ANNEXE
Annexe I : Données statistiques
utilisées dans notre modèle
économétrique
|
Mois
|
Taux change
|
M2 Haïti million dollar(1)
|
M2* Usa million dollar
|
Pib* Usa en million dollar
|
Pib Haïti en million dollar
|
IPC Haïti
|
|
1995-09
|
15.54
|
732.65
|
3611.7
|
7580.244
|
3.197914
|
17.26000
|
|
1995-10
|
17.02
|
677.59
|
3622.4
|
7624.291
|
3.169371
|
21.42000
|
|
1995-11
|
16.18
|
718.59
|
3630.8
|
7668.027
|
3.144073
|
26.27000
|
|
1995-12
|
16.16
|
744.31
|
3638.1
|
7711.452
|
3.12202
|
24.78000
|
|
1996-01
|
16.78
|
721.31
|
3656.3
|
7754.566
|
3.103211
|
21.54000
|
|
1996-02
|
16.55
|
735.17
|
3668.7
|
7797.369
|
3.087648
|
19.63000
|
|
1996-03
|
16.80
|
719.92
|
3695.5
|
7839.861
|
3.075329
|
19.26000
|
|
1996-04
|
16.36
|
733.77
|
3707.8
|
7882.041
|
3.066255
|
20.91000
|
|
1996-05
|
16.10
|
722.06
|
3718.8
|
7923.911
|
3.060425
|
21.31000
|
|
1996-06
|
15.59
|
757.38
|
3730.4
|
7965.469
|
3.057841
|
20.52000
|
|
1996-07
|
15.04
|
765.04
|
3746.7
|
8006.716
|
3.058501
|
18.35000
|
|
1996-08
|
15.03
|
764.42
|
3756.4
|
8047.652
|
3.062406
|
17.59000
|
|
1996-09
|
15.05
|
768.79
|
3765.1
|
8088.277
|
3.069555
|
17.01000
|
|
1996-10
|
15.55
|
746.40
|
3780.6
|
8128.591
|
3.079949
|
15.71000
|
|
1996-11
|
15.27
|
754.74
|
3797.6
|
8168.594
|
3.093589
|
14.56000
|
|
1996-12
|
15.09
|
802.52
|
3819.2
|
8208.286
|
3.110472
|
14.61000
|
|
1997-01
|
16.26
|
746.68
|
3833.8
|
8247.666
|
3.130601
|
15.07000
|
|
1997-02
|
16.11
|
753.15
|
3844.8
|
8286.736
|
3.153974
|
15.19000
|
|
1997-03
|
16.51
|
757.23
|
3859.5
|
8325.494
|
3.180592
|
16.87000
|
|
1997-04
|
16.69
|
747.57
|
3875.9
|
8363.941
|
3.210455
|
16.38000
|
|
1997-05
|
16.82
|
745.81
|
3887.8
|
8402.077
|
3.243563
|
16.65000
|
|
1997-06
|
16.76
|
774.62
|
3903.8
|
8439.902
|
3.279915
|
16.89000
|
|
1997-07
|
16.49
|
779.46
|
3924.4
|
8477.416
|
3.319512
|
17.25000
|
|
1997-08
|
16.75
|
771.29
|
3953.8
|
8514.619
|
3.362354
|
17.59000
|
|
1997-09
|
16.95
|
759.26
|
3972.9
|
8531.07
|
3.519597
|
16.95000
|
|
1997-10
|
17.41
|
745.44
|
3990.0
|
8568.508
|
3.564264
|
16.68000
|
|
1997-11
|
16.87
|
776.78
|
4011.9
|
8606.493
|
3.607512
|
15.92000
|
|
1997-12
|
17.31
|
792.48
|
4033.4
|
8645.024
|
3.649341
|
15.59000
|
|
1998-01
|
17.56
|
783.28
|
4057.1
|
8684.102
|
3.689751
|
15.71000
|
|
1998-02
|
17.38
|
791.49
|
4089.3
|
8723.727
|
3.728742
|
14.82000
|
|
1998-03
|
17.34
|
788.42
|
4115.4
|
8763.897
|
3.766313
|
12.81000
|
|
1998-04
|
16.95
|
792.98
|
4138.9
|
8804.615
|
3.802466
|
12.79000
|
|
1998-05
|
16.69
|
824.15
|
4161.3
|
8845.879
|
3.837199
|
11.87000
|
|
1998-06
|
16.30
|
841.90
|
4186.8
|
8887.689
|
3.870513
|
10.91000
|
|
1998-07
|
16.07
|
865.24
|
4204.2
|
8930.046
|
3.902408
|
9.740000
|
|
1998-08
|
16.51
|
858.45
|
4227.8
|
8972.949
|
3.932884
|
9.130000
|
|
1998-09
|
16.85
|
850.71
|
4270.4
|
9024.923
|
4.209239
|
8.270000
|
|
1998-10
|
16.30
|
880.05
|
4310.3
|
9068.562
|
4.2265
|
7.500000
|
|
1998-11
