Annexe 4: Mann-Kendall
results of annual , monthly and seasonal flow for the study area
|
Months
|
Mann Kendall test
|
|
Mann Kendall
Statistic (Zc)
|
p-value (two tailed test)
|
alpha
|
Sen's slope estimate
|
Test Interpretation
|
|
Mar
|
62.000
|
< 0,0001
|
0.05
|
2.233
|
Reject H0
|
|
Apr
|
50.000
|
< 0,0001
|
0.05
|
2.031
|
Reject H0
|
|
May
|
52.000
|
< 0,0001
|
0.05
|
2.289
|
Reject H0
|
|
June
|
26.000
|
0.014
|
0.05
|
0.910
|
Reject H0
|
|
Jul
|
14.000
|
0.202
|
0.05
|
-1.354
|
Accept H0
|
|
Aug
|
-14.000
|
0.202
|
0.05
|
-3.391
|
Accept H0
|
|
Sept
|
-26
|
0.014
|
0.05
|
-4.697
|
Reject H0
|
|
Oct
|
6.000
|
0.624
|
0.05
|
-0.047
|
Accept H0
|
|
Nov
|
30.000
|
0.0004
|
0.05
|
2.295
|
Reject H0
|
|
Dec
|
48.000
|
< 0,0001
|
0.05
|
3.433
|
Reject H0
|
|
Jan
|
50.000
|
< 0,0001
|
0.05
|
2.653
|
Reject H0
|
|
Feb
|
56.000
|
< 0,0001
|
0.05
|
2.135
|
Reject H0
|
|
Annual
|
262
|
0.002
|
0.05
|
2.462
|
Reject H0
|
|
High rainy season
|
456
|
0.000
|
0.05
|
3.416
|
Reject H0
|
|
High dry season
|
436
|
0.000
|
0.05
|
2.663
|
Reject H0
|
|
Small dry season
|
80
|
0.357
|
0.05
|
1.392
|
Accept H0
|
|
Small rainy season
|
54
|
0.537
|
0.05
|
1.125
|
Accept H0
|
|
Feb
|
56.000
|
< 0,0001
|
0.05
|
2.135
|
Reject H0
|
|
Annual
|
262
|
0.002
|
0.05
|
2.462
|
Reject H0
|
|
High rainy season
|
456
|
0.000
|
0.05
|
3.416
|
Reject H0
|
|
High dry season
|
436
|
0.000
|
0.05
|
2.663
|
Reject H0
|
|
Small dry season
|
80
|
0.357
|
0.05
|
1.392
|
Accept H0
|
|
Small rainy season
|
54
|
0.537
|
0.05
|
1.125
|
Accept H0
|
Annexe 5: calculation for
Return Period of 2010 Flood, Mono River
|
Water Year
|
Rank
|
Ranked discharge
|
Return period
|
Exceedence probability
|
|
2000
|
1
|
736.70
|
41
|
0.02
|
|
1971
|
2
|
731.68
|
21
|
0.05
|
|
2007
|
3
|
709.11
|
14
|
0.07
|
|
2001
|
4
|
665.12
|
10
|
0.10
|
|
2003
|
5
|
615.93
|
8
|
0.12
|
|
1981
|
6
|
591.77
|
7
|
0.15
|
|
1986
|
7
|
588.35
|
6
|
0.17
|
|
1980
|
8
|
552.91
|
5
|
0.20
|
|
2010
|
9
|
549.65
|
5
|
0.22
|
|
1999
|
10
|
526.23
|
4
|
0.24
|
|
2005
|
11
|
471.37
|
4
|
0.27
|
|
1992
|
12
|
463.27
|
3
|
0.29
|
|
1975
|
13
|
444.23
|
3
|
0.32
|
|
1988
|
14
|
440.94
|
3
|
0.34
|
|
1990
|
15
|
436.73
|
3
|
0.37
|
|
1972
|
16
|
425.99
|
3
|
0.39
|
|
1989
|
17
|
424.81
|
2
|
0.41
|
|
2008
|
18
|
402.60
|
2
|
0.44
|
|
1982
|
19
|
350.72
|
2
|
0.46
|
|
1976
|
20
|
337.38
|
2
|
0.49
|
|
2002
|
21
|
331.09
|
2
|
0.51
|
|
1974
|
22
|
329.98
|
2
|
0.54
|
|
2006
|
23
|
315.35
|
2
|
0.56
|
|
1978
|
24
|
289.35
|
2
|
0.59
|
|
1977
|
25
|
257.10
|
2
|
0.61
|
|
2004
|
26
|
256.97
|
2
|
0.63
|
|
1979
|
27
|
252.48
|
2
|
0.66
|
|
1995
|
28
|
251.82
|
1
|
0.68
|
|
1973
|
29
|
247.67
|
1
|
0.71
|
|
1985
|
30
|
240.60
|
1
|
0.73
|
|
1991
|
31
|
227.13
|
1
|
0.76
|
|
1998
|
32
|
225.49
|
1
|
0.78
|
|
1983
|
33
|
212.32
|
1
|
0.80
|
|
1987
|
34
|
200.91
|
1
|
0.83
|
|
1994
|
35
|
196.56
|
1
|
0.85
|
|
1993
|
36
|
166.30
|
1
|
0.88
|
|
1997
|
37
|
139.64
|
1
|
0.90
|
|
1996
|
38
|
137.94
|
1
|
0.93
|
|
2009
|
39
|
80.17
|
1
|
0.95
|
|
1984
|
40
|
69.16
|
1
|
0.98
|
|
|
