Transition démocratique et investissements étrangers: conséquences et enseignements pour les pays arabes

Annexe IV : Estimations par la méthode d'appariement :

? Estimations globales :

probit Transition RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX EDUCATION RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT Iteration 0: log likelihood = -2884.7701 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -2649.2682 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -2643.0033 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -2642.9613 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -2642.9613

Probit regression Number of obs = 4996

LR chi2(5) = 483.62

Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

Log likelihood = -2642.9613 Pseudo R2 = 0.0838

Transition | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

+
RealGDPpc	|	.1189079	.0099071	12.00	0.000	.0994905	.1383254
HEALTHINDEX	|	-.2531655	.0311557	-8.13	0.000	-.3142296	-.1921014
EDUCATION	|	.0509781	.0095889	5.32	0.000	.0321843	.0697719
RURALPOP	|	-1.53e-09	3.32e-10	-4.61	0.000	-2.18e-09	-8.80e-10
Pressliberties	|	.039077	.0072263	5.41	0.000	.0249137	.0532402
RELIGIOUSFRACT	|	-.7880033	.0869896	-9.06	0.000	-.9584998	-.6175067
_cons		-5.620551	.493473	-11.39	0.000	-6.58774	-4.653361

? psmatch2 Transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat

+
RealGDPpc Unmatched	|		24.5194906	23.5882117	.931278958		.068212075	13.65
ATT	|		24.5194906	23.8570939	.662396756		.156136973	4.24

102

École polytechnique de Tunis

	Mémoire de Mastère			Derbali Ahmed
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched |	.342575758	.710337323	-.367761566	.035173348	-10.46
ATT |	.342575758	.670151515	-.327575758	.089596111	-3.66
+
RURALPOP Unmatched |	13825093.1	18317945.8	-4492852.73	2641169.1	-1.70
ATT |	13825093.1	15746284.4	-1921191.29	6197181.45	-0.31
+
Pressliberties Unmatched |	4.87348485	4.31120783	.562277014	.090477268	6.21
ATT |	4.87348485	4.69469697	.178787879	.218545672	0.82
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .379188228		.46187932	-.082691092	.007415625	-11.15
ATT | .379188228		.465325559	-.086137331	.017687347	-4.87

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		3,676	|	3,676
Treated	|		1,320	|	1,320
+		+
Total	|		4,996	|	4,996

? pstest RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT

	| Mean			| t-test
Variable	| Treated	Control	%bias	| t p>|t|
+	+
RealGDPpc	| 24.519	23.857	31.6	| 8.23 0.000
HEALTHINDEX	| .34258	.67015	-34.8	| -9.50 0.000
RURALPOP	| 1.4e+07	1.6e+07	-2.8	| -0.77 0.443
Pressliberties	| 4.8735	4.6947	6.7	| 1.72 0.085
RELIGIOUSFRACT	| .37919	.46533	-38.2	| -9.67 0.000

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

? ANNEE 1981:

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample +	| Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E.	T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 25.7397079	23.5812041	2.15850388	2.15319134	1.00
ATT	| 25.7397079	24.3099842	1.42972374	.	.
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .4	.652845528	-.252845528	1.18567144	-0.21
ATT	| .4	.3	.1	.	.
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 6191373.94	15893711.2	-9702337.27	86314815.4	-0.11
ATT	| 6191373.94	12462575.9	-6271201.97	.	.
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 6	4.26829268	1.73170732	2.88342691	0.60
ATT	| 6	7	-1	.	.
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .198781505		.462508235	-.26372673	.238690329	-1.10
ATT	| .198781505	.48529619	-.286514685	.	.
+
Note: Sample S.E.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		1	|	1
+		+
Total	|		124	|	124

? ANNEE 1982 :

. psmatch2 transition , n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat

+

103

+

RealGDPpc Unmatched	|		23.5764777	23.684188		-.107710265	1.28206034		-0.08
ATT	|		23.5764777	25.2159354		-1.6394577	.968003588		-1.69
École polytechnique de Tunis		Mémoire de Mastère						Derbali Ahmed
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched		| .633333333		.706557377	-.073224044			.725039697		-0.10
ATT		| .633333333		.4	.233333333			.301846171		0.77
+
RURALPOP Unmatched		| 2679250.04		16023057.2	-13343807.1			50532060.6		-0.26
ATT		| 2679250.04		3682542.36	-1003292.32			1722474.42		-0.58
+
Pressliberties Unmatched		| 3.66666667		3.86885246	-.202185792			1.67013526		-0.12
ATT		| 3.66666667		2.66666667	1			1.69967317		0.59
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .266689499				.461154667	-.194465168			.13821		-1.41
ATT | .266689499				.506162112	-.239472613			.199863457		-1.20

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		122	|	122
Treated	|		3	|	3
+		+
Total	|		125	|	125