|
16.59
|
875.61
|
4348.3
|
9112.39
|
4.231966
|
8.020000
|
|
1998-12
|
16.50
|
895.73
|
4379.6
|
9156.406
|
4.225636
|
7.450000
|
|
1999-01
|
16.78
|
884.73
|
4401.9
|
9200.612
|
4.207512
|
7.380000
|
|
1999-02
|
16.89
|
877.98
|
4428.3
|
9245.006
|
4.177592
|
7.930000
|
|
1999-03
|
16.68
|
897.98
|
4438.5
|
9289.59
|
4.135877
|
7.940000
|
|
1999-04
|
16.69
|
931.63
|
4467.5
|
9334.362
|
4.082366
|
7.450000
|
|
1999-05
|
16.70
|
928.79
|
4486.1
|
9379.323
|
4.01706
|
7.610000
|
|
1999-06
|
16.70
|
947.13
|
4507.1
|
9424.473
|
3.939959
|
8.120000
|
|
1999-07
|
16.82
|
950.36
|
4532.3
|
9469.812
|
3.851062
|
8.740000
|
|
1999-08
|
16.80
|
958.33
|
4552.3
|
9515.34
|
3.75037
|
9.320000
|
|
1999-09
|
16.94
|
965.16
|
4567.2
|
9604.883
|
3.030127
|
9.920000
|
|
1999-10
|
17.55
|
949.86
|
4586.4
|
9648.95
|
2.931345
|
10.10000
|
|
1999-11
|
17.96
|
938.63
|
4611.2
|
9691.367
|
2.846268
|
9.660000
|
|
1999-12
|
17.97
|
983.35
|
4636.8
|
9732.133
|
2.774895
|
9.670000
|
|
2000-01
|
18.26
|
971.70
|
4663.5
|
9771.25
|
2.717228
|
10.02000
|
|
2000-02
|
19.18
|
923.20
|
4678.8
|
9808.717
|
2.673266
|
10.45000
|
|
2000-03
|
19.74
|
917.88
|
4708.0
|
9844.533
|
2.643008
|
12.00000
|
|
2000-04
|
19.73
|
925.17
|
4758.7
|
9878.7
|
2.626455
|
12.29000
|
|
2000-05
|
19.67
|
927.18
|
4751.5
|
9911.217
|
2.623608
|
11.88000
|
|
2000-06
|
20.38
|
916.12
|
4767.4
|
9942.083
|
2.634465
|
11.49000
|
|
2000-07
|
20.87
|
899.68
|
4781.4
|
9971.3
|
2.659027
|
11.65000
|
|
2000-08
|
21.63
|
868.68
|
4813.5
|
9998.867
|
2.697294
|
12.52000
|
|
2000-09
|
28.33
|
683.56
|
4845.7
|
9977.514
|
3.211505
|
15.32000
|
|
2000-10
|
23.58
|
826.52
|
4864.0
|
10003.76
|
3.257787
|
18.03000
|
|
2000-11
|
23.89
|
811.54
|
4874.5
|
10030.35
|
3.29838
|
18.96000
|
|
2000-12
|
22.52
|
891.02
|
4918.3
|
10057.26
|
3.333283
|
18.98000
|
|
2001-01
|
23.76
|
847.92
|
4973.4
|
10084.51
|
3.362496
|
18.57000
|
|
2001-02
|
23.55
|
852.05
|
5012.0
|
10112.1
|
3.38602
|
18.08000
|
|
2001-03
|
23.96
|
857.10
|
5071.3
|
10140.01
|
3.403853
|
16.29000
|
|
2001-04
|
23.47
|
870.81
|
5133.2
|
10168.26
|
3.415998
|
16.19000
|
|
2001-05
|
23.52
|
866.88
|
5134.3
|
10196.85
|
3.422452
|
16.86000
|
|
2001-06
|
24.37
|
845.90
|
5174.3
|
10225.76
|
3.423217
|
16.71000
|
|
2001-07
|
24.11
|
858.31
|
5206.8
|
10255.01
|
3.418292
|
15.99000
|
|
2001-08
|
24.42
|
860.37
|
5238.9
|
10284.6
|
3.407678
|
15.03000
|
|
2001-09
|
25.49
|
824.86
|
5347.1
|
10296.31
|
3.27576
|
12.34000
|
|
2001-10
|
26.01
|
815.40
|
5338.6
|
10327.32
|
3.258617
|
9.520000
|
|
2001-11
|
25.96
|
819.42
|
5380.6
|
10359.43
|
3.240635
|
8.630000
|
|
2001-12
|
26.34
|
832.29
|
5429.7
|
10392.64
|
3.221815
|
8.150000
|
|
2002-01
|
26.67
|
817.22
|
5457.0
|
10426.95
|
3.202156
|
7.990000
|
|
2002-02
|
27.20
|
811.90
|
5485.9
|
10462.35
|
3.181658
|
8.030000
|
|
2002-03
|
26.77
|
818.92
|
5495.8
|
10498.85
|
3.160321
|
8.470000
|
|
2002-04
|
26.68
|
819.92
|
5499.5
|
10536.45
