ANNEXE 1
TABLEAUX EVOLUTIFS DE LA DETTE EXTERIEURE
CONGOLAISE 
Tableau n°6 : Structure de la dette de 1991 à
1995(en millions de dollars) 
| 
 Rubrique 
 | 
 1991 
 | 
 1992 
 | 
 1993 
 | 
 1994 
 | 
 1995 
 | 
 
| 
 Encours 
 | 
 8662.41 
 | 
 9627.17 
 | 
 9064.73 
 | 
 90372.84 
 | 
 10111.7 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Paris 
 | 
 6203.06 
 | 
 6034.99 
 | 
 6184.99 
 | 
 6426.59 
 | 
 6749.3 
 | 
 
| 
 FMI 
 | 
 249.35 
 | 
 400 
 | 
 250 
 | 
 246.7 
 | 
 215 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 100 
 | 
 150 
 | 
 120 
 | 
 100 
 | 
 120 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 249.41 
 | 
 106.18 
 | 
 126.42 
 | 
 151.51 
 | 
 138.4 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 1690.98 
 | 
 3939.5 
 | 
 4720.8 
 | 
 5607.5 
 | 
 6445 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 1506.1 
 | 
 2906.1 
 | 
 3695.9 
 | 
 4174.2 
 | 
 4835 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 9 
 | 
 7.5 
 | 
 7.5 
 | 
 6.75 
 | 
 212.1 
 | 
 
| 
 Service dus 
 | 
 2392.8 
 | 
 3939.5 
 | 
 4720.8 
 | 
 5607.5 
 | 
 6445.0 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Paris 
 | 
 1506.1 
 | 
 2906.1 
 | 
 3695.9 
 | 
 4174.2 
 | 
 4835.0 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 67.2 
 | 
 73 
 | 
 199 
 | 
 317.5 
 | 
 341.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 513.5 
 | 
 528.5 
 | 
 528.5 
 | 
 618.5 
 | 
 643.4 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 96.5 
 | 
 197.4 
 | 
 256.2 
 | 
 353 
 | 
 503 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 30.5 
 | 
 39.6 
 | 
 43.1 
 | 
 90.7 
 | 
 122.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 179 
 | 
 194.9 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Services effectués 
 | 
 205.8 
 | 
 78.9 
 | 
 13.5 
 | 
 13.1 
 | 
 22.8 
 | 
 
| 
 FMI 
 | 
 111.6 
 | 
 17.6 
 | 
 5.8 
 | 
 13.1 
 | 
 22.8 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Paris 
 | 
 13.6 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 25.2 
 | 
 7.5 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 24.9 
 | 
 14.2 
 | 
 7.7 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 30.5 
 | 
 39.6 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Arriérés 
 | 
 2119.6 
 | 
 3683.5 
 | 
 4714.2 
 | 
 6147.5 
 | 
 6444.8 
 | 
 
| 
 FMI 
 | 
 300.0 
 | 
 150 
 | 
 135 
 | 
 100 
 | 
 85 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Paris 
 | 
 1192.5 
 | 
 2755.5 
 | 
 3560.9 
 | 
 4074.2 
 | 
 4.750 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 42 
 | 
 65.5 
 | 
 199.1 
 | 
 371.5 
 | 
 341.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 413.5 
 | 
 473.5 
 | 
 453.5 
 | 
 540.3 
 | 
 555.4 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 51.6 
 | 
 150.2 
 | 
 240.5 
 | 
 350 
 | 
 402 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 20 
 | 
 33 
 | 
 8 
 | 
 3 
 | 
 100.8 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 100 
 | 
 55 
 | 
 75 
 | 
 77.8 
 | 
 88 
 | 
 