? ANNEE 1983 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

+

104

Variable Sample

+	| Treated	Controls Difference		S.E. T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 26.5908947	23.5120312	3.07886352	1.55231879	1.98
ATT	| 26.5908947	23.4157238	3.1751709	2.43495767	1.30
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .35	.7	-.35	.899196019	-0.39
ATT	| .35	.3	.05	.320156212	0.16
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 14399598.3	16232508.9	-1832910.59	62518680.6	-0.03
ATT	| 14399598.3	1851613.76	12547984.5	9823765.97	1.28
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 3	4.20491803	-1.20491803	2.06115154	-0.58
ATT	| 3	6	-3	3.60555128	-0.83

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

105

RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .114240799 .461154667 -.346913868 .169426036 -2.05

ATT | .114240799 .461311109 -.34707031 .344126519 -1.01

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

Assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		122	|	122
Treated	|		2	|	2
+		+
Total	|		124	|	124

? ANNEE 1984 :

. psmatch2 transition , n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample +	| Treated	Controls			Difference	S.E.		T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 21.8277063	23.6463971			-1.81869075	1.53807073		-1.18
ATT	| 21.8277063	26.0585957			-4.23088932	2.32541908		-1.82
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .1	.72195122			-.62195122	.900823308		-0.69
ATT	| .1	.35			-.25	.25		-1.00
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 2408049.26	16350012.2			-13941962.9	62815712.8		-0.22
ATT	| 2408049.26	3376492.9			-968443.639	3691218.22		-0.26
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 7	4.31707317			2.68292683	2.20285651		1.22
ATT	| 7	3			4	0		.
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .482548684			.462508235	.020040449			.169049677		0.12
ATT | .482548684			.526502565	-.043953881			.14739941		-0.30

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

106

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

Assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		2	|	2
+		+
Total	|		125	|	125

? ANNEE 1985 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample +	| Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E.	T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 25.7478132	23.5818666	2.16594659	1.55359068	1.39
ATT	| 25.7478132	24.2664127	1.48140049	1.79172908	0.83
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .2	.674590164	-.474590164	.829123227	-0.57
ATT	| .2	.2	0	.141421356	0.00
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 19744099.7	16636563.1	3107536.55	63673201.8	0.05
ATT	| 19744099.7	8864395.51	10879704.2	19858724.5	0.55
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 6	4.09836066	1.90163934	2.15688774	0.88
ATT	| 6	6.5	-.5	.5	-1.00
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .480129942		.461154667	.018975275	.169517869	0.11
ATT | .480129942		.313504346	.166625597	.21263252	0.78

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		122	|	122
Treated	|		2	|	2
+		+
Total	|		124	|	124

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

107

? ANNEE 1987 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample +	| Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E.	T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 25.5928669	23.6540622	1.93880472	2.16883585	0.89
ATT	| 25.5928669	25.2689323	.323934555	.	.
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .2	.778861789	-.578861789	1.35413497	-0.43
ATT	| .2	.1	.1	.	.
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 31193042.1	16970498.4	14222543.6	91268509.8	0.16
ATT	| 31193042.1	1227993.6	29965048.5	.	.
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 5	4.52845528	.471544715	2.97997057	0.16
ATT	| 5	0	5	.	.
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .305592507		.462508235	-.156915728	.238690329	-0.66
ATT	| .305592507	.414127111	-.108534604	.	.
+
Note: Sample S.E.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		1	|	1
+		+
Total	|		124	|	124

? ANNEE 1989 :

psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION) out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat

+
RealGDPpc Unmatched	|	25.4854412	23.6863364		1.7991048		1.28116123			1.40
ATT	|	25.4854412	25.4509347		.03450648		1.61788432			0.02
École polytechnique de Tunis		Mémoire de Mastère						Derbali Ahmed
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched |		.166666667		.720491803		-.553825137		.715021011	-0.77
ATT |		.166666667		1.46666667		-1.3		.647216261	-2.01
+
RURALPOP Unmatched |		8804339.58		17475581.2		-8671241.66		53856099.8	-0.16
ATT |		8804339.58		9972747.83		-1168408.25		7006359.17	-0.17
+
Pressliberties Unmatched |		3.66666667		4.40983607		-.743169399		1.75414728	-0.42
ATT |		3.66666667		5		-1.33333333		2.10818511	-0.63

+

RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .488623982 .461154667 .027469314 .139251825 0.20

ATT | .488623982 .311358611 .177265371 .212840416 0.83

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		122	|	122
Treated	|		3	|	3
+		+
Total	|		125	|	125

? ANNEE 1990 :