|
3.138145
|
8.510000
|
|
2002-05
|
26.97
|
808.31
|
5522.7
|
10575.14
|
3.115131
|
8.370000
|
|
2002-06
|
27.28
|
815.95
|
5543.5
|
10614.93
|
3.091278
|
8.410000
|
|
2002-07
|
28.44
|
798.66
|
5591.6
|
10655.82
|
3.066586
|
8.910000
|
|
2002-08
|
28.76
|
808.43
|
5631.8
|
10697.81
|
3.041056
|
9.540000
|
|
2002-09
|
29.70
|
790.03
|
5655.9
|
10731.87
|
2.782966
|
10.07000
|
|
2002-10
|
32.95
|
730.06
|
5705.1
|
10776.43
|
2.765481
|
11.91000
|
|
2002-11
|
37.27
|
666.99
|
5750.2
|
10822.46
|
2.756879
|
12.78000
|
|
2002-12
|
37.61
|
696.40
|
5775.6
|
10869.98
|
2.757161
|
14.77000
|
|
2003-01
|
41.51
|
642.17
|
5802.5
|
10918.96
|
2.766327
|
28.88000
|
|
2003-02
|
44.52
|
627.97
|
5842.0
|
10969.42
|
2.784376
|
33.25000
|
|
2003-03
|
42.22
|
668.21
|
5860.1
|
11021.36
|
2.811309
|
36.96000
|
|
2003-04
|
42.30
|
687.54
|
5902.0
|
11074.77
|
2.847126
|
39.25000
|
|
2003-05
|
40.54
|
719.44
|
5959.9
|
11129.66
|
2.891827
|
40.57000
|
|
2003-06
|
42.86
|
695.98
|
5998.6
|
11186.03
|
2.945411
|
41.66000
|
|
2003-07
|
42.71
|
703.91
|
6051.2
|
11243.87
|
3.007879
|
42.03000
|
|
2003-08
|
41.22
|
732.74
|
6102.3
|
11303.18
|
3.079231
|
41.92000
|
|
2003-09
|
42.03
|
722.07
|
6082.5
|
11403.13
|
3.515424
|
42.46000
|
|
2003-10
|
41.96
|
732.31
|
6070.2
|
11463.76
|
3.589608
|
41.23000
|
|
2003-11
|
42.82
|
740.95
|
6066.0
|
11524.22
|
3.65774
|
41.49000
|
|
2003-12
|
42.08
|
789.25
|
6068.1
|
11584.51
|
3.719821
|
40.43000
|
|
2004-01
|
44.09
|
761.96
|
6070.2
|
11644.63
|
3.775851
|
25.83000
|
|
2004-02
|
43.00
|
791.57
|
6114.0
|
11704.58
|
3.825829
|
22.64000
|
|
2004-03
|
40.22
|
854.16
|
6154.7
|
11764.37
|
3.869755
|
20.83000
|
|
2004-04
|
37.74
|
901.70
|
6197.8
|
11823.99
|
3.90763
|
25.37000
|
|
2004-05
|
36.95
|
909.80
|
6268.0
|
11883.44
|
3.939454
|
25.09000
|
|
2004-06
|
35.74
|
936.18
|
6277.3
|
11942.73
|
3.965226
|
24.08000
|
|
2004-07
|
36.03
|
944.78
|
6285.4
|
12001.85
|
3.984946
|
23.04000
|
|
2004-08
|
36.10
|
952.48
|
6307.8
|
12060.8
|
3.998615
|
22.38000
|
|
2004-09
|
36.82
|
937.16
|
6339.4
|
12119.58
|
4.006232
|
22.53000
|
|
2004-10
|
37.16
|
943.53
|
6362.9
|
12178.2
|
4.007798
|
21.98000
|
|
2004-11
|
37.48
|
933.51
|
6400.0
|
12236.65
|
4.003313
|
20.56000
|
|
2004-12
|
37.23
|
978.88
|
6418.8
|
12294.93
|
3.992775
|
20.21000
|
|
2005-01
|
37.69
|
969.40
|
6422.3
|
12353.04
|
3.976187
|
19.79000
|
|
2005-02
|
37.89
|
972.65
|
6445.5
|
12410.99
|
3.953546
|
18.64000
|
|
2005-03
|
38.20
|
983.40
|
6464.7
|
12468.77
|
3.924855
|
17.16000
|
|
2005-04
|
39.03
|
963.91
|
6472.9
|
12526.38
|
3.890111
|
12.60000
|
|
2005-05
|
38.70
|
969.77
|
6489.3
|
12583.82
|
3.849316
|
12.61000
|
|
2005-06
|
39.92
|
956.73
|
6520.2
|
12641.1
|
3.80247
|
14.47000
|
|
2005-07
|
42.08
|
914.83
|
6545.3
|
12698.21
|
3.749572
|
15.04000
|
|
2005-08
|
42.34
|
909.48
|
6576.7
|
12755.15
|
3.690623
|
16.00000
|
Sources : IHSI, BRH, www.econstat.com
(1) Calcul effectué par l'auteur
| 
