ANNEXE 1
TABLEAUX EVOLUTIFS DE LA DETTE EXTERIEURE
CONGOLAISE
Tableau n°6 : Structure de la dette de 1991 à
1995(en millions de dollars)
Rubrique
|
1991
|
1992
|
1993
|
1994
|
1995
|
Encours
|
8662.41
|
9627.17
|
9064.73
|
90372.84
|
10111.7
|
Club de Paris
|
6203.06
|
6034.99
|
6184.99
|
6426.59
|
6749.3
|
FMI
|
249.35
|
400
|
250
|
246.7
|
215
|
Club de Londres
|
100
|
150
|
120
|
100
|
120
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
249.41
|
106.18
|
126.42
|
151.51
|
138.4
|
Inst. Mult
|
1690.98
|
3939.5
|
4720.8
|
5607.5
|
6445
|
Autres paiements
|
1506.1
|
2906.1
|
3695.9
|
4174.2
|
4835
|
BAD
|
9
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
6.75
|
212.1
|
Service dus
|
2392.8
|
3939.5
|
4720.8
|
5607.5
|
6445.0
|
Club de Paris
|
1506.1
|
2906.1
|
3695.9
|
4174.2
|
4835.0
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
67.2
|
73
|
199
|
317.5
|
341.3
|
Club de Londres
|
513.5
|
528.5
|
528.5
|
618.5
|
643.4
|
Inst. Mult
|
96.5
|
197.4
|
256.2
|
353
|
503
|
BAD
|
30.5
|
39.6
|
43.1
|
90.7
|
122.3
|
Autres paiements
|
179
|
194.9
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Services effectués
|
205.8
|
78.9
|
13.5
|
13.1
|
22.8
|
FMI
|
111.6
|
17.6
|
5.8
|
13.1
|
22.8
|
Club de Paris
|
13.6
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
25.2
|
7.5
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Club de Londres
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Inst. Mult
|
24.9
|
14.2
|
7.7
|
-
|
-
|
Autres paiements
|
30.5
|
39.6
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Arriérés
|
2119.6
|
3683.5
|
4714.2
|
6147.5
|
6444.8
|
FMI
|
300.0
|
150
|
135
|
100
|
85
|
Club de Paris
|
1192.5
|
2755.5
|
3560.9
|
4074.2
|
4.750
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
42
|
65.5
|
199.1
|
371.5
|
341.3
|
Club de Londres
|
413.5
|
473.5
|
453.5
|
540.3
|
555.4
|
Inst. Mult
|
51.6
|
150.2
|
240.5
|
350
|
402
|
BAD
|
20
|
33
|
8
|
3
|
100.8
|
Autres paiements
|
100
|
55
|
75
|
77.8
|
88
|
Source : OGEDEP, Rapport Annuel 1991 -1995, Kinshasa, pp
140-142
Tableau n° 7: Structure de la dette
extérieure de 1996 à 2000 (en millions de USD)
Rubrique
|
1996
|
1997
|
1998
|
1999
|
2000
|
Encours
|
9151.77
|
8549.17
|
8867.32
|
8355.86
|
7694.4
|
Club de Paris
|
6406.49
|
5891.79
|
6150.67
|
5711.73
|
5110.87
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
316.45
|
312.59
|
318.47
|
305.19
|
300.3
|
Club de Londres
|
37.77
|
37.22
|
37.22
|
37.22
|
37.22
|
Inst. Mult.
|
1982.61
|
1913.45
|
1958.46
|
1917.26
|
1849.12
|
BAD
|
260.42
|
245.54
|
253.92
|
235.88
|
249.01
|
Autres paiements
|
148.67
|
148.58
|
148.58
|
149.56
|
148.55
|
Service du
|
7279.2
|
7549.7
|
8190.4
|
9023.5
|
8902.3
|
Club de Paris
|
5962.0
|
6062.9
|
6501.3
|
6977.1
|
6943.3
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
285.8
|
292.0
|
313.9
|
316.1
|
315.2
|
Club de Londres
|
37.2
|
37.2
|
37.2
|
37.2
|
37.2
|
Inst. Mult.
|
561.1
|
608.5
|
727.3
|
1077.1
|
961.3
|
Autres paiements
|
429.1
|
549.1
|
601.7
|
616
|
644.8
|
Service effectué
|
42
|
-
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
FMI
|
42
|
-
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
Arriéré
|
7196.61
|
7467.2
|
8350.39
|
8846.81
|
8735.94
|
Club de Paris
|
5965.95
|
6062.88
|
6853.56
|
6977.19
|
6943.28
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
285.74
|
291.97
|
313.84
|
315.92
|
315.66
|
Club de Londres
|
37.2
|
37.2
|
37.2
|
37.2
|
37.2
|
Inst. Mult.
|
516.13
|
608.50
|
727.31
|
1077.22
|
961.28
|
BAD
|
142.44
|
311.74
|
268.61
|
284.34
|
312.31
|
Autres paiements
|
154.03
|
154.89
|
155.65
|
154.88
|
166.19
|
Stock de la dette
|
12721.8
|
12773.28
|
13109.50
|
13109.50
|
12135.41
|
Club de Paris
|
9490.11
|
90701.88
|
8814.95
|
8814.95
|
8814.95
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
394.63
|
389.68
|
400.46
|
393.36
|
387.08
|
Club de Londres
|
37.22
|
37.22
|
37.22
|
37.22
|
37.22
|
Inst. Mult.
