Lomé (TOGO), September 2018
Universitat Oberta de Catalunya
The role of the African Union in the
resolution
of the conflict in Mali
Master degree in Conflictology
Student : Akala Akizi-Egnim Counsellor :
Andreu Solà
Academic year : 2016 - 2018
ii
Contents
Table des matières
Contents ii
Appendices: figures iv
Abstract v
Introduction 1
1- Background of the study 1
1.1- Africa: a continent of conflicts and political crisis 1
1.2- In search of effective solutions 1
1.3- Persisting nature of conflicts and the eruption of Mali
crisis 3
2- Research questions 3
3- Rationale 3
4- Objectives 4
4.1- General objective 4
4.2- Specific objectives 4
5- Sphere of application and target group 4
6- Structure 4
Chapter 1: THEORETICAL, METHODOLOGICAL AND CONTEXTUAL FRAMEWORKS
6
1- Theoretical framework 6
1.1- Definition of concepts 6
1.2- Theories of intrastate conflicts 7
1.3- The African Union and the conflict intervention framework.
12
1.4- Literature review 18
2- Methodological framework 24
3- The contextual framework: Description of the study area 25
3.1- Geography 25
3.2- History 26
3.3- Demographics 27
3.4- Political sphere 28
3.5- Economy 28
Chapter 2: THE ARMED CONFLICT IN MALI 30
1- An overview of the conflict 30
2- Humanitarian impact of the conflict 33
3- The causes of the conflict 33
3.1- Structural causes 34
3.2- Proximate causes or triggers of the conflict 40
4- The actors of the armed conflict 42
iii
4.1- The national warring actors and their interests 42
4.2- Relations between armed groups: interactions and coalitions
45
4.2- International Organizations and Governments' intervention
47
Chapter 3: AFRICAN UNION INTERVENTION: Strengths and challenges
49
1- The intervention process 49
1.1- Overview of diplomatic and political efforts 49
1.1.1- Early warnings 49
1.1.2- The Framework Agreement with CNRDRE, April 2012 50
1.1.3- The Ouagadougou Peace Processes and Agreement, December
2012; June 2013 51
1.1.4- Post military intervention mediation 51
1.1.5- From Ouagadougou to Algiers: the Inter-Malian Inclusive
Peace Talks, 2014-2015 52
1.2- The Military efforts 53
1.2.1- From the idea of MICEMA to the establishment and
Evolution of AFISMA 53
1.3- Some post-conflict Reconstruction and Development
initiatives 55
2- Difficulties and challenges met by the AU in the intervention
56
2.1- The limitations of African Peace and Security Architecture
56
2.2- The lack or insufficiency of finance and logistics. 58
2.3- The lack of fair cooperation from UN and UN funders 59
2.4- The operational challenges of AFISMA in the field 59
3- Recommendations 60
3.1- Towards an efficient AU 60
3.2- For an effective and lasting peace in Mali 63
Conclusion 65
Bibliography 67
Annexes 70
iv
Appendices: figures
Figure 1: Summary of some key Timelines of the Mali Conflict
from 2011 to October 2015 71
Figure 2 : Map Mali climate 75
Figure 3: Map Mali spatial distribution of ethnic groups in
Mali 76
Figure 4: Map of Mali as of January 11, 2013 77
Figure 5: Map of Intensity of security incidents in Mali till
April 2016 78
Figure 6: Conflict events by actors and location in Mali and
Niger 2017-2018 79
Figure 7: Leadership of Mali peace agreement 80
Figure 8Implementatiuon of Bamako Agreement 81
Figure 9: Fragmentation and recomposition of compliant armed
groups 82
v
Abstract
In the final decade of the 20th century, the mounting need for
greater continental integration resulted in the transformation of OAU in to AU
(African Union) in 2002. Among the priority agendas of the new organization are
issues of peace and security on the continent. Despite the commitment and
efforts to build institutional capacity to confront problems, objective
realities on the ground reflect that situations of political instabilities and
armed conflict in the continent are far from significantly resolved. The Malian
crisis which unfolded from 2012 is one of the examples of the limits of the new
organization in preventing and addressing effectively crisis.
The study identified the Malian crisis with issues of
political and economic marginalization, poor governance leading to ethnic
dissatisfaction and rebellions, and expressions of some form of religious
radicalism and criminal networks that involves actors respective to each of the
factors.
Moreover, the researcher has explored the intervention of the
AU and its RECs/RMs on the one hand, and on the other hand, portrayed the
challenges these regional organizations are facing in the maintenance of
continental Peace and Security in light of the Malian political crisis with
regard to their lack of capacity to conduct peace operations including
insufficient financial and logistic support, lack of cooperation and tensions
within the organizations and with the UN. Finally the researcher has suggested
some solutions for the way forward.
1
Introduction
1- Background of the study
1.1- Africa: a continent of conflicts and political crisis
Africa has been a theater of armed conflicts in a manner that
it is typical continental experience. Roughly thirty percent of conflicts over
the past five decades have occurred in Africa causing twice as many fatalities
as conflicts in other regions (Hoeffler, 2014). These conflicts, mainly
intra-state conflicts, have brought many of African economies to the brink of
collapse along with the loss of millions of lives, widespread displacement and
a wide array of human rights abuses (Ndiho, 2010). For instance, for decades,
countries such as Democratic Republic of Congo, Central Africa, Angola,
Liberia, Sierra Leone, Côte d'Ivoire and Guinea- Bissau, etc, were
crippled by conflicts and civil strife in which violence and incessant killings
were prevalent. Alao (2000) argues that these violent conflicts are very often
characterized by the following patterns:
(a) tensions between sub-national groups stemming from the
collapse of old patterns of relationships that provided the framework for
collaboration among the many ethnic groups in most states;
(b) disputes over resource sharing arising from gross
disparities in wealth among different groups within the same countries and the
consequent struggles for reform of economic systems to ensure an equitable
distribution of economic power;
(c) struggles for democratization, good governance and reform
of political systems;
(d) crises resulting from the systemic failures in the
administration of justice and the inability of states to guarantee the security
of the population;
(e) clashes relating to religious cleavages and religious
fundamentalism.
1.2- In search of effective solutions
It was with the aim to address such conflicts that arose since
the independence that the first continental organization by the name the
Organization of African Unity (OAU) was created in 1963 so that problems of
Africa could be solved by the Africans themselves. However, while OAU was
supposed to be praised for its achievement in supporting efforts to eradicate
colonialism from the continent, it failed to effectively address issues related
with its legacies. Particularly crisis related with ethnicity and the quest for
democracy are said to be challenges that the organization failed to tackle in
its capacity. For instance, the organization had been blamed for inaction to
stop the 1994 genocide in Rwanda, and in not finding lasting solutions to the
conflict in the DRC, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Somalia and Sudan, among others.
The drawback in this respect is to some extent attributed to the provisions
within the charter that
2
established OAU which hampered its operation significantly.
Particularly the concern for respecting sovereignty of member states was
supposed to be obstacles that curtailed most of its aspiration.
Consequently there arose a need for more effective
organizational framework to address the practical political, economic, social,
etc issues in order for a bright continental future. This resulted in the
transformation of OAU into AU (African Union) in 2002 with a lot of hopes and
expectations. Among the agendas with due concern in the new organization was
the issue of peace and security. In line with this, the Protocol relating to
the establishment of the Peace and Security Council (PSC), which was ratified
by the requisite number of member States in December 2003, commits the AU to
work towards the well-being of the African people and their environment, as
well as the creation of conditions conducive to sustainable development.
Furthermore, it calls for the promotion of democratic practices, good
governance, the rule of law, protection of human rights and fundamental
freedoms, respect for the sanctity of human life and international humanitarian
law by member States (PSC, art 2). The Constitutive Act and the PSC Protocol
gives the AU the power to create the structures and processes necessary for the
establishment of a comprehensive peace and security architecture for the
Continent. This architecture includes the PSC, the AU Commission, the Panel of
the Wise, the African Standby Force (ASF), and the Continental Early Warning
System (CEWS). The PSC Protocol also provides for closer collaboration between
the AU and the Regional Mechanisms for Conflict Prevention, Management and
Resolution (AU, 2002).
With these norms, values, and principles, the AU since 2004
have taken initiatives with significant success. According to (Ndiho, 2010), in
1990, there were about 20 wars going on simultaneously in Africa but by 2010,
there were only four ongoing wars and this is a big success story for AU. For
example effective measures were taken against States with unconstitutional
changes of government, particularly the coup d'état in the Central
African Republic (2003), Guinea Bissau (2003 and 2012), Sao Tome and Principe
(2003), Togo (2005), Mauritania (2005 and 2008), Guinea (2008), Madagascar
(2009), and Niger (2010) (Col. Abiodun Joseph Oluwadare, 2015). The council has
also been able to authorize peace operations in Burundi, Somalia, Sudan, and
the Comoros. AU's first mission was deployed in Burundi where transition to
self-rule was characterized by ethnic violence between the Hutu majority and
the Tutsi minority. The mission was described as one of the AU's biggest
success stories as it made concerted efforts to prevent genocides in the Great
Lakes region, and played a crucial role in the ceasefire negotiations.
Besides, the AU Commission also provided strategic, political,
technical, and planning support to operations authorized by the Peace and
Security Council and carried out by regional coalitions of Member States,
Regional Economic Communities (RECs), or Regional Mechanisms for Conflict
Prevention, Management and Resolution (RMs). Such support includes the Regional
Cooperation Initiative against the Lord's Resistance Army (RCI-LRA) and the
operation against Boko Haram undertaken by the Lake Chad Basin Commission and
Benin - the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF).
3
1.3- Persisting nature of conflicts and the eruption of Mali
crisis
Despite the forthright initiatives of the AU in conflict
resolution, Africa Briefing Report (2011), says there remains a discrepancy
between the AU capacity on paper and its actual impact in crisis situations as
incidents of violent conflicts have persisted in Africa. Old conflicts have
continued in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Somalia, and Sudan, as
well as in the Central African Republic (CAR). To this are added emerging
conflicts including a wave emanating from uprising against sit-tight and
despotic leaders which covered North Africa, from Tunisia, Egypt to Libya in
2011, which culminated by the eruption in 2012 of the devastating armed
conflict in Mali with imposing new challenges in the Sahelo-Saharan region.
To respond to this last crisis, the African Union along with
its Regional Economic community (REC), ECOWAS engaged very early in the
conflict through preventive and peacekeeping measures to bring African
solutions to African problems. Unfortunately, once again, the continental body
was not successful as expected. Neither the diplomatic nor the military
initiatives could prevent the crisis from escalating. The Western solutions
were therefore called upon to help stabilize Mali. This resulted in the
deployment of the «operation Serval» by French, the change of AFISMA
by MINUSMA. Furthermore, even if the AU was part of the Algerian peace process,
it was not the main actor.
2- Research questions
The situation of armed conflicts in Africa in light of the
ongoing Malian crisis raises the question of Africa's capability and commitment
to solve its own problems. Is the African Union and its sub-regional
organizations, doing enough to prevent and resolve conflicts on the continent?
What prevents the African continental organization to fully operationalize the
peace and security framework? What can be the possible measures to find
«African solutions to African problems»? These are the questions
which are raised and this study will try to find some answers.
3- Rationale
This issue is worth studying given the fact that peace and
security are necessary precondition for sustainable growth and development any
nation aspires to bring about. Besides, for continents like Africa where there
exist a great deal of records of conflicts and in fact still a political
reality today, researches aimed at searching for alternative ways to deal with
issue of peace and security are by far important. Specifically this study is
claimed to be significant in two dimensions. In the first place, it tries to
unfold the continental potential and practical capacity at the disposal of the
continental organization (AU) to address peace and security. Secondly it tries
to explore the Malian problem in light of the continental initiative to deal
with the challenge of peace and security, so that it is possible to
4
understand the gaps between potentials and practical
capacities of Africans in solving African problems and suggest ways forward.
4- Objectives 4.1- General objective
The basic objective of this study is to analyze the status of
the African Union in discharging its responsibilities with respect to
maintaining continental peace and security in light of the Malian political
crisis.
4.2- Specific objectives
In specific terms this study is supposed to:
- Identify the root causes of the Malian political crisis;
- Identify the Actors in the Malian political crisis;
- Portray the consequences of the Malian political crisis;
- Illustrate the role of AU in dealing with the Malian political
crisis;
- Show the challenges AU faced in the Malian political
crisis;
- Ascertain what the African Union must do for the Union to
remain effective in African conflict
resolution.
5- Sphere of application and target group
It is intended that the outcome of this study will help to
stimulate further debate in the area of conflict resolution in Africa. In
addition to the above, the study will generate debate with regards to the
relevance of the AU in conflict resolution in Africa. This is against the
background of the verdict of irrelevance, seemingly given to the defunct OAU
and some suggestions to the effect that the AU has not been significantly
effective in the resolution of African crisis.
Findings of the study will therefore be useful in the
re-positioning of the African Union (AU), for optimal performance in conflict
resolution. In addition to the foregoing, findings of the study will be useful
to the political elite in Africa, in instituting best practices in their
policies and politics, as it is the absence of such progressive political
practices that bring about violent political conflicts. African and non-African
leaders at other non-political levels, will also find beneficial, the findings
of the study, as issues of conflict resolution cut across leadership
spheres.
6- Structure
The dissertation is structured around three (03) chapters. The
first chapter deals with the theoretical and methodological frameworks
including on the one hand the definition of concepts and the relevant
5
theories developed in the analysis of armed conflicts along
with the literature review and the AU framework in dealing with conflict
prevention and resolution, and on the other hand the methodology used for this
study as well as the description of the study area.
The second chapter deals with the analysis of the Malian armed
conflict including an overview of the conflict, the impact, the root causes as
well as the actors of the conflict.
The third chapter provides, the practical conflict resolution
efforts undertaken by the sub-regional (ECOWAS) and regional (AU) actors in the
Malian conflict. This includes the political and diplomatic efforts as well as
the military efforts deployed in support of diplomatic ones. Finally, some
observations related to the challenges and limits of the initiatives resulting
from the gap existing between the theoretical provisions and the practical
aspects of AU peace intervention lead to the formulation of some
recommendations on the way forward.
6
Chapter 1: THEORETICAL, METHODOLOGICAL AND CONTEXTUAL
FRAMEWORKS
1- Theoretical framework
1.1- Definition of concepts
Conflict
The word "conflict" remains a very ambiguous word and is
therefore taken as an umbrella term that can be used to refer to diverse
situations. Scholars such as Rubin et al. (1994), Lewicki et al.
(1997) consider conflict to be «the interaction of interdependent
people who perceived incompatible goals and interference from each other in
achieving those goals». Barki and Hartwick (2004) elaborated upon
these efforts by defining conflict as «a dynamic process that occurs
between interdependent parties as they experience negative emotional reactions
to perceived disagreements and interference with the attainment of their
goals». According to the Responding to Conflict (RTC)1,
conflict is «a relationship between two or more parties (individuals
or groups) who have, or think they have, incompatible goals.» From
this definition, there is no conflict as long as parties or actors do not
recognize that the situation is problematic and conflictual. However, it is not
because a situation is not recognized as a conflict that there is no latent
problem slowly growing and dividing parties.
Conflict can therefore be described as a disagreement among
groups or individuals characterized by antagonism. This is usually fueled by
the opposition of one party to another, in an attempt to reach an objective
different from that of the other party. Defined this way, conflict can be seen
as an inevitable part of life. Each of us possesses our own opinions, ideas and
sets of beliefs. We have our own ways of looking at things and we act according
to what we think is proper. As such conflicts are daily occurrences with family
members, friends, strangers, colleagues, etc.
Experience in human society has shown that there are degrees
of variation in conflicts. Conflicts are classified in types. Psychology as a
discipline has espoused on intra-personal conflict. Sociology identifies
inter-personal and intra-group or intra-unit conflict, as well as inter-group
conflict.
Conflict should normally be an opportunity for growth and can
be an effective means of opening up among groups or individuals. But when the
conflict is unsolved or not transformed properly, it takes more complex
dimensions with polarizations yielding to hostility, violence and armed
conflict.
1 RTC is a non-governmental organization that works
to transform conflict and build peace by working alongside people living in
situations of conflict and violence to develop the skills, knowledge and
confidence to create and implement strategies for peace.
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Violent or Armed Conflict
According to Dan Smith (2001), violent or armed conflict is
defined as open, armed clashes between two or more centrally organized parties,
with continuity between the clashes, in disputes about power over government
and territory. In international relations, this type of conflict can be
interstate or intrastrate. While Interstate armed conflict is a conflict
between two or more states who use their respective national forces in the
conflict, intrastate violent conflict is describes as sustained political
violence that takes place between armed groups representing the state, and one
or more non-state groups. Violence of this sort usually is confined within the
borders of a single state, but can have significant international dimensions
and holds the risk of spilling over into bordering states.
Before and during the Cold War, interstates armed conflicts
were predominant in the world, but since the end of the Cold War, the most
common form of conflict is the intrastate violence. Smith says that of the 118
armed conflicts which ensued from 1990, only ten can be strictly defined as
interstate conflicts, more than hundred are intrastate conflicts. With the
increasing number of intrastate armed conflicts, more attention is given by
scholars who develop different theories to help understand the new trends.
1.2- Theories of intrastate conflicts
For the purpose of coming up with a comprehensive
understanding of the Malian complex armed conflict, two types of theories of
conflict are used in this study. The first ones are theories put forward to
explain causes of conflict and the second ones are theories for conflict
pacification or resolution.
1.2.1- Theories of the causes of intrastate
conflicts
There are several theories developed by scholars to explain
the causes of conflict. However, for the sake of this study, we shall deal with
structural theory of conflict, Marxist theory, international capitalist theory
and the economic theory of conflict, as they account better for the conflict in
Mali.
1.2.1.1- The structural theory of conflict
The structural theory attempts to explain conflict as a
product of the tension that arises when groups compete for scarce recourses.
The central argument in this sociological theory is that conflict is built into
the particular ways societies are structured or organized. It describes the
condition of the society and how such condition or environment can create
conflict. The proponents of the structural conflict theory among who Oakland
(2005) identifies such conditions as social exclusion, deprivation, class
inequalities, injustice, political marginalization, gender imbalances, racial
segregation, economic exploitation and the likes, all of which often lead to
conflict. Earlier in 1835, de Tocqueville had the same analysis of the main
causes of the conflicts when he said «Remove the secondary causes that
have produced the great convulsions of the world and you will almost always
find the principle of inequality
8
at the bottom. Either the poor have attempted to plunder
the rich, or the rich to enslave the poor....» (quote from quote from
1954 edition,: 266). Seema Khan (2012) points out that «there are
close links
between social exclusion and conflict and insecurity, both
in terms of causes and consequences. There are now convincing arguments that
some forms of social exclusion generate the conditions in which conflict can
arise. This can range from civil unrest to violent armed conflict and terrorist
activity. Severely disadvantaged groups with shared characteristics (such as
ethnicity or religion) may resort to violent conflict in order to claim their
rights and redress inequalities. ... Social exclusion and horizontal
inequalities provide fertile ground for violent mobilization.»
According to several scholars, many armed conflicts in Africa
fall within this theory. For example, Clionadh Raleigh (2010) says that the
critical factor leading to violent conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa
is the extent of political and economic marginalization. In an
article2 Douma (2006) has examined how the partiality of some state
policies regarding resource distribution promotes inter-group inequality and
contributes to violence sub-Saharan Africa.
Talking of the causes of the conflict in Mali, Sidibé
(2012), says that the attempts since 1960s to challenge state authority relate
to the marginalization of Tuareg and Arab nomadic communities living
in the north of Mali. The ICCT (International center for
Counter-terrorism) in the publication «Is all
about terrorism?» also mentions that the
conflictual dynamics of the Malian conflict are partially linked to the
historical marginalization of the North by the central government of Bamako as
the Tuareg groups
were perceived as an obstacle towards the country's unity, and
therefore have often been marginalized and discriminated by the national
institutions. For Nizeimana & al (2015), decades of marginalization,
discrimination and exclusion from the political and economic processes by the
successive Bamako based governments remained the major uniting force that led
the Tuareg to take arms fighting for a separatist state and the rights of the
Tuareg minorities in Northern Mali.
In view of the above, it can be said that the structuralism
theory accounts to some extent to the causes of conflicts emergence. The theory
is however deficient in its one-sidedness of looking at causes of
conflict. For instance, it does not see the bright sides of
racial or ethnic diversity and the strength that a society may derive from
pluralism. The structural theory thus makes sense only when conflicts are
viewed from the broadest possible perspective, and only if the observer opts to
ignore alternate causes of the conflict. Many conflicts including the conflict
in Mali are determined by other major factors.
1.2.1.2- International Capitalism Theory of conflict
This theory captures the historical import of colonialism and
imperialism. According to Hobson (2006), the external drive of western nations
propelled by the Industrial Revolution created numerous platforms for conflict.
The search for raw materials, need to invest surplus capital and search for new
markets
2 Douma, P. (2006). Poverty, Relative Deprivation
and Political Exclusion as Drivers of Violent Conflict in Sub Saharan Africa.
Journal on Science and World Affairs, 2(2), 59-69
9
outside Europe compelled an imperialist pathway as the western
countries desperately sought such markets, raw materials and investment
climates at the expense of the peace and prosperity of the locals in what is
now known as the Global South. This led to colonization, as well as collision
of cultures and civilizations and ultimately conflict. Hyde (2016) in his
«Are colonial-era borders drawn by Europeans holding Africa
back?» reports that African scholars have long maintained that the
national borders in Africa, most of which date back to the period in the late
1800s when European powers divided up most of the continent in a flurry of
diplomatic agreements and colonial wars now known as the «Scramble for
Africa,» are actually one of the biggest sources of its present-day strife
and violence. In his study «The political and economic legacy of
colonialism in the post-independence African States», Bayeh (2015)
shares the same view noting that colonialism has impacted the political and
economic conditions of the contemporary Africa. He argues that
post-independence African political system is characterized by ethnic based
exclusion and marginalization. Moreover, he supports that corrupt behavior of
the contemporary leaders of Africa is also a contribution of the colonial
experience. The author also puts forward that African resources are extensively
exploited by colonizers, thereby rendering Africa economically weak and looser
in its interaction with the global economy. Supporting the same idea,
Ylönen (2009) says that the colonizers constructed the states in Africa
around a small, ruling elite, demarcating borders according to colonial
territorial holdings, not along ethnic communities, and tended to practice the
strategy of 'divide and rule' to minimize local challenges against the colonial
authority. For him, the attempt to create sufficient political order to
maximize the extraction of resources with minimum investment, the colonial
policies encouraged demographic and regional marginalization of state
peripheries and promoted economic, political, and social inequalities and
imbalances.
