.252845528
|
1.18567144
|
-0.21
|
|
ATT
|
| .4
|
.3
|
.1
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 6191373.94
|
15893711.2
|
-9702337.27
|
86314815.4
|
-0.11
|
|
ATT
|
| 6191373.94
|
12462575.9
|
-6271201.97
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 6
|
4.26829268
|
1.73170732
|
2.88342691
|
0.60
|
|
ATT
|
| 6
|
7
|
-1
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .198781505
|
.462508235
|
-.26372673
|
.238690329
|
-1.10
|
|
ATT
|
| .198781505
|
.48529619
|
-.286514685
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: Sample S.E.
|
|
|
|
|
|
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
124
|
|
|
124
|
? ANNEE 1982 :
. psmatch2 transition , n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat
+
103
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
|
|
23.5764777
|
23.684188
|
-.107710265
|
1.28206034
|
-0.08
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
23.5764777
|
25.2159354
|
-1.6394577
|
.968003588
|
-1.69
|
|
École polytechnique de Tunis
|
Mémoire de Mastère
|
Derbali Ahmed
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .633333333
|
.706557377
|
-.073224044
|
.725039697
|
-0.10
|
|
ATT
|
| .633333333
|
.4
|
.233333333
|
.301846171
|
0.77
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 2679250.04
|
16023057.2
|
-13343807.1
|
50532060.6
|
-0.26
|
|
ATT
|
| 2679250.04
|
3682542.36
|
-1003292.32
|
1722474.42
|
-0.58
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 3.66666667
|
3.86885246
|
-.202185792
|
1.67013526
|
-0.12
|
|
ATT
|
| 3.66666667
|
2.66666667
|
1
|
1.69967317
|
0.59
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .266689499
|
.461154667
|
-.194465168
|
.13821
|
-1.41
|
|
ATT | .266689499
|
.506162112
|
-.239472613
|
.199863457
|
-1.20
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity
score is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
122
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
125
|
|
|
125
|
? ANNEE 1983 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
+
104
Variable Sample
|
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls Difference
|
S.E. T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 26.5908947
|
23.5120312
|
3.07886352
|
1.55231879
|
1.98
|
|
ATT
|
| 26.5908947
|
23.4157238
|
3.1751709
|
2.43495767
|
1.30
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .35
|
.7
|
-.35
|
.899196019
|
-0.39
|
|
ATT
|
| .35
|
.3
|
.05
|
.320156212
|
0.16
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 14399598.3
|
16232508.9
|
-1832910.59
|
62518680.6
|
-0.03
|
|
ATT
|
| 14399598.3
|
1851613.76
|
12547984.5
|
9823765.97
|
1.28
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 3
|
4.20491803
|
-1.20491803
|
2.06115154
|
-0.58
|
|
ATT
|
| 3
|
6
|
-3
|
3.60555128
|
-0.83
|
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
105
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .114240799 .461154667 -.346913868
.169426036 -2.05
ATT | .114240799 .461311109 -.34707031 .344126519 -1.01
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score
is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
Assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
122
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
2
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
124
|
|
|
124
|
? ANNEE 1984 :
. psmatch2 transition , n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
|
Variable Sample
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E.
|
T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 21.8277063
|
23.6463971
|
-1.81869075
|
1.53807073
|
-1.18
|
|
ATT
|
| 21.8277063
|
26.0585957
|
-4.23088932
|
2.32541908
|
-1.82
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .1
|
.72195122
|
-.62195122
|
.900823308
|
-0.69
|
|
ATT
|
| .1
|
.35
|
-.25
|
.25
|
-1.00
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 2408049.26
|
16350012.2
|
-13941962.9
|
62815712.8
|
-0.22
|
|
ATT
|
| 2408049.26
|
3376492.9
|
-968443.639
|
3691218.22
|
-0.26
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 7
|
4.31707317
|
2.68292683
|
2.20285651
|
1.22
|
|
ATT
|
| 7
|
3
|
4
|
0
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .482548684
|
.462508235
|
.020040449
|
.169049677
|
0.12
|
|
ATT | .482548684
|
.526502565
|
-.043953881
|
.14739941
|
-0.30
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score
is estimated.