|
2294.52
|
2247.23
|
2461.45
|
2447.30
|
2357.13
|
BAD
|
350.49
|
401.6
|
353.61
|
371.36
|
372.91
|
Autres paiements
|
154.83
|
204.89
|
154.9
|
151.88
|
166.62
|
Source : OGEDEP (1996-2000), Rapport Annuel, Kinshasa, pp
141-143
Tableau n° 8 : Structure de la dette
extérieure de 2001 à 2007 (en millions d'USD)
Rubriques
|
2001
|
2002
|
2003
|
2004
|
2005
|
2006
|
2007
|
Encours
|
12477.0
|
13275.5
|
10403.5
|
10943.3
|
9884.6
|
10522.1
|
10214.8
|
FMI
|
660.6
|
702.9
|
700.7
|
815.4
|
792.4
|
831.25
|
215
|
Club de Paris
|
7423.4
|
7898.5
|
5945.7
|
6354.7
|
5106.0
|
5349.04
|
6749.3
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
384.8
|
409.4
|
352.5
|
340.7
|
363.2
|
612.71
|
120
|
Club de Londres
|
35.7
|
38.0
|
28.6
|
28.8
|
28.6
|
28.57
|
138.4
|
Inst. Mult
|
3571.1
|
3799.7
|
3047.4
|
3078.2
|
3295.6
|
3883.29
|
1845
|
BAD
|
147.9
|
-
|
-
|
1041.9
|
-
|
-
|
835
|
Autres paiements
|
401.4
|
427.1
|
328.6
|
325.3
|
298.8
|
317.38
|
212.1
|
Service dus
|
1939.7
|
1430.9
|
1141.1
|
954.6
|
787.5
|
892.1
|
645.0
|
FMI
|
632.8
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
485.0
|
-club de Paris
|
142.7
|
152
|
223.2
|
188.0
|
67.5
|
124.05
|
31.3
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
484.5
|
515.5
|
427.4
|
284.2
|
349.9
|
405.39
|
63.4
|
Club de Londres
|
72.4
|
87.6
|
59.3
|
57.9
|
28.6
|
28.58
|
30.7
|
Inst. Mult
|
169.7
|
210.1
|
59.0
|
94.3
|
37.9
|
16.85
|
12.3
|
BAD
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
6.04
|
-
|
Autres paiements
|
437.6
|
465.6
|
372.3
|
330.2
|
303.6
|
317.27
|
22.8
|
Services effectués
|
635.3
|
42.8
|
124.8
|
89.5
|
143.5
|
126.5
|
122.8
|
FMI
|
632.8
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
22.8
|
Club de Paris
|
-
|
-
|
91.8
|
44.3
|
67.45
|
58.09
|
-
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
-
|
-
|
3.5
|
23.4
|
41.1
|
45.26
|
-
|
Club de Londres
|
-
|
10.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Inst. Mult
|
2.5
|
32.2
|
28.7
|
21.8
|
34.96
|
15.30
|
50
|
BAD
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
6.04
|
-
|
Autres paiements
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
50
|
Arriérés
|
1304.4
|
1388.1
|
1016.7
|
865.2
|
643.9
|
765.6
|
750
|
FMI
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
41.3
|
Club de Paris
|
142.7
|
152.0
|
131.4
|
143.7
|
0
|
58.09
|
455.4
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
484.6
|
515.5
|
423.9
|
260.8
|
308.8
|
360.13
|
40.2
|
Club de Londres
|
72.4
|
77.0
|
58.8
|
57.9
|
28.57
|
28.57
|
50.8
|
Inst. Mult
|
167.2
|
178.0
|
30.3
|
72.6
|
2.93
|
1.55
|
38.56
|
BAD
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0
|
-
|
-
|
Autres paiements
|
437.6
|
465.6
|
372.3
|
330.2
|
303.64
|
317.27
|
124.01
|
Stocks de la dette
|
13359.5
|
13714.9
|
10722.8
|
11186.3
|
9999.6
|
10522.1
|
10214.8
|
FMI
|
501.3
|
702.9
|
700.7
|
815.4
|
792.39
|
831.25
|
215
|
Club de Paris
|
9349.4
|
7978.0
|
6007.5
|
6418.8
|
5106
|
5349.04
|
6749.3
|
Club de Kinshasa
|
454.1
|
597.3
|
524.0
|
438.6
|
471.6
|
612.71
|
120
|
Club de Londrès
|
36.6
|
77.0
|
58.8
|
58.1
|
28.57
|
28.57
|
138.4
|
Inst. Mult
|
2257.0
|
3880.6
|
3048.1
|
3125.2
|
3297.4
|
3883.29
|
1845
|
BAD
|
840.5
|
-
|
-
|
1041.9
|
-
|
-
|
835
|
Autres paiements
|
761.1
|
479.1
|
383.7
|
330.2
|
303.64
|
317.38
|
212.1
|
Sources : OGEDEP (rapports annuels 2001-2007), pp
145-147
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Series: Residuals
Sample 1982 2007
Observations 26
Mean
-9.91E-15
Median
0.442511
Maximum
10.04716
Minimum
-18.64091
Std. Dev.
6.479888
Skewness
-0.004838
Kurtosis
0.020350
Jarque-Bera
1.952323
Probability
0.008513
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Series: Residuals
Sample 1982 2007
Observations 26
Mean
-9.91E-15
Median
0.442511
Maximum
10.04716
Minimum
-18.64091
Std. Dev.
6.479888
Skewness
-0.004838
Kurtosis
0.020350
Jarque-Bera
2.972323
Probability
0.008513
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
06
R
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R
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i
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l
s
#177;
2
S
.
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.
T
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(
o
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)
Source : D'après nos calculs sur le logiciel
Eviews.4
ANNEXE 12 Test de stabilité
globale
Source : D'après nos calculs sur le logiciel
Eviews.4
|
|