In another article entitled «The legacy of
colonialism in the contemporary Africa: a cause for intrastate and interstate
conflicts», Bayeh (2015) stresses on the contribution of colonial
legacy in the contemporary African problems. The study show that the arbitrary
colonial division of African borders contributed a lot for the contemporary
African problems. He explained that blind partition of African borders caused
the disintegration of some ethnic groups into different countries and the
merging together of different ethnic groups into some countries. This, in turn,
resulted in several intrastate and interstate conflicts. Rwanda, Nigeria and
Sudan are taken as typical examples for the first case while Kenya-Somalia and
Ethio-Somalia conflicts for the second case.
As for the conflict in Mali, Amadou Sy3 argues that
«to understand the ethnic roots of the conflict, it's useful to go
back to the colonial period. ... At the Berlin Conference of 1884-5,
imperialist European powers carved up North African territory, creating a
variety of artificial territories before forcing the indigenous populations
into labor.... When Mali became independent, you had nomadic tribes [namely the
Tuareg] who were really by nature not residents of one particular region; they
were migrating from one country to another. Thus, in Mali, the Tuareg were
politically excluded, and their nomadic lifestyle
3 Amadou Sy, a senior fellow in the Africa Growth
Initiative at the Brookings Institution.
10
was threatened by the dictates of the post-imperialist
borders.» In his «Mali: Tuareg problem, a baby of French
colonialism», Murava (2016) also argues that the conflict in Mali has
its roots in colonialism. He explains that before the colonial period the
Tuareg controlled the inter-Saharan trade routes and saw themselves as `masters
of the desert'. But during colonial era, the French found Tuareg dominance
incompatible with their goal of expanding the French empire, and therefore
sought to weaken the Tuareg stronghold. Suddenly Tuareg became minorities in
several new states, and in Mali in particular, a minority ruled by the
population they previously had viewed as `inferior' and historically had
directed slave raids towards.
1.2.1.3- Economic theory of conflict
The economic theory of conflict explicates the economic
undercurrents in conflict causation. All other theories have a link with the
economic theory as the latter includes all the impacts of these theories. There
is considerable interface between politics (power, resources or value) and
scarcity. People seek power because it is a means to an end, more often,
economic ends. Communities feud over farmlands, grazing fields, water resource,
etc, and groups fight government over allocation of resources or revenue.
Scarcity, wants, needs, or the fear of scarcity is often a driving force for
political power, contention for resource control, and so forth. Conflict is
thus not far-fetched in the course of such palpable fear or threat of scarcity.
Just as the fear of poverty and deprivation could lead to fraud or corruption;
so is threat of or real famine, deprivation, mismanagement of scarce resources,
could propel conflict over resource control.
Nizeimana & Nhema (2015) underline that the exclusionary
political systems in Africa have created an environment in which various groups
contending for power are excluded from the political and economic processes
through various repressive measures and the 2012 crisis is an event that
testifies to this assertion. In the view of Francis (2013), poverty, poor
governance, marginalization, the exclusion of a large section of the Malian
populace from the political and the economic process and the failure to address
fundamental grievances by the ruling class in Mali created a breeding ground
for the Tuareg people to gain a foothold and organize themselves.
While the above discussed theories are meant to show
explanations for the outbreak of intra-state conflicts, there are other
theories used to analyze the steps that need to be taken to pacify states
failed into civil conflict. They are Democratic Peace (idealists) and Realist
Theories.
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1.2.2- Theories of armed conflicts resolution 1.2.2.1- The
idealist theory
Democratic peace theory (idealists) see the intrastate armed
conflicts as a result of lack of democracy. For the proponents of this theory,
the priority step that should be taken to stabilize states failed into armed
conflict is to build institution of democracy (Carothers, 2007). They claim
that a state suffering from turmoil of armed conflict needs to deal with the
question of attaining popular legitimacy to end the state of political
instability. Siegle & al (2004) holds that it is essential to restore trust
in any divided society following civil war, by first building regimes enjoying
popular legitimacy based on the institutional foundations of representative
democracy, exemplified by holding competitive multiparty elections, building
power sharing arrangements into constitutional settlements, strengthening
legislatures and independent judiciary, expanding civil society, and
decentralizing governance.
Accounting for the above arguments, Michael (2010) states
that, first, democracy provides opportunities for expression of discontent in
an open manner that reduces the possibilities of emergence of extreme violence
and at the same time it helps to build trust among the people. They also
consider that democratic type of regime constrains governments from repressive
acts against their own citizens and thus reduces the causes of home-grown
conflict. Democracy curtails the repressive acts against citizens through the
mechanism of voice, since elected governments can be voted out of office, and
through the mechanism of veto, since institutions check executive power
(Christian, 2007).
Generally the idealist theory while having logic and rationale
arguments, its implementation in the real world seems far from practical since
the condition of instability by itself that characterizes states fall in to
civil conflict, is not permissive to undertake the necessary steps to build
institutions of democracy. Nevertheless, there are instances in which attempts
are being made to set up institutional framework for states emerging out of
civil war including the elections held as part of democratic reconstruction to
end the Malian crisis in mid-2013. But this was possible and successful, as
military intervention for enforcement advocated by the realists was associated
to the process.
1.2.2.2- The realist theory
Contrary to the idealists, the realists argue that democratic
institutions are identified with limited capacity to deal with risk of conflict
recurrence in a divided society since they are vulnerable to lingering
disagreements about power sharing arrangements and hence rendering
opportunities for continued insurgency to take place (Hegre & Fjeld, 2010).
They hold the view that the first priority in the peace building and
reconstruction process following an internal conflict is state-building
designed to expand governance capacity and establish conditions of social
cohesion, order and stability, national unity, the rule of law, and the
exercise of effective authority. For the proponents of the theory,
«State-building» is understood as an essential pre-condition for
subsequent developments towards democracy, through the
12
usual mechanisms of holding competitive elections,
strengthening legislatures, and establishing independent checks and balances
upon the executive. Proponents of the realist view were motivated by the
political experiences of states beginning from the post-colonial African
nations up to the recent cases of civil unrest in states like Iraq,
Afghanistan, Syria and some states in Africa. Fukuyama (2004) emphasizes that
state building specially in multicultural societies require authorities to use
force to disarm the militia and establish legitimate control over national
territories. If elections are held prior to accomplishing such processes,
internal conflicts may be frozen prolonging instability. More over Toft (2010)
argues even to the extent of the fact that civil wars ending with military
victories, where one side maintains control of the military and police,
generate more durable order and stability. Particularly they claim that
elections are especially dangerous if held early in any transition process,
before the mechanisms of political accountability, institutional checks and
balances, and a democratic culture have had time to develop (Edward & Jack,
2007).
Finally with regard to the current Malian crisis, there is
fair deal of practical experiences representing the realist view as most of the
initiatives to deal with the turmoil were inclined to the military option as
priority measure in state reconstruction. The government with the support of
forces from the French and the African led Support Mission to Mali (AFISMA) and
later on MINUSMA, the G5 forces perused a military campaign to curb the rebel
forces.
As a conclusion, each theory offer useful tools and insights
in the study of intra-state conflict analysis and conflict settlement. Yet,
with regard to the complexities of armed conflicts, in particular the armed
conflict in Mali, no single theory exits that can comprehensively explain them
by itself. So, this accounts for why I have integrated all these theories that
I consider to be complementary for a better understanding and settlement of the
armed conflict in Mali.
1.3- The African Union and the conflict intervention
framework.
Prior to the birth of the AU, the OAU Heads of State and
government recognized in their declaration in 1990 that the prevalence of
conflicts in Africa was seriously impeding their collective and individual
efforts to deal with the continent's economic problems. Consequently, they
resolved to work together toward the peaceful and rapid resolution of
conflicts. During the OAU Summit held in Cairo in 1993, African leaders
established the Mechanism for Conflict Prevention, Management, and Resolution
(MCPMR). In doing so, they recognized that the resolution of conflicts is a
precondition for the creation of peace and stability, and a necessary
precondition for social and economic development (UN, 2004:1). However, while
this initiative thrust the OAU into the center of conflict management efforts
in Africa, the reality is that the pan-African organization never became a
principal player in the peace processes
13
in Africa (CSIS, 2004:2). This is why it was found necessary
to transform the OAU in African Union with new policies and perspectives.
1.3.1- The African Union
The Sirte Declaration led to the establishment of the AU
(African Union) in 2002 replacing the former OAU (Organization of African
union). The AU's Constitutive Act places a premium on the promotion of peace,
security and stability in Africa (Article 3 (f)). Also enshrined in its
principles are the peaceful resolution of conflicts; prohibition of the use of
force or threats to use force; and, unlike the OAU, rights to intervene in the
affairs of member states in «grave circumstances» related to war
crimes, genocide and crimes against humanity (Articles 4 (c ), (f) and (h)). It
was also intended to avoid over-reliance on UN PKOs (United Nations
Peacekeeping Operations) by seeking `African solutions to African problems'.
The Constitutive Act provides for several institutions to
carry out the operations of the AU. These include the Assembly, the Executive
Council, the Pan-African Parliament, the African Court of Justice, The
Commission, the Committee of Permanent Representatives, the Specialized
Technical Committee, and the Economic, Social and Cultural Council. The AU has
a number of special programs to facilitate its vision and quicken the
realization of its goals. These are NEPAD, the African Peer Review Mechanism
(APRM) and the Conference on Security Stability Development and Cooperation in
Africa (CSSDCA).
1.3.2- AU conflict intervention framework: the African
Peace and Security Architecture
The main AU mechanism for promoting peace and security is the
African Peace and Security Architecture (APSA). It consists of evolved
instruments or elements for conflict prevention, management and resolution in
the continent. The architecture is comprehensively outlined in the Protocol
relating to the establishment of the Peace and Security Council of the African
Union. The Peace and Security Council (PSC) which is the hub of the APSA was
established pursuant to Article 5(2) of the Constitutive Act of the AU, as a
collective security and early warning arrangements to facilitate timely and
efficient response to conflict and crisis situations in Africa.
The Constitutive Act and the PSC Protocol gives the AU the
power to create the structures and processes necessary for the establishment of
a comprehensive Peace and Security Architecture for the Continent. The
institutional structures of APSA include the Peace and Security Council (PSC),
the African Union Commission, the Common African Defense and Security Policy,
the Military Staff Committee (MSC), the Panel of the Wise (PoW), the
Continental Early Warning System (CEWS), the African Peace Fund (PF), and the
African Standby Force (ASF). However, six of these - the PSC, AUC, PoW, CEWS,
PF and the ASF - constitute the main pillars of APSA as explained below.
14
The Peace and Security Council (PSC)
The PSC is the AU's standing decision-making organ for the
prevention, management and resolution of conflicts (PSC Protocol, Art. 2(1))
and the cornerstone of the APSA. The Council is composed of 15 members elected
on the basis of equal rights, 10 members elected for a term of 2 years, and 5
members elected for a term of 3 years in order to ensure continuity. With this
regard, article 7 of the PSC Protocol, stipulates that the PSC, in consultation
with the chairperson of the AU Commission, is mandated precisely to:
- Anticipate and prevent disputes and conflicts, as well as
policies that may lead to genocide and crimes against humanity;
- Undertake peace making and peace building functions to
resolve conflicts where they have occurred;
- Authorize the mounting and deployment of peace support
missions;
- Intervene on behalf of the AU in a member state's conflict
under grave circumstances, namely those involving war crimes, genocide, and
crimes against humanity, as defined in relevant international conventions and
instruments;
- Institute sanctions whenever an unconstitutional change of
government takes place in a member state, as provided for in the Lomé
Declaration;
- Implement the common defense policy of the African Union;
- Follow-up on the progress made towards the promotion of
democratic practices, good governance, the rule of law, protection of human
rights and fundamental freedoms, respect for the sanctity of human life, and
the upholding of international humanitarian law by member states; and
- Support and facilitate humanitarian action in situations of
armed conflicts or major natural disasters (PSC Protocol, 2003).
The PSC in conjunction with the Chairperson of the AU
Commission may authorize the mounting and deployment of peace support
missions.
The African Union Commission (AUC)
The AUC is responsible for the implementation of PSC decisions
and provides operational support. This happens mainly through the AU Commission
Chairperson and the AU Commissioner for Peace and Security, who report to the
PSC on the implementation of PSC decisions and their own initiatives. The
Chairperson and Commissioner are supported by the Peace and Security Department
(PSD).
The AU Commission also provides strategic, political,
technical, and planning support to operations authorized by the Peace and
Security Council and carried out by regional coalitions of Member States,
Regional Economic Communities (RECs), or Regional Mechanisms for Conflict
Prevention, Management and Resolution (RMs).
15
The Panel of the Wise (PoW)
The PoW was constituted under the terms of Article 11 of the
PSC Protocol, to support the efforts of the Council and those of the
Chairperson of the commission, particularly in the area of conflict prevention.
It comprises 5 members drawn from various segments of society of AU Member
States.
The Continental Early Warning System (CEWS)
The CEWS is to provide timely and reliable data to warn the
PSC and the AU Commission of potential conflicts and outbreaks of violence to
enable the development of appropriate response strategies to prevent or resolve
conflicts in Africa. The Committee of Intelligence and Security Services in
Africa (CISSA) compliments the CEWS. The Committee was established on 26 August
2004 in Abuja, Nigeria by Heads of Intelligence and Security Services of
Africa. The CEWS coordinates efforts where possible with similar structures in
the RECs.
The African Peace Fund (PF)
Established by the PSC Protocol, the PF provides financial
resources for the AU mandated Peace Support Operations (PSO) as well as other
operational activities related to peace and security. This is premised on
Article 21 (2) of the Protocol. The Peace Fund is supposed to be funded through
contributions from donors, member states, private sector, civil society and
individuals. During its summit in Addis Ababa in 2010, the African Heads of
State agreed to increase the Peace Fund from 6 per cent to 12 per cent of
assessed contribution of member states on incremental basis of 1.5 per cent per
annum until the 12 per cent is achieved. Other changes are to be implemented in
the coming years.
The African Standby Force (ASF)
The ASF was established by the provisions of Article 13 of the
PSC Protocol. A Policy Framework establishing the ASF and the Military Staff
Committee (MSC) was adopted in May 2003 by the 3rd Session of African Chiefs of
Defense Staff. In March 2005, the AU Commission and RECs/RMs met in Addis Ababa
and adopted a Roadmap for the Operationalization of the ASF. The force is
organized into five multidisciplinary brigades (military, civilian and police
elements) on the basis of the five AU regions, and the Regional Economic
Communities or Mechanisms.
The Roadmap also emphasized the establishment of planning
structures at the regional level: ASF Planning Elements (PLANELMS) and the
formulation of key policy documents at the strategic level. The documents are
on Doctrine, Logistics, Training and Evaluation, Standard Operational
Procedures (SOP), Command, Control and Communication Systems. Collectively, the
5 Regional Brigades will provide the AU with a combined standby capacity of
about 15,000 to 20,000 troops trained in peace operations ranging from
low-intensity observer mission to full-blown military intervention. The
RECs/RMs such as the SADC, the ECCAS, ECOWAS and IGAD are continuously involved
in the process of establishing and running their respective brigades. For
instance, the ECOWAS Monitoring Group Integral to this architecture also, is
the Common African Defense and Security Policy (CADSP)
16
and the Military Staff Committee (MSC). The CADSP adopted in
2004 is to ensure Africa's common defense and security interests and goals as
set out in Articles 3 and 4 of the Constitutive Act. The MSC is an advisory
organ of the PSC, and consists of 15 military experts from the PSC member
states who are resident in Addis Ababa.
Moreover, in 2008, a Memorandum of Understanding on
Cooperation in the Area of Peace and Security was signed between the African
Union, the Regional Economic Communities and the Coordinating Mechanisms of the
Regional Standby Brigades of Eastern Africa and Northern Africa (hereafter the
2008 Memorandum). The 2008 Memorandum between the AU and REC/RMs is the legal
basis of the coordination between the AU and REC/RMs in the operationalization
of the APSA. Its objective is to «contribute to the full
operationalization and effective functioning of the African Peace and Security
Architecture» (Article II, para 2(i)).
1.3.3- AU principles in conflict intervention
There are certain minimum principles that guide these
institutions and sub institutions of AU in conflict
resolution. Article 4 of the Constitutive Act of AU outlined the
basic principles of operation for the
organization. Some of these principles include:
- sovereign equality and interdependence among Member States of
the Union;
- respect of borders existing on achievement of independence;
establishment of a common
defense policy for the African Continent;
- peaceful resolution of conflicts among Member States of the
Union through such appropriate
means as may be decided upon by the Assembly;
- prohibition of the use of force or threat to use force among
Member States of the Union;
- non-interference by any Member State in the internal affairs of
another;
- the right of the Union to intervene in a Member State pursuant
to a decision of the Assembly in
respect of grave circumstances, namely: war crimes, genocide and
crimes against humanity;
- the right of Member States to request intervention from the
Union in order to restore peace and
security;
- respect for democratic principles, human rights, the rule of
law and good governance;
- promotion of social justice to ensure balanced economic
development;
- respect for the sanctity of human life, condemnation and
rejection of impunity and political
assassination, acts of terrorism and subversive activities and
condemnation and rejection of
unconstitutional changes of governments (AU Constitute Act,
2002).
17
1.3.4- AU methodological approach in conflict
intervention4.
The AU and RECs in the frame of the APSA, consider four types
of interventions including the diplomatic interventions, the mediation, the
peace support operations (PSOs), and the Post-Conflict Reconstruction and
Development (PCRD) activities.
Diplomatic interventions
The diplomatic interventions include a wide array of
activities and decisions ranging from holding meetings on the conflict
situations at various political levels, to varying levels of diplomatic
statements, to taking actions such as setting up high-level panels and adopting
sanctions. Diplomatic interventions are undertaken by a whole range of actors
by both the AU and REC/RMs.
Mediation efforts and preventive diplomacy
As part of the mission of the PoW, mediation efforts are
understood as ranging from establishing mediation teams, organizing
consultations between parties, and reaching an intermediate or final peace
agreement. The PoW also undertake all the efforts of preventive diplomacy in
countries where violence has not erupted yet or might erupt in the near future.
Preventive diplomacy presumably takes place before conflicts escalate, and
before AU and REC/RMs become more visibly engaged (AU PoW retreat report,
Ouagadougou 2012).
Peace support operations (PSOs)
A third important set of activities center around PSOs
including activities around the authorization, deployment and maintenance of
PSOs. Activities analyzed under this type of instrument range from convening of
a resource mobilization meeting, to authorizing or mandating the deployment of
a peace support operation, deploying a peace support operations or extending a
mandate. Moreover, in areas of deployment of AU Peace Support Operations, there
are engagements geared towards developing and implementing Quick Impact
Projects (QIPs) and Peace Strengthening Projects (PSPs).
Post-conflict Reconstruction and Development (PCRD)
The PCRD include all the initiatives and efforts of the AU and
REC/RMs under the APSA to support countries weak or post conflict countries for
their reconstruction and development to avoid them relapsing in conflicts. For
instance, in the context of post-conflict reconstruction and support of
countries, the AU Commission deploys mission to assess the priority needs of
the country in need. These include identification of joint activities in
support of implementation of peace agreements in Member States emerging from
conflict; conducting needs assessment missions; consolidating and scaling up
security sector reform and disarmament, demobilization and reintegration
initiatives; technical and
4 The methodology was developed by ECDPM and GIZ
and reviewed in 2016 by IPSS in collaboration with AU Commission.
18
operational support to control the illicit proliferation of
small arms and light weapons, and sustained collaboration with RECs/RMs and
civil society organizations.5
1.4- Literature review
There is a substantial amount of literature dealing with the
historical, socioeconomic, and political background of the conflict in Mali
from various angles. Moreover, the intervention in 2012 by the AU and ECOWAS in
Mali have been the subject of some publications by think tanks and have been
also taken up in academic discussions to some extent.
All the scholars interested by Mali conflict admit that the
crisis is the culmination of many interlinked factors and triggers out of which
has emerged a very complex image in which many interests are at stake. However,
there are different ways studies approach the conflict depending on which
issues they focus more.
Not ignoring other factors, many studies lay more emphasis on
the historical background of the Tuareg rebellions and the way they are
believed of not having been well addressed by the Malian successive
governments. For instance, as early as 2011, (Emerson, (2011) provided an
in-depth examination and analysis of the 2006-2009 Tuareg rebellion in Mali and
Niger. He identifies the underlying reasons behind the rebellion, explores
contrasting counter-insurgency (COIN) strategies employed by the two
governments, and presents some lessons learned. From his analysis, it appears
that while both COIN approaches ultimately produced similar peace settlements,
the Malian strategy of reconciliation combined with the selective use of force
was far less effective than the Nigerien iron fist approach at limiting the
size and scope of the insurgency and producing a more sustainable peace. The
author was then able to forewarn about the risk of another insurgency in Mali
in the near future.
Cline (2013) also views the conflict in Mali through the lens
of the Tuareg ill addressed rebellions. In his study, he analyses the
historical background of rebellions and argues that although each of these
rebellions was ended by a cease-fire, the Malian government never succeeded in
instituting longer term peace agreements. This situation combined with an
almost complete security vacuum in northern Mali on the part of the government,
led to the 2012 Tuareg rebellion which presented even more significant security
threats marked by multiple armed groups - Tuareg rebels, Islamists, and local
militias - with multiple competing agendas and with a pattern of varying levels
of cooperation and conflict. The author warns that the intractable environment
will be very difficult to resolve in the long term even with external
intervention. He further fears that the focus on counterterrorism which is in
reality a much more complicated security environment in northern Mali, may turn
short.