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
106
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
Assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
2
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
125
|
|
|
125
|
? ANNEE 1985 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
|
Variable Sample
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E.
|
T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 25.7478132
|
23.5818666
|
2.16594659
|
1.55359068
|
1.39
|
|
ATT
|
| 25.7478132
|
24.2664127
|
1.48140049
|
1.79172908
|
0.83
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .2
|
.674590164
|
-.474590164
|
.829123227
|
-0.57
|
|
ATT
|
| .2
|
.2
|
0
|
.141421356
|
0.00
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 19744099.7
|
16636563.1
|
3107536.55
|
63673201.8
|
0.05
|
|
ATT
|
| 19744099.7
|
8864395.51
|
10879704.2
|
19858724.5
|
0.55
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 6
|
4.09836066
|
1.90163934
|
2.15688774
|
0.88
|
|
ATT
|
| 6
|
6.5
|
-.5
|
.5
|
-1.00
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .480129942
|
.461154667
|
.018975275
|
.169517869
|
0.11
|
|
ATT | .480129942
|
.313504346
|
.166625597
|
.21263252
|
0.78
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity
score is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
122
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
2
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
124
|
|
|
124
|
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
107
? ANNEE 1987 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
|
Variable Sample
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E.
|
T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 25.5928669
|
23.6540622
|
1.93880472
|
2.16883585
|
0.89
|
|
ATT
|
| 25.5928669
|
25.2689323
|
.323934555
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .2
|
.778861789
|
-.578861789
|
1.35413497
|
-0.43
|
|
ATT
|
| .2
|
.1
|
.1
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 31193042.1
|
16970498.4
|
14222543.6
|
91268509.8
|
0.16
|
|
ATT
|
| 31193042.1
|
1227993.6
|
29965048.5
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 5
|
4.52845528
|
.471544715
|
2.97997057
|
0.16
|
|
ATT
|
| 5
|
0
|
5
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .305592507
|
.462508235
|
-.156915728
|
.238690329
|
-0.66
|
|
ATT
|
| .305592507
|
.414127111
|
-.108534604
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: Sample S.E.
|
|
|
|
|
|
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
124
|
|
|
124
|
? ANNEE 1989 :
psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION) out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
|
|
25.4854412
|
23.6863364
|
1.7991048
|
1.28116123
|
1.40
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
25.4854412
|
25.4509347
|
.03450648
|
1.61788432
|
0.02
|
|
École polytechnique de Tunis
|
Mémoire de Mastère
|
|
Derbali Ahmed
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched |
|
.166666667
|
.720491803
|
-.553825137
|
.715021011
|
-0.77
|
|
ATT |
|
.166666667
|
1.46666667
|
-1.3
|
.647216261
|
-2.01
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched |
|
8804339.58
|
17475581.2
|
-8671241.66
|
53856099.8
|
-0.16
|
|
ATT |
|
8804339.58
|
9972747.83
|
-1168408.25
|
7006359.17
|
-0.17
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched |
|
3.66666667
|
4.40983607
|
-.743169399
|
1.75414728
|
-0.42
|
|
ATT |
|
3.66666667
|
5
|
-1.33333333
|
2.10818511
|
-0.63
|
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .488623982 .461154667 .027469314
.139251825 0.20
ATT | .488623982 .311358611 .177265371 .212840416 0.83
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score
is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
122
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
125
|
|
|
125
|
? ANNEE 1990 :
. psmatch2 transition , n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
+
108
Variable Sample
|
+
|
|
|
Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E. T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
|
|
24.2260513
|
23.5826866
|
.643364681
|
.734230042
|
0.88
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
24.2260513
|
23.7238943
|
.502156999
|
.977587112
|
0.51
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
|
|
.288888889
|
.73495935
|
-.446070461
|
.442432886
|
-1.01
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
.288888889
|
.966666667
|
-.677777778
|
.695275693
|
-0.97
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
|
|
4303551.7
|
17431020.9
|
-13127469.2
|
31203774.4
|
-0.42
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
4303551.7
|
6557726.06
|
-2254174.36
|
3236556.32
|
-0.70
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
|
|
5.11111111
|
4.3495935
|
.761517615
|
1.03985294
|
0.73
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
5.11111111
|
4.33333333
|
.777777778
|
1.55555556
|
0.50
|
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
109
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched| .384314623 .462508235 -.078193612
.081477863 -0.96
ATT | .384314623 .471710462 -.087395838 .105830381 -0.83
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score
is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
9
|
|
|
9
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
132
|
|
|
132
|
? ANNEE 1991 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION) out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
|
Variable Sample
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E.
|
T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 24.7361711
|
23.5525199
|
1.18365115
|
1.23955065
|
0.95
|
|
ATT
|
| 24.7361711
|
24.0644474
|
.671723684
|
1.43044677
|
0.47
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .3
|
.754918033
|
-.454918033
|
.745806708
|
-0.61
|
|
ATT
|
| .3
|
.2
|
.1
|
.129099445
|
0.77
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 42921374.4
|
17884959.3
|
25036415.1
|
54806745.9
|
0.46
|
|
ATT
|
| 42921374.4
|
9261891.42
|
33659483
|
24407669.8
|
1.38
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 4.33333333
|
4.56557377
|
-.232240437
|
1.70475119
|
-0.14
|
|
ATT
|
| 4.33333333
|
6
|
-1.66666667
|
2.10818511
|
-0.79
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .401081388
|
.461154667
|
-.060073279
|
.138707109
|
-0.43
|
|
ATT | .401081388
|
.443260675
|
-.042179286
|
.181985437
|
-0.23
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score
is estimated.
