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Investissements directs étrangers et développement durable. Cas de la côte d'Ivoire

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par Louis Kouamé CANINGAN
Faculté universitaire privée d'Abidjan (FUPA) - Master II recherche 2012
  

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Annexe 2: estimation du modèle à correction d'erreur

 Vector Error Correction Estimates

 
 
 

 Date: 01/02/13 Time: 11:33

 
 
 

 Sample (adjusted): 1972 2010

 
 
 

 Included observations: 39 after adjustments

 
 

 Standard errors in ( ) & t-statistics in [ ]

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cointegrating Eq: 

CointEq1

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

LIDH(-1)

 1.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

LFEIDE(-1)

-0.002642

 
 
 
 
 

 (0.00086)

 
 
 
 
 

[-3.05581]

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

LECO2H(-1)

-0.001685

 
 
 
 
 

 (0.00158)

 
 
 
 
 

[-1.06859]

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

LAEPE_PIB(-1)

-0.014109

 
 
 
 
 

 (0.00374)

 
 
 
 
 

[-3.77348]

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

LPIBH(-1)

-0.003174

 
 
 
 
 

 (0.00428)

 
 
 
 
 

[-0.74204]

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-0.176686

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Error Correction:

D(LIDH)

D(LFEIDE)

D(LECO2H)

D(LAEPE_PIB)

D(LPIBH)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

CointEq1

-0.083705

 37.66518

 13.47564

 15.04801

 18.76738

 

 (0.03340)

 (26.9197)

 (16.3148)

 (6.24109)

 (4.79254)

 

[ 2.50598]

[ 1.39917]

[ 0.82598]

[ 2.41112]

[ 3.91596]

 
 
 
 
 
 

D(LIDH(-1))

 0.083583

-34.77588

 0.896909

-2.165038

-7.551478

 

 (0.04018)

 (32.3859)

 (19.6276)

 (7.50837)

 (5.76569)

 

[ 2.07997]

[-1.07380]

[ 0.04570]

[-0.28835]

[-1.30973]

 
 
 
 
 
 

D(LFEIDE(-1))

-5.93E-05

-0.360076

 0.095103

-0.044858

-0.032829

 

 (0.00021)

 (0.17030)

 (0.10321)

 (0.03948)

 (0.03032)

 

[-0.28076]

[-2.11436]

[ 0.92144]

[-1.13615]

[-1.08279]

 
 
 
 
 
 

D(LECO2H(-1))

-0.000744

-0.431495

 0.025485

-0.005400

-0.015550

 

 (0.00037)

 (0.29708)

 (0.18004)

 (0.06887)

 (0.05289)

 

[-2.01810]

[-1.45248]

[ 0.14155]

[-0.07840]

[-0.29401]

 
 
 
 
 
 

D(LAEPE_PIB(-1))

 0.002772

 1.607950

-0.128321

-0.175682

 0.083097

 

 (0.00147)

 (1.18788)

 (0.71992)

 (0.27540)

 (0.21148)

 

[ 1.88052]

[ 1.35364]

[-0.17824]

[-0.63792]

[ 0.39293]

 
 
 
 
 
 

D(LPIBH(-1))

-0.003193

-1.661883

-0.074945

 0.522946

 0.267712

 

 (0.00169)

 (1.36595)

 (0.82784)

 (0.31668)

 (0.24318)

 

[-1.88375]

[-1.21665]

[-0.09053]

[ 1.65133]

[ 1.10088]

 
 
 
 
 
 

C

 0.001184

 0.069051

 0.011793

 0.057157

 0.056602

 

 (0.00015)

 (0.12368)

 (0.07495)

 (0.02867)

 (0.02202)

 

[ 7.71318]

[ 0.55832]

[ 0.15733]

[ 1.99338]

[ 2.57068]

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 R-squared

 0.478649

 0.210845

 0.048975

 0.373918

 0.488131

 Adj. R-squared

 0.380896

 0.062878

-0.129342

 0.256527

 0.392155

 Sum sq. resids

 1.77E-05

 11.47996

 4.216618

 0.617049

 0.363857

 S.E. equation

 0.000743

 0.598956

 0.363000

 0.138863

 0.106633

 F-statistic

 4.896501

 1.424947

 0.274653

 3.185251

 5.085992

 Log likelihood

 229.4969

-31.49091

-11.96030

 25.51557

 35.81522

 Akaike AIC

-11.41010

 1.973893

 0.972323

-0.949516

-1.477703

 Schwarz SC

-11.11151

 2.272481

 1.270911

-0.650928

-1.179115

 Mean dependent

 0.001334

 0.017496

-0.002444

 0.076284

 0.068146

 S.D. dependent

 0.000945

 0.618724

 0.341582

 0.161047

 0.136771

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 Determinant resid covariance (dof adj.)

 1.45E-12

 
 
 

 Determinant resid covariance

 5.39E-13

 
 
 

 Log likelihood

 274.1563

 
 
 

 Akaike information criterion

-12.00802

 
 
 

 Schwarz criterion

-10.30180

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


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