Moreover, even if Zounmenou (2013) recognizes the role of the
Libyan crisis as a factor which left the regional security environment depleted
and created conditions conducive for the proliferation of, and
5 Main successes of the AU in Peace and Security,
challenges and mitigation measures in place,
https://au.int/sites/default/files/pressreleases/31966-pr-main_successes_of_the_au_in_peace_and_security.pdf,
accessed on June 12, 2018
19
attacks by, radical religious armed groups in the northern
regions of the country, he stresses on the Tuareg armed movement: the National
Movement for the Liberation of Azawad (MNLA). For him, far from being a new
phenomenon, the Tuareg-led armed insurrection in the northern regions is as old
as the post-colonial Malian state, and continues to pose tremendous challenges
in West Africa and the Sahel region for both regional and extra-regional
actors. He further recalls that while attention is predominantly focused on
defeating the jihadist groups that have threatened the survival of the Malian
state, one must not lose sight of the fact that the `Tuareg Factor', as
represented by the rebellion launched by MNLA, remains critical both in terms
of appreciating the deterioration of the situation and attempting to frame
long-lasting solutions. The author adds that the Tuareg's persistent recourse
to rebellion against Bamako needs to be understood within a historical
trajectory that takes into consideration three key parameters: firstly, the
post-colonial state in Mali and its African leadership's relations with the
descendants of the Tuareg communities; secondly, the amalgamation created by
the so-called war on terror; and, finally, the contradictions of the
democratization process of the 1990s.
Thurston and Lebovich (2013) provide resources that help
explain and contextualize the intersecting crises that destabilized Mali in
2012-2013. Part of their analyses are related to the rebellion by Tuareg
separatists. They argue that the MNLA's rebellion, like other Tuareg-led
uprisings before it, reflected long-held grievances and bitter historical
memories among some Tuaregs. The study reveals that fighters in 2012 - in some
cases the same men who had fought the Malian army in 1990 and 2006, or whose
fathers had fought in 1963 - felt that postcolonial Mali had marginalized and
victimized them. The MNLA dreamed of founding an independent state,
«Azawad,» comprising the northern Malian regions of Gao, Kidal, and
Timbuktu. They further explain that even before the rebellion broke out, a
confluence of problems, ranging from longstanding communal grievances to
official corruption and complicity in drug smuggling and perhaps militant
activity as well, had weakened the Malian state.
Furthermore, some other scholars view the conflict in a
regional context characterized by the Arab Spring, the fall of Qaddafi and the
rise of Islamism. This is the example of Shaw (2013) who examined the
commonly-assumed notion that the Libyan Civil War generated the current
conflict in Mali. The author applied the causal mechanisms from the theories of
escalation and diffusion/contagion to the Libya-Mali case, to determine if such
a link can be made. Using Lake and Rothchild's (1996) framework, the study
found that, with some modifications to include non-state actors, mechanisms
from both theories were at play in this case. He came to a conclusion that
conflict in Mali did occur as the result of escalation and diffusion/contagion
mechanisms from the Libyan Civil War. Arieff6 (2013) also outlines
how the spread of state fragmentation amidst the Arab Spring, combined with
«the spread of violent extremist ideology» facilitated the
entrance of three violent extremist groups into Mali: Al Qaeda in the Islamic
Maghreb (AQIM), Ansare Dine (of Tuareg origin), and the Movement for Unity and
Jihad
6 Alex Arieff, analyst in African Affairs for the
US Congressional Research Service, in his January 14, 2013 report for Congress
titled, «Crisis in Mali».
20
in West Africa (MUJAO); each of these groups having links
between extremists, drug trafficking, and smuggling networks. She further to
state that the collapse of the Libyan state in 2011 created a vacuum with
thousands of «core combatants . . . with relatively sophisticated
equipment obtained from Libya» who moved southwards into Mali and
«imposed harsh behavioral and dress codes on local residents in the
north»
Another researcher with the same view is Yehudit (2013). His
study examines the relatively unknown issue of the ethno-political and
strategic partnership that existed between the Libyan regime of Muammar
al-Qaddafi and the ethnic Tuareg minority of Sahelian origin, with an emphasis
on the period during 1990-2011. The author argues that during that period many
Tuareg for various reasons migrated to Lybia where they were mainly enrolled in
the army. However, the ramifications of the `Arab Spring' and the subsequent
fall of Qaddafi's regime put an end to the unique partnership. Many Tuareg then
fled the chaos of post-Qaddafi Libya and returned to their native countries
heavily armed, disrupting the sensitive ethnic and political balances in the
Sahel belt.
For Utas (2012), the events in Mali were the first major
incidents in the post-Qaddafi political landscape and in the power vacuum in
the Sahel region as positions in the Malian political game have shifted partly
due to the return of «new recruits and military personnel from within a
North Malian diaspora in Libya, typically from within the army». He also
notes that an important aspect in the conflict is the drug route, an illicit
business likely to involve actors from rebel movements, the army and the
government in Bamako and unravelling the linkages among these actors could be
informative.
Ellis (2013) goes further to link the crisis in Mali to the
general context in the Sahel. His analysis touches on nomadism and mobile
populations in connection with Islamism and political Islam. Ellis views the
wider Sahel as a borderland with mobile populations. He argues that North
Africa and Sahara by 2012 were «marked by a series of political
transitions in which debates and struggles within Islam are central».
Ellis believes that what happens in northern Mali is linked to what happened in
Egypt. According to him these movements are trying to renew their societies
through political Islam and that is why «many evolving disputes in
north Africa and the Sahara fuse religious language and political impulse to
powerful effect». For him, it is important to consider the spatial
dimensions of the conflict as there is a connection to what happens in the
wider Sahel region, particularly given the history of the nomadic people of the
Sahara.
In the same line, Pejic (2017) thinks that although
historical, social and economic issues have their impact in the perpetual
cycles of rebellion in Mali, there are also other more important factors which
caused the 2012 crisis in the country. He argues that the presence of radical
groups in Sahel is a decade long issue for all regional governments and with
the collapse of the Libyan state during the Arab Spring the Jihadists gained
momentum in the region. The threat of radical Islamism was evident in Algeria,
Tunisia, Libya and Mali. In Mali most of these armed groups were stationed in
the northern part of the country, and there are a couple of reasons behind
including the harsh terrain of northern Mali limiting the region's
accessibility thus allowing the groups to settle and establish camps and
networks. Other
21
reason raised is the large and porous border with Algeria
which makes it easy to smuggle weapons, drugs or other illicit goods. The last
issue is the wide discontent among citizens in northern Mali which is often
used by these organizations to recruit new members or spread their
influence.
Besides, several other works see the conflict in Mali as a
result of a whole State failure in different sectors that were not perceived or
purposely hidden during years. For example, Bøas (2013) argue that the
myth about Mali was that it was a democratic state. For him, while Mali was a
poster child for democracy and governance reforms in West Africa, the war in
the North, Islamists, the drug trade, a military coup, and a political crisis
in Bamako illustrated the falsity of this story. He believes that the myth was
created by international organizations, bilateral donors, NGOs and the Malian
state, all having their own motives for portraying Mali as a success. He
further argues that the reforms stemming from the National Pact in 1992
including political democratization, economic liberalization and administrative
decentralization simultaneously operated in a very weak State, were doomed to
failure, because these reforms were hijacked by an alliance of regional
power-holders in the north and the political elite in Bamako, resulting in
corruption and a blind eye being turned as long as profits could be made.
Bøas adds that this context allowed AQIM and other Islamist groups to
thrive in the north and to open the country to trade and trafficking in drugs
and arms. For the author this situation also created a dysfunctional Malian
army, which eventually staged the coup d'état and opened up the north to
Islamist influence when Tuareg fighters returned after the fall of Qaddafi with
plenty of weapons and ammunition.
In a report of Norwegian peacebuilding resource center
(NOREF), Francis (2013), points out that even before the outbreak of the Malian
crisis, northern Mali had become a breeding ground and safe haven for diverse
groups of jihadists and militants led by AQIM. These groups not only exploited
the fundamental grievances of the local population against the government of
Mali and its repressive military and security forces, but also organized
sophisticated criminal enterprises that involved drug and human trafficking,
arms and cigarette smuggling, and the kidnapping of Western nationals for
ransom. These criminal enterprises became valuable sources of funding and were
profitable for all stakeholders, including corrupt Malian government officials,
state security agencies, local leaders, separatist rebels and Islamist
extremists. These Sahelian criminal enterprises and their profitable economic
and financial opportunities made jihadi insurgency a lucrative economic
activity. 7
Boukhars (2013) also discussed the political economy of war,
power balances, and the regional political marketplace and came to the
conclusion that weak and corrupt state institutions, ethnic tensions and
competition over scarce resources are part of the main root causes of the
conflict in Mali. He advises to
7 Norwegian peacebuilding Resource Center, «The
regional impact of the armed conflict and French intervention in Mali», a
report by David J. Francis, p4, NOREF,
http://www.operationspaix.net/DATA/DOCUMENT/7911~v~The_regional_impact_of_the_armed_conflict_and
_French_intervention_in_Mali.pdf, accessed on June 12, 2018
22
avoid a simplistic consideration of the conflict viewed solely
through the lens of Islamic radicalization or as a north-south dispute.
In his analysis of the conflict, Marchal (2012) summed up that
the crisis in Mali was born out of a combination of factors, including decayed
state institutions and practices, a collapsed military force and a system of
governance built on patronage, not democracy. He explores the background to the
crisis and argues that while the war in Libya was the trigger, the crisis is
long-term and several aspects lie behind it. He identifies four dynamics that
led to the military coup of March 2012: «the debatable implementation
of previous peace settlements with Tuareg insurgency; the growing economic
importance of AQIM activities in the Sahelian region; the collapse of the
Qaddafi regime in Libya; and the inability or unwillingness of Algeria to play
the role of regional hegemon now that its rival (Libya) has stopped doing
so».
Lecocq et al. (2012), a group of eight scholars, gave a
comprehensive background and analysis to the 2012 onward political crisis in
Mali in two key points. First, with regard to the international and Saharan
dimensions of the conflict, the scholars argue that even though via actions
they took or refused to take, Mali's neighbors and other foreign powers made
the crisis a regional one, all the roots of the crisis were first and foremost
Malian. According to their analysis, the wounds of the North which re-opened in
the 1990s, had long remained unhealed on the Malian body politic. For them,
this sore had been further infected in recent years by passive or active
participation in the drug trade by high-ranking military officers and political
figures, by Bamako's laissez-faire attitude to those in the north it considered
its political proxies, and by its failure to counter the presence of foreign
Mujahideen and their local recruits. They also observe that while the problems
plaguing the north have been relatively visible for several years, outside
observers failed to diagnosis the hippo's (Mali) internal ailments, especially
the degree of corruption pervading a political system in which many of them
were deeply invested. The fall of the Touré government in just a few
days in March - an event welcomed by many Malians - can only be explained by
mounting dissatisfaction during Touré's second term in office, combined
with a real lack of faith in the democratic process represented by the
cancelled April elections.
Second, for any real understanding of the complex crisis, the
scholars recommend to look simultaneously out from the Sahara and up from
Bamako. For them, «any analysis should be concurrently attentive to
regional and international factors at work in the Sahara and aware of the
deeply local, even personal nature of the political crisis there, and in Kidal
and Timbuktu in particular».
Apart from these works analyzing the Mali armed conflict,
there have been some few academic discussions related to the African Union and
ECOWAS intervention in the conflict.
For instance, Aning & Edu-Afful (2016) observed that both
the African Union (AU) and the Economic Community of West African States
(ECOWAS) have been global leaders in embracing and operationalizing
Responsibility To Protect (R2P). They argue that the adoption of the AU's
Constitutive Act, Article 4 (h) in 2000, has transformed its old-fashioned
principle of noninterference to one of
23
nonindifference. This authorizes the AU to intervene in Member
States with respect to war crimes, genocide, ethnic cleansing, and crimes
against humanity. As for ECOWAS, it has through its conflict prevention,
management, and resolution protocol and its conflict prevention framework
deepened and practicalized the notion of sovereignty as responsibility. These
frameworks from both the AU and the ECOWAS have close similarities to the
Responsibility To Protect (R2P) norms. But the authors regret that although
these notions are captured in official documents, their actual
operationalization faces challenges relating to sovereignty, limited
institutional capacity, a restricted appetite for enforcement action, and a
lack of explicit instruments to activate their intervention clauses in R2P-like
situations. In spite of these challenges, the article argues that the
initiatives of both the AU and the ECOWAS in Mali, Cote d'Ivoire, and Libya
demonstrated a positively active African agency in contributing to global peace
processes.
Cocodia (2015) argues that the jihadists' actions prompted
international intervention in the Malian crisis, with the Economic Community of
West African States (ECOWAS), the African Union (AU), France, the United
States, and the European Union (EU) playing pivotal roles to stem the country's
slide into civil war and anarchy. The author focuses on the AU who began
playing an active role in June 2012, later upgrading the mission from a
regional to a continental one and leading to the creation by the United Nations
of the African-led International Support Mission in Mali (AFISMA). He observes
that AFISMA was originally supposed to be drawn from the Western African
Standby Brigade (WASB), which is the African Standby Force (ASF) brigade in
West Africa. However, the AU since 2002 has been trying to get the ASF up and
running. Yet it unfortunately exists more as a concept - a «paper
tiger» - than a fully operational facility. Had it been operational during
the crisis in Mali, it would have been deployed in Mali.
According to Gain (2018), the African Peace and Security
Architecture (APSA), the African Union's (AU) set of tools for the maintenance
of peace and security, would seem the obvious mechanism for resolving crises in
countries beset by violence, such as Mali. The five main organs that comprise
the AU peace and security architecture were intended to systematically address
threats to peace and security at various levels, and to complement and
reinforce one another. However, the author realizes that this has not been the
case. He argues that though the AU and ECOWAS laid the groundwork for a UN
Security Council Resolution in late 2012 which authorized a military
intervention known as the African-led International Support Mission in Mali
(AFISMA), the swift deployment of the French military forces and its early
military successes raised questions about the AU's and ECOWAS's capacity to
manage such peace-support operations due to their lack of logistical readiness
and financial resources.
Wyss (2014) thinks that the broad support received by the
French Operation «Serval», launched in January 2013 to counter the
offensive of the Northern armed groups, was illustrative of the absence of
credible and timely alternatives to respond to the threat. He argues that such
a situation, in turn, revealed the shortcomings of the existing security
architecture at the level of the Economic Community of West
24
African States (ECOWAS), the African Union (AU) and the UN, as
well as weaknesses in their interactions.
Some other works are more concerned with the relationship
prevailing between AU and other regional and global actors in the field of
conflict interventions on the continent.
For instance, Weiss & Welz (2014) recall that the United
Nations (UN) and the African Union (AU) have collaborated in building a viable
African Peace and Security Architecture and have worked together in a number of
armed conflicts over the past decade. Examples include the peace operations in
Burundi and Somalia, and the hybrid peace operation in Sudan's Darfur region
which is perhaps the most prominent illustration of this collaboration.
However, in the case of Mali these relations have grown colder as the UN
snubbed the AU and its initial efforts to engage in post-conflict stabilization
in Mali. They argue that while the AU sought to prove itself as a capable
security provider and partner on the continent with its operation AFISMA,
France's Opération Serval and the UN's peace operation for Mali,
MINUSMA, bypassed the African Union.
Oluwadare (2015) submits that cooperation between the UN and
regional and sub-regional African organizations should have been applied to the
resolution of Mali's conflict. The author observes that even though African
regional institutions lack the required expertise, logistics, diplomatic, and
financial muscle to singularly mount a successful intervention without support
from extra-Africa, a swift response from and the immediate engagement of the
Western world in the form of willing partnership with regional African
organizations would dramatically improve the outcome of peacekeeping operations
in Africa. He therefore thinks that by failing to timely intervene until the
troops of African-led International Support Mission in Mali (AFISMA) were
almost overrun, France is accused of stealing the show. Moreover, he believes
that the same resources used by France could have been more effectively
utilized if made available to Africa. In this case, cooperation not for this
mission alone, but future missions, could have been achieved, thereby
institutionalizing confidence-building measures.
2- Methodological framework
The research design of this study is the documentary research
design. The method of data collection is accordingly the documentary method of
data collection. Both published and unpublished materials were utilized. Such
materials had to do with the activities of international organizations; such as
the United Nations (UN), the Governmental and Non-Governmental Organizations,
independent researchers, the defunct Organization of African Unity (OAU), and
of course, the African Union (AU); particularly as such activities relate to
conflict analysis and resolution including the conflict in Mali. These
materials, which included newspapers, articles and unpublished academic works,
were mainly sourced from public libraries. Internet sources, which in some
instances also included official documents that were available
25
on the internet and various speeches and interviews that are
relevant to the study, as also available on the internet, were utilized for the
study.
My method of data analysis, entailed the examination of
collected data, to review and analyze trends, problems and prospects. On the
basis of the analyses of such trends, problems and prospects, findings of the
study were arrived at and recommendations and conclusion, thereafter made.
3- The contextual framework: Description of the study area
Once home to several pre-colonial empires, the landlocked,
arid West African country of Mali is one of the largest on the continent. After
independence from France in 1960, Mali suffered droughts, rebellions, several
coup d'état and 23 years of military dictatorship until democratic
elections in 1992. In 2013, France intervened militarily upon the government's
request following the capture of the town of Konna and its troops overran
Islamist strongholds. Authorities agreed a United Nations-sponsored ceasefire
with Tuareg separatists in 2015, but parts of the country remain tense, with
Tuareg rebels sporadically active. Meanwhile, a jihadist insurgency in Mali's
north and central regions continues, with al-Qaeda-linked militants carrying
out terrorist attacks.
3.1- Geography
Mali is a landlocked nation in West Africa. With a total size
of about 1,240,192 square kilometers, Mali shares a total of 7,243 kilometers
of land boundaries with seven bordering states: North and northeast: Algeria-
1,376 km, East: Niger- 821 km, Southeast: Burkina Faso- 1,000 km, South: Ivory
Coast- 532 km, Southwest: Guinea- 858 km, West: Senegal- 419 km and Mauritania-
2,237 km. Mali extends southwest from the southern Sahara (means "desert" in
the Arabic language) through the Sahel (means the shore of a "sea of sand) to
the Sudanian savanna zone (see Figure 2 : Map Mali climate). The country can be
divided into three climatic zones--the Sudanic, the Sahelian, and the desert
zones. Sudanic climate occurs in about one-third of the country, from the
southern border to latitude 15° N. It is characterized by an annual
rainfall of 20 to 55 inches (510 to 1,400 mm) and average temperatures of 75 to
86 °F (24 to 30 °C). The Sahel, or the area bordering the Sahara,
receives between 8 and 20 inches (200 and 510 mm) of rain per year and has
average temperatures between 73 and 97 °F (23 and 36 °C). In the
desert (Sahara), temperatures during the day range from 117 to nearly 140
°F (47 to 60 °C), while at night the temperature drops to 39 to 41
°F (4 to 5 °C). During the hottest season of the year, temperatures
are high throughout the country. Timbuktu, Taoudenni, Araouane, Gao, Kidal,
Tessalit are some of the hottest spots on Earth during their warmest months.
Kayes, with an average high temperature of about 44° (111.2°) in
April is nicknamed "the pressure cooker of Africa" due to his extreme heat
year-round. Sunshine duration is high in Mali, reaching the highest levels in
the northern arid zone with about 3,600 - 3,700 h a year. Mali has overall a
hot, sunny and dry climate dominated by the subtropical ridge.
26
According to estimates in 2011, 65% of Mali's land area is
desert or semi-desert while only 5.63% of Mali's area can be classified as
arable land and 0.1% was planted to permanent crops.
Environmental issues in Mali include desertification,
deforestation, soil erosion, drought, and inadequate supplies of potable water.
Deforestation is an especially serious and growing problem. According to the
Ministry of the Environment, Mali's population consumes 6 million tons of wood
per year for timber and fuel. To meet this demand, 4,000 square kilometers of
tree cover are lost annually, virtually ensuring destruction of the country's
savanna woodlands.
3.2- History
The land of Mali was once home to some of the great African
Empires. Ghana Empire was the first to emerge around 700 AD. It ruled the area
until 1075 and became an important trading state. In the 11th
century the Malinke Kingdom rose to power. It reached its
height in 1325 when it conquered Timbuktu and Gao. In 1465 the Songhai Empire
took control. It reached its peak under a ruler named Askia Mohammad I and its
main city, Timbuktu, became a center of commerce and Islam led by the Tuareg.
The Songhai Empire was destroyed by the Moroccans in 1591.
The French colonized the area in the late 1800s. They
controlled the area until 1960 when the Sudanese Republic and Senegal formed
the Mali Federation and became independent of France. Senegal withdrew from the
federation after a few months and the Republic of Mali became its own
independent country. The first president of Mali is an extremely experienced
left-wing politician, Modibo Keita, who has been the first African vice
president of the national assembly in Paris and has served in two French
cabinets.
Keita imposed on Mali a rigorously communist and deeply
unpopular regime. Keita's regime was met with the tuareg rebellion known as the
Afellaga rebellion. The Tuareg were greatly oppressed by the
government of Modibo Keita, which came into power after the
French had left, as they were singled out for particular discrimination, and
were more neglected than others in the distribution of state benefits, which
was due to the fact that «most of the senior leadership of
post-colonial Mali were drawn from the southern ethnic groups who were not
sympathetic to the pastoral culture of the northern desert
nomads.»8 This first rebellion was met with a military
repression.
Keita's regime lasted only until 1968 when he was ousted in a
bloodless coup organized by a group of young army officers. At their head is
Lieutenant Moussa Traoré, who became the dominant figure in the politics
of Mali for the next twenty-three years.
From 1969 to 1979, Traoré rules through an appointed
Military Committee of National Liberation. The military leaders renounced
socialism and attempted to pursue economic reforms, but for several years
faced debilitating internal political struggles and the
disastrous Sahelian drought. The efforts at consolidating the single-party
government were challenged in 1980 by student-led anti-government
8 Global Security, Tuareg - Mali - 1962-1964,
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/war/tuareg-mali-1962.htm
, accessed on June 12, 2018
27
demonstrations, which were brutally put down, and by three
coup attempts. The political situation stabilized during 1981 and 1982, and
remained generally calm throughout the 1980s. During the Traoré years,
the main external problem is a border conflict with Burkina Faso, which flares
into war in 19756 and again in 1985. However it is peacefully resolved in 1986,
when both sides accepted the arbitration of the International Court of
Justice.