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
110
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
122
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
125
|
|
|
125
|
? ANNEE 1992 :
. psmatch2 transition , n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
|
Variable Sample
+
|
|
|
Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E. T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
|
|
23.8174419
|
23.6361482
|
.181293769
|
1.12728616
|
0.16
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
23.8174419
|
23.4688387
|
.348603249
|
1.12875947
|
0.31
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
|
|
.6
|
.685245902
|
-.085245902
|
.641724331
|
-0.13
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
.6
|
.15
|
.45
|
.272335577
|
1.65
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
|
|
12474704.5
|
18062113.9
|
-5587409.44
|
47728192.3
|
-0.12
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
12474704.5
|
10351388.2
|
2123316.26
|
12304654.5
|
0.17
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
|
|
4.75
|
4.28688525
|
.463114754
|
1.49801195
|
0.31
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
4.75
|
3.5
|
1.25
|
1.67705098
|
0.75
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched |
|
.308102837
|
.461154667
|
-.15305183
|
.121193493
|
-1.26
|
|
ATT |
|
.308102837
|
.382663567
|
-.07456073
|
.156615448
|
-0.48
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity
score is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
122
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
4
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
126
|
|
|
126
|
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
? ANNEE 1993:
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
|
Variable Sample
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E.
|
T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 22.2244256
|
23.6341718
|
-1.4097462
|
1.25642016
|
-1.12
|
|
ATT
|
| 22.2244256
|
22.1912136
|
.033212026
|
1.24679135
|
0.03
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .166666667
|
.730081301
|
-.563414634
|
.741910891
|
-0.76
|
|
ATT
|
| .166666667
|
.233333333
|
-.066666667
|
.094280904
|
-0.71
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 5258103.17
|
18196787.3
|
-12938684.1
|
55212997.8
|
-0.23
|
|
ATT
|
| 5258103.17
|
10411527.9
|
-5153424.73
|
10319991.3
|
-0.50
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 3.33333333
|
4.06504065
|
-.731707317
|
1.68099297
|
-0.44
|
|
ATT
|
| 3.33333333
|
4.66666667
|
-1.33333333
|
3.09120617
|
-0.43
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .371591799
|
.462508235
|
-.090916436
|
.139059847
|
-0.65
|
|
ATT | .371591799
|
.540989305
|
-.169397506
|
.229422934
|
-0.74
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity
score is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
126
|
|
|
126
|
? ANNEE 1994 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION) out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat
+
111
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
|
|
25.5479272
|
23.619239
|
1.92868824
|
1.22395127
|
1.58
|
|
ATT
|
|
|
25.5479272
|
22.6387463
|
2.90918096
|
1.49158495
|
1.95
|
|
École polytechnique de Tunis
|
Mémoire de Mastère
|
|
Derbali Ahmed
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .933333333
|
.727642276
|
.205691057
|
.684350405
|
0.30
|
|
ATT
|
| .933333333
|
.166666667
|
.766666667
|
.692017983
|
1.11
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 11948718.4
|
18282918.2
|
-6334199.81
|
55538738.8
|
-0.11
|
|
ATT
|
| 11948718.4
|
1740984.91
|
10207733.5
|
5519518.82
|
1.85
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 3.33333333
|
4.22764228
|
-.894308943
|
1.75013192
|
-0.51
|
|
ATT
|
| 3.33333333
|
2.33333333
|
1
|
2.56038192
|
0.39
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .603226195
|
.462508235
|
.14071796
|
.13917037
|
1.01
|
|
ATT | .603226195
|
.427575101
|
.175651093
|
.155609249
|
1.13
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity
score is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
126
|
|
|
126
|
? ANNEE 1996 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
+
112
Variable Sample
|
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E.
|
T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 23.7047024
|
23.5615856
|
.143116763
|
2.16139327
|
0.07
|
|
ATT
|
| 23.7047024
|
23.2865753
|
.41812706
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .1
|
.696721311
|
-.596721311
|
1.23063013
|
-0.48
|
|
ATT
|
| .1
|
.1
|
0
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 10304148.4
|
18598745.6
|
-8294597.2
|
97590269.8
|
-0.08
|
|
ATT
|
| 10304148.4
|
19614076.6
|
-9309928.26
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 3
|
4.27868852
|
-1.27868852
|
3.04189378
|
-0.42
|
|
ATT
|
| 3
|
6
|
-3
|
.
|
.
|
+
RealGDPpc Unmatched | 27.9857635 23.6107135 4.37505003
ATT | 27.9857635 26.4923344 1.49342918
|
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched | .2
|
|
|
|
.672357724 -.472357724
|
ATT | .2 .1 .1
+
RURALPOP Unmatched | 24891102.8 18744621.2 6146481.61
ATT | 24891102.8 313574.8 24577528
+
Pressliberties Unmatched | 4 4.12195122 -.12195122
ATT | 4 9 -5
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .1795571 .462508235
-.282951135
ATT | .1795571 .2126811 -.033124
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .798675179 .461154667 .337520512
.239204188 1.41
ATT | .798675179 .141681805 .656993374 . .
