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les déterminants de la volatilité des cours boursiers.Cas du marché boursier tunisien

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par Sarra NAJJAR
Ecole Supérieure des Sciences Economiques et Commerciales de Tunis - Maà®trise en finance 2009
  

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Annexes

Tableau 1: Test d'hRmRi 3Q3it3

Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Equation: EQ01

Test cross-section fixed effects

Effects Test

Statistic

d.f.

Prob.

Cross-section F
Cross-section Chi-square

3.964712
35.431574

(9,345)
9

0.0001

0.0000

Tableau 2: Modèle à effets aléatoires

Dependent Variable: BETA

Method: Panel EGLS (Period random effects) Date: 04/26/09 Time: 23:38

Sample: 2006M01 2008M12

Cross-sections included: 10

Total panel (balanced) observations: 360

Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C

0.212594

0.001284

165.5102

0.0000

LIQUIDITE

-8.31E-37

8.16E-23

-1.02E-14

1.0000

TUNINDEX

3.68E-06

1.18E-07

31.26380

0.0000

INFLATION 0.002299 0.000641 3.587501 0.0004

PER 1.49E-29 6.83E-17 2.18E-13 1.0000

DIVIDENDE 4.15E-28 1.21E-15 3.42E-13 1.0000

Effects Specification

S.D. Rho

Period random 0.002010 1.0000

Id iosyncratic random 9.87E-16 0.0000

Weighted Statistics

3.54E-

R-squared 0.906186 Mean dependent var 14

Adjusted R-

squared 0.904861 S.D. dependent var

S.E. of regression 5.33E-16 Sum squared resid

F-statistic 683.8845 Durbin-Watson stat

Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

1.73E-

15

1.01E-

28

0.09399

4

Unweighted Statistics

0.22786

R-squared 0.906220 Mean dependent var 9

0.09398

Sum squared resid 0.004169 Durbin-Watson stat 7

Tableau 3 : Modèle à effet fixe

Dependent Variable: BETA

Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 04/26/09 Time: 20:55

Sample: 2006M01 2008M12

Cross-sections included: 10

Total panel (balanced) observations: 360

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0.201 395 0.002044 98.55099 0.0000

LIQUIDITE -1.11E-10 2.49E-10 -0.447208 0.6550

TUNINDEX 3.67E-06 5.91 E-08 62.09501 0.0000

INFLATION 0.001 977 0.000325 6.086478 0.0000

PER 0.002205 0.000390 5.652296 0.0000

DIVIDENDE 0.017674 0.004336 4.076519 0.0001

Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.921566 Mean dependent var 0.227869

Adjusted R-

squared 0.918383 S.D. dependent var 0.011128

S.E. of regression 0.003179 Akaike info criterion -8.623601

Tableau 4: Test de hausman

Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test

Equation: EQ01

Test cross-section random effects

Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.

Cross-section random 0.000000 5 1.0000

* Cross-section test variance is invalid. Hausman statistic set to zero. ** Warning: estimated cross-section random effects variance is zero.

Cross-section random effects test com parisons

Variable Fixed Random Var (Diff.) Prob.

LIQUIDITE -0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.0397

TUNINDEX 0.000004 0.000004 0.000000 0.3850

INFLATION 0.001 977 0.002138 0.000000 0.0000

PER 0.002205 0.000607 0.000000 0.0000

DIVIDENDE 0.017674 0.012431 0.000006 0.0392

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