By 1990, cohesive opposition movements began to emerge. The
increasingly turbulent political situation was complicated by the rise of
ethnic violence in the north in mid-1990. The return to Mali of large numbers
of Tuareg who had migrated to Algeria and Libya during the prolonged drought
increased tensions in the region between the nomadic Tuareg and the sedentary
population. Ostensibly fearing a Tuareg secessionist movement in the north, the
Traoré regime imposed a state of emergency and harshly repressed Tuareg
unrest. Despite the signing of a peace accord in January 1991, unrest and
periodic armed clashes continued.
Traoré was finally toppled by Amadou Toumani
Touré after pro-democracy riots in 1991. Under a new constitution,
approved by referendum in 1992, democracy seems to arrive in profusion in Mali.
On June 8, 1992, Alpha Oumar Konaré, the candidate of ADEMA, was
inaugurated as the president of Mali's Third Republic.
Konaré stepped down after his constitutionally mandated
limit of two terms and did not run in the 2002 elections. Touré then
reemerged, this time as a civilian. The 2002 election was a milestone, marking
Mali's first successful transition from one democratically elected president to
another, despite the persistence of electoral irregularities and low voter
turnout. In the 2002 legislative elections, no party gained a majority;
Touré then appointed a politically inclusive government and pledged to
tackle Mali's pressing social and economic development problems. But from 2006
to 2009, he faced an insurgency when «a group of Tuareg army deserters
attacked military barracks in Kidal region, seizing weapons and demanding
greater autonomy and development assistance.»9 Until 2012,
however, Mali was considered an example of democracy in West Africa.
3.3- Demographics
Estimated by 2011 at about 14.2 millions, making it the
twentieth most populous country in Africa10, Mali's population
consists of diverse Sub-Saharan ethnic groups, sharing similar historic,
cultural, and religious traditions. Exceptions are the Tuaregs and Maurs,
desert nomads, related to the North African Berbers. The ethnic groups are
represented as follows: Mande 50% (Bambara, Malinke, Soninke), Peul 17%,
Voltaic 12%, Songhai 6%, Tuareg and Moor 10%, other 5% (See Figure 3: Map Mali
spatial distribution of ethnic groups in Mali). Each ethnic group was
traditionally tied to a specific occupation,
9 Freedom House, Mali, Freedom in the World 2009,
http://www.freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/2009/mali
10 Central Intelligence Agency, The World Factbook:
Mali (Langley, VA: Central Intelligence Agency, 2013). Available at:
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ml.html
28
all working within close proximity. The Bambara, Malinke,
Sarakole, and Dogon and Songhay are farmers; the Peul, Maur, and Tuareg are
herders; while the Bozo are fishers. Historically, good interethnic relations
throughout the rest of the country were facilitated by easy mobility on the
Niger River and across the country's vast savannahs. In recent years, this
linkage has shifted as ethnic groups seek diverse, non-traditional sources of
income.
Although each ethnic group speaks a separate language, nearly
80% of Malians communicate in Bambara, the common language of the marketplace.
The main religions are: Muslim 90%, indigenous beliefs 9%, Christian 1%.
Population densities are much higher in southern and central
regions than in the three northern regions of Gao, Kidal, and Timbuktu. The
northern regions constitute a landmass of approximately 827,000 square
kilometers, or around two-thirds of Mali's territory, yet northerners' combined
2009 population was only 1,284,836, or 8.8% of the total population. The
Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) estimates that nearly 48% of Malians are
younger than fifteen.
3.4- Political sphere
As explained above (3.2), since its 1960 independence until
1991, successive one-party regimes, de facto regimes, or emergency regimes
ruled Mali. In 1991, the country started a political transition which led to a
democratic constitution on February 25, 1992 and multi-party elections held
afterward. From that time till the 2012 crisis, the country was regularly cited
as the model of democracy in Africa.
Politically, Mali is a unitary state; however, in order to
ensure better governance, it has opted for extensive decentralization. The
country consists of 8 regions, 49 districts and 703 communes (with 36 Urban
Communes and 667 Rural Communes).11 Bamako, the capital, has a
special status with similar powers to those of the regions. All these local
authorities are legal entities believed to enjoy management autonomy.
Decentralization was intended to endow the country an institutional framework
suited to the expression of democratic freedoms and the conduct of sustainable
development actions. However, in practice, the institutions have not functioned
well. Gonin et al (2013) argue that this situation partly explains the
political and security crisis experienced by the country since March 2012.
3.5- Economy
Mali is among the poorest countries in the world, with 65% of
its land area desert or semidesert. Mali has a Human Development Index value of
0.359 and ranks 182 out of 186 on the United Nations Development Program's 2012
Human Development Index and a negative GDP growth rate.12
According
11 Loi N°99-035/ Du 10 Aout 1999 Portant Creation
des Collectivites Territoriales de Cercles et de Regions,
https://web.archive.org/web/20120309073942/http://www.matcl.gov.ml/PDF/LoiCreationCercleReg.pdf
;
https://ipfs.io/ipfs/QmXoypizjW3WknFiJnKLwHCnL72vedxjQkDDP1mXWo6uco/wiki/Regions_of_Mali.html
12
http://hdrstats.undp.org/en/countries/profiles/MLI.html
, accessed on June 13, 2018
29
to 2011 data from UNICEF13, Malians' life
expectancy at birth stands at fifty-one years. 50% of Malians live below the
international poverty line of $1.25 per day. In 2012, the CIA estimated Mali's
per capita gross domestic product at $1,100, placing it 215th out of 229
countries. The very high annual demographic growth (3.6 %) affects the balance
between the population and resources and represents one of the main social
challenges for the country. The Malian economy is largely rural, and as such is
very sensitive to climatic hazards, to variations in the price of raw materials
and to political and security events which can hinder the circulation of goods
and reduce the confidence of investors. Mali, is Africa's third-largest gold
producer, exported over 50 tons of gold in 2012, but the country has heavily
depended on foreign aid and vulnerable to fluctuations in world prices for
cotton, its main export. The aid provided does not reach the target populations
because of corruption. The country was ranked 105th out of 182
countries profiled in Transparency International of 2012 corruption perception
index.14 Mali is ranked as the last country (86 of 86) of all
examined in the 2012 Social Institutions and Gender Index (SIGI) 15,
following Sudan, DRC, Yemen, and Somalia. The country was also ranked category
3/3 (most severe) on the DG ECHO Vulnerability Index and category 2/3 on the
Crisis Index in 2011/2012. Based on a composite measure of over 50 indicators,
these point to high vulnerability (DG ECHO 2011/2012).16 The
prevailing situation by 2011 as presented above constituted a favorable ground
for the complex Malian conflict that arose early in 2012.
13 UNICEF, «Mali: Statistics.» Geneva:
UNICEF, 2013. Available at:
http://www.unicef.org/infobycountry/mali_statistics.html
, accessed on June 13, 2018
14 Transparency International Report 2012
15 The SIGI measures gender inequality by looking at
discriminatory social institutions, such as violence against women, restricted
access to public space, and restricted access to land and credit etc. (SIGI
2012),
http://genderindex.org/country/mali
, accessed June 13, 2018
16
http://ec.europa.eu/echo/files/policies/strategy/strategy_2012_en.pdf
, accessed on June 13, 2018
30
Chapter 2: THE ARMED CONFLICT IN MALI
1- An overview of the conflict
The current political crisis was sparked off on january17,
2012 when Tuareg rebels attacked towns in northern Mali, signaling the start of
a new armed rebellion. The government of President Touré and the armed
forces of Mali demonstrated their lack of capacity and ability to deal with the
new Tuareg rebellion. Malian soldiers felt humiliated as they were
under-resourced to respond to the new Tuareg insurgency against which they
fared poorly. Alleged slaughter of Malian soldiers at Aguelhok and other
military setbacks triggered protests by soldiers' families and a wave of
unrest. As such, disgruntled soldiers turned a mutiny against President
Touré for his ineffective response to the Tuareg rebellion into a
military coup on March 22, 2012 that deposed the president and suspended
constitutional rule, ahead of planned democratic presidential elections in
April 2012. Touré was accused of not doing enough to tackle Islamist
extremists, drug trafficking and the needs of the armed forces. The military
junta led by Captain Amadou Sanogo promised to end the Tuareg rebellion in the
north. As expected, the regional organization the Economic Community of West
African States (ECOWAS) and the continental organization the African Union (AU)
mobilized the international community not to recognize the junta and expelled
the military regime from their ranks. The military coup provided a strategic
opportunity for the Tuareg rebels, who had by then formed an unholy alliance
with the Islamist jihadist group Ansare Dine to tighten their military control
over large parts of northern Mali. In April 2012 Tuareg separatist rebels, now
formally constituted as the MNLA and in alliance with Ansare Dine, seized
control of the whole of northern Mali and declared an independent Tuareg state
of Azawad. This declaration only worsened the political crisis in Mali and
showed the inability of the military junta to deal with and resolve the
deepening conflict. Concerted international pressure forced the junta to hand
over political power to a civilian interim government on April 12, 2012 led by
President Dioncounda Traoré. Between May and July 2012 the deepening
political and military crisis led to continued violent clashes between soldiers
supporting the military junta (the so-called «Green Berets») and
ousted president Touré's «Red Beret» soldiers. Despite the
installation of civilian political authority, the junta leaders where still the
key players and effectively the de facto leaders of Mali. Pro-junta supporters,
unhappy with Traoré's handling of the crisis, stormed his office and
beat him unconscious. In addition, the strategic military alliance between the
Tuareg MNLA rebels and their Ansare Dine and al-Qaeda allies led to rapid
military advances that saw the capture of the main northern cities of Timbuktu,
Gao and Kidal. But Ansare Dine and its jihadist allies soon emerged as the main
power in the alliance with the MNLA rebels and hijacked the Tuareg separatist
rebellion to serve their jihadi and economic opportunism cause. The declaration
of northern Mali as an independent Islamic state - the Islamic State of Azawad
- was endorsed by AQIM and other jihadist groups in North Africa and the Sahel.
Ansare Dine imposed sharia law in the world-renowned historic city of Timbuktu
and other cities, which led to the amputation of
31
hands for stealing and stoning for adultery, as well as the
destruction of ancient Muslim shrines in Timbuktu that offended the jihadists'
puritanical Salafi Islamic views. A terrorist state under strict sharia law had
emerged in the largely secular Muslim northern Mali.
The unstable political and military situation led to the
formation of a transitional government of national unity headed by Prime
Minister Cheick Modibo Diarra in August 2012. This government included five
close allies of the junta leader, Captain Sanogo. But this did not help the
political and military situation on the ground and, if anything, only
emboldened the rebels and their Islamist allies, who took advantage of the
situation to further consolidate their military control over the whole of
northern Mali. By September 2012, they had seized the strategically important
town of Douentza and were poised to continue their advance on the
government-controlled south-western part of the country and the seat of
government in Bamako. This imminent advance on Bamako by the militarily strong
and coordinated Islamist extremists forced the international community into
action. In November 2012 ECOWAS, with the support of the AU and United Nations
(UN), agreed on a coordinated military intervention force to recapture northern
Mali, which was only scheduled for deployment in September 2013. Opposition to
the ECOWAS military intervention plan by the transitional government of Mali,
with pressure from the military junta, led to the resignation of Prime Minister
Diarra in November 2012 and the appointment of a new prime minister, Django
Sissoko. This led to threats of the imposition of sanctions against the
government of Mali by both the UN and U.S. As the political crisis unravelled,
the Islamist jihadists and their allies attacked and captured the central city
of Konna on January 10, 2013 and planned to advance on Bamako. This military
attack on Konna changed the direction of the Malian crisis because events on
the ground now dictated the nature and urgency of the response to it, shifting
the focus from political dialogue to military action. The imminent attack on
and possible capture of Bamako and the potential consequences for Mali, its
neighbors and the volatile region, as well as for French national interests,
led to the dramatic French military intervention17 in Mali on
January 11, 2013. This intervention, supported by Malian troops, the
African-led International Support Mission to Mali (AFISMA) forces and other
Western countries, in less than three weeks ended the Tuareg separatist
rebellion, recaptured all the major cities in northern Mali, and dispersed the
Islamist rebels, most of whom melted into the civilian population and
tactically retreated into the mountains, caves and inhospitable desert terrain
that they are familiar with. By all indications, France achieved the immediate
and short-term objectives of the intervention, i.e. prevented the takeover of
Bamako by Islamist extremist and the emergence of a terrorist state; ended the
secessionist rebellion in northern Mali; and helped the government of Mali to
reestablish its control and sovereignty over its territories. This putative
short-term success of the French intervention led to calls by France for the
deployment of a robust African troop presence and UN peacekeeping force to
replace French forces in Mali. The UN peacekeeping force MINUSMA took over
17 Operation Serval,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Serval
, accessed on June 18, 2018
32
AFISMA on July 1, 2013 and a year later on August 1, 2014,
Serval gave way to Barkhane,18 as part of a Sahel-wide
counterterrorism new strategy. The improving security situation led to the
announcement by the government of Mali, under pressure from the international
community, of a return to civilian democratic and constitutional rule by
holding nation-wide presidential elections in July 2013 and brought into power
Ibahim Boubacar Kéita.
With the help of the international community, «Algers
Peace Process» was engaged and a peace agreement named «Bamako
agreement» was signed by the warring parties on two different dates: 15th
May and 20th June 2015. Since then, the implementation of the peace process is
ongoing with its ups and downs.
Indeed, more than two years after the signing of the
«Agreement for Peace and Reconciliation in Mali» supposed to usher in
a new era of peace and stability, not only has there been little progress in
implementing the agreement, but insecurity has grown and spread to the center
of the country. The terrorist threat has also reached the capital through
different attacks. Most observers are of the view that the implementation of
the peace agreement has lagged. This situation is also illustrated by some
official facts: for example on February 27, 2016, President Keïta and the
leaders of the signatory armed groups already committed to agree on a new
timeline for implementing the key institutional and security provisions of the
peace agreement. In his May 2016 report on Mali, the UN secretary-general
interpreted this commitment as «an acknowledgement that the challenges
for the implementation of the agreement are daunting, and that progress made so
far has been uneven.»19 Since the beginning of 2018, the
Human Rights and Protection Division of MINUSMA has documented 99 incidents of
intercommunal violence resulting in at least 289 civilian deaths, 750 schools
closed with a million of children out of school.20 This illustrates
sufficiently that Mali is still facing serious security challenges. Even when
full territorial integrity is regained, many serious security risks remain,
including terrorist attacks, ethnic and community tensions, weapons
proliferation, drug smuggling, and other related criminal activities, which are
likely to continue to undermine governance and development in Mali for the
foreseeable future. The conflict is currently listed as "unchanging" by the
Global Conflict Tracker21. The interrelated security challenges Mali
but also the whole Sahel is facing are summed up as «a toxic cocktail
of rebels, weapons, refugees, drought, smugglers, and violent Islamic
militants.»22 The need to restore the integrity of Mali's
territory and ensure the physical security of communities in the north
continues to be a central priority.
18
https://www.defense.gouv.fr/english/operations/operations/sahel/dossier-de-presentation-de-l-operation-barkhane/operation-barkhane
, accessed on June 18, 2018
19 UN Security Council, Report of the
Secretary-General on the Situation in Mali, UN Doc. S/2016/498, May 31, 2016,
para. 78
20
https://www.ohchr.org/fr/newsevents/pages/media.aspx
, accessed on June 18, 2018
21 The Center for Preventive Action's (CPA) Global
Conflict Tracker is an interactive guide to ongoing conflicts around the world
of concern to the United States,
22 David Lewis, «Analysis: Mali Coup Shakes
Cocktail of Instability in Sahel,» Reuters, March 24, 2012
2- 33
Humanitarian impact of the conflict
The violent conflict had devastating consequences for the
population, both as a result of the fighting itself and as a result of gross
human rights abuses, in particular by the extremist groups and the Malian armed
forces. By the time the French supported by AFISMA forces intervened in Mali,
the UN reported numerous serious human rights violations, including 276 cases
of rape (of which 68 involved children), as well as an unknown number of
summary executions and forced disappearances without specific statistics. Human
Rights Watch reported 26 extrajudicial executions, 11 forced disappearances,
and 50 cases of torture or ill treatment by Malian armed forces, and numerous
although unspecified cases of human rights abuses by non-state armed groups,
including arbitrary detention and assault. By the end of 2012, human rights and
humanitarian organizations had reported several hundred cases of gender-based
violence and the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) had
reported 10 victims of punitive amputations by non-state armed groups,
attributed to the application of sharia. A November 2013 report from the Office
of the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC) found that a
reasonable basis existed to believe that the following war crimes had been
committed in Mali since January 2012: murder; mutilation, cruel treatment and
torture; passing of sentences and the carrying out of executions without due
process; intentionally directing attacks against protected objects; and
pillaging and rape.23 The conflict also resulted in large-scale
refugee flows. In the period between the start of the rebellion in January 2012
and the military intervention in the implementation of the peace process in
Mali January 2013, a total of 376 828 people were displaced, including 228 920
internally displaced persons (IDPs) and 147 908 refugees in neighboring
countries, mainly Algeria, Burkina Faso, Mauritania and Niger. This represented
almost a quarter of the overall population of the northern regions, estimated
at 1.3 million people. Between January 2012 and the end of 2014, it is
estimated that anywhere between 1,609 and 3,700 people have lost their lives,
civilians, rebels and United Nations peacekeepers alike.
Despite the 2015 peace agreement, serious security challenges
are still observable today on the ground, including continued terrorist
attacks, inter-ethnic and -community tensions, weapons proliferation, drug
smuggling and other related criminal activities. Currently, it is estimated
that about 4,100,000 people are in need of humanitarian assistance, 1,700,000
in need of health services and 950,000 in need of protection.24
3- The causes of the conflict
Up to the outbreak of the 2012 crisis, Mali was touted by the
international community as a beacon of democratic example in a West African
region torn by civil wars and authoritarian regimes. The reality
23 Article 53 (1) report : the situation in Mali ;
https://www.icc-
cpi.int/itemsDocuments/SASMaliArticle53_1PublicReportENG16Jan2013.pdf
, accessed on June 18, 2018
24
https://we-explore.com/expedition/5374
, accessed on June 18, 2018
34
was that Mali was nothing more than a superficial democracy
and a fragile state. According to the European University Institute (2009),
fragile states are characterized among others by «...service
entitlements and legitimacy failures ..., poor governance and political
instability..., economic and social exclusion, ethnically and socially
heterogeneous and polarized,... and weak state institutions that cannot manage
the very real grievances caused by, for example, inequitable distribution of
resources or unequal access to formal institutions. Essentially, this means
that in fragile states political institutions are not strong enough to
effectively manage the natural conflicts that occur in society». This
was the situation prevailing in Mali where the state was unable to address its
fundamental political, governance, security and socio-development challenges.
So, the eruption of the complex crisis, involving a separatist insurgency, a
military coup, an extremist insurgency is the result of multiple factors
including structural and proximate causes or drivers:
3.1- Structural causes
The renewed instability from 2012 after the rebellions of
1963, 1991 and 2006, illustrates that structural problems in Mali have yet to
be resolved. According to Humphreys and Ag Mohamed (2005), whilst each new
conflict has its own proximate drivers, they are related to unresolved issues
spilling over from previous conflicts. They argue that the motivations of rebel
groups in northern Mali relate to the regional exceptionalism of the north and
to grievances arising from entrenched economic and political marginalization.
Furthermore, a history of ineffective governance, weak state structures and
corruption have all contributed to insecurity in northern Mali.
3.1.1- Northern Mali: a hostile area to live in
Northern Mali is marked by extreme poverty and few viable
livelihoods. One of the few means of livelihood is linked to trade, and
increasingly, the smuggling of contraband (cigarettes, weapons, irregular
migrants and drugs). The desert environment in which the Tuareg and Arab tribes
live is one where movement, widespread networks of support and interaction are
critical elements of survival and of daily life.25
Moreover, climate change has rendered the north an even more
inhospitable and conflict-prone environment; a reduction of Mali's average
rainfall by 30% since 1998 and the more frequent occurrence of droughts have
resulted in high rates of chronic hunger. The Sahara desert is expanding by
48km per year, reducing grazing land and forcing communities to migrate into
areas that are already occupied by other groups, creating further
inter-communal conflicts. Water shortages have long been a problem, and are a
factor underpinning insecurity and political conflicts. For several scholars,
the situation of agricultural and food vulnerability in 2012 is itself the echo
of the droughts of 1973-1974, 1984-1985
25 Judith Scheele, Smugglers and Saints of the Sahara:
Regional Connectivity in the Twentieth Century (Cambridge: Cambridge University
Press, 2012), p. 14.
35
and 2004-2005 which at the time profoundly changed the
societies in the north and the socio-economic, human and environmental balance
which is the source of some of the major political crises.
3.1.2- Grievances
Most of the northern populations' grievances against the
central government in Bamako result among others from historical
considerations, economic and political marginalization; and the use of violent
military repression to which is added the failure of successive governments to
implement provisions made in peace agreements creating a favorable ground for
new rebellions.
3.1.2.1- Historical context
In historical perspective, the grievances of Malian Tuareg and
other northern Malian communities date to the colonial period. Armed resistance
greeted French colonial incursions into present-day northern Mali in the 1890s.
Tuareg-led revolts, partly triggered by periods of drought, challenged colonial
authority in present-day Mali and Niger in the 1910s. In the transition to
independence in the late 1950s, some Tuareg were disappointed not to receive
their own state, particularly when France's Common Organization of the Saharan
Regions (Organisation Commune des Régions Sahariennes, OCRS), a
territorial unit created in 1957 and dissolved in 1963, failed to realize such
aspirations. The Tuareg rebellion of 1963-1964 (see The First Wave: 1963
1964) reflected dissatisfaction with the early postcolonial state and a
desire for independence.
3.1.2.2- Economic and political marginalization
As noted by Nhema (2004), in Africa, one of the major sources
of conflict in countries facing political instability challenges is the
prevalence of exclusionary political systems that have created an environment
in which various groups contending for power are excluded from the political
and economic processes through various repressive measures thereby creating
instability in the continent. In Mali, people from the North including the
Tuareg claim to have been marginalized since independence and before. This
grievance dates back to French colonial rule that excluded them from the
centers of power during the colonial era. Historically, the Tuareg are nomadic
pastoralists and traders who have lived in the Sahel and the Sahara region. Up
until the colonial period, the Tuareg had political and military control over
large parts of the Sahara and over neighboring territories to the south. They
are spread across the states of Mali, Niger, Algeria, Burkina Faso and Libya as
a result of the international boundaries that emerged from the decolonization
of French West Africa in 1960. The drawing of national boundaries interrupted
caravan routes and formally prevented access to traditional pasture grounds.