+
Note: Sample S.E.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
assignment | On suppor | Total
122
1
123
? ANNEE 1997 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat
|
2.18363769 .
|
2.00 .
|
|
1.20310435
|
-0.39
|
|
.
|
.
|
|
97637540.6
|
0.06
|
|
.
|
.
|
|
3.10560034
|
-0.04
|
|
.
|
.
|
|
.238690329
|
-1.19
|
113
. .
+
Note: Sample S.E.
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
114
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
124
|
|
|
124
|
? ANNEE 1998 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
|
Variable Sample
+
|
| Treated
|
Controls
|
Difference
|
S.E.
|
T-stat
|
|
RealGDPpc Unmatched
|
| 23.571909
|
23.5406414
|
.031267585
|
2.16694256
|
0.01
|
|
ATT
|
| 23.571909
|
26.6879826
|
-3.11607361
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .3
|
.726829268
|
-.426829268
|
1.27867148
|
-0.33
|
|
ATT
|
| .3
|
.1
|
.2
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 1070152.56
|
18888857.9
|
-17818705.3
|
98037310.8
|
-0.18
|
|
ATT
|
| 1070152.56
|
5463.99
|
1064688.57
|
.
|
.
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 2
|
4.34146341
|
-2.34146341
|
3.02811978
|
-0.77
|
|
ATT
|
| 2
|
9
|
-7
|
.
|
.
|
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .457560897 .462508235 -.004947338
.238690329 -0.02
ATT | .457560897 .714681387 -.25712049 . .
+
Note: Sample S.E.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
124
|
|
|
124
|
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
115
? ANNEE 1999 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION) out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat
+
RealGDPpc Unmatched | 23.5800772 23.5978209 -.017743752
1.54741939 -0.01
ATT | 23.5800772 22.9750061 .605071068 2.82248557 0.21
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched | .1 .610655738 -.510655738 .832845017
-0.61
ATT | .1 .55 -.45 .45 -1.00
+
RURALPOP Unmatched | 62487012 19123431.6 43363580.4 70079386
0.62
ATT | 62487012 13743840.2 48743171.8 63284489.1 0.77
+
Pressliberties Unmatched | 4 4.3442623 -.344262295 2.17871784
-0.16
ATT | 4 .5 3.5 2.06155281 1.70
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .138741698 .461154667 -.322412969
.169355096 -1.90
ATT | .138741698 .718038023 -.579296324 .111798924 -5.18
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score
is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
+ +
Untreated | 122 | 122
Treated | 2 | 2
+ +
Total | 124 | 124
? ANNEE 2000 :
. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc
HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit
Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat
+
RealGDPpc Unmatched | 23.673584 23.6373719 .036212084 1.58078508
0.02
ATT | 23.673584 24.5285101 -.854926109 .759359735 -1.13
+
116
École polytechnique de Tunis
|
Mémoire de Mastère
|
|
Derbali Ahmed
|
|
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched
|
| .3
|
.671544715
|
-.371544715
|
.853296493
|
-0.44
|
|
ATT
|
| .3
|
.15
|
.15
|
.206155281
|
0.73
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RURALPOP Unmatched
|
| 3805813.01
|
19152722.1
|
-15346909.1
|
69777062.3
|
-0.22
|
|
ATT
|
| 3805813.01
|
2309184.4
|
1496628.61
|
1970105.74
|
0.76
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pressliberties Unmatched
|
| 2
|
4.62601626
|
-2.62601626
|
2.14601495
|
-1.22
|
|
ATT
|
| 2
|
4.5
|
-2.5
|
4.9244289
|
-0.51
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .297236256
|
.462508235
|
-.165271979
|
.169300176
|
-0.98
|
|
ATT | .297236256
|
.426289462
|
-.129053205
|
.236860718
|
-0.54
|
+
Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity
score is estimated.
| psmatch2:
psmatch2: | Common
Treatment | support
assignment | On suppor | Total
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Untreated
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
123
|
|
Treated
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
2
|
|
+
|
|
+
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
125
|
|
|
125
|
École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de
Mastère Derbali Ahmed
117
| 