. psmatch2 transition , n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

+

108

Variable Sample

+	|	Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E. T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	|	24.2260513	23.5826866	.643364681	.734230042	0.88
ATT	|	24.2260513	23.7238943	.502156999	.977587112	0.51
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	|	.288888889	.73495935	-.446070461	.442432886	-1.01
ATT	|	.288888889	.966666667	-.677777778	.695275693	-0.97
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	|	4303551.7	17431020.9	-13127469.2	31203774.4	-0.42
ATT	|	4303551.7	6557726.06	-2254174.36	3236556.32	-0.70
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	|	5.11111111	4.3495935	.761517615	1.03985294	0.73
ATT	|	5.11111111	4.33333333	.777777778	1.55555556	0.50

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

109

RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched| .384314623 .462508235 -.078193612 .081477863 -0.96

ATT | .384314623 .471710462 -.087395838 .105830381 -0.83

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		9	|	9
+		+
Total	|		132	|	132

? ANNEE 1991 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION) out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample +	| Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E.	T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 24.7361711	23.5525199	1.18365115	1.23955065	0.95
ATT	| 24.7361711	24.0644474	.671723684	1.43044677	0.47
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .3	.754918033	-.454918033	.745806708	-0.61
ATT	| .3	.2	.1	.129099445	0.77
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 42921374.4	17884959.3	25036415.1	54806745.9	0.46
ATT	| 42921374.4	9261891.42	33659483	24407669.8	1.38
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 4.33333333	4.56557377	-.232240437	1.70475119	-0.14
ATT	| 4.33333333	6	-1.66666667	2.10818511	-0.79
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .401081388		.461154667	-.060073279	.138707109	-0.43
ATT | .401081388		.443260675	-.042179286	.181985437	-0.23

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

110

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		122	|	122
Treated	|		3	|	3
+		+
Total	|		125	|	125

? ANNEE 1992 :

. psmatch2 transition , n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample +	|	Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E. T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	|	23.8174419	23.6361482	.181293769	1.12728616	0.16
ATT	|	23.8174419	23.4688387	.348603249	1.12875947	0.31
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	|	.6	.685245902	-.085245902	.641724331	-0.13
ATT	|	.6	.15	.45	.272335577	1.65
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	|	12474704.5	18062113.9	-5587409.44	47728192.3	-0.12
ATT	|	12474704.5	10351388.2	2123316.26	12304654.5	0.17
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	|	4.75	4.28688525	.463114754	1.49801195	0.31
ATT	|	4.75	3.5	1.25	1.67705098	0.75
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched |		.308102837	.461154667	-.15305183	.121193493	-1.26
ATT |		.308102837	.382663567	-.07456073	.156615448	-0.48

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		122	|	122
Treated	|		4	|	4
+		+
Total	|		126	|	126

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

? ANNEE 1993:

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample +	| Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E.	T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 22.2244256	23.6341718	-1.4097462	1.25642016	-1.12
ATT	| 22.2244256	22.1912136	.033212026	1.24679135	0.03
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .166666667	.730081301	-.563414634	.741910891	-0.76
ATT	| .166666667	.233333333	-.066666667	.094280904	-0.71
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 5258103.17	18196787.3	-12938684.1	55212997.8	-0.23
ATT	| 5258103.17	10411527.9	-5153424.73	10319991.3	-0.50
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 3.33333333	4.06504065	-.731707317	1.68099297	-0.44
ATT	| 3.33333333	4.66666667	-1.33333333	3.09120617	-0.43
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .371591799		.462508235	-.090916436	.139059847	-0.65
ATT | .371591799		.540989305	-.169397506	.229422934	-0.74

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		3	|	3
+		+
Total	|		126	|	126

? ANNEE 1994 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION) out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat

+

111

+

RealGDPpc Unmatched	|		25.5479272	23.619239		1.92868824		1.22395127			1.58
ATT	|		25.5479272	22.6387463		2.90918096		1.49158495			1.95
École polytechnique de Tunis		Mémoire de Mastère							Derbali Ahmed
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched		| .933333333			.727642276		.205691057		.684350405	0.30
ATT		| .933333333			.166666667		.766666667		.692017983	1.11
+
RURALPOP Unmatched		| 11948718.4			18282918.2		-6334199.81		55538738.8	-0.11
ATT		| 11948718.4			1740984.91		10207733.5		5519518.82	1.85
+
Pressliberties Unmatched		| 3.33333333			4.22764228		-.894308943		1.75013192	-0.51
ATT		| 3.33333333			2.33333333		1		2.56038192	0.39
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .603226195					.462508235		.14071796		.13917037	1.01
ATT | .603226195					.427575101		.175651093		.155609249	1.13

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		3	|	3
+		+
Total	|		126	|	126

? ANNEE 1996 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

+

112

Variable Sample

+	| Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E.	T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 23.7047024	23.5615856	.143116763	2.16139327	0.07
ATT	| 23.7047024	23.2865753	.41812706	.	.
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .1	.696721311	-.596721311	1.23063013	-0.48
ATT	| .1	.1	0	.	.
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 10304148.4	18598745.6	-8294597.2	97590269.8	-0.08
ATT	| 10304148.4	19614076.6	-9309928.26	.	.
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 3	4.27868852	-1.27868852	3.04189378	-0.42
ATT	| 3	6	-3	.	.