Since independence in 1960, northerners have suffered
proportionately more than the rest of Mali from economic neglect and
marginalization. For instance, during General Moussa Traoré's reign, the
military
36
regime proved incompetent as economic managers and subsequent
governments have increasingly failed to deliver public services (Melly, 2012).
Economic marginalization has continued into recent times, manifesting in a lack
of an effective economic strategy, high youth unemployment amongst nomadic
populations and a perception of unequal access to health and education
provision. Socioeconomic data (measuring school attendance, malnutrition and
vulnerability to food security) for the period 1995 - 1997 suggests that in the
north these conditions were exceptionally poor compared to other regions of the
country (Humphreys & Ag Mohamed, 2005, p. 46).
Tuareg rebels also argue that they have suffered political
marginalization, which was exceptionally harsh in response to the Tuareg
uprising of 1963 (Keita, 1998). There was a gross under-representation of
Tuareg and Arabs in post-independence cabinets, the army and in senior civil
service positions (Humphreys & Ag Mohamed, 2005).
The Tuareg claim therefore that they are excluded when it
comes to access to political power, economic resources and public services.
They interpret the government's policy as a conscious attempt to deprive the
north of possibilities for development, creating a deep resentment of the
central government among the populations of the north.
Other scholars argue that Tuaregs were not able to secure
roles in the newly independent Malian State because they are nomadic and they
had resisted French assimilation, but also because they were not educated in
colonial schools or part of the elite. Thus, they became excluded from
political institutions.
In any case and whatever the cause, this issue of
marginalization is therefore considered by many analysts as one of the forces
that motivated the Tuareg to engage in successive military conflict with the
Malian government.
3.1.2.3- Violent repression of rebellions and failure to
implement peace agreements
The process of social, economic and political marginalization
in the north of the country resulted among other things, in the recurring
Tuareg rebellions. The latter were met through military repression by
successive Malian regimes. Between 1963 and 1964, Modibo Keïta dealt with
the rebellion through military repression, as did the regime of Moussa
Traoré in response to the rebellion in 1990 (Lecocq, 2010;
Sidibé, 2012). Moreover, the peace agreements which resulted from the
negotiations were never fully implemented creating sources for other
rebellions. Today, no analysis of the Malian armed conflict can gloss over the
fact that the 2012 armed uprising was the fourth rebellion to end with a
negotiation process and result in an agreement between the government of Mali
and armed groups in the north. Since the country gained independence in 1960,
there have been three waves of rebellion in the North before the one of 2012:
1963-1964, 1990-1996, and 2006-2009. They mainly known as Tuareg
37
rebellions in reference to the fact that they originated from
Tuareg-dominated areas and have been composed mainly, but not exclusively of
elements of Tuareg origin.26
The First Wave: 1963 1964
The first rebellion began in 1963, only three years after Mali
gained independence. The armed groups demanded political recognition of the
specificities of northern Mali and a special status for the region. Instead,
the first post-colonial regime of President Modibo Keïta chose repression.
The northern regions were subjected to martial law and military administration.
The military repression and droughts after the fall of Keïta, pushed
thousands of northerners to leave Mali. They sought refuge in Algeria and
Niger, where they connected with both countries' own Tuareg rebel movements,
and in Libya, where Muammar Qaddafi integrated them into the Islamic Legion, a
Libyan-sponsored mercenary force. Boutellis and Zahar (2017) argue that the
brutality of the repression by the mainly southern Malian army «left
painful traces in the collective memory, in particular in the region of Kidal,
and fueled deep resentment within many families in this zone who were affected
by the massacres.» The fathers of some present-day rebel commanders,
such as the MNLA's Mohamed Ag Najem and Ansare Dine's Iyad Ag Ghali, died in
that conflict. The shadow of the repression is believed to have tainted
relations between the north and the south ever since. About this crisis,
Lieutenant Colonel Kalifa Keita of the Malian Army later noted: «While
the government had succeeded in ending the rebellion, its coercive measures
alienated many Tuareg who had not supported the insurgents. Atrocities and
human rights abuses on both sides contributed to a climate of fear and distrust
in the north. .... As a result, Tuareg grievances remained largely unaddressed,
and a seething resentment continued in many Tuareg communities after
1964.»27
The second Wave: 1990- 1996
The 1990-1991 rebellion was led and fought by Tuareg and Arab
exiles. Launched in June 1990. Spearheaded by the Popular Movement of Azawad
(MPA of its French acronym) and the Arab Islamic Front of Azawad (FIAA), the
demands of the rebels echoed those of the first wave including better living
conditions and recognition of a northern political identity. They further asked
that Tuareg be allowed to integrate into the Malian army. Referring to the
rebels as «highway thugs,» General Traoré once again chose
repression over negotiations. The resulting abuses have been blamed for
aggravating the grievances of the north. The regime then chose Algeria to
mediate the crisis. Algeria tried to negotiate a peace agreement in Tamanrasset
in Algeria, but the violence continued.
26 The Strangest Invasion in History? Was the
Assault on Anjouan Island Really Necessary or Was It a Convenient and Easy
Face-Saving Victory for AU Peacekeepers?
http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-179112825.html
, accessed on June 28, 2018
27 Kalifa Keita, «Conflict and Conflict
Resolution in the Sahel: The Tuareg Insurgency in Mali,» Carlisle,
PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 1998; pp 10-11
38
In April 1992, the Tuareg rebels signed a peace agreement - Le
Pacte Nationale - with the then transitional Malian government after
Traoré was chased from power. Despite the agreement, the violence
persisted and escalated into a civil war with the establishment of the Songhai
self-defence militia Ganda Koy (Masters of the Earth) in 1994. In March 1996,
after a four-year-long civil war and major reconciliation efforts, 10,000
people took part in the Flames of Peace (Flamme de la Paix) ceremony in
Timbuktu, where thousands of weapons were burned.
The third wave: 2006-2009
Since 1996, northern Mali had continued to lag behind the
south in terms of development, while southerners continued to distrust
northerners, who they felt were being rewarded for taking up
weapons.28 The Malian government, for its part, failed to implement
the promises made in 1992, which, according to some experts «deepened
national divisions and the rift between the northern and southern
territories».29 Things worsened from 2002 with the
election of President Amadou Toumani Touré. The non-implementation,
coupled with periods of drought and discontent among integrated Tuareg
soliders, provoked the rebellion in 2006. Fighters united under the banner of
the Alliance for Democracy and Change took up arms and were able to control the
cities of Kidal and Ménaka. New accords, again sponsored by Algeria in
2006, attempted to revive some of the National Pact provisions, particularly
the creation of a northern security force, named the Saharan Security Units.
The Algiers Accord, signed on July 4, 2006, also granted northern Mali further
political autonomy and more development funds.
However, this and subsequent agreements have not been
observed, and consequently the Tuareg have never felt that their demands for
greater autonomy, social-economic development and cultural freedom have
actually been fulfilled by the Malian state. As Keita observed
«Clearly the problem of instability had been deferred, not
resolved.» So, it must be understood that although the armed conflict
that broke out in 2012 has some new dynamics, the Tuareg rebellion and
proclamation of an independent state, Azawad, in April 2012, should be
understood as a continuum of 50 years of unresolved conflict.
3.1.3- Weak state institutions, poor governance and state
collusion with criminal networks
According to Vallings and Moreno-Torres (2005), the central
element of fragility is weak state institutions. All other factors associated
with fragility are in themselves linked to weak state institutions as a driving
force. In the case of Mali, even before the rebellion broke out, a confluence
of problems, ranging from longstanding communal grievances to official
corruption and complicity in drug smuggling and perhaps militant activity as
well, had weakened the Malian state. Despite a much-lauded
28 For a good overview of inequalities between
northern and southern Mali, see Macartan Humphreys and Habaye Ag Mohamed,
«Senegal and Mali,» January 2003,
www.columbia.edu/~mh2245/papers1/sen_mali.pdf
, accessed on June 28, 2018
29 Chauzal and van Damme, «The Roots of Mali's
Conflict,» p. 32.
39
democratic transition in 1992 and two decades of multiparty
elections, many Malians viewed the state and the political class with apathy or
disdain.
In fact, since the last peace agreements, Mali which was
considered to be a model of development has allowed itself to be infected by
corruption at every level, notably in the administration, the police, the legal
system and the army. When ATT came on power in 2002, he was an independent and
«was not aligned with any party,» for he sought unity, or
«consensus politics.» What resulted, however, was patronage
politics as the spoils of government were dished out to all political parties.
The «fruits of government were too sweet to resist . . . and while
Mali held elections regularly, the political class appeared to be doing little
more than enriching themselves at the expense of average citizens»
and Mali became one of the most corrupt regimes in West Africa (Wing, 2013).
The problems faced at every level of government (national,
regional, local) have got worse, which has significantly increased the loss of
confidence between the state and potential partners from civil society. For
example, a major corruption scandal came to light in 2010 when the Global Fund
to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria suspended its support for Mali because
public service employees had embezzled millions of dollars to which the
government, if not directly involved, had turned a blind eye (Whitehouse
2012a). The country was ranked 105th out of 182 countries profiled
in Transparency International of 2012 corruption perception index.
Furthermore, the legal system had fallen into a poor state
under Amadou Toumani Touré (ATT), as both the judiciary and law
enforcement were open to bribery, and they provided little protection for the
people. Bamako's political class and its associates had also earned enormous
sums of money from the illegal economy and the government and parts of the
military had accepted or directly participated in trafficking.
Specially, for the peoples in the north, poor governance and
weak political institutions have generally meant the absence of the state,
security and, not least, development in the form of infrastructure, investment
in water, sanitation and education. Government failure in these areas has
served to undermine state legitimacy in the north, heightened ethnic conflicts
and caused structural poverty. Despite the extensive democratic
decentralization process that was launched in the 1990s, the state has failed
to consolidate itself and build up the capacity to perform its main tasks in
the north. Unequal access to public services has reinforced the perception of
injustice and exclusion. Chauzal and van Damme (2015) mentioned that as a
result of ineffective corrupt institutions and unequal access to political
power and economic resources, the social contract between the Malian state and
citizens in the north had disintegrated.
In addition, since the 2000s, a systematic laisser-faire
strategy has been adopted in northern Mali and it is in this context of the
declining presence of the state that the big networks of the illicit economy
have been put in place and the camps of international jihadist movements have
been established. ATT's regime allowed its local allies in the north to engage
in criminal activity as a means of exploiting tensions
40
between competing networks and retaining influence in the
north. Some analysts argue that, during ATT's presidency, a tacit agreement
existed between the Malian state and AQIM, `under which the government did
not vigorously pursue AQIM while, in return, AQIM did not directly threaten
Bamako' (Arieff, 2013a). These groups have therefore managed to achieve
considerable local integration in certain places and among certain communities,
skillfully appropriating local grievances and thus, filling up the vacuum left
by the central government. Andy Morgan quotes Hama Ag Sid'Ahmed, a source in
the Tuareg community, who states that «AQIM was parachuted in and
installed in our territory by the Malian government ... It was the initiative
of certain drugs barons, who are advisors to the President, in the shadows of
the Koulouba Palace [The Presidential palace in Bamako]. They brought them into
the Timbuktu region and then to Kidal. In return for the release of the 32
hostages in 2003, a pact of non-aggression was signed between Bamako and Al
Qaeda, who then progressively occupied this territory. Those contacts became
permanent and it's clear that since then all the operations led by the
terrorist groups have originated in Mali, and the terrorist have always fallen
back to Mali. It's their safe haven. Everyone knows that the terrorists are in
communication with military leaders, and that politicians from Bamako meet the
terrorist emirs quite regularly.»30
Konaté et al (2013) sum up the Mali armed conflict
structural causes as vulnerabilities including, among others, drought, food
insecurity, economic crises, poor governance (corruption, weak state
institution, economic and political marginalization), lack of development
prospects and incapacity of the elites since independence to unify the
communities into a national project. As illustrated in the previous points,
these vulnerabilities serve to justify the claims of the rebel movements which
have popped up in northern Mali at different times (1963, 1991, 2006 and
2012).
3.2- Proximate causes or triggers of the conflict
Regarding their nature, the majority of the conflicts usually
have a triggering cause and in Mali's case, it's no doubt that the fall of
colonel Muammar Qaddafi combined with the military 2012 uprising represented
the main key events that ultimately made the Malian conflict burst open.
3.2.1- The fall of Qaddafi
A report31 of the International Crisis Group points
out that though many of the underlying causes of Mali's complex security
challenge have existed for decades, the overthrow of Qaddafi's regime and the
return of heavily armed Tuareg fighters from Libya upset the precarious balance
of power in northern Mali. The wave of change, often referred to as the Arab
Spring, which swept through North Africa also
30 Article: The Causes of the Uprising in Northern
Mali (engl)
31 «Putting Mali Back on the Constitutional
Track» Dakar, Senegal/Brussels, Belgium: International Crisis Group,
March 26, 2012;
www.crisisgroup.org/en/publication-type/alerts/2012/mali-putting-mali-back-on-the-constitutional-track.aspx
, accessed on July 15, 2018
41
reenergized the Tuareg's long-standing quest for greater
autonomy in a geographic area that includes much of northern Mali.
In fact, as mentioned previously, Libyan leader Muammar
Qaddafi had long employed Tuaregs in his military, utilizing them in his
frequent wars on the African continent, including in Chad, Niger, Sudan, Mali,
even Lebanon but finally, in the fight of Libya. . Poulton and ag.Youssouf
(1998) reported that in 1980, he even declared Libya the natural homeland of
all Tuareg and offered them Libyan nationality. When Gaddafi lost power in
September 2011, an estimated 2,000 to 4,000 Malian Tuareg fighters returned
home. An article of Dailykos says that these fighters came home from the fight
in Libya heavily armed and along with other logistical resources. Amidst
warnings of the dangers of the mass inflow of former Libyan mercenaries and
military equipment, Malian authorities were unable to control the mass transfer
of arms from Libya. As an example, unlike Niger, Malian authorities had made
little effort if any to disarm the returnees.
Moreover, the Malian authorities proving unable to provide
suitable and substantive answers to the issues at stake, there appeared
continued dissatisfaction which eventually led to the creation of the Tuareg
separatist National Liberation Movement of Azawad (MNLA) on October 11, 2011
with the support of these heavily armed troops who also wanted to have a place
in the society.
Equipped with heavy weapons and vehicles, the MNLA launched an
armed insurgency against the Malian military in January 2012, pushing the
Malian army south and taking control over two-thirds of the Malian territory.
Warner (2012) explains that while the MLNA claimed to have 1,000 well-armed
fighters, the poor equipped government forces, prior to the 2012 coup, were
estimated at 7,350. The Tuaregs who accumulated over a number of years of
planning with extensive experience in implementing long-range guerrilla tactics
over distances of hundreds of miles, were now fortified by heavy weaponry
brought by fighters returned from Libya. Thus, while such armed uprisings have
occurred several times since Mali's independence from France, the return of
well-trained and well-equipped fighters to northern Mali, gave the separatist
groups an unprecedented opportunity to contest the government.
3.2.2- The 2012 coup d'état.
The inadequate response by the government to the Tuareg
uprisings, in combination with insufficient resources within the army, led to a
demonstration of discontent by a group of army officers who, by the end of
March the same year, took power in a military coup.
In fact, the Tuareg-led offensive, backed by various national
and foreign Jihadist groups, forced government troops to cede several
strongholds. These defeats showed the weaknesses of the Malian army, in
particular the blatant lack of equipment, corruption and incompetence of part
of the military hierarchy, as well as the poor organization and lack of
motivation of the soldiers. The strong sentiment of frustration within the
troops was the reason for the mutiny of the soldiers and junior officers of
the
42
Kati camp, who called for equipment and improvement in their
conditions. Noting the lack of resistance, the mutineers set up a National
Committee of Democratic Reform and State Restoration (CNRDRE) and deposed
president Amadou Toumani Touré on 22 March 2012, transforming their
mutiny into a coup d'état (Kéita, 2013). The coup d'état
led to a wave of arrests of key figures of the former regime, politicians and
economic operators. Several military leaders were deposed. This situation
created further confusion within the army and contributed to the rapid
occupation of the cities of the North by separatists, Jihadists, and drug
traffickers. The MNLA unilaterally proclaimed the independence of the vast
northern regions of Mali under the name of Azawad on 6 April 2012.
4- The actors of the armed conflict
The crisis in Mali should be understood in terms of the
multilayered nature of conflict, which includes a panoply of actors, both
internal and external, who act on behalf of various sets of ideological
affiliation, ethnic identity, interpersonal tension and networks.
4.1- The national warring actors and their interests
The field of national actors in the armed conflict in Mali is
admittedly complex and changing. Nevertheless, there are some main types of
armed groupings and main interests driving the armed conflict. The most
critical ones are:
4.1.1- The government of Mali
Mali is a recent state formation, from 1960; the construction
of a national identity has been the project of every government since. Another
important interest of the Malian government is the integrity of the Malian
territory and the secular character of the state. These objectives are also
what puts the government into political and ideological conflicts with other
actors including the rebels in the north who refuse the kind of national
identity and unity that the government promotes, and the armed Islamists, who
challenge the secularity of the state.
The Government was represented in the battle field by Malian
Armed Forces - the Malian army numbers approximately 6,000-7,000 troops,
consisting of land forces, air forces, a small navy, a paramilitary
Gendarmerie, and a Republican Guard that is underpaid, poorly equipped and in
need of rationalization. The Malian army suffered heavy losses at the beginning
of the rebellion in 2012; the campaign in the north left them fragmented and
demoralized. Malians were split into camps and a political disunity was
installed at a national level after the coup organized by Captain Amadou Hya
Sanogo, which hindered central control and prevented the formation of a
cohesive military force.
4.1.2- Malian militias
The self-defense militias brought together under the CMFPR-I
umbrella first emerged in the 1990s to protect Songhay and Fulani populations
against the insecurity caused by Tuareg and Arab rebels. This
43
also meant protecting sedentary populations against rebelling
nomad populations, and meant the introduction of an intercommunal armed
conflict between riverine farming and desert populations.
Following MNLA uprisings and Islamic occupation in 2012,
several civilian forces have sprung up, including but not limited to, the
Patriotic Resistance Front (PRF) and the Northern Mali Liberation Front (FLNM).
With an estimating fighting capacity of hundreds or low thousands, PRF consists
of six armed groups banded together, whose goal is to drive the Islamic
occupants outside the country. The Northern Mali Liberation Front (FLNM) is
made of three other important groups in the region: two Songhai militias, the
Ganda Koy and the Ganda Izo, and fighters under the command of a Tuareg army
colonel El Hadji Gamou. Created to oppose the nomadic rebels who seized control
of north Mali in the March 2012 coup, FLNM embers supposedly received training
from Malian soldiers, although their training level seemed limited. The
strength of these groups grew gradually as new volunteers, tired of the Islamic
occupation, joined their ranks, planning to remain active as long as the
northern Malian territory remained occupied.
During the Algiers peace process, these groups merged into a
new coalition known as the Platform. The main interests of the Platform groups
are primarily centered on protecting and strengthening their own communities,
and they do not question the territorial integrity of Mali
4.1.3- The National Movement for the Liberation of Azawad
(Mouvement National pour la Libération de l'Azawad, MNLA)
In October 2011, in the oasis settlement of Zakak, Mali, near
the border of Algeria, Tuareg youth, intellectuals, Malian Army defectors, and
Libyan-trained Tuareg soldiers merged two earlier movements, the Mouvement
National de l'Azawad (MNA) and the Mouvement Touareg du Nord Mali (MTNM) to
form The National Movement for the Liberation of Azawad (MNLA),
«Azawad» being the name of the Tuareg homeland. Ideologically, it is
a secular, pro-democracy secessionist movement. Territorially, the MNLA is
based in north-eastern Mali around the Adrar de Ifoghas Mountains because of
group members' familiarity with bases there and the heavy Ansare Dine presence
further west and south around Timbuktu.
The movement and its predecessors, have since Malian
independence been in conflict with the government. The movement and its
predecessors, have since Malian independence been in conflict with the
government over the relationship between the state and the population in the
north. The liberation from Malian rule and an independent state was launched in
2012, as the solution to the unequal distribution of resources within the
Malian state (Bøås, 2015).
At the core of Tuareg opposition to the state is a deep sense
of political and economic exclusion, inequality and marginalization. Tuareg
groups perceive themselves as being excluded from representation in government
and perceive the central government as indifferent to the living conditions and
suffering of the Tuareg people. Also, the question of identity is essential to
understanding the colliding interests of the rebels and the government.
According to Harmon (2014), when Mali became
44
independent, due to deep-rooted notions of race and historical
relationships between ethnic groups and castes, the Tuareg elites did not wish
to belong to a Malian state led by black Africans, nor to a state of equal
citizens.
Despite having launched the militarily strongest rebellion
since Malian independence, the MNLA was evicted by the armed Islamists by June
2012. The French intervention, in January 2013, which retook the population
centers in northern Mali from the armed Islamist groups, gave the MNLA an
opportunity to regain a central role on the stage.
4.1.4- The armed Islamist movements
Since the early 2000s, the activity of armed Islamists has
increased in Mali. The groups that controlled northern Mali during the
territorial occupation, 2012-2013, were Ansare Dine, the Mouvement pour le
l'Unicité et le Jihad en Afrique de l'Ouest1 (MUJAO) and Al-Qaeda in the
Islamic Maghreb (AQIM).
4.1.4.1- Ansare Dine
Ansare Dine or «defenders of the faith», in a rough
English translation, is a rebel group that appeared in Mali in March 2012 and
is considered by far the most strongest militant force operating in Mali,
having a great deal of resources provided by multiple sources. Ansare Dine has
its roots in the secular Tuareg separatist movement. Former rebel leader, Iyad
ag Ghali, founded this Islamist group after being denied the leadership of the
Tuareg Ifogha clans and the leadership of the MNLA, which he sought to reform
towards jihadist goals. Apart from providing a leadership platform for ag Ghali
himself, the aim of Ansare Dine is the establishment of an Islamic Azawad
state, and implementing a strict interpretation of Islamic Law (Sharia) in Mali
and control the Malian North. Another goal of the organization is to restore
the authority of the religious elders (Chauzal & van Damme, 2015). Like
AQIM, its members are not only Tuaregs and Malians, but also come from a range
of other countries such as Nigeria, Pakistan, Somalia and Algeria.
