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Risques de crédits et réalisation des objectifs stratégiques d'une banque. Cas de l'Afriland first bank CD.


par Jean Claude Ilunga
Université de Lubumbashi - Licence en économie monétaire 2018
  

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ANNEXE4 : TEST DE DIAGNOSTIC DU MODELE

RENTABILITE ECONOMIQUE

Date: 07/02/18 Time: 07:28 Sample: 2010M01 2016M12 Included observations: 82

Autocorrelation

Partial Correlation

 

AC

PAC

Q-Stat

Prob

****| .

|

****| .

|

1

-0.500

-0.500

21.259

0.000

. | .

|

**| .

|

2

0.000

-0.333

21.259

0.000

. | .

|

**| .

|

3

0.000

-0.250

21.259

0.000

. | .

|

.*| .

|

4

0.000

-0.200

21.259

0.000

. | .

|

.*| .

|

5

0.000

-0.167

21.259

0.001

. | .

|

.*| .

|

6

0.000

-0.143

21.259

0.002

. | .

|

.*| .

|

7

0.000

-0.125

21.259

0.003

. | .

|

.*| .

|

8

0.000

-0.111

21.259

0.006

. | .

|

.*| .

|

9

0.000

-0.100

21.259

0.012

. | .

|

.*| .

|

10

0.000

-0.091

21.259

0.019

. | .

|

.*| .

|

11

-0.044

-0.164

21.449

0.029

. |*.

|

. | .

|

12

0.088

-0.065

22.217

0.035

. | .

|

. | .

|

13

-0.044

-0.061

22.412

0.049

 
 
 
 

xvi

 
 

. | . | . | .

|

14

0.000

-0.058

22.412

0.071

. | . | . | .

|

15

0.000

-0.055

22.412

0.097

. | . | . | .

|

16

0.000

-0.052

22.412

0.130

. | . | . | .

|

17

0.000

-0.049

22.412

0.169

. | . | . | .

|

18

0.000

-0.047

22.412

0.214

. | . | . | .

|

19

0.000

-0.045

22.412

0.264

. | . | . | .

|

20

0.000

-0.043

22.412

0.319

. | . | . | .

|

21

0.000

-0.041

22.412

0.376

. | . | . | .

|

22

0.000

-0.039

22.412

0.436

. | . | .*| .

|

23

-0.027

-0.083

22.497

0.490

. | . | . | .

|

24

0.054

-0.033

22.841

0.529

. | . | . | .

|

25

-0.027

-0.032

22.929

0.582

. | . | . | .

|

26

0.000

-0.031

22.929

0.637

. | . | . | .

|

27

0.000

-0.030

22.929

0.689

. | . | . | .

|

28

0.000

-0.030

22.929

0.737

. | . | . | .

|

29

0.000

-0.029

22.929

0.780

. | . | . | .

|

30

0.000

-0.028

22.929

0.818

. | . | . | .

|

31

0.000

-0.027

22.929

0.852

. | . | . | .

|

32

0.000

-0.026

22.929

0.881

. | . | . | .

|

33

0.000

-0.026

22.929

0.905

. | . | . | .

|

34

0.000

-0.025

22.929

0.925

. |*. | . |**

|

35

0.181

0.340

27.723

0.804

***| . | . | .

|

36

-0.362

-0.051

47.314

0.098

RENTABILITE FINANCIERE

 
 
 
 
 
 

Date: 06/30/18 Time: 10:31

 
 
 
 
 
 

Sample: 2010M01 2016M12

 
 
 
 
 
 

Included observations: 82

 
 
 
 
 
 

Autocorrelation Partial Correlation

 

AC

PAC

Q-Stat

Prob

****| . | ****| .

|

1

-0.500

-0.500

21.259

0.000

. | . | **| .

|

2

0.000

-0.333

21.259

0.000

. | . | **| .

|

3

0.000

-0.250

21.259

0.000

. | . | .*| .

|

4

0.000

-0.200

21.259

0.000

. | . | .*| .

|

5

0.000

-0.167

21.259

0.001

. | . | .*| .

|

6

0.000

-0.143

21.259

0.002

. | . | .*| .

|

7

0.000

-0.125

21.259

0.003

. | . | .*| .

|

8

0.000

-0.111

21.259

0.006

. | . | .*| .

|

9

0.000

-0.100

21.259

0.012

. | . | .*| .

|

10

0.000

-0.091

21.259

0.019

.*| . | ***| .

|

11

-0.165

-0.386

23.899

0.013

. |** | . | .

|

12

0.330

-0.040

34.611

0.001

.*| . | . | .

|

13

-0.165

-0.039

37.328

0.000

 
 
 
 
 
 

xvii

 
 

. | .

|

. | .

|

14

0.000

-0.037

37.328

0.001

. | .

|

. | .

|

15

0.000

-0.036

37.328

0.001

. | .

|

. | .

|

16

0.000

-0.035

37.328

0.002

. | .

|

. | .

|

17

0.000

-0.034

37.328

0.003

. | .

|

. | .

|

18

0.000

-0.032

37.328

0.005

. | .

|

. | .

|

19

0.000

-0.031

37.328

0.007

. | .

|

. | .

|

20

0.000

-0.030

37.328

0.011

. | .

|

. | .

|

21

0.000

-0.030

37.328

0.015

. | .

|

. | .

|

22

0.000

-0.029

37.328

0.022

. | .

|

. | .

|

23

-0.050

-0.019

37.622

0.028

. |*.

|

. | .

|

24

0.100

-0.028

38.820

0.029

. | .

|

. | .

|

25

-0.050

-0.027

39.124

0.036

. | .

|

. | .

|

26

0.000

-0.026

39.124

0.047

. | .

|

. | .

|

27

0.000

-0.026

39.124

0.062

. | .

|

. | .

|

28

0.000

-0.025

39.124

0.079

. | .

|

. | .

|

29

0.000

-0.024

39.124

0.099

. | .

|

. | .

|

30

0.000

-0.024

39.124

0.123

. | .

|

. | .

|

31

0.000

-0.023

39.124

0.150

. | .

|

. | .

|

32

0.000

-0.023

39.124

0.180

. | .

|

. | .

|

33

0.000

-0.022

39.124

0.214

. | .

|

. | .

|

34

0.000

-0.022

39.124

0.251

. |*.

|

. |***

|

35

0.179

0.406

43.840

0.145

***| .

|

. | .

|

36

-0.359

-0.051

63.112

0.003

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"I don't believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the thing out of the hand of governments. We can't take it violently, out of the hands of governments, all we can do is by some sly roundabout way introduce something that they can't stop ..."   Friedrich Hayek (1899-1992) en 1984