+

RealGDPpc Unmatched | 27.9857635 23.6107135 4.37505003

ATT | 27.9857635 26.4923344 1.49342918

+ HEALTHINDEX Unmatched | .2
	.672357724 -.472357724

ATT | .2 .1 .1

+

RURALPOP Unmatched | 24891102.8 18744621.2 6146481.61

ATT | 24891102.8 313574.8 24577528

+

Pressliberties Unmatched | 4 4.12195122 -.12195122

ATT | 4 9 -5

+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .1795571 .462508235 -.282951135

ATT | .1795571 .2126811 -.033124

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .798675179 .461154667 .337520512 .239204188 1.41

ATT | .798675179 .141681805 .656993374 . .

+
Note: Sample S.E.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

+		+
Untreated	|		122	|
Treated	|		1	|
+		+
Total	|		123	|

assignment | On suppor | Total

122

1

123

? ANNEE 1997 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat

2.18363769 .	2.00 .
1.20310435	-0.39
.	.
97637540.6	0.06
.	.
3.10560034	-0.04
.	.
.238690329	-1.19

113

. .

+
Note: Sample S.E.

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

114

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		1	|	1
+		+
Total	|		124	|	124

? ANNEE 1998 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample +	| Treated	Controls	Difference	S.E.	T-stat
RealGDPpc Unmatched	| 23.571909	23.5406414	.031267585	2.16694256	0.01
ATT	| 23.571909	26.6879826	-3.11607361	.	.
+
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .3	.726829268	-.426829268	1.27867148	-0.33
ATT	| .3	.1	.2	.	.
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 1070152.56	18888857.9	-17818705.3	98037310.8	-0.18
ATT	| 1070152.56	5463.99	1064688.57	.	.
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 2	4.34146341	-2.34146341	3.02811978	-0.77
ATT	| 2	9	-7	.	.

+

RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .457560897 .462508235 -.004947338 .238690329 -0.02

ATT | .457560897 .714681387 -.25712049 . .

+
Note: Sample S.E.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		1	|	1
+		+
Total	|		124	|	124

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

115

? ANNEE 1999 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION) out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat

+

RealGDPpc Unmatched | 23.5800772 23.5978209 -.017743752 1.54741939 -0.01

ATT | 23.5800772 22.9750061 .605071068 2.82248557 0.21

+

HEALTHINDEX Unmatched | .1 .610655738 -.510655738 .832845017 -0.61

ATT | .1 .55 -.45 .45 -1.00

+

RURALPOP Unmatched | 62487012 19123431.6 43363580.4 70079386 0.62

ATT | 62487012 13743840.2 48743171.8 63284489.1 0.77

+

Pressliberties Unmatched | 4 4.3442623 -.344262295 2.17871784 -0.16

ATT | 4 .5 3.5 2.06155281 1.70

+

RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .138741698 .461154667 -.322412969 .169355096 -1.90

ATT | .138741698 .718038023 -.579296324 .111798924 -5.18

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+ +

Untreated | 122 | 122

Treated | 2 | 2

+ +

Total | 124 | 124

? ANNEE 2000 :

. psmatch2 transition, n(1) pscore(EDUCATION)out(RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT ) cal(1) logit

Variable Sample | Treated Controls Difference S.E. T-stat

+

RealGDPpc Unmatched | 23.673584 23.6373719 .036212084 1.58078508 0.02

ATT | 23.673584 24.5285101 -.854926109 .759359735 -1.13

+

116

École polytechnique de Tunis

	Mémoire de Mastère			Derbali Ahmed
HEALTHINDEX Unmatched	| .3	.671544715	-.371544715	.853296493	-0.44
ATT	| .3	.15	.15	.206155281	0.73
+
RURALPOP Unmatched	| 3805813.01	19152722.1	-15346909.1	69777062.3	-0.22
ATT	| 3805813.01	2309184.4	1496628.61	1970105.74	0.76
+
Pressliberties Unmatched	| 2	4.62601626	-2.62601626	2.14601495	-1.22
ATT	| 2	4.5	-2.5	4.9244289	-0.51
+
RELIGIOUSFRACT Unmatched | .297236256		.462508235	-.165271979	.169300176	-0.98
ATT | .297236256		.426289462	-.129053205	.236860718	-0.54

+

Note: S.E. does not take into account that the propensity score is estimated.

| psmatch2:

psmatch2: | Common

Treatment | support

assignment | On suppor | Total

+		+
Untreated	|		123	|	123
Treated	|		2	|	2
+		+
Total	|		125	|	125

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

117