4.1.4.2- Movement for Unity and Jihad in West Africa / Mouvement
pour le l'Unicité et le Jihad en Afrique de l'Ouest1 (MUJAO)
The MUJAO, a local offshoot of AQIM, was founded in 2011 after
breaking with the latter in order to concentrate on spreading the Sharia law to
the areas of West Africa that were not within the scope of AQIM. An article
reports that the reason MUJAO separated from AQIM was due to the
marginalization of its black African members and the contempt in which AQIM's
Arabs hold blacks. Nevertheless, the group remains close to Al-Qaeda
ideologically. While the MUJAO is a militant Salafist movement, which seeks to
establish a political system in Mali that is in line with Islamic principles,
it is also highly integrated with organized crime, thereby representing
interests of smuggling networks.
45
4.1.4.3- Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM)
According to Stewart (2013), Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb
(AQIM) traces its roots back to the Algerian civil war and the group, GSPC. The
name change and affiliation with Al-Qaida took place in 2006, and also brought
with it a change in the goals and aims of the organization, complementing the
internal Algerian agenda with a jihadist one. Since then, its main objectives
are the fight against the Algerian state and the establishing of a global
caliphate. From 2003 until present, AQIM gradually took advantage of Mali's
weak security infrastructure to establish itself in the northern part of the
country. Up to 2012, AQIM's specific goals and objectives in northern Mali were
mainly financial, with the use of kidnappings of Western citizens as a way to
finance the struggle in Algeria. Since the 2012 Tuareg uprising, though, AQIM
has changed its focus to territorial control, with the aim of replacing
governments, such as the one in Mali, with governments that adhere to a strict
interpretation of Sharia, the Islamic law. Another objective is to free the
region from foreign influence, which puts it in opposition to France and the
United States. Furthermore, AQIM has an interest in keeping trafficking routes
open and maintaining control over their bases in northern Mali, which are also
used for finalizing negotiations for the hostage ransom payments.
Taking advantage of the chaos that the 2012 rebellion created
in northern Mali, the Islamist groups effectively side-lined the secular MNLA,
both politically and militarily and assumed a dominant role in northern
Mali.
The armed Islamists' imposition of Sharia law by force, and an
interpretation of Islam foreign to the local tradition, led to strong popular
protests and a collapse of the local informal economy. Numerous violations of
human rights were reported, with people being flogged, arbitrarily arrested and
executed. An Islamic police force was created, to ensure the population's
adherence to new religious rules that affected, among other things, clothing
and prohibited, for example, music, television, football, alcohol, bars and
smoking. Men and women were also separated in public spaces, such as buses.
4.2- Relations between armed groups: interactions and
coalitions
The conflict involves a highly complex and ever-shifting
network of alliances and rivalries among numerous armed groups where some of
the actors constantly shift positions and interests following the evolution and
dynamics of the conflict (Figure 9: Fragmentation and recomposition of
compliant armed groups).
During the January 2012, Tuareg rebellion, the National
Movement for the Liberation of Azawad (Mouvement National pour la
Libération de l'Azawad, MNLA), a Tuareg faction, sought increased
autonomy for three regions of northern Mali: Gao, Timbuktu and Kidal.
Simultaneously, an opaque ad hoc alliance between al-Qaeda in the Islamic
Maghreb (AQIM), the Movement for Unity and Jihad in West Africa (Mouvement pour
l'unicité et le jihad en Afrique de l'Ouest, MUJAO) and Ansare Dine
mounted a military offensive whose aim was to implement their interpretation of
Sharia law. In March
46
2012, in the wake of a coup d'état that deposed the
Malian Government, these three groups gained control of Northern Mali, an area
comprising more than half of the country's territory. But by June 2012, the
MNLA had been expelled from all the major northern towns that were now at the
hands of a synergic Islamist alliance. The Malian Army more or less collapsed
after the coup and fled the principal cities in northern Mali as the rebels
moved southward. After Ansare Dine captured the strategically situated town of
Konna, in central Mali, Malian Interim President Dioncounda Traoré
requested military assistance from France, which launched Opération
Serval in January 2013 to regain control of the country with the support of the
African-led International Support Mission to Mali (AFISMA). Six months later,
the United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted Resolution 2100 which
established the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali
(MINUSMA), effective as of July 1, 2013.
In June 2013 a preliminary peace agreement was signed between
coalitions of actors including the Malian Government, the MNLA, the High
Council for the Unity of Azawad (Haut Conseil pour l'Unité de l'Azawad,
HCUA) and the Arab Movement of Azawad (le Mouvement Arabe de l'Azawad, MAA).
This was the point of departure for the peace process, following the rebellion
in northern Mali against the state, in January 2012. Since then, the field of
armed actors has evolved and at present the MNLA and the HCUA form part of a
broader coalition.
The Algiers peace process that began in 2014 with a peace
agreement in mid-2015, gathered new coalitions of non-government actors
including the Coordination or CMA and the Platform. The CMA is comprised of the
Mouvement National pour la Libération de l'Azawad (MNLA), the Haut
Conseil pour l'Unité de l'Azawad (HCUA), the Mouvement Arabe de l'Azawad
(MAA), a faction of the Coalition du Peuple de l'Azawad (CPA), and a splinter
group of the Coordination des Mouvements et Fronts Patriotiques de
Résistance (CMFPR-II). The Platform is comprised of the Coordination des
Mouvements et Fronts Patriotiques de Résistance (CMFPR-I), the Groupe
d'Autodéfense Touareg Imghad et Alliés (GATIA), and splinter
groups of the CPA and the MAA (Figure 8 Implementation of Bamako Agreement). As
for Ansare Dine, it gradually disappeared as some of its leading figures have
joined the HCUA. AQIM also has lost important bases in northern Mali, and many
of its troops are said to have fled to neighboring countries, such as Algeria
and Libya.32
As it can be noticed, the history of conflict between
Tuareg-led rebel groups and the government of Mali is filled with coalitions
and umbrella organizations uniting different groups, families and leaders, then
splitting only to reunite in new constellations. The current coalitions are
also changing as different factions either accept or refuse aspects of the
peace process.
32
http://www.maliweb.net/insecurite/le-mujao-seme-la-terreur-195907.html
, accessed on July 28, 2018
47
4.2- International Organizations and Governments' intervention
The Malian crisis and the advancement of Jihadi terrorism
generated widespread concern among the international community, and gave rise
to a series of actions and interventions of several states and other
international stakeholders. This section will deal with a
brief review of the overall intervention process in Mali by the international
community as a whole. The very intervention by the AU and its REC ECOWAS will
be extensively discussed in the next chapter.
According to an article33 of the Institute of
Security Studies, ISS Africa, the response to the security situation in Mali by
international actors has gone through several phases.
A two-pronged approach on the situation in Mali was considered
by the international actors: giving priority to diplomatic and political
efforts, while preparing for an eventual military intervention should the first
option failed. This is what explains the preparations for a military deployment
in parallel to diplomatic efforts.
As diplomatic and political efforts were languishing, ECOWAS
initially took steps towards the deployment of a stabilization force in Mali
(MICEMA) from early 2012. With an active involvement of
the AU, EU, UN and other partners, a number of planning
meetings were convened for this. For example,
the regional organization dispatched technical assessment
missions to Mali and convened a number of planning meetings. This force,
MICEMA, was to be composed of ECOWAS member states and be
deployed within the framework of the West African component of
the African Standby Force (WASF).
However, as time passed, and before MICEMA was deployed, it
was decided to broaden the scope of the mission from the regional level to the
continental one. Chad and other countries outside of West
Africa could then participate and it was also observed that
the inclusion of countries such as Mauritania and Algeria, which are also
outside of the ECOWAS space, was crucial for the success of the efforts in
Mali. It was therefore decided to `continentalize' MICEMA through the
establishment and deployment of AFISMA.
However, having been envisaged to be fully operational by
September 2013, AFISMA was still in the planning and resource mobilization
stages, when on 10 January 2013, the armed groups launched their offensive
southward and were able to capture Konna on January17. This called for urgent
action that the Malian army could not deliver by itself as its reorganization
and formation by the EU had not yet started.
Malian authorities therefore appealed for France who
immediately responded and launched Operation Serval. In a few weeks, Serval
with the support of AFISMA troops finally deployed, broke the offensive
of the armed groups, regained control of the major northern
cities and tracked the armed groups to their northern hideouts. Aimed at
addressing the urgency of the crisis, this operation was not meant as a
long-
33 The lack of credible and timely alternatives to
France's Operation Serval in Mali has highlighted the shortcomings of ECOWAS,
the AU and the UN;
https://issafrica.org/iss-today/lessons-from-the-malian-crisis-for-the-international-security-architecture,
accessed on July 15, 2018
48
term solution. Hence, the emergence of the idea of a UN
mission with more secure funding to take over from AFISMA which was lacking
resources.
Another phase of the international response is the ongoing
United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali
(MINUSMA), first established by Security Council resolution 2100 of 25 April
2013 and officially launched on July 1, to support political processes in that
country and carry out a number of security-related tasks. Building on the
stabilization efforts of AFISMA, the French army and the Malian authorities,
MINUSMA was able to contribute to successful democratic elections held in
August 2013 with the election of Ibrahim Boubacar Keita as new president. The
Algeria peace talks began in 2014 and led to the Bamako Peace Agreement finally
signed by all the warring parties in June 2015.
A year after the operationalization of MINUSMA, Serval forces
retreated but as of August 1, 2014, France has replaced them by operation
Barkhane which is a strong and wider counterterrorism force over the whole
Sahel. The purpose of Operation Barkhane is to «regionalize» the
counterterrorism efforts in the Sahel, as well as bolster «cross-border
and region-wide securitization efforts.»
Moreover, with the support of France, five countries: Burkina
Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger formed an institutional framework for
coordination of regional cooperation in development policies and security
matters in West Africa known as the `G5 Sahel.' A joint force of G5 Sahel with
its headquarters in Mopti (Mali) was authorized by the African Union Peace and
Security Council in April 2017 and was strengthened by the adoption of UN
Security Council (UNSC) Resolution 2359 in June and became effective as of July
2017. Among others, the joint force is mandated to combat terrorism, drug
trafficking, and human trafficking, in order to create a secure environment by
eradicating the actions of the terrorist armed groups and other organized
criminal groups, with a view to restoring security and peace in accordance with
international law.34
As raised in previous sections, in spite of the Peace
Agreement along with international community multiple initiatives to assist
actors, the Peace implementation is meeting setbacks which are manifested by
increasing clashes within and between coalitions, inter-community tensions,
terrorist attacks and other criminal acts.
34
https://www.csis.org/analysis/understanding-g5-sahel-joint-force-fighting-terror-building-regional-security
, accessed on July 16, 2018
49
Chapter 3: AFRICAN UNION INTERVENTION: Strengths and
challenges
The role of regional and sub-regional organizations cannot be
overstated in conflict resolution, especially in their sphere of influence. The
African Union and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) have
played prominent roles in places like Burundi, Darfur, Chad, Somalia, and
Liberia. The concern of this chapter is to review the intervention by these
institutions in the current Mali crisis. It will also highlight the challenges
faced during the intervention, followed by some recommendations for the way
forward.
1- The intervention process
The intervention by the two organizations will be discussed by
first considering diplomatic and political efforts, and then move to the
military endeavors (peace support operation), although there are some overlaps
with regard to the chronology of events.
1.1- Overview of diplomatic and political efforts
Diplomatic and political efforts in the Malian crisis began in
early 2012 and even before, through the various summits of ECOWAS and meetings
of the Peace and Security Council (PSC) of the AU.
1.1.1- Early warnings
According to a senior official of ECOWAS in Bamako quoted by
Djiré et al (2017), «In December 2011, everything was on high
alert in Mali.» Consequently, several warnings were issued to the
Malian authorities without actually giving rise to any suitable action on their
part. For instance on 17 December 2011, a warning mission was in Bamako to meet
the authorities, civil society and political parties. Unfortunately this was
not received favorably by the Head of State at that time. Besides, it does not
fall within ECOWAS's remit to force a Head of State to take measures (
Djiré et al 2017).
Similarly, in anticipation of potential regional ramifications
of the Libyan crisis, the AU Commission (AUC) and the UN Secretariat jointly
undertook a multidisciplinary fact-finding mission in the Sahel region from
December 7 to 23.
Moreover, the day after the eruption of rebellion in northern
Mali, the AU Commission condemned the rebellion in the strongest terms and
pledged to address the situation within the framework of the ongoing AU-UN
efforts to deal with the crisis in the Sahel region (Dersso 2013, 64).
Subsequently, on 29 January 2012 the AU Commission convened a ministerial-level
consultation with the countries of the region and other stakeholders on the
recommendations of the joint AU-UN assessment report on the situation in the
Sahel.
On 20 March 2012, at its meeting held in Bamako, the AU PSC
issued a communiqué in which it emphasized the gravity of the threat
that the crisis in northern Mali presented to both Mali and the region
50
in general, expressed unwavering commitment to respect for the
national unity, territorial integrity and sovereignty of Mali, and stressed the
determination of the AU and its member states to guard against their violation
(AU, 2012a). To resolve the crisis, the PSC demanded the immediate cessation of
hostilities and urged the various rebel groups to commit themselves, without
delay, to the search for a peaceful solution within the strict framework of AU
principles, particularly respect for and preservation of the national unity,
territorial integrity and sovereignty of Mali. To this end, the Council
stipulated the establishment of a mediation process spearheaded by the
countries immediately neighboring Mali, namely Burkina Faso, Côte
d'Ivoire, Guinea, Mauritania, Senegal, and especially Algeria, as well as
ECOWAS (AU, 2012a).
1.1.2- The Framework Agreement with CNRDRE, April 2012
When the military coup was announced on 22 March 2012, the
foreign ministers and other officials of some members of the Peace and Security
Council (PSC) of the AU were still in Bamako, two days after the ministerial
level meeting. Having concluded that the coup was in violation of some of their
relevant instruments, ECOWAS and AU, along with other members of the
international community, denounced it and urged the junta to `immediately
relinquish power to the rightful Government so that the country could return to
constitutional normality'. They also called for the MNLA to lay down its
arms
Thus, to ensure a swift return to constitutional order, a
number of measures were taken by the two institutions. For instance, on 30
March 2012, ECOWAS imposed economic and diplomatic sanctions on Mali, and
ECOWAS member states bordering Mali, upon request, closed their borders,
thereby blocking Mali's access to neighboring seaports. These measures were a
devastating move given Mali's dependence on foreign trade with its
neighbors.
AU also supported the measures of ECOWAS and in April the
continental organization imposed sanctions, asset freezes and travel bans
against the junta and others deemed to be involved in contributing to the
«destabilization» of Mali' (CNN, 2013).
Thereafter, ECOWAS focused on political negotiations to remove
the military junta. A mediation process began under the lead of Burkina Faso's
President Blaise Compaoré. On 6 April, with ECOWAS mediation, the junta
leaders known as Comité National pour le Redressement de la
Démocratie et la Restauration de l'Etat (CNRDRE) signed a framework
agreement agreeing to a timetable for the restoration of constitutional order
in exchange for amnesty for the junta members and the lifting of
sanctions.35 In accordance with the Malian Constitution, a 10-point
Agreement facilitated the transfer of power from the military junta to the
Speaker of Parliament, Mr. Dioncounda Traoré. This transfer of power
contributed to a greater coherence of the transitional process, even if the
road proved bumpy at times, with a number of challenges to be overcome. For
example, on 20 August 2012, the Malian
35 `Mali sanctions lifted: ECOWAS', Times Live, 8
April 2012,
http://www.timeslive.co.za/africa/2012/04/08/mali-sanctions-lifted-ecowas
, accessed on July 15, 2018
51
stakeholders established an inclusive national unity
Government. This was a recommendation of the first meeting of the Support and
Follow-up Group on the crisis in Mali, co-chaired by the AU, ECOWAS and the UN,
and the ECOWAS Summit held in Yamoussoukro, on 28 and 29 June 2012, all of
which called for a more inclusive transitional framework.
This notwithstanding, the former military junta remained very
active in the country's political life, albeit from behind curtains. Indeed, as
Théroux-Bénoni (2013) noted, « despite the formal
handover of power to civilian authorities, some elements of the junta continued
to play a major role in the political scene, as shown by the conditions in
which Prime Minister Cheick Modibo Diarra was forced to resign in December 2012
»36. But here again, the positions of the AU and ECOWAS,
backed by other actors, prevented the potential spoilers from stalling the
process, as they feared the sanctions threatened by the international
community.
1.1.3- The Ouagadougou Peace Processes and Agreement, December
2012; June 2013
Building on the success of the Framework Agreement,
Compaoré continued with efforts regarding negotiations with those armed
groups in the north of Mali who were willing to engage in dialogue on the basis
of the respect for the unity and territorial integrity of the country and the
rejection of armed rebellion and terrorism. The ECOWAS Mediator held meetings
with representatives of the MNLA and Ansare Dine in Ouagadougou, in June 2012,
and dispatched his Foreign Minister to Gao and Kidal, in August 2012, to meet
with representatives of Ansare Dine and MUJAO. The Burkinabe Foreign Minister,
Djibril Bassolé, impressed upon his interlocutors the need to
unequivocally disassociate themselves from terrorism and criminal acts. After
these two groups had indicated their readiness to dialogue under the mediation
of ECOWAS, the Mediator urged them to clearly articulate their demands for
dialogue with the Malian authorities. Other meetings were held in early
December 2012 and the parties agreed to suspend and resume talks in early
January 2013. It is the January 2013 attacks on Konna by some armed groups, who
were parties to this process, particularly Ansare Dine, which suspended these
talks. The talks finally resumed only after military intervention.
1.1.4- Post military intervention mediation
As noted above in the discussion about the outbreak of the
2012 rebellion, the MNLA opposed the redeployment in Kidal of Malian state
authority, including the army, following the French intervention. This
situation necessitated the negotiations that led to the Ouagadougou Agreement
of 18 June 2013. While Burkina Faso spearheaded the negotiation of this
agreement, Nigeria, represented by its ambassadors in Bamako and Ouagadougou,
served as associate mediator. Both Burkina Faso and Nigeria were designated in
their respective roles by ECOWAS. The High Representative of the AU for Mali
and the Sahel, former Burundian President Pierre Buyoya, and representatives of
the UN and the
36 Mali in the aftmath of french military operation,
p2
52
EU also played an active role in the mediation within what was
called `the College of International Facilitators', while the AU and the UN had
experts in the team that drafted the agreement. This agreement known as the
`Preliminary Agreement to Presidential Elections and Inclusive Peace Talks
in Mali', allowed the holding of presidential and legislative elections
throughout the country. Mr. Ibrahim Boubacar Keita (IBK) emerged victorious in
the runoff of the presidential poll held on 11 August 2013. The AU has also
provided multiform support, including financial support, to the organization of
the Presidential and Legislative elections in 2013 in Mali.37
The Ouagadougou Agreement also permitted a timid and gradual
redeployment of state authority in regions where it was absent because of the
armed conflict in the north. It also called for the launch of inclusive peace
talks sixty days after the formation of the new government following elections
in order to address the root causes of the conflict. This brought about a lull
in the conflict, as the armed movements awaited the launch of the inclusive
talks.
However, with the delay in the launch of this process, a visit
by the Malian Prime Minister to Kidal on 16 May 2014, to which the MNLA, still
armed and present in the city, was opposed, triggered violent confrontations
between rebel forces and the national army, resulting in great loses in the
governmental camp, as well as among civilians. The opposition of the MNLA to
this visit was clearly in contradiction to the Ouagadougou agreement. An
attempted attack by government forces on 21 May 2014, aimed at regaining
control of the situation, but ended in yet another rebel victory. However, this
gave a renewed impetus to the peace process, leading to the Algiers process
which started on 16 June 2014.
1.1.5- From Ouagadougou to Algiers: the Inter-Malian Inclusive
Peace Talks, 2014-2015
The Algiers process of inter-Malian inclusive peace talks
effectively started on 16 June 2014, in the Algerian capital. It was during a
state visit of the Malian president, Ibrahim Boubacar Keita, in Algeria in
early 2013 that he asked the Algerian authorities to spearhead the peace
process. The efforts made by Algeria enabled the actual launching of this
process with the support of a number of regional and international
organizations including the AU. Algeria served as lead mediator, while five
countries of the region (i.e. Burkina Faso, Chad, Mauritania, Niger and
Nigeria). Within the framework of the Inclusive Talks, the AU was one of five
regional and international organizations that, around Algeria, constituted the
college of Mediators / Facilitators. It provided, in this context, technical
support, through advice, to the Government and the armed movements to encourage
compromise and promote the spirit of dialogue and cooperation between the
parties.
This inclusive approach helped to assuage concerns of some
about what they called `relocation' of the process from Burkina Faso, and thus
ECOWAS mediation, to Algeria. It also reassured some parties that wanted a
strong international involvement in the process. After several weeks of
preliminary works,
37 Report of the 449th PSC meeting on the
situation in Mali,
http://www.peaceau.org/en/article/report-on-mali-and-the-sahel-and-the-activities-of-the-african-union-mission-for-mali-and-the-sahel
, accessed on April 12, 2018
53
particularly with armed movements, the Algerian authorities
assembled in Algiers from 7 to 14 July 2014, experts representing the
afore-mentioned regional and international organizations and the countries of
the region to prepare the inclusive talks through a `Draft Roadmap of
Negotiations within the framework of the Algiers Process', which was signed by
all the parties on 24 July 2014.
This Roadmap spelled out the basic principles and references
of the Talks. It also determined the different issues to be discussed to
resolve the Malian conflict. It did this by indicating the format of the Talks,
the composition of the Mediation team led by Algeria, but which included the
representatives of the abovementioned five regional and international
organizations and the four countries of the region. It also identified the
parties to the Talks and laid down a calendar for the Talks that provided for a
process lasting about 100 days, divided into different phases marked by periods
of suspension or consultation on the ground in Mali. Indeed, after a pause in
the process from 26 July, the phase of the actual talks was launched on 1st
September 2014, starting with week-long exchanges with civil society
organizations identified by all the parties.