  
Source : OGEDEP, Rapport Annuel 1991 -1995, Kinshasa, pp
140-142 
Tableau n° 7: Structure de la dette
extérieure de 1996 à 2000 (en millions de USD) 
| 
 Rubrique 
 | 
 1996 
 | 
 1997 
 | 
 1998 
 | 
 1999 
 | 
 2000 
 | 
 
| 
  Encours 
 | 
 9151.77 
 | 
 8549.17 
 | 
 8867.32 
 | 
 8355.86 
 | 
 7694.4 
 | 
 
| 
  Club de Paris 
 | 
 6406.49 
 | 
 5891.79 
 | 
 6150.67 
 | 
 5711.73 
 | 
 5110.87 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 316.45 
 | 
 312.59 
 | 
 318.47 
 | 
 305.19 
 | 
 300.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 37.77 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult. 
 | 
 1982.61 
 | 
 1913.45 
 | 
 1958.46 
 | 
 1917.26 
 | 
 1849.12 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 260.42 
 | 
 245.54 
 | 
 253.92 
 | 
 235.88 
 | 
 249.01 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 148.67 
 | 
 148.58 
 | 
 148.58 
 | 
 149.56 
 | 
 148.55 
 | 
 
| 
 Service du  
 | 
 7279.2 
 | 
 7549.7 
 | 
 8190.4 
 | 
 9023.5 
 | 
 8902.3 
 | 
 
| 
  Club de Paris 
 | 
 5962.0 
 | 
 6062.9 
 | 
 6501.3 
 | 
 6977.1 
 | 
 6943.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 285.8 
 | 
 292.0 
 | 
 313.9 
 | 
 316.1 
 | 
 315.2 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult. 
 | 
 561.1 
 | 
 608.5 
 | 
 727.3 
 | 
 1077.1 
 | 
 961.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 429.1 
 | 
 549.1 
 | 
 601.7 
 | 
 616 
 | 
 644.8 
 | 
 
| 
 Service effectué 
 | 
 42 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
   FMI 
 | 
 42 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 2 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Arriéré 
 | 
 7196.61 
 | 
 7467.2 
 | 
 8350.39 
 | 
 8846.81 
 | 
 8735.94 
 | 
 
| 
  Club de Paris 
 | 
 5965.95 
 | 
 6062.88 
 | 
 6853.56 
 | 
 6977.19 
 | 
 6943.28 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 285.74 
 | 
 291.97 
 | 
 313.84 
 | 
 315.92 
 | 
 315.66 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 37.2 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult. 
 | 
 516.13 
 | 
 608.50 
 | 
 727.31 
 | 
 1077.22 
 | 
 961.28 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 142.44 
 | 
 311.74 
 | 
 268.61 
 | 
 284.34 
 | 
 312.31 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 154.03 
 | 
 154.89 
 | 
 155.65 
 | 
 154.88 
 | 
 166.19 
 | 
 
| 
 Stock de la dette 
 | 
 12721.8 
 | 
 12773.28 
 | 
 13109.50 
 | 
 13109.50 
 | 
 12135.41 
 | 
 
| 
  Club de Paris 
 | 
 9490.11 
 | 
 90701.88 
 | 
 8814.95 
 | 
 8814.95 
 | 
 8814.95 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 394.63 
 | 
 389.68 
 | 
 400.46 
 | 
 393.36 
 | 
 387.08 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 37.22 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult. 
 | 
 2294.52 
 | 
 2247.23 
 | 
 2461.45 
 | 
 2447.30 
 | 
 2357.13 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 350.49 
 | 
 401.6 
 | 
 353.61 
 | 
 371.36 
 | 
 372.91 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 154.83 
 | 
 204.89 
 | 
 154.9 
 | 
 151.88 
 | 
 166.62 
 | 
 
  
Source : OGEDEP (1996-2000), Rapport Annuel, Kinshasa, pp
141-143 
Tableau n° 8 : Structure de la dette
extérieure de 2001 à 2007 (en millions d'USD) 
| 
 Rubriques 
 | 
 2001 
 | 
 2002 
 | 
 2003 
 | 
 2004 
 | 
 2005 
 | 
 2006 
 | 
 2007 
 | 
 
| 
 Encours 
 | 
 12477.0 
 | 
 13275.5 
 | 
 10403.5 
 | 
 10943.3 
 | 
 9884.6 
 | 
 10522.1 
 | 
 10214.8 
 | 
 
| 
 FMI 
 | 
 660.6 
 | 
 702.9 
 | 
 700.7 
 | 
 815.4 
 | 
 792.4 
 | 
 831.25 
 | 
 215 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Paris 
 | 
 7423.4 
 | 
 7898.5 
 | 
 5945.7 
 | 
 6354.7 
 | 
 5106.0 
 | 
 5349.04 
 | 
 6749.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 384.8 
 | 
 409.4 
 | 
 352.5 
 | 
 340.7 
 | 
 363.2 
 | 
 612.71 
 | 
 120 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 35.7 
 | 
 38.0 
 | 
 28.6 
 | 
 28.8 
 | 
 28.6 
 | 
 28.57 
 | 
 138.4 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 3571.1 
 | 
 3799.7 
 | 
 3047.4 
 | 
 3078.2 
 | 
 3295.6 
 | 
 3883.29 
 | 
 1845 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 147.9 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 1041.9 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 835 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 401.4 
 | 
 427.1 
 | 
 328.6 
 | 
 325.3 
 | 
 298.8 
 | 
 317.38 
 | 
 212.1 
 | 
 
| 
 Service dus 
 | 
 1939.7 
 | 
 1430.9 
 | 
 1141.1 
 | 
 954.6 
 | 
 787.5 
 | 
 892.1 
 | 
 645.0 
 | 
 
| 
 FMI 
 | 
 632.8 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 485.0 
 | 
 
| 
 -club de Paris 
 | 
 142.7 
 | 
 152 
 | 
 223.2 
 | 
 188.0 
 | 
 67.5 
 | 
 124.05 
 | 
 31.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 484.5 
 | 
 515.5 
 | 
 427.4 
 | 
 284.2 
 | 
 349.9 
 | 
 405.39 
 | 
 63.4 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 72.4 
 | 
 87.6 
 | 
 59.3 
 | 
 57.9 
 | 
 28.6 
 | 
 28.58 
 | 
 30.7 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 169.7 
 | 
 210.1 
 | 
 59.0 
 | 
 94.3 
 | 
 37.9 
 | 
 16.85 
 | 
 12.3 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 6.04 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 437.6 
 | 
 465.6 
 | 
 372.3 
 | 
 330.2 
 | 
 303.6 
 | 
 317.27 
 | 
 22.8 
 | 
 
| 
 Services effectués 
 | 
 635.3 
 | 
 42.8 
 | 
 124.8 
 | 
 89.5 
 | 
 143.5 
 | 
 126.5 
 | 
 122.8 
 | 
 
| 
 FMI 
 | 
 632.8 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 22.8 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Paris 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 91.8 
 | 
 44.3 
 | 
 67.45 
 | 
 58.09 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 3.5 
 | 
 23.4 
 | 
 41.1 
 | 
 45.26 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 10.6 
 | 
 0.5 
 | 
 0.1 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 2.5 
 | 
 32.2 
 | 
 28.7 
 | 
 21.8 
 | 
 34.96 
 | 
 15.30 
 | 
 50 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 6.04 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 50 
 | 
 
| 
 Arriérés 
 | 
 1304.4 
 | 
 1388.1 
 | 
 1016.7 
 | 
 865.2 
 | 
 643.9 
 | 
 765.6 
 | 
 750 
 | 
 
| 
 FMI 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 41.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Paris 
 | 
 142.7 
 | 
 152.0 
 | 
 131.4 
 | 
 143.7 
 | 
 0 
 | 
 58.09 
 | 
 455.4 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 484.6 
 | 
 515.5 
 | 
 423.9 
 | 
 260.8 
 | 
 308.8 
 | 
 360.13 
 | 
 40.2 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londres 
 | 
 72.4 
 | 
 77.0 
 | 
 58.8 
 | 
 57.9 
 | 
 28.57 
 | 
 28.57 
 | 
 50.8 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 167.2 
 | 
 178.0 
 | 
 30.3 
 | 
 72.6 
 | 
 2.93 
 | 
 1.55 
 | 
 38.56 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 0 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 437.6 
 | 
 465.6 
 | 
 372.3 
 | 
 330.2 
 | 
 303.64 
 | 
 317.27 
 | 
 124.01 
 | 
 