After five rounds of talks, the last one being held, still in
Algiers, from 17 to 26 February 2015, the Mediation presented to the Parties
the text of the «Agreement for Peace and Reconciliation in Mali resulting
from the Algiers Process». On 1st March, the Malian government,
and some armed groups referred to as the movements of the Platform and the
Mediators initialed this document. Other groups assembled in what is called the
Coordination of the movements of Azawad (CMA), including the MNLA, abstained
from initialing the text, arguing that they needed more time to explain the
agreement to their bases. It was only on 14 May 2015, after many efforts by the
Mediation team that they initialed it. Still, others signed the agreement in
the Malian capital, Bamako, on 15 May, in a grandiose ceremony attended by
several African heads of states and high-level delegations from the AU and
ECOWAS commissions. It took more efforts by the Mediation team to convince the
movements of the CMA to finally sign the agreement on 20 June 2015, thereby
completing the signing process of the Agreement and allowing the start of its
«consensual» implementation.
1.2- The Military efforts
1.2.1- From the idea of MICEMA to the establishment and Evolution
of AFISMA
First, ECOWAS took steps towards the deployment of a
stabilization force in Mali (MICEMA) from early 2012. With an active
involvement of the AU, UN and other partners, a number of planning meetings
were convened for this. For example, the regional organization dispatched
technical assessment missions to Mali and convened a number of planning
meetings. In September 2012, the Malian authorities addressed formal requests
to ECOWAS and the UN for military assistance to end the rebellion and dismantle
the terrorist and criminal networks operating in the north.
This force, MICEMA, was to be composed of ECOWAS member states
and be deployed within the framework of the West African component of the
African Standby Force (ASF). However, this initiative
54
was met with resistance by the Junta and some neighboring
countries not part of ECOWAS such as Algeria. The AU was able to overcome the
differences with the Malian authorities by allowing the development of a
harmonized concept of operations, which gave the Malian army the lead role in
the envisaged military operation. Then the AU sought to overcome Algeria's
reluctance by making it a continental initiative, transforming MICEMA into the
African-led International Support Mission in Mali (AFISMA). Such decisions were
the results of a series of AU and ECOWAS deliberations including the
communiqué of the 339th and 341st meetings of the
PSC, held in Addis Ababa respectively on 24 October 2012 and 13 November 2012,
the final communiqué of the Extraordinary Session of the authority of
ECOWAS Heads of State and Government held in Abuja on 11 November 2012, and the
UN Security Council Resolution 2085 of 20 December 2012.
AFISMA was mandated, among others, to support Mali in
recovering its territories under the control of armed groups, and maintain
security and consolidate State authority throughout the country. It was also
tasked to support the Malian authorities to create a secure environment for the
civilian-led delivery of humanitarian assistance and the voluntary return of
internally displaced persons and refugees as well as to protect the civilian
population. More specifically, the Mission was mandated, amongst others, to:
- Contribute to the rebuilding of the capacity of the Malian
Defense and Security Forces, in close coordination with other international
multilateral and bilateral partners involved in the process;
- Support the Malian authorities in restoring the country's
territorial integrity, securing and consolidating the areas in the north of its
territory liberated from armed groups and in reducing the threat posed by
terrorist organizations and associated extremist groups, while taking
appropriate measures to reduce the impact of military actions upon the civilian
population.
- Support transition to stabilization activities by supporting
the Malian authorities in maintaining security and consolidating State
authority through appropriate capacities;
- Support the Malian authorities in their primary
responsibility to protect the population;
- Support the Malian authorities to create a secure
environment for the civilian-led delivery of humanitarian assistance and the
voluntary return of internally displaced persons and refugees, as requested,
within its capabilities and in close coordination with humanitarian actors;
and
- Protect its personnel, facilities, premises, equipment and
mission and to ensure the security and movement of its personnel. (2086 (2012):
SC/10870 20 December 2012)
Mindful of a well-integrated African mission based on the
principle of complementarity between the AU and Regional Economic Communities
(RECs), it was decided that AU's High Representative for Mali and the Sahel be
appointed as Head of AFISMA, while ECOWAS' Special Representative in Mali
became his deputy. The civilian personnel of the Mission was deployed from both
the AU and ECOWAS Commissions.
AFISMA was deployed from mid-January 2013 and continued
serving until it was transformed into the United Nations Multidimensional
Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) on July 1, 2013, following
the UN Security Council Resolution 2100 (2013) of 25 April 2013. At the peak of
its
55
deployment, AFISMA was composed of 53 civilian officers
seconded from the AU and ECOWAS commissions, with a dozen locally recruited
staff members, 367 individual and formed police personnel, and 6438 military
personnel. Thus, at the time it was taken over by the UN, on 30 June 2013,
AFISMA's military strength stood at 6 079 personnel.38 MINUSMA was
deployed with an authorized troop ceiling of 11 200 military and 1 440 police
personnel, including formed units. It basically absorbed the military and
police personnel of AFISMA before integrating new elements.
By the time AFISMA was transformed to MINUSMA, it was
successful in many domains. With the French Serval, it destroyed the military
capabilities and blocked the main supply routes of the AQIM and MUJAWO,
depleted the armed elements of Ansare Dine, liberated many areas that were
under control of Islamists. It also helped to stabilize and secure the
liberated areas and state structures. AFISMA actively participated in creating
an environment conducive to the organization of democratic elections.
In brief, AFISMA, a continental peace enforcement force
contributed to create the conditions favorable for the deployment of MINUSMA, a
UN peacekeeping force.
1.3- Some post-conflict Reconstruction and Development
initiatives
After the transfer of authority from AFISMA to MINUSMA, AU
created the African Union Mission for Mali and Sahel (MISAHEL) in order to
maintain a presence of the AU and to support Mali and the Sahel countries in
their stabilization and development efforts. MISAHEL manages the African Union
(AU) Strategy for the Sahel region and aims to support Mali in the crisis
recovery process and help the countries of the Sahel face security, governance
and development challenges. The MISAHEL mandate comprises three (03) main
components:
- the political component aimed at supporting the
consolidation of peace gains; the promotion of the rule of law and contribution
to the strengthening of democratic institutions in the Sahel region, including
human rights protection, capacity building of national human rights
institutions, the judicial system and civil society organizations. This
component also concerns humanitarian matters, especially in the North of
Mali.
- the second component of MISAHEL is devoted to security in
Sahel. It is aimed at coordinating the efforts of the AU linked to security
challenges, in particular conflicts, terrorism, organized crime, as well as
different types of trafficking.
- the third and last component is related to development
problems in the Sahel, and deals with matters concerning the environment, such
as the deterioration of the environment, as well as under-development in
general (Djiré et al, 2017).
38
https://sites.tufts.edu/wpf/files/2017/07/Mali-brief.pdf,
accessed on July 15, 2018
56
Within the framework of capacity building of the Malian
Defense and Security Forces, the AU High Representative handed over on 14 July
2014, to the Malian authorities the keys of twenty (20) vehicles offered by the
AU. Of a market value of one million U.S. Dollars, the donation consists of
thirteen (13) pick-ups, four (4) ambulances and three (3)
trucks.39
The AU also officially began in July 2014 what was the first
humanitarian activity of MISAHEL in Mali entitled "Hampers from the Heart,"
launched with a symbolic budget of 40 000 USD. The initiative aimed at
providing food and nutrition assistance to poor families, especially those most
affected by the crisis that Mali has been going through since 2012, including
the IDPs. The first hampers were distributed in Kidal in northern Mali, thanks
to a Convention signed with the Malian Red Cross.40 Moreover, the
MISAHEL has been charged with the responsibility to prepare the mapping and
harmonization of the multiple peacebuilding strategies/initiatives for the
Sahel for an adequate coordination of international efforts in this domain.
2- Difficulties and challenges met by the AU in the
intervention
AU's efforts towards peace and security have not been all
smooth outing. The organization has faced a number of challenges in the pursuit
of the continental agenda (Joshua & Olanrewaju, 2017). Similarly, the
intervention in the Mali crisis is not an exception. Many challenges were faced
in the course f the intervention including the limitations of the APSA, the
lack or insufficiency of finance and logistics, the operational challenges of
AFISMA in the field, to which is added the lack of fair cooperation from UN and
UN funders
2.1- The limitations of African Peace and Security
Architecture
First, the responses of ECOWAS and the AU demonstrated
limitations of the. While ECOWAS was initially quick to respond to Mali's
crisis, it was limited in what it could do, due to its membership (which did
not include the key state of Algeria, and to a lesser extent Mauritania) and
its resources (lacking the capacities and funding to mount an intervention
without external means of support).
Next, when AU came in and decided to `continentalize' the
intervention, it nonetheless had to balance competing priorities, including
among the neighboring ECOWAS states, Algeria, and Chad. The question of which
of the neighboring states should provide leadership to the peace process was a
complex and sometimes fractious issue, as those neighbors had differing views
on which Malian insurgent groups should be included in the peace process, and
which excluded under the label «terrorist».41
39
http://www.peaceau.org/en/article/report-on-mali-and-the-sahel-and-the-activities-of-the-african-union-mission-for-mali-and-the-sahel
, accessed July 18, 2018
40 Ibid.
41 Mali mission brief, p.9,
https://sites.tufts.edu/wpf/files/2017/07/Mali-brief.pdf
, accessed on July 18, 2018
57
Another issue is that though African Union's efforts to
reframe the multilateral context for the African intervention from sub-regional
to continental demonstrated how the AU could complement and collaborate with a
REC in a conflict management initiative, AU-ECOWAS relations also suffered from
lack of coordination and occasional tensions due to rivalry and competition on
leadership which delayed arriving at a consensus.
In fact, one of the unique features of the peace and security
landscape of Africa is that both the AU and the regional mechanisms for
conflict prevention, management and resolution (regional mechanisms) are
simultaneously mandated to maintain peace and security. So there rises the
problem of who should take the lead when conflicts break out on the continent.
In the Mali crisis, ECOWAS and the AU were in competition to take the lead in
peacemaking. The problem comes from the fact that the RECs are independent
entities, governed by their own charters and not formally subordinate to the AU
(Nathan 2016). The 2008 Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on Cooperation
between the AU and RECs in the area of Peace and Security, which should have
clarified the relationship between the RECs and the AU, suffers from two
limitations pointed out by Nathan (2016): the agreement is between the AU
Commission and the secretariats of the RECs rather than between the member
state forums of these organizations, and it emphasizes cooperation between the
AU and the RECs but does not offer sufficiently clear guidance on the nature of
their relationship.
This raises substantive issues of coordination, synergy and
policy coherence vis-à-vis the role of the AU. In the case of Mali for
example, ECOWAS initially approached the UN Security Council directly and not
through the AU. AU involvement came about in part because of UN concerns,
alongside the demands of non-ECOWAS neighbors for a role. Another instance is
that even though it was decided to broaden the mission at a continental level,
there have been tensions between ECOWAS and AU regarding the consensus over the
framework of the mission. A draft `Strategic Concept for the Resolution of the
Crises in Mali' was only agreed on by the AU and ECOWAS on 24 October, 2012.
More disagreements between the AU and ECOWAS were witnessed when AFISMA was
deployed in Mali in January 2013 with a mandate to retake the north from the
Islamists. Whilst the mission start-up was a joint effort by the AU and ECOWAS,
subsequent developments did not follow the same pattern. At the political
level, the leadership role the AU assumed was not wholeheartedly accepted by
ECOWAS, as an air of rivalry continued to affect their positions and the
negotiation over operationalizing the force, including most notably the
composition of the mission leadership (Dersso, 2014). The head of the mission
represented the AU and the deputy represented ECOWAS, which led to lack of
clarity about AFISMA's chain of command. Despite the fact that the special
representative of the ECOWAS Chair was appointed as deputy to former President
Buyoya, he never assumed this position and instead signed his contract with the
AU (ibid.). ECOWAS also operated on the basis of its own preferred division of
labor by controlling and heading the force headquarters, leaving the AU to take
care of establishing and running the mission headquarters (ibid.).
58
The rivalry and mistrust between the two organizations was
also reflected in the lack of consensus on the division of assets and
liabilities accrued while managing AFISMA (ibid.). Much of the tension and
rivalry was over the management of resources that had been received to support
peacekeeping operations. For example, ECOWAS received 50 million euros from
direct negotiation with the EU, which it used for setting up and operating the
force headquarters of the mission, while the AU relied on the AU trust fund for
AFISMA to which AU member states, among others, had pledged and made
contributions.
The issue of the inexistence of an African Standby Force is
also worth mentioning. The ASF, established in 2002, through Article 13 of the
Protocol Relating to the Establishment of the Peace and Security Council of the
African Union, is meant to comprise a 25,000-man contingency force, organized
in 5,000-men contingents roughly aligned to each of Africa's five regions -
north, south, central, east, and west (Cilliers, 2013). It also describes the
capabilities of the ASF as «multi-dimensional, including military,
police and civilian on standby in their countries of
origin...».42 While the ASF is supposed to be able to
function in a variety of ways from observation to humanitarian assistance, it
was intended to facilitate the rapid deployment of troops to conflict areas on
the continent, avoiding the delays often experienced when waiting for countries
to volunteer troops and deploy them. But the AU and its RECs have spent years
trying since 2002 to get the ASF up and running. Yet it exists more as a
concept than a fully operational facility. Had it been operational during the
crisis in Mali, it would have been deployed there.
2.2- The lack or insufficiency of finance and logistics.
Another weak point is that the AU's AFISMA plan also ran into
similar challenges of capacity and funding that ECOWAS' MICEMA had encountered
as it was relying on the UN to provide financial and logistical support to
sustain their planned deployments.43 When it was finally deployed,
AFISMA's total mission cost was $455.53 million USD. African countries
contributed only 23% of the total cost with the US ($104 million), Japan ($120
million), EU ($75 million), France ($63 million), and Germany ($20 million)
providing most of the rest. A part from this, the organization budget is
financed by external actors for more than 75%. With this, how can
«African solutions to African problems» be possible when
Africans are not ready to finance their own organization and rely on external
funders who have their own agenda? For example Because AFISMA received support
from the UN, it also had to go through the often-bureaucratic process of UN
mandate authorization, which, according to an ECOWAS official, partly explains
the slow deployment of the mission (Avezov, 2015).
42
http://fletcher.tufts.edu/African-Peace-Missions/Research/Case-Studies/Mali
, accessed on June 18, 2018
43 Théroux-Bénoni, pp. 176-177.
59
2.3- The lack of fair cooperation from UN and UN funders
Due to its rather severe limitations, the AFISMA mission was
received by the UN only lukewarmly, as reflected in Secretary-General Ban
Ki-Moon's reports to the UN Security Council. He regarded AFISMA as an
instrument of «last resort».44 He continually warned that
ill-conceived intervention by AFISMA could worsen the situation on the ground,
and he noted that the deployment of such a force could result in human right
abuses (The Namibian, 2012). Then, instead of providing AFISMA with logistics
and funding, the UN was more concerned with human rights observance. While the
UN Secretary-General was hesitant to provide the logistical support package
that AFISMA was requesting, the provision of such support would have been in
the interest of not just the West Africans but of the entire international
community, including particularly powerful western states like France and the
US (UNSC, 2013:4).
Furthermore, it can be realized that the same resources used
by France, if made available to the African Union, could have been more
effectively and efficiently utilized as it was mainly the lack of financial
support that delayed the deployment of the AU forces. Perhaps there would not
have been any need for the transformation if the funds were made available to
AFISMA.
This is by no means a reproach to those who fund the UN
mission for lack of fair cooperation, but it is an eye opener also to African
countries that could have contributed more to a peacekeeping mission in another
African country.
2.4- The operational challenges of AFISMA in the field
Though it was finally deployed with the support of the UN and
other donators, AFISMA encountered a number of challenges, pertaining mainly to
the lack of financial resources and inadequate and insufficient logistical
support. Strategically, it encountered problems of coordination with the
multiple actors involved in the resolution of the Malian crisis and as
mentioned earlier there were also some internal challenges in the coordination
on the ground between the AU and ECOWAS.
With regard to its core mandate of supporting «the
Malian authorities in restoring the country's territorial integrity, securing
and consolidating the areas in the north of its territory liberated from armed
groups», the wide range of its «Area of
Operations» was a practical challenge. This is because the area
(northern Mali) covers more than 600 000 sq km, representing about two-thirds
of the 1 240 172 sq km that is the landmass of Mali. This region is sparsely
populated, and the population centers are linked by roads that are mainly in
poor conditions. Deprived of any airlift capability, moving the military,
police and civilian personnel of the mission between various duty stations was
a daunting challenge. This was even more challenging to visits of the Mission's
top leadership based in Bamako to the field, located more than 1, 200 km away,
forcing them to rely on the French for all their travels to the field in the
north.
44
http://www.lindenwood.edu/files/resources/106-120.pdf
, accessed on June 18, 2018
60
Related to the challenge of logistics, AFISMA was set up with
the understanding that contingents would be self-sustained for the first 90
days. However, owing to some problems, the mission could not take over the
sustainment of troops within this timeframe, forcing it to rely on the support
of some partners like the US Government, who assisted with supplying troops
with petroleum products and food ration. While supplying these products to
units located near Bamako was easy, the lack of airlift capabilities rendered
the regular supply to far-away locations such as Gao and Tessalit very
difficult (Souaré, 2016). Finally, the lack of funding affected all
other aspects of the Mission's operations from its political mandate to the
provision of humanitarian support. For example, given the context of the
conflict, there was a strong need for the humanitarian unit of the Mission to
constantly be in the field, but this was not possible given the lack of
logistics and finances. Likewise, the deployment of human rights observers
faced some challenges; not least of which was the lack of appropriate security
and other related gear and unavailability of airlift facilities to take them to
their respective locations of deployment.
Notwithstanding these challenges, the Mission performed
generally well. For example, there was no single report about human rights
violations on the part of any member of the personnel, military, police or
civilian. Also, the troops contributed significantly to the security of their
zones of deployment, at times playing mediation role between antagonistic
communities. All this suggests that with adequate funding and logistical
support, AFISMA could have done far better.
3- Recommendations
3.1- Towards an efficient AU
The crisis in Mali gave the AU another chance to translate its
slogan «African solutions to African problems» into action.
But the crisis rather demonstrated once more the inadequacy of the AU and its
REC ECOWAS structural and normative frameworks to deal with crises of this kind
and it is also emblematic of the long road that lies ahead before the African
Peace and Security Architecture (APSA) can be fully operationalized. This
weakness, recalls what was once confessed by Ambassador Ramtane Lamamra, former
AU Commissioner for Peace and Security when he mentioned that the crisis
`exposed a dangerous vacuum in the arsenal of the AU instruments that needs
to be urgently filled by putting in place appropriate response mechanisms that
will enable the continental body to timely respond to such phenomena with the
required robustness and effectiveness' (Dersso 2012).
First, it is a matter of urgency that the African Standby
Force be operationalized, including its rapid deployment capability, to provide
the AU and the Regional Mechanisms with instruments adapted to the type of
situation experienced by Mali and other countries before. It is important to
recall that by establishing the ASF, the AU sought to improve the integration
of the African defense forces and reduce the overall costs that individual
African countries have to bear on many African peacekeeping operations.
Unfortunately, the operationalization of the ASF has been lagging behind
schedule. Its
61
establishment was first scheduled for between 2005 and 2008
but this was postponed to 2010 because of serious capability gaps identified
during exercise AMANI AFRICA 2010. It was after said that the ASF would become
fully operational in December 2015, after exercise AMANI AFRICA II (AU 2013a),
but the date also could not be respected and the force is still to be built.
The African Union member States and the AU commission are
mindful of this situation, this is why an African Capacity for Immediate
Response to Crises (ACIRC) was mooted as a stop-gap before the final
establishment of the ASF (Apuuli 2013). The AFISMA deployed in Mali was
ACIRC-type. Announcing the establishment of ACIRC, the AU Chair observed that
the Mali crisis highlighted the need to `accelerate the establishment of the
ASF' (AU 2013b). It is known that the ACIRC is not an effective and lasting
solution as the key problem remains the financial support.
As introduced above, the major challenge facing the African
Union is the lack of funds. The financing challenges the AU is faced with has
important unintended consequences. High levels of donor dependency have
weakened ownership in this critical area of the AU's mandate and led to
strategic drift, as the AU Commission increasingly focused on external donors
notably the EU through its African Peace Facility (APF). In the case of AFISMA
for example, only 23% of funding came from African countries, with
international donors providing the rest. This makes clear that the AU's Peace
Fund is under-resourced and does not allow the AU and the regional mechanisms
to finance and have full ownership of their operations. That is why when the UN
Security Council first rejected the requested support package, the deployment
of AFISMA became hypothetical.
There is therefore a general acknowledgement that the current
financing arrangements for peace support operations are neither reliable nor
predictable. With regard to this, African actors must find viable sources of
funding, including through assessed contributions, as provided for by the Peace
and Security Council (PSC) Protocol.
To take up this challenge, some initiatives are being taken.
In June 2015, the AU Assembly adopted a decision45 on assessed
contribution of member states, which targets funding the AU at 100% of the
operations budget; 75% of the program budget; and 25% of the peace support
operations budget to be phased over five years from 2016. The new formula
showed commitment by the AU to finance 25% of AU-led peace operations out of
its own budget. The AU also revived the Peace Fund as the main mechanism for
the management and oversight of the financial aspects of AU peace support
operations. At the 27th AU Summit in Kigali, the AU Assembly decided
to «institute and implement a 0.2% import levy on all eligible imported
goods into the continent to finance the African Union Operational Program and
Peace Support Operations Budgets starting from the year
2017.»46 The AU Assembly also decided
45 African Union Assembly, Decision on the Scale of
Assessments and Financing of the African Union Assembly/AU/Dec.578(XXV),
Twenty-fifth Ordinary Session, 14-15 June 2015, Johannesburg, South Africa.
46 African Union Assembly, Decision on the Outcome of
the Retreat of the Assembly of the African Union Assembly/AU/Dec.605 (XXVII),
Twenty-seventh Ordinary Session, 17- 18 July 2016, Kigali, Rwanda.
62
that the Peace Fund is to be endowed with $325 million in
2017, rising to a total of $400 million by 2020 from the 0.2% import levy (AU,
2015). Even if the speed of the implementation is slow, there are encouraging
signs. For example, 2018 AU summit in Nouakchott approved the 2019 budget for
the Union at a total of $681.5 million, of which Member states will contribute
46% while the remaining balance of 54% is expected to be financed by
development Partners, signaling a great shift from overreliance on external
funding from about 70% in previous years.47 About this, Ambassador
Kwesi stated, «there is growing confidence in our ability to finance
our agenda. The momentum in the implementation of the 0.2% levy decision is
very positive and in fact, looking at the contributions to the peace fund using
this mechanism, it is the highest we have had. With this trend, the percentage
of member states contribution is expected to rise to a level where Africa takes
full ownership of its development agenda. We are very
optimistic.»48
Moreover, the management of the crisis also brought to the
fore the limited coordination, based 'on circumstances and comparative
advantages, between the continental body and regional structures. There is a
need for a shared understanding of the principles underlying the APSA, their
effective implementation, and sustained dialogue between the AU and its
RECs/RMs. In this framework of resolving this issue, the Commission published
the APSA Roadmap 2016-2020, a strategic document, which builds on the
achievements and challenges resulting from the implementation of the previous
APSA Roadmaps (2011-2013). The Roadmap manifests the continued determination to
ensure further progress, and paves the way for future collaboration between the
AU, the Regional Economic Communities (RECs) and Regional Mechanisms (RMs) to
effectively address security issues and contribute to a more peaceful Africa.
Let's hope that this will improve the relations for a better coordination and
division of labor.
Finally, considering the difficulties encountered in
deployment of AFISMA and its transformation into MINUSMA, strengthened
partnership between the AU and UN is a crucial step in improving future peace
operations in Africa. As the crisis in Mali continues to unfold, the AU and the
UN have an opportunity and a responsibility to assess the major impediments to
lasting peace in the country and continue to revise the mandate to be nimble
enough to respond. Recognizing that the revision and eventual syncing of AU and
UN doctrine is a process that takes a significant amount of time and resources,
the AU and UN should focus on a short-term re-configuration of strategy as
MINUSMA is at a critical juncture between implementing the peace agreement and
disrupting the potential spread of violence farther south.
47
https://au.int/en/pressreleases/20180706/financial-reforms-african-union-lead-massive-cuts-union%E2%80%99s-budget
, accessed on August 10, 2018
48
https://au.int/en/pressreleases/20180706/financial-reforms-african-union-lead-massive-cuts-union%E2%80%99s-budget
, accessed on August 10, 2018
63
3.2- For an effective and lasting peace in Mali
As illustrated in our argumentation, Mali and the
international community including AU and RECs are struggling to build peace and
achieve security after the another Tuareg armed rebellion, which broke out in
Northern Mali in January 2012, turned into a violent extremist insurgency as a
number of violent extremist groups joined in and took over several cities and
territory in northern Mali. Though military the intervention (SERVAL, AFISMA,
MINUSMA) and the 2015 peace agreement could be viewed as significant steps
towards the stabilization and the resolution of the conflict, there are still
peace setbacks and other security challenges out of control.
It should be recalled that since 1963, each Tuareg rebellion
was followed by a peace agreement and a short-term security solutions which
brought peace for only a short period. This means that to bring about a lasting
sociopolitical reconstruction of the nation and achieve a sustainable peace
that will entail the harmonious co-existence of different ethnic, religious and
political groups, there is a need to implement alternative solutions beyond the
one mentioned above. I have therefore come up with the following suggestions
for a way forward:
First, as stated earlier, Mali is one of the world's poorest
countries and suffers from a lack of economic development on many levels, but
this is especially present in northern Mali. The combined impact of weak
decentralization, corruption, and a lack of transparency regarding budget
allocation and the distribution of aid led to a widely-held belief that the
country's citizens (mainly in the north) are not receiving their fair share
from the government. The northern regions of Mali need therefore an economic
development in order to feel like the government truly responses to their
needs. Neelakantan (2013) argues that «Unless this changes, real peace
will not be found, no matter how many troops are sent to quell the violence in
Mali». Generally speaking, rebuilding statehood on the basis of good
governance and inclusive political framework will guarantee sustainable peace
and security in Mali. To achieve this, government officials and state
institutions will have to be held accountable by their own people as well as by
aid donors. Without this, governance will always be weak, development
assistance diverted, and genuine efforts to address the causes of human
security undermined.
Another point is that there are still a lot of inter/intra
community tensions today in Mali and the development of democratic governance
systems requires the active participation of the population. So, for a lasting
peace, there is a need of repairing the social fabric of Malian society by
means of an effective, inclusive reconciliation process through an active
engagement of civil society in order to promote intra/inter-community dialogue
to reframe perceptions of the conflict, mobilize constituencies for peace,
contribute to reaching sustainable peace agreements, and help address the
structural causes and consequences of violent conflict. According to Oxfam
«any such process should start at community level and be based on
traditional conflict resolution methods, as well as more formal legal
proceedings»49. For Dr Elisabeth
Sköns from the Stockholm International Peace Research
Institute50 the natural role of civil society in such a process has
been demonstrated by experiences in other countries but is also the logical
consequence of any democratically based perspective.
Moreover, there are many criminal networks and extremist
religious activists who have taken advantage of the security forces failure to
take control of the north. Today, the government of Mali and the international
partners must engage deeply in the Mali security sector reform. The aim should
be to enhance the general ability of the sector to support efforts to restore a
society where all individuals are treated equally and whose stability is based
on broadly accepted and approved regulatory mechanisms. Once, the operational
abilities of the security forces are strengthened by improving the legal
framework, equipment, infrastructure and staffing levels, the national security
forces in cooperation with other neighboring countries forces, will be able to
deal efficiently with the security challenges in Mali and also in the Sahel.
64
49
https://www.oxfam.org/sites/www.oxfam.org/files/bn-mali-four-priorities-governance-050214-en.pdf,
accessed on September 7, 2018
50
https://www.sipri.org/node/412
, accessed on September 7, 2018
65
Conclusion
The conflict in Mali is a complex and multidimensional mixture
of long-term fundamental grievances by diverse actors and groups. These
grievances are related to the issues of political governance, particularly the
issue of management of the ethnic diversity in the Malian society, economic
governance, including corruption which led to a weak state.
Three distinct but interrelated types of conflicts have
coalesced to produce the current crisis in Mali which unfolded in 2012.
Firstly, it was caused by a secessionist rebellion by Tuareg ethnic groups who
heavily armed attacked the Malian armed forces. Secondly, there is a political
and constitutional crisis occasioned by the military overthrow of the
democratically elected government by the army. Thirdly, the conflict is also an
attempt by Islamist jihadists to militarily take over Mali and establish a
terrorist state based on sharia law.
The crisis in Mali led to a range of external and regional
political and diplomatic, and military interventions to resolve the conflict by
foreign governments, and regional and international intergovernmental
organizations among which the AU and its REC ECOWAS.
If significant efforts have been made by the two organizations
to address the conflict through the implementation of the APSA, the least that
can be said is that the response proved woefully inadequate. This is
illustrated by the difficulties encountered to deploy the AFISMA in time before
the crisis escalates, obliging the Malian government to call France for help,
hence the deployment of Serval; and when AFISMA was deployed it encountered
many financial and logistic, institutional issues in the field, hence its
transformation to MINUSMA which took over since July 1, 2013.
Two important lessons for effective regional interventions in
conflict resolution efforts in Africa should be drawn from the Malian
experience. These are: (i) the need for more clarity in the implementation of
the APSA and division of labor between the AU and RECs; and (ii) the importance
of AU financial autonomy for support operations.
On the first point, even if the 2002 Protocol establishing the
PSC defined various continental (AU) and regional (REC) Actors on conflict
situations in Africa and the 2008 Memorandum of Understanding between the AU
and RECs brought further clarification to this issue, the Malian crisis showed
that lots need to be done again for a fair and cohesive intervention in future
conflict. AFISMA was perhaps one of the first experiences for a fully joint
AU/REC peacekeeping operation.
The other point is related to the funding of AU peace support
operations. One could argue that the disproportionate dependency of the AU and
ECOWAS on external partners for the funding of AFISMA, the serious logistical
challenges this mission encountered on the ground when such support lacked and
its eventual transformation into a UN peacekeeping mission indicate that this
slogan of finding African solutions to African problems proved wanting in the
deployment of AFISMA. To make the slogan
66
realistic, African countries must work towards economic
independence for their countries and their regional organizations, such as the
AU and ECOWAS.
At the UN level, it is more necessary than ever to overcome
the reluctance that characterizes its relationship with regional arrangements,
in order to build a partnership adapted to the complex challenges to peace and
security in Africa.
67
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70
71
Figure 1: Summary of some available key Timelines of the Mali
Conflict from 2011 to October 2015
2011
|
August 9 - Amadou Toumani Touré launches his Special
Program for Peace, Security, and Development in Northern Mali (French:
Programme spécial pour la paix, la sécurité et le
développement au Nord-Mali, PSPSDN)
|
August 26 - Ibrahim Ag Bahanga dies in a car crash
|
October 16 - Announcement of the formation of the MNLA out of the
National Movement of Azawad
|
(MNA) and the National Alliance of Tuaregs of Mali (ANTM)
|
October 19 - AFP reports that three senior Tuareg officers -
Colonel Assalath Ag Khabi, Lieutenant-
|
Colonel Mbarek Ag Akly, and Commandant Hassan Habré -
deserted the Malian army to join the MNLA
|
Fall/Winter - Several attacks occur against military bases set up
as part of the PSPSDN
|
December 12 - MUJWA releases a video statement announcing its
creation
|
December 20 - Mauritanian news agency ANI reports the creation
in northern Mali of Iyad Ag Ghali's Ansare Dine
|
2012
|
January 17 - The MNLA attacks Ménaka
|
January 30 - Military families begin protests in Kati
|
February 2 - Protesters surround the residence of President
Touré
|
February 8 - The MNLA captures Tinzawaten
|
March 22 - Soldiers led by Captain Amadou Sanogo take power in a
coup
|
March 30 - The MNLA captures Kidal
|
March 31 - The MNLA captures Gao
|
April 1 - The MNLA captures Timbuktu
|
April 4 - Ansar al Din and AQIM fighters move into Timbuktu,
displacing the MNLA from part of the city
|
April 5 - MUJWA fighters abduct seven Algerian diplomats from
their consulate in Gao.
|
April 6 - The MNLA declares the independence of northern Mali as
the «Azawad»
|
April 8 - Amadou Toumani Touré resigns as president
|
April 10 - Arab fighters announce the creation of an anti-MNLA,
Arab self-defense militia, the FNLA
|
72
April 12 - Dioncounda Traoré appointed interim
president
|
April 15 - AQIM commander Abou Zeid expels FNLA fighters from
Timbuktu
|
April 17 - Cheick Modibo Diarra appointed interim prime
minister
|
April 25 - Cheick Modibo Diarra announces 24-member cabinet
|
May 26 - Announcement of alliance between MNLA and Ansar al Din.
Alliance broken two days later.
|
June 18 - Ansar al Din delegation headed by Alghabass Ag
Intalla meets with President Blaise Compaoré of Burkina Faso in
Ouagadougou
|
June 27 - Islamist coalition captures Gao from the MNLA
|
June 30 - Ansar al Din fighters attack the mausoleum of Sidi
Mahmud in Timbuktu
|
July 2 - Ansar al Din fighters attack the Sidi Yahya mosque in
Timbuktu
|
July 10 - Ansar al Din fighters destroy two tombs at the
Djingareyber mosque in Timbuktu
|
July 13 - Protests against Ansar al Din in Goundam
|
July 19 - Three European hostages kidnapped in October 2011 in
southeastern Algeria released in Mali. Reports indicate that a ransom of
approximately $18 million was paid, and three jihadist prisoners held in the
region were released in exchange for the hostages
|
|
July 29 - In Aguelhok, Islamist officials carry out a sentence
of stoning against an allegedly unmarried couple
|
August 5 - Protests against MUJWA in Gao
|
September 1 - MUJWA announces the execution of an Algerian
diplomat, Tahar Touati
|
September 8 - AQIM leader in the Sahara Nabil Makhloufi (Nabil
Abou Alqama) killed in a car accident in northern Mali
|
September 9 - In Diabaly, Malian soldiers shoot sixteen preachers
from Jama'a al Tabligh
|
October 12 - UNSC adopts Resolution 2071, and «called on
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon to provide, at once, military and security
planners to [ECOWAS], the African Union (AU) and other partners to help frame a
response to a request by Mali's transitional authorities for such a force, and
to report back within 45 days.»
|
October 18 - Ansar al Din fighters destroy three mausolea in the
Kabara neighborhood of Timbuktu
|
November 6 - Military experts present ECOWAS with a draft plan
for the reconquest of Mali
|
November 11 - ECOWAS heads of state approve military
intervention plan at a summit in Abuja, Nigeria
|
November 13 - AU approves military intervention plan
|
November 19 - MUJWA captures Menaka
|
73
November 20 - MUJWA kidnaps French citizen in Diema, Gilberto
Rodrigues Leal
|
November 28 - Ansar al Din captures Lere
|
December 11 - Prime Minister Cheick Modibo Diarra resigns, and
President Dioncounda Traoré appoints Diango Cissoko (alternative
spelling Sissoko) as prime minister December 20 - The UNSC adopts resolution
2085 (text) authorizing the deployment of international forces to Mali
|
2013
|
January 10 - Ansar al Din fighters enter Konna
|
January 11 - Operation Serval begins with French airstrikes
|
January 14 - By this date, airstrikes have occurred in Konna,
Lere, Douentza, Agharous Kayoune, and
|
Gao
|
January 16 - French ground operations begin
|
January 18 - Konna recaptured (some sources say Malian troops
retook the town on January 12)
|
January 21 - Diabaly recaptured (some sources also list January
18 as the date of the recapture of
|
Diabaly)
|
January 21 - French and Malian forces enter Douentza
|
January 24 - Hombori captured; air raids on Ansongo
|
January 24 - Alghabass Ag Intalla announces the creation of
the Islamic Movement of the Azawad (MIA), a breakaway faction from Ansar al
Din, and its willingness to negotiate with Malian national authorities
|
January 26 - Gao captured
|
January 28 - Timbuktu airport captured
|
January 29 - Timbuktu reconquered
|
January 30 - Kidal captured
|
February 8 - Suicide bombing in Gao
|
February 10 - MUJWA fighters attack Gao
|
February 21 - Car bombing in Kidal
|
February 22-23 - Fighting between the MNLA and Arab Movement
of the Azawad in In-Khalil, Kidal Region
|
February 26 - U.S. Department of State designates Iyad Ag
Ghali as a Special Designated Global Terrorist
|
April 9 - France withdraws its first soldiers
|
April 21 - Fighting between the MNLA and the Arab Movement of
the Azawad in Ber, Timbuktu Region
|
74
May 4 - Suicide bombing in Hamakouladji, Gao Region
|
May 6 - Mohamed Ag Intalla presides over the creation of the High
Council for the Azawad in Kidal
|
May 19 - The Islamic Movement of the Azawad joins the High
Council for the Azawad, which renames itself the High Council for the Unity of
the Azawad (HCUA). Intalla Ag Attaher becomes the HCUA's new president.
|
June 2 - In Ouagadougou, the MNLA and the HCUA sign an accord
rejecting Malian army deployments in Kidal during the presidential elections,
alleging Malian army abuses of northern Tuaregs and Arabs, and calling for the
United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali
(MINUSMA) to provide security
|
July 15 - AQIM confirms it has killed hostage Philippe Verdon
in Mali in retaliation for the French-led intervention
|
July 19 - Ethnic clashes in Kidal
|
July 28 - Mali holds first round of presidential elections
|
August 7 - Constitutional Court confirms results of the
presidential elections' first round, certifying Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta's
39.79% of the vote and Soumaïla Cissé's 19.70%
|
August 11 - Mali holds second round of presidential elections
|
August 12 - Soumaîla Cissé concedes to Ibrahim
Boubacar Keîta
|
2014
|
May 21 - Malian government army retreats from Kidal
|
June 9 - Creation of the Coordination des mouvements de
l'Azawad
|
June 14 - Creation of the Plateform
|
July 16 - Malian government and armed groups begin inclusive
peace talks in Algiers with the participation of AU and ECOWAS in the mediation
team
|
August 14 - Creation of the Groupe d'auto-défense touareg
Imghad et allies
|
2015
|
May 15 & June 20 - The «Agreement for Peace and
Reconciliation in Mali resulting from the Algiers Process» is signed in
Bamako in two separate ceremonies
|
October- CMA and the Plateforme signed a peace pact at
Anéfis.
|
75
Figure 2 : Map Mali climate
Source:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/8e/Mali_map_of_K%C3%B6ppen_climate_classi
fication.svg , accessed on May 8, 2018
76
Figure 3: Map Mali spatial distribution of ethnic groups in
Mali
Source : Atlas Jeune Afrique 2010', in Bossard, L., op. cit.,
OECD, Sahel and West Africa Club, 2015, 191
77
Figure 4: Map of Mali as of January 11, 2013
Source: CRS. Basemap created by Hannah Fischer using Esri Data
2012. Projection: Winkle II, November 29, 2012.
78
Figure 5: Map of Intensity of security incidents in Mali till
April 2016
Source:
http://www.mining.com/web/security-threats-unable-to-take-shine-off-mali-gold/
, accessed on May 8, 2018
79
Figure 6: Conflict events by actors and location in Mali and
Niger 2017-2018
Source: Armed Conflict Location Event Data (ACLED) dataset.
Figure 7: Leadership of Mali peace agreement
80
Figure 8lmplementatiuon of Bamako Agreement
BAMAKO AGREEMENT
July 27^ - Goverrvnent creates Noticed Committee for the
Coorchnation of the trnplementation of the Peace Aeree ment by
decree
Ji ty-Oct. - Multilatercr development bones do joint
needs osseeE`n9enl
Sept. 27"-0cl_ i i*' - Coardinatian I. Platform
not° direct talcs wading ta the "Antis rood map
Oct. 14" - Truth. Justice and Reconcéalion
Commission is oppoinled Oct. 28"-29 - DECO hosts international conference for
the economic recovery and development of Mciii in Paris
Dec. 2U^ - Corotruchan bagels on two
cantonment sites
Jon r8- . rt.;low-Lip Ccr ·+m:itee
hc.oS hiiesn-;ev.e Jan- 25' · Coordination & Platform reach
ogreerner1 on representation in Follow-Up Committee under auspices of AU high
representative Feb. d" - Coorofnaticn L Platform ogee on progressrve shared
management of Ride)
Mar. - Government creofes two new regions n Menoka &
tovvderry Apr. 18" - Government hands over forty-Nola vehicles to me
Operational Coordination Mechanism to launch lain patrols May 18 - Government
seas decree on interiors authorities
May 20"` - Coordination â Platform suspend
participation in Foiow-Up Committee
May 31`. - Coordination 8. Plaitsr n
sign memorandum of understanding June I - President appoints high
representative for impiernantotian of agreemenT
June 19" - Government. Coorânation & Platform
agree on moderates for estot siting inferen authorities and oesalcien i
Opervfiacui Coordrna ton mechanism 1n five northern rag.on s
Oct. 14" - Government appoints members of interim
authorities fa Goo. Oda L irnbektu regions but faces opposition from
Coordination & PlaFTorrn Dec. - Coordination &
Platform suspend participation in Follow-Up Committee unti Feb. ter
Jan. 5"' - 113 Coordination forces avive in Goo from
Kidol to join frst joint potrpl
Jan. 5" - National 00e Commission becomes
operational
Feb. F' - MINUSAM. hands over eight cantonment sites to
DM Commission
Feb, 1 U' · Monitor-rig
Corrrrrllee holds high-level meeting. 0--mute--toil
agreement on ruaw tyrnefrne for interim cuthcrrhes
Feb_ 15" - Parties agree on presidency of interim
authorities
Feb. 23"' - Fast jour pollee. ore launched in
Gao
Feb. 28"-tar. 3itl - Interim authorities ate
installed in KCidctl. Gao JL Menke
Ma. 27"-Apr. 7° - Conference of NaHanat Entente
takes place in °annal°
Apr. 20" - esteem authorities ore instaled it Trri7uktu
and Taouctenri May 1"- Holland Security Sector Reform Council is
launched
July 9^ - Constifutiond referendum e
held
-- MSA
Oct. 8 - HCUA rridcry she/ of sloe Cherktn Ag AOusSO is
killed in Kidd
CJA
Dec. · New scent--ere? MSA1
MS A2
Jan. · New spinters?
CJA)
CJA2
Oct. 1d^ - Ansar Dine leader Pend Ag Ghal
dancer--ices peace process and lhreafPns to intensity attacks against French
farces and thee dies in Mali
Nov. ' - Al-Mpurobiloun cfaR6 terrorist aback on Rodrsson
Mu hotel is Bamako
I2" - Ansor Dine ciairres compile
in Kidd
Nov. 79" - Aemo rtat]itocn darns alluck on Goo
airport
Jon.18" - Al-Matxdbltoun ck*ns attack on Operational
COOrdwer fon Mechanism in Goo
Mar. 2 -
Jamda etusrat ut-
fsiarrs wa al-
AF-Mourabitoun Aruar Dine
AQIM Fi M
Apr_ yed Ag Ghee new leceling
JMIM. reiterates irsterrt to continue Fighting MOrian and
,nferrsotiond crewed farms
May-June - MINUSMA comps in Tenbukfu 3 Kidd one Fit by
four mata attacks
IMPLEMENTATION OF
Aug_ I - PlatfornurGATTA capture
Anefis from Coordination
2016
Feb_ 7 250 Platform/GAT1A hoops enter !Sida
Jut-se MINIjSMA mondote rs
reneslot-"-: grvrng it o rnOte tOb lt oria oroo. '
.
AL July 1?"-22 - Plattor n/OATIA
&
APR Caexdrxsfien Mesh in Kidd
Aug= Sepf. - Clashes cantktue mound Kidd
Nov. 20' - M<micrpal elections ay held
2017
mew_ 5" - two foe-Soma MAA and CJA
occupy Timbuktu checkpoints for live days
Apr. - France. AAd1f & FNeki s° Faso launat ioin
operations °gcs l FIFA & Ansa d-titan in centra
mort
Apr. 11" - New Motion government e announced
Apr. 13" - AU aullxvi es 0.5 Sahel force June - NCw
clashes break DUt i1 Nide! region
Oct-Nov. - Laced elections ale held
2018
July Preildentid elections are held
82
Figure 9: Fragmentation and recomposition of compliant armed
groups
Source:
https://www.ipinst.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/IPI-Rpt-Inter-Malian-Agreement.pdf
, accessed on May 8, 2018
|