| 
 Stocks de la dette 
 | 
 13359.5 
 | 
 13714.9 
 | 
 10722.8 
 | 
 11186.3 
 | 
 9999.6 
 | 
 10522.1 
 | 
 10214.8 
 | 
 
| 
 FMI 
 | 
 501.3 
 | 
 702.9 
 | 
 700.7 
 | 
 815.4 
 | 
 792.39 
 | 
 831.25 
 | 
 215 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Paris 
 | 
 9349.4 
 | 
 7978.0 
 | 
 6007.5 
 | 
 6418.8 
 | 
 5106 
 | 
 5349.04 
 | 
 6749.3 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Kinshasa 
 | 
 454.1 
 | 
 597.3 
 | 
 524.0 
 | 
 438.6 
 | 
 471.6 
 | 
 612.71 
 | 
 120 
 | 
 
| 
 Club de Londrès 
 | 
 36.6 
 | 
 77.0 
 | 
 58.8 
 | 
 58.1 
 | 
 28.57 
 | 
 28.57 
 | 
 138.4 
 | 
 
| 
 Inst. Mult 
 | 
 2257.0 
 | 
 3880.6 
 | 
 3048.1 
 | 
 3125.2 
 | 
 3297.4 
 | 
 3883.29 
 | 
 1845 
 | 
 
| 
 BAD 
 | 
 840.5 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 1041.9 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 - 
 | 
 835 
 | 
 
| 
 Autres paiements 
 | 
 761.1 
 | 
 479.1 
 | 
 383.7 
 | 
 330.2 
 | 
 303.64 
 | 
 317.38 
 | 
 212.1 
 | 
 
  
Sources : OGEDEP (rapports annuels 2001-2007), pp
145-147 
 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
-20 
-15 
-10 
-5 
0 
5 
10 
Series: Residuals 
Sample 1982 2007 
Observations 26 
Mean     
-9.91E-15 
Median  
 0.442511 
Maximum  
 10.04716 
Minimum  
-18.64091 
Std. Dev.   
 6.479888 
Skewness   
-0.004838 
Kurtosis   
 0.020350 
Jarque-Bera 
 1.952323 
Probability 
 0.008513 
  
 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
-20 
-15 
-10 
-5 
0 
5 
10 
Series: Residuals 
Sample 1982 2007 
Observations 26 
Mean     
-9.91E-15 
Median  
 0.442511 
Maximum  
 10.04716 
Minimum  
-18.64091 
Std. Dev.   
 6.479888 
Skewness   
-0.004838 
Kurtosis   
 0.020350 
Jarque-Bera 
 2.972323 
Probability 
 0.008513 
  
 
-2 
-1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
86 
88 
90 
92 
94 
96 
98 
00 
02 
04 
06 
R 
e 
c 
u 
r 
s 
i 
v 
e 
  
R 
e 
s 
i 
d 
u 
a 
l 
s 
#177; 
  
2 
  
S 
. 
E 
. 
T 
e 
s 
t 
  
d 
e 
  
s 
t 
a 
b 
i 
l 
i 
t 
é 
  
c 
o 
n 
j 
o 
n 
c 
t 
u 
r 
e 
l 
l 
e 
  
( 
o 
u 
  
d 
e 
s 
  
s 
h 
o 
c 
s 
) 
  
| 
 Source : D'après nos calculs sur le logiciel
Eviews.4 
 ANNEXE 12  Test  de stabilité
globale 
  
Source : D'après nos calculs sur le logiciel
Eviews.4 
  
  
  
 | 
